Sei citywire jan_2013
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Transcript of Sei citywire jan_2013
Goals Based Investing Managing Investor Behaviour in times of Market Volatility
January 2013
Agenda
2
• An Introduction to SEI
• Market challenges & goals based investing
• Active Management in times of market volatility
For Professional Client Use Only – Not for Distribution to Retail Clients
SEI corporate profile
3
*As of September 30, 2012. Currency calculated September 30, 2012, with an exchange rate of 1 USD to 0.6188 GBP
Representative clients are selected by SEI to illustrate a sampling of SEI’s client base, but may not necessarily endorse all of the services provided by SEI.
Representative Global Clients*
Manages £120 billion in assets
Administers £156 billion in client
assets
Processes 1.5 million end-investor
accounts as of December 2011
Offices in the United States, Canada,
United Kingdom, Ireland, the
Netherlands, Hong Kong, South Africa,
South Korea and Dubai
SEI is a publicly traded company listed
on NASDAQ with approximately 2,500
employees worldwide
SEI Key Facts*
For Professional Client Use Only – Not for Distribution to Retail Clients
Asset Management
Administration
Value to end client
What do your clients value most?
Expertise or Strength
SEI
Expertise
Asset Allocation
Advice
Your
Expertise
4 For Professional Client Use Only – Not for Distribution to Retail Clients
Valu
e
Volatility: Elevated levels
4 7
18 25 27
101
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1951-1960* 1961-1970 1971-1980 1981-1990 1991-2000 2001-2010
NUMBER OF 3% DAILY S&P 500 MOVES BY DECADE
5 For Professional Client Use Only – Not for Distribution to Retail Clients
*S&P 90 is used as the stock market index before the S&P 500 inception in 1957.
Source: SEI
Returns calculated in USD. Volatility in other markets may vary.
Irrational decisions | Buy high and sell low
Market volatility leads to fear and greed
6
Sources: Morningstar, Inc., MSN Money, Yahoo Finance. Currency converted from USD to GBP on 10/8/2012 at 0.64050 British Pound per 1.00000 USD. Net flows and
total returns as of December of each year.
-4000
-2000
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
(400,000)
(300,000)
(200,000)
(100,000)
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Mu
tual F
un
d N
et
Sale
s i
n £
millio
ns
Total Global Funds ex Money Market Estimated Net Flow
Mutual Fund Sales
(net sales
£ billion)
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
(£45.0) (£258) £148 £160 £232 £263 £506 £383 £293 (£368) £472 £398 (£42.4)
FT
SE
100 L
evel
Mutual Fund Net Sales
FTSE 100 Level
For Professional Client Use Only – Not for Distribution to Retail Clients
Index2.12%
Index
7.84%
Average Investor
-5.73%
Average Investor
1.34%
Average Investor-1.27%
-8%
-4%
0%
4%
8%
Equity Fixed Income Asset Allocation
Re
turn
sIrrational decisions can lead to inferior returns
7 For Professional Client Use Only – Not for Distribution to Retail Clients
Source: Dalbar, March 2012. Time period: one year returns for 2011. Shown in USD. The U.S. equity index is represented by S&P 500 Index, the U.S.
fixed income index by Barclays Aggregate Bond Index. Average U.S. equity investor, average U.S. fixed income investor, and average U.S. Asset
allocation investor results are calculated using data supplied by the Investment Company Institute. Investor returns are represented by the change in
total U.S. mutual fund assets after excluding sales, redemption, and exchanges. This method of calculation captures realised and unrealised capital
gains, dividends, interest, trading costs, sales charges, fees, expenses and any other costs. Total return rate is determined by calculating the investor
return dollars as a percentage of the net of the sales, redemptions and exchanges for each period. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Implementing traditional wealth management
Define and Prioritise
Goals
Establish Risk
Measures
Identify an Investment
Strategy
Major purchase
next year
Education
beginning in four
years
Retirement in
20 years
Blended Risk
Tolerance
Blended
Portfolio
8 For Professional Client Use Only – Not for Distribution to Retail Clients
Implementing goals-based investments | Multiple portfolios
9
For illustrative purposes only. Individual circumstances may vary.
Risk Tolerance assessment takes account of factors such as age, time horizon, and capacity for loss.
Define and Prioritise
Goals
Establish Risk
Measures to Each
Goal
Identify Best Strategy for
Goal & Risk Management
Objective
Major purchase
next year
Education
beginning in four
years
Retirement in
20 years
Preserve
Wealth
Balance Risk
and Growth
Grow
Wealth
Defensive
Portfolio
Moderate
Portfolio
Aggressive
Portfolio
For Professional Client Use Only – Not for Distribution to Retail Clients
Goals-based investing can help prevent rash decisions
Source: 2008 – SEI Wealth Network, “Goals-Based Investing Saves Investors from Rash Decisions”. SEI Wealth Network clients measured by changes in portfolio strategy from the beginning
of September to mid-October 2008. SEI Wealth Network® is an umbrella name for various life and wealth advisory services provided through SEI Investments Management Corp (SIMC).
Survey conducted with US clients only.
Made No
Change
Adopted a Goals-
Based Approach
Significant
Changes to
Allocation
Fully
Liquidated
Portfolio 50%
20%
20%
10%
Goals-Based Approach can save investors from Rash Decisions
Made No
Change
Delayed
Investment
Increased
Lifestyle Pool
75%
5%
20%
The results of this analysis support the assertion that clients using a goals-based investment approach are
less likely to liquidate or make other dramatic changes to their investment strategies during volatile markets.
10 For Professional Client Use Only – Not for Distribution to Retail Clients
• Ranking managers by
their five-year returns
provides little insight into
future performance
• SEI believes that a full
assessment of
qualitative as well as
quantitative factors is
required to identify and
monitor the best
managers
The chart takes the top quartile of UK Large Cap Equities managers based on 2003-2007 performance and tracks their
subsequent quartile rankings over the following 5-year period (2008-2012). It also identifies where the top quartile managers
over the current 5-year period (2008-2012) ranked in the previous 5-year period (2003-2007)
Source: SEI, Morningstar Direct, UK Large Cap Universe
5 Years
2003 - 2007
5 Years
2008 - 2012
5 Years
2008 - 2012
5 Years
2003 - 2007
Based on the Morningstar universe of 1,963 UK Equity Large Cap managers # 11% of top quartile managers from 2003 – 2007 are no longer included within the Morningstar UK Equity Large Cap Category *61% of the top quartile managers from 2008-2012 did not have a full five year track record during the previous period
Top
Quartile Top
Quartile 19%
14%
5%
2%
61%*
30%
25%
16%
18%
11%#
SEI’s Investment Philosophy: Key Tenet
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results
11 For Professional Client Use Only – Not for Distribution to Retail Clients
Experienced Analysis
• 100 experienced professionals
worldwide
• 20+ years assessing investment
firms
• Site visits and conference calls to
evaluate personnel and investment
process
• Assess sustainability of competitive
advantages
Quantitative Analysis
• Focus on risk adjusted returns
• Advanced statistical process control
techniques to identify skill
• Separate quality of decisions from
outcomes
• Use analytical technology to
understand drivers of return
• Risk management
assessment
Qualitative Analysis
• Examine and understand the
investment philosophy
• Analyse the proprietary
investment process
• Review the team’s
background, tenure,
compensation, and other
factors to determine stability
and commitment
Ongoing Monitoring
• Monitor firm and process changes
• Monitor competitive advantages
• Return and risk monitoring
• Regular site visits and manager
calls
• Approved list of backup managers
Entire Universe of
Investment
Products
Investment Process | Manager selection
1,000
Manager
Visits/Contacts
Year
100+
Specialist
Managers
12 For Professional Client Use Only – Not for Distribution to Retail Clients
SEI’s solution:
Goals-Based Portfolios | Meeting a range of investor goals
13
For illustrative purposes only
For Professional Client Use Only – Not for Distribution to Retail Clients
STABILITY FOCUS
SEI’s Stability-Focused Portfolios seek
growth within a risk budgeting framework
to manage the risk of loss
GROWTH FOCUS
SEI’s Growth-Focused Portfolios seek long-
term growth in line with the broad equity and
fixed-income markets.
SE
I R
etu
rn E
xp
ecta
tion
SEI Risk Expectation
Fixed Income
Equity
Absolute Return
Property
Liquidity
SEI Solution: Core Fund
Target allocation weights are set at the discretion of SEI and are subject to change. As at 31 December 2012
*The absolute return asset class aims to exploit active management opportunities that are not always accessible in conventional asset classes such as equity, fixed interest, cash or
property. This could involve, for example, investing in long and short positions, to help generate profits or protect capital in both rising and falling markets.
**SEI does not show individual holdings information for third party funds.
14 For Professional Client Use Only – Not for Distribution to Retail Clients
Important Information This material is not directed to any persons where (by reason of that person's nationality, residence or otherwise) the publication or availability of this material is prohibited. Persons in
respect of whom such prohibitions apply must not rely on this information in any respect whatsoever. Investment in the funds or products that are described herein are available only to
intended recipients and this communication must not be relied upon or acted upon by anyone who is not an intended recipient.
While considerable care has been taken to ensure the information contained within this document is accurate and up-to-date, no warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of
any information and no liability is accepted for any errors or omissions in such information or any action taken on the basis of this information.
SEI Investments (Europe) Limited acts as distributor of collective investment schemes which are authorised in Ireland pursuant to the UCITS regulations and which are collectively
referred to as the “SEI Funds” in these materials. These umbrella funds are incorporated in Ireland as limited liability investment companies and are managed by SEI Investments Global,
Limited, an affiliate of the distributor. SEI Investments (Europe) Limited utilises the SEI Funds in its asset management programme to create asset allocation strategies for its clients. Any
reference in this document to any SEI Funds should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell these securities or to engage in any related investment management services.
Recipients of this information who intend to apply for shares in any SEI Fund are reminded that any such application must be made solely on the basis of the information contained in the
Prospectus (which includes a schedule of fees and charges and maximum commission available). Commissions and incentives may be paid and if so, would be included in the overall
costs. A copy of the Prospectus can be obtained by contacting your Financial Advisor, SEI Relationship Manager or by using the contact details shown below.
Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Investments in SEI Funds are generally medium to long term investments. The value of an investment and any
income from it can go down as well as up. Fluctuations or movements in exchange rates may cause the value of underlying international investments to go up or down.
Investors may not get back the original amount invested. SEI Funds may use derivative instruments which may be used for hedging purposes and/or investment purposes. This material
represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events.
SEI’s goals based strategies are available in both the SEI Strategic Portfolio Fund range and the SEI Goals Based Model range. The SEI Strategic Portfolio Funds may invest in a
combination of other SEI and Third-Party Funds as well as in additional manager pools based on asset classes. These manager pools are pools of assets from the respective Strategic
Portfolio separately managed by Portfolio Managers which are monitored by SEI. One cannot directly invest in these manager pools. The SEI Goals Based Models may invest in a
combination of SEI and Third-Party Funds but do not invest in additional manager pools.
The risk described below may apply to the underlying assets of the products into which SEI’s Strategic Portfolios and Goals Based Models invest:
• Investment in equity securities in general are subject to market risks that may cause their prices to fluctuate over time.
• Fixed income securities are subject to credit risk and may also be subject to price volatility and may be sensitive to interest rate fluctuations.
• Bond or money market instruments are sensitive to inflation rate trends.
• Property assets may be difficult to buy or sell and the impact may be that the cash remains un-invested or property is disposed at an unfavourable price.
• Absolute return investments utilise aggressive investment techniques which may increase the volatility of returns. If the correlation between absolute return investments and
other asset classes within the fund increases, absolute return investments’ expected diversification benefits may be decreased.
• International investments may involve risk of capital loss from unfavourable fluctuation in currency values, from differences in generally accepted accounting principles or from
economic or political instability in other nations.
The SEI Strategic Portfolios and Goals Based Models are denominated in one currency but may hold assets priced in other currencies. The performance of the Funds and Models may
therefore rise and fall as a result of exchange rate fluctuations.
This information is issued by SEI Investments (Europe) Limited (“SIEL”) Time & Life Building, 1 Bruton Street, 4th Floor, London W1J 6TL United Kingdom +44 (0)20 7518 8950. This
document and its contents are directed only at persons who have been categorised by SIEL as a Professional Client, or an Eligible Counterparty, for the purposes of the FSA New
Conduct of Business Sourcebook. SIEL is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.
15