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Securing Access to Critical Raw Materials
What Role for the WTO in Tackling Export Barriers to Trade?
Transatlantic Academy/German Marshall FundWashington D.C.
08. December 2011
Dr. Stormy-Annika Mildner (M.Sc.)
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
Context
“We have spent six decades creating an open trading order by pushing down import duties for goods – only to have export restrictions putting those gains into reverse.”
Former EU Trade Commissioner Peter Mandelson „The Challenge of Raw Materials”, speech before the EU Parliament on September 29, 2008.
“In the WTO the EU will continue to insist on the establishment of a minimum of disciplines on the use of export taxes.”
David O`Sullivan, Director General, EU DG Trade, speech before the Conference on Raw Materials, Brussels, September 29, 2008.
“I believe not only that there is room for mutually beneficial negotiating trade-offs that encompass natural resources trade, but also that a failure to address these issues could be a recipe for growing tension in international trade relations”.
WTO Director-General Pascal Lamy, 2010http://www.wto.org/english/news_e/pres10_e/pr611_e.htm
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 2
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
Context: Why is the Issue Important for the U.S. and the EU
Recent Trends: Turbulences in Primary Commodity Markets
• High growth rates of GDP, especially in emerging countries
• High demand for many metals and minerals which are indispensible in the production
of IT, green tech, medical and laser products
→ increasing competition
→ Increasing prices
• Interventionist trade policies in resource-rich countries have increased
• Number of export tariffs and export quotas grows
The U.S. and the EU are highly vulnerable to price fluctuations and
interruptions of supply of raw materials
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 3
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
Context: Why is the Issue Important for the U.S. and the EU
High Import Dependence: Germany
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 4
• Well endowed with
construction materials like
sand.
• BUT: Highly-dependent on
imported metals and
minerals, many of these are
strongly concentrated with
regard to their origin
• Imports 2009: 54.8% of rare
earths from China, 82.5% of
lithium-carbonate from Chile,
75.3% of chrome from South
Africa, 73.3.% of bauxite
from Guinea
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
Context: Why is the Issue Important for the U.S. and the EU
High Import Dependence: The United States
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 5
• Well-endowed with
metals and minerals
naturally: 10% of global
gold, 11% of global
lead, 14% of global
rhenium production in
the US
• But it is still highly
import-dependent for
many metals, e.g.
indium, gallium,
germanium, lithium
(100%; 99%; 90%, over
50%)
• High concentration or
import sources
U.S. Department of Energy - Critical Materials Strategy
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
Context: Why is the Issue Important for the U.S. and the EU
High Concentration of many critical materials
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 6
U.S. Department of Energy - Critical Materials Strategy
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
Question1. How well is the WTO equipped to tackle export barriers to trade?
2. What can the transatlantic partners do to sufficiently deal with this issue?
Result and Recommendation
WTO rules on export restrictions are relatively weak.
We therefore recommend a four track approach of:
1. Join forces in lobbying for a revision of WTO rules on export restriction;
2. Push for rules on export restriction within their current negotiations of free trade agreements
(FTAs), while agreeing on a common legal language for these rules;
3. Address the root of the problem, assisting poorer countries in their efforts to reform their
taxation systems and design sustainable mineral policies; and
4. Join efforts in designing comprehensive resource strategies in which trade policy is one of
many instruments to secure supply with critical materials.
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 7
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
Roadmap:
1.Introduction:
• What are Export Barriers in International Trade
• Motivations for Export Barriers to Trade
2.WTO Rules on Export Restrictions
3.Dispute Settlement in the WTO – the China case
4.Recommendations for the transatlantic partnership
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 8
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
1. Introduction: What are Export Barriers in International Trade
According to the WTO, export restraints are „a border measure that takes the form of a government law or regulation which expressly limits the quantity of exports or places explicit conditions on the circumstances under which exports are permitted, or that takes the form of a government-imposed fee or tax on exports of the products calculated to limit the quantity of exports”.
They can take many different forms: Taxes, duties and charges, quotas and export bans,
mandatory minimum export prices, reductions of value added tax (VAT) rebates on exports, and stringent export licensing requirements.
Economic Objectives
• increasing government revenues• promoting downstream or infant
industries•Improving of terms of trade
• diversifying exports • controlling price fluctuations
Preferable measure: export tariffs
Non-economic objectives
• national security• protection of the environment and human, plant, and animal welfare
•Conservation of • conservation of exhaustible natural
resources
Preferable measure: export quotas
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 9
1. Introduction: What are Export Barriers in International Trade
• The most frequent users of export restrictions are developing countries.
• Items most subjected to export duties were agricultural products (36 of 65 members), mineral and metal products (28 of 65 members), products made from leather, hide and skin (17 of 65 members), forestry (15 of 65 members), and fishery (13 of 65).
Number of countries applying export duties, by regions and other groupings (2003-2009)
Number of WTO Members
reviewed by TPRB
WTO Members imposing
export duties
Europe/Middle East 39 4
America 31 18
Asia/Pacific 23 13
Africa 35 30
Total 128 65
LDCs 25 21
OECD 31 4
Others 72 40
Source: Jeonghoi Kim, Recent Trends in Export Restrictions, OECD Trade Policy Working Paper No. 101.
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 10
Many small developing
countries use export
taxes to raise
government revenue
1. Introduction: What are Export Barriers in International Trade
• The WTO also found an increase of barriers within its Report on G20 Trade and Investment Measures
Type of measure
First Report
(Apr - Aug 09)
Second Report
(Sep 09 - Feb 10)
Third Report
(Mar - mid-May10)
Fourth Report
(mid-May - mid-Oct
10)
Fifth Report
(mid-Oct - Apr 11)
Sixth Report (May -
mid-Oct 11)
Export 9 7 5 4 11 19
WTO, OECD, UNCTAD (2011), Report on G20 Trade and Investment Measures, May to Mid-October 2011, October 2011, http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/24/31/48941943.pdf, p. 8.
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 11
2. WTO Rules on Export Restrictions
Export Tariffs – most relevant rules
• Export taxes are not prohibited by the WTO, though such taxes must be non-discriminatory and
transparent under Articles I and X of the 1994 GATT.
• While they are to be applied undiscriminatorily, export tariffs are not bound.
• WTO members can agree to legally binding commitments through accession agreements (an
example is China's accession agreements (Part I (11.3) and Annex 6 of Accession Protocol).
Quantitative Export Restrictions – much stricter rules
• Article XI:1 GATT Measures which might restrict the quantity of exports of a product are
prohibited.
• Article 12 in the WTO Agreement on Agriculture: “any new export prohibition or restriction on
foodstuff shall (a) “give due consideration to the effects of such prohibition or restriction on
importing Members’ food security”; (b) “give notice in writing”, and “consult, upon request, with
any other Member having a substantial interest as an importer with respect to any matter
related to the measure in question.”
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 11
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
2. WTO Rules on Export Restrictions
• Exceptions:
• XI:2 permits the temporary imposition of barriers in cases of critical shortage of foodstuffs
or other products essential to the exporting contracting party,
• Article XX:
• (XX(b)) export restrictions are permitted when necessary to protect human, animal, or
plant life and health
• or to conserve exhaustible natural resources (XX(g))
• Article XXI: export restrictions are permitted when necessary to protect national security.
• Article IX(3) of the Marrakesh Agreement Establishing the World Trade Organization:
if three-fourths of WTO members agree, the General Council can, in exceptional
circumstances, decide to waive an obligation imposed on a Member by any of the WTO’s
agreements.
Open for interpretation: “essential to the exporting”, “national security”, “critical Shortages”,
So far very few dispute cases on export restrictions
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 12
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
3. The United States and the EU against China: Export Restrictions on Metals
• 3 June 2009 the U.S. and EU filed a formal complaint with the WTO.
• 5 July 2011, the panel provided a report to its members.
• A report by the Appellate Body is expected in December 2011
The materials in question include: various forms of bauxite, coke, fluorspar, magnesium,
manganese, silicon carbide, silicon metal, yellow phosphorus, and zinc.
China is an important producer of each of these materials, which are used in many
technology products.
Four types of restraints were identified: export duties, export quotas, export licensing, and
minimum export price requirements.
China’s percentage of global production
Bauxite Fluorspar
Manganese Magnesium Silicon carbide
Silicon metal
Zinc
Global Production (in%)
19.0% 55.6% 21.5% 57.3% 45.0% 66.7% 29.2%
Global Rank 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 14
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
3. The United States and the EU against China: Export Restrictions on Metals
The complainants’ position
• Chinas export duties are inconsistent with its commitment in paragraph 11.3 of the WTO
accession protocol
• Quantitative restrictions infringe Article XI:1 of the GATT
• China can justify its export restrictions neither with Article XI:2(a) nor Article XX(b) and
(g).
• Article XI:2(a) is not applicable as the products were neither in “critical shortage” nor
“essential products” to China
The defendant’s position
• The language of its accession protocol did not impede the usage of Article XI:2(a) and
Article XX(b) and (g).
• Export restrictions were indeed necessary to protect the environment, human welfare
and conserve natural resources.
• China did face a shortage of critical raw materials.
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 15
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
3. The United States and the EU against China: Export Restrictions on Metals
The WTO panel finding
• Chinas export duties are indeed inconsistent with its commitment in paragraph 11.3 of
the WTO accession protocol
• Quantitative restrictions infringed Article XI:1 of the GATT;
• With regard to XI:1: a critical shortage of the materials in question could not be found
• China did not meet the criteria of Article XX(b) and (g). China could not demonstrate
that it imposed restrictions on domestic production or consumption to conserve the raw
materials in question.
The panel warned
“export restriction on an exhaustible natural resource, by reducing the domestic price of
the materials, works in effect as a subsidy to the downstream sector, with the likely
result that the downstream sector will demand over time more of these resources than it
would have absent the export restriction.”
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 16
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
Preliminary Results:
The EU and the US hope that the recent panel ruling will serve as precedent for following cases
But:
• China is somewhat a special case, most other countries face less stringent rules
• In general, export restrictions are an underregulated area in WTO law;
• Dispute settlement within the WTO does not provide a remedy: Rules and grey
zones convey legal insecurities;
• Not all export restrictions aim at increasing the competitiveness of domestic
exporters
• In some cases, the WTO is not the right institution to successfully tackle the
problem of export restrictions
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 17
4. Options for the European Union and the United States
1. Join forces in lobbying for a revision of WTO rules on export restriction
• Export restrictions should fall under the same rules as import restrictions, and rules
should feature the same exceptions.
• As long as the rules cannot be changed, the U.S. and EU could lobby for a
plurilateral agreement under the framework of the WTO
→ Problem: Fierce opposition by producer countries
1. Use FTAs to push for stricter rules
• Push for rules on export restriction within their current negotiations of free trade
agreements (FTAs)
• Agree on a common legal language for these rules;
→ Problem: No FTA negotiations with large producer countries
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 18
4. Options for the European Union and the United States
1. Address the root of the problem, taking into account different motivations for
export restrictions
• assist poorer countries in their efforts to reform their taxation systems and design
sustainable mineral policies;
2. Join efforts in designing comprehensive resource strategies in which trade
policy is one of many instruments to secure supply with critical materials.
• diversifying the global supply chains by securing access to resources abroad and
facilitating extraction, processing, and manufacturing at home;
• developing material and technology substitutes, enhancing recycling, and a more
efficient use of resources;
• increasing transparency on resource availability and demand, and publishing
regular reports on critical materials.
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 19
Thank you for your attention!
Settling Disputes in Natural Resource Trade SWP
Introduction WTO Rules The China Case Recommendations 20