Scott Keeter Pew Research Center Brookings West / UNLV October 8, 2010
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Scott Keeter Pew Research Center Brookings West / UNLV October 8, 2010 Attitudes of the Millennial Generation in the Intermountain West
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Political Attitudes of the Millennial Generation in the Intermountain West. Scott Keeter Pew Research Center Brookings West / UNLV October 8, 2010. Topics for Exploration. Partisan and ideological tilt of Millennials Fundamental social and religious values Attitudes about political issues - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Scott Keeter Pew Research Center Brookings West / UNLV October 8, 2010
Scott KeeterPew Research CenterBrookings West / UNLVOctober 8, 2010
Political Attitudes of the Millennial Generation in the Intermountain West
Topics for Exploration
• Partisan and ideological tilt of Millennials• Fundamental social and religious values• Attitudes about political issues• Political engagement• Values and opinions on current issues
Evidence from Many Sources
• Pew Research Center surveys since 2000• Pew Forum’s Religious Landscape Survey 2007• US Census surveys on voter turnout• National Election Pool exit polls• Brookings / UNLV 2010 survey
Party Affiliation and Leaning for Ages 18-29 in the Intermountain West
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%
20%
40%
60%51%
41%
30%
45%
Republican/lean Democrat/leanPew Research Center surveys
Party Affiliation and Leaning for Ages 18-29 in the Intermountain West
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%51%
41%
30%
45%
Republican/lean Democrat/leanPew Research Center surveys
Republican Party Affiliation and Leaning for Ages 18-29
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%
20%
40%
60%51%
41%
38%
33%
Intermountain West ElsewherePew Research Center surveys
Republican Party Affiliation and Leaning for Ages 18-29
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%
20%
40%
60%51%
41%
38%
33%
Intermountain West Elsewhere
Ages 30+
Pew Research Center surveys
Democratic Party Affiliation and Leaning for Ages 18-29
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%
20%
40%
60%
30%
45%
44%
54%
Intermountain West ElsewherePew Research Center surveys
Democratic Party Affiliation and Leaning for Ages 18-29
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%
20%
40%
60%
30%
45%
44%
54%
Intermountain West Elsewhere
Ages 30+
Pew Research Center surveys
Self-Identified Ideology:Conservative
18-29 30+ Total
27
45 4128
41 38
Intermountain West Elsewhere
2009-2010 surveys by Pew Research Center
Self-Identified Ideology:Liberal
18-29 30+ Total
2617 19
2818 20
Intermountain West Elsewhere
2009-2010 surveys by Pew Research Center
Obama Vote
18-29 30+ Total
51 47 50
67
50 54
Intermountain West Elsewhere
2008 NEP exit poll
2010 Obama Approval
18-29 30+ Total
42 37 38
5746 48
Intermountain West Elsewhere
2010 Pew Research Center surveys
RELIGIOUS AFFILIATION, COMMITMENT AND MORAL VALUES
Pew Research Center surveys
Religious Affiliation: Atheist, Agnostic, Nothing in Particular
18-29 30+ Total
32
18 2126
14 16
Intermountain West Elsewhere
2009-2010 surveys by Pew Research Center
Religious Affiliation: White Evangelical Protestant
18-29 30+ Total
815 1414
23 21
Intermountain West Elsewhere
2009-2010 surveys by Pew Research Center
Attendance at Religious Services: Weekly or More Often
18-29 30+ Total
2838 36
3040 38
Intermountain West Elsewhere
2009-2010 surveys by Pew Research Center
Government Should Do More to Protect Morality in Society
18-29 30+ Total
4537 38
4539 40
Intermountain West Elsewhere
2007 Pew Forum Religious Landscape Survey
Homosexuality Should Be Accepted by Society
18-29 30+ Total
62
49 5263
47 50
Intermountain West Elsewhere
2007 Pew Forum Religious Landscape Survey
Abortion Should Be Legal in All or Most Cases
18-29 30+ Total
47 50 4949 52 51
Intermountain West Elsewhere
2007 Pew Forum Religious Landscape Survey
OTHER ISSUES AND VALUESPew Research Center surveys
Government Should Do More to Help Needy Americans
18-29 30+ Total
6856 58
6861 62
Intermountain West Elsewhere
2007 Pew Forum Religious Landscape Survey
Stricter Environmental Laws and Regulations are Worth the Cost
18-29 30+ Total
6558 5963 60 61
Intermountain West Elsewhere
2007 Pew Forum Religious Landscape Survey
The Best Way to Ensure Peace is Through Military Strength
18-29 30+ Total
2433 31
24 29 28
Intermountain West Elsewhere
2007 Pew Forum Religious Landscape Survey
Rather Have a Smaller Government Providing Fewer Services
18-29 30+ Total
29
5347
26
46 42
Intermountain West Elsewhere
2007 Pew Forum Religious Landscape Survey
POLITICAL ENGAGEMENTPew Research Center & US Census surveys
Follow What’s Going on in Government and Public Affairs Most of the Time
18-29 30+ Total
31
5751
33
56 52
Intermountain West Elsewhere
2007 Pew Forum Religious Landscape Survey
2008 Voter Turnout by State
National Arizona Colorado New Mexico
Nevada Utah
51 4752
47 49
37
67 6473
67 63 60
Ages 18-29 Ages 30+
US Census surveys compiled by CIRCLE
Registered to Vote
18-29 30+ Total
51
7872
59
81 76
Intermountain West Elsewhere
2009-2010 surveys by Pew Research Center
CURRENT ISSUES AND VALUESResults from the August 2010 UNLV/Brookings West Survey
Things in the Country are Going in the Right Direction
Series1
2432
21 22 23 21
Total 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+
Aug. 2010 survey by Gerstein Agne
Arizona’s Immigration Law “Goes Too Far”
Series1
3649
3729
36
25
Total 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+
Aug. 2010 survey by Gerstein Agne
Same-Sex Marriage Should be Recognized by the Law as Valid
Series1
43
5748
40 41
25
Total 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+
Aug. 2010 survey by Gerstein Agne
Political Values on Which Millennials Are Similar to Others
Total Ages 18-29
2nd Amendments rights are threatened 64 65Government programs for the poor undermine individual responsibility
60 62
Gone too far mixing religion & politics 58 59
Aug. 2010 survey by Gerstein Agne
Political Values on Which Millennials Are Slightly More Liberal
Total Ages 18-29
We must do whatever is necessary to protect against terrorism, even if it means restricting civil liberties
50 45
Minorities still lack the same opportunities as whites
47 52
If financially able, women should stay home and take care of household
44 38
Aug. 2010 survey by Gerstein Agne
Political Values on Which Millennials Are Significantly More Liberal
Total Ages 18-29
Cultural institutions should receive government support
61 74
Reduce gap between rich and poor even with higher taxes for wealthy
51 62
Labor unions play a positive role in our economy
50 64
Aug. 2010 survey by Gerstein Agne
Millennials Favor More Federal Government Involvement
Total Ages 18-29
Environmental protection and cleanup 55 64Guaranteeing quality public education 58 70Promoting renewable energy 59 67Making affordable health care available to everyone
49 65
Creating jobs and economic growth 66 74Promoting the role of faith in public life
22 29
Aug. 2010 survey by Gerstein Agne
…But Not on Every Issue
Total Ages 18-29
Cracking down on crime and drugs 59 62Stopping the flow of illegal immigrants 74 64Dealing with millions of illegal immigrants already here
70 60
Aug. 2010 survey by Gerstein Agne
Vote for House of Representatives
4437
524647
5442
48
Republican Democrat
Intermountain West
All adults 18-29 All adults 18-29
Sept. 2010 survey by Pew Research Center & Aug. 2010 survey by Gerstein Agne
Total for US
Conclusions
• Millennial voters in the intermountain west remain more Republican than their counterparts elsewhere
• But they are significantly more liberal than older generations in the region
• Their political attitudes and values are not different from their counterparts elsewhere
• They appear to be slightly less politically engaged than Millennials elsewhere
Scott KeeterPew Research CenterBrookings West / UNLVOctober 8, 2010
Political Attitudes of the Millennial Generation in the Intermountain West
