Sept. 25, 2012 | Martin B. Sennett, General Manager CNG: Energy of the Future?

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Sept. 25, 2012 | Martin B. Sennett, General Manager CNG: Energy of the Future?

Transcript of Sept. 25, 2012 | Martin B. Sennett, General Manager CNG: Energy of the Future?

Sept. 25, 2012 | Martin B. Sennett, General Manager

CNG: Energy of the Future?

Cost of Bus

Type of Bus Price

Standard Diesel $400,000

Hybrid Diesel/Electric $600,000

Compressed Natural Gas (CNG)

$450,000

Cost of FuelType of Fuel Price

Diesel $3.11/gallon

CNG with station $2.20/DGE

CNG without station

$1.50/DGE

Historical Price of Diesel

Year Price/gallon % Increase

2007

$2.05 --

2008

$3.06 49.3%

2009

$3.26 6.6%

2010

$2.25 -31%

2011

$2.92 29.8%

2012

$3.12 6.9%

Average Increase

$2.05 to $3.12

10.4% (average over 5 years)

Additional CostsType of Bus Capital Operating

Standard Diesel

None Urea after treatment

Hybrid Diesel/Electric

$150K mid-life to rebuild

Urea after treatment

CNG $2 million fueling station + $19K mid-life to rebuild

No after treatment

Hybrid Diesel Electric Option

Year % Diesel Buses

% Hybrid Buses

# of Hybrid

2012

73% 27% 20

2015

51% 49% 30

2019

42% 58% 42

2023

27% 73% 53

2027

16% 84% 61

Hybrid Bus PurchasesYear Hybrid Bus Hybrids

PurchasedEng/

Tran RebuildTotal Capital

2013 $630,000 4 0 $2,520,000

2015 $694,575 2 0 $1,389,150

2019 $844,260 2 0 $1,688,521

2023 $1,026,204 2 $655,636 $2,708,043

2027 $1,247,357 2 $737,924 $3,232,638

Total for 15 years 41 $5,335,402 $46,400,000

15 Year Fuel Cost with Hybrid Option

Year Diesel Miles

Hybrid Miles

Diesel Gallons

Hybrid Gallons

Cost Per

Gallon Diesel

Total Annual

Cost

2012 1,306,849

493,151 311,155 89,664 $3.11 $1,246,545

2019 912,329 887,671 217,221 1,619,395

$4.99 $1,850,000

2027 517,808 1,282,192

123,288 233,126 $8.85 $2,950,000

Total for 15 Years $31,600,000

CNG Option

Year # Hybrid # CNG # Diesel

2012

20 0 53

2015

20 13 40

2019

20 29 24

2023

10 45 18

2027

0 65 8

National Renewable Energy Laboratory Report

The following 6 charts

are from this report.

Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Official Energy Statistics from the U.S. Government.

Fuel Consumption with CNG Option

Year Diesel Miles

Hybrid Miles

CNG Miles

Diesel Gallons

Hybrid Gallons

CNG (DGE)

Gallons

2012 1,306,849

493,151

0 311,155 89,664 0

2019 591,781 493,151

715,068 140,900 89,664 174,407

2027 197,260 0 1,602,740

46,967 0 390,912

15 Year Fuel Cost(without financing)

Year Cost Per

Gallon Diesel

Total Diesel Cost

Cost Per Gallon (DE)

Total CNG Cost

Total Fuel Cost

2012 $3.11 $1,246,545 0 0 $1,246,545

2019 $4.99 $1,106,654 $2.25 $419,683 $1,526,337

2027 $8.58 $705,254 $3.87 $1,372,404

$2,077,658

Total for 15 Years $25,348,156

15 Year Fuel Cost (with financing)

Year Cost Per Gallon Diesel

Total Diesel Cost

Cost Per Gallon (DGE)

Total CNG Cost

Total Fuel Cost

2012 $3.11 $1,246,545 0 0 $1,246,545

2019 $4.99 $1,151,432 $3.35 $583,560 $1,734,992

2027 $8.58 $403,002 $5.75 $2,247,351 $2,650,354

Total for 15 Years $29, 758,153

CNG Capital CostsYear CNG Bus Cost CNG

PurchasedEng/Tran Rebuild

Total Capital

2013 $472,500 7 0 $3,307,500

2015 $520,931 3 0 $1,562,794

2019 $633,195 4 0 $2,532,781

2023 $769,653 4 $174,836 $3,253,447

2027 $935,518 5 $196,780 $4,874,368

Total for 15 years 65 $1,422,774 $46,089,867

SummaryOptions 15 Year

Fuel CostCapital Cost Additional

Op. Costs

Hybrid Diesel

$31,600,000

$46,400,000

?

CNG Option

1

$29,800,000

$46,089,867

None

CNG Option

2

$25,350,000

$48,089,867

None

www.gocitybus.comwww.facebook.com/gocitybusTwitter: @gocitybus

Internship available!Contact:Martin B. [email protected]