Sea ice modelling, forecasting, and validation activities at
description
Transcript of Sea ice modelling, forecasting, and validation activities at
Sea ice modelling, forecasting, and validation activities at
Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI), Bremerhaven, Germany
Christian Haas
• Modelling• Thickness profiling• SAR remote sensing
• Operating stand-alone & coupled ice-
ocean dynamic/thermodynamic models
after Hibler & Lemke, Semtner• Viscous-plastic & elastic viscous plastic
rheologies• Arctic and Antarctic• Modified and improved by Fischer,
Harder, Kreyscher, Hillmer, Lieser• Focus on climate system studies• New: Finite element (FE) modelling
[1/km][1/km]
Ridge frequency
Variability of Arctic sea-ice volume
1951-1999
Spatial thickness and drift trends
1951-19991951-1999
Temperature anomalies in the Arctic Ocean
AWI-NAOSIM
Temperature flux through Fram Strait
1997 Temperature
Anomaly(450 m depth)
FE ModelMotivationMotivation• Accurate Mesh Refinement and Adaptive
Meshes• Variational Formulation for Complex Rheologies
SSM/I observations Sea ice model data 8.3.98 8.3.98
Assimilation (OI)
Model run (7 days)
SSM/I observations Sea ice model data15.3.98 15.3.98
Assimilation (OI)
Model run (5 days)
SSM/I observations Sea ice model data20.3.98 20.3.98
Comparison
Assimilation Scheme
SSM/I (observed) Model (stand-alone) Model (assimilation)
Result of Assimilation
EM thickness profiles
SIMS:Sea Ice Monitoring System
Helicopter-borne EM profiling
EM Bird
Typical EM bird thickness profile and distribution
Ice thickness variability in the Transpolar Drift:1991, 1996, 1998 & 2001
Ice Ridging Information for Decision Making in Shipping
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Num
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easu
rem
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86420
Ice thickness, m
030315Mode = 1.3 mMean = 1.55 +- 1.12 m
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Num
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of m
easu
rem
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86420
Ice thickness, m
030316Mode = 0.2 mMean = 0.32 +- 0.38 m
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Num
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of m
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86420
Ice thickness, m
030312Mode = 1.9 mMean = 2.49 +- 1.49 m
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4442403836x10
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Num
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of m
easu
rem
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86420
Ice thickness, m
030315_3Modes = 0.2 m, 0.8 m, 1.9 mMean = 1.42 +- 1.03 m
Sea Ice Thickness Observation System
Polarstern
Integration of SAR imagery for algorithm development and extrapolation to larger ice
regimes
Sea Ice Thickness Observation System