Sea ice modelling, forecasting, and validation activities at

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Sea ice modelling, forecasting, and validation activities at Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI), Bremerhaven, Germany Christian Haas Modelling Thickness profiling SAR remote sensing

description

Sea ice modelling, forecasting, and validation activities at Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI), Bremerhaven, Germany. Christian Haas. Modelling Thickness profiling SAR remote sensing. Operating stand-alone & coupled ice-ocean dynamic/thermodynamic models after Hibler & Lemke, Semtner - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Sea ice modelling, forecasting, and validation activities at

Page 1: Sea ice modelling, forecasting, and validation activities at

Sea ice modelling, forecasting, and validation activities at

Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI), Bremerhaven, Germany

Christian Haas

• Modelling• Thickness profiling• SAR remote sensing

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• Operating stand-alone & coupled ice-

ocean dynamic/thermodynamic models

after Hibler & Lemke, Semtner• Viscous-plastic & elastic viscous plastic

rheologies• Arctic and Antarctic• Modified and improved by Fischer,

Harder, Kreyscher, Hillmer, Lieser• Focus on climate system studies• New: Finite element (FE) modelling

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[1/km][1/km]

Ridge frequency

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Variability of Arctic sea-ice volume

1951-1999

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Spatial thickness and drift trends

1951-19991951-1999

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Temperature anomalies in the Arctic Ocean

AWI-NAOSIM

Temperature flux through Fram Strait

1997 Temperature

Anomaly(450 m depth)

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FE ModelMotivationMotivation• Accurate Mesh Refinement and Adaptive

Meshes• Variational Formulation for Complex Rheologies

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SSM/I observations Sea ice model data 8.3.98 8.3.98

Assimilation (OI)

Model run (7 days)

SSM/I observations Sea ice model data15.3.98 15.3.98

Assimilation (OI)

Model run (5 days)

SSM/I observations Sea ice model data20.3.98 20.3.98

Comparison

Assimilation Scheme

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SSM/I (observed) Model (stand-alone) Model (assimilation)

Result of Assimilation

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EM thickness profiles

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SIMS:Sea Ice Monitoring System

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Helicopter-borne EM profiling

EM Bird

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Typical EM bird thickness profile and distribution

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Ice thickness variability in the Transpolar Drift:1991, 1996, 1998 & 2001

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Ice Ridging Information for Decision Making in Shipping

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Ice thickness, m

030315Mode = 1.3 mMean = 1.55 +- 1.12 m

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Ice thickness, m

030316Mode = 0.2 mMean = 0.32 +- 0.38 m

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Ice thickness, m

030312Mode = 1.9 mMean = 2.49 +- 1.49 m

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Ice thickness, m

030315_3Modes = 0.2 m, 0.8 m, 1.9 mMean = 1.42 +- 1.03 m

Sea Ice Thickness Observation System

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Polarstern

Integration of SAR imagery for algorithm development and extrapolation to larger ice

regimes

Sea Ice Thickness Observation System

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