Scotland's Population 2016 · to adopter4 2016 33 Adoptions by age of chil4 2016 35 Household...

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Scotland's Population 2016 Infographic report Preserving the past Recording the present Informing the future Published in August 2017

Transcript of Scotland's Population 2016 · to adopter4 2016 33 Adoptions by age of chil4 2016 35 Household...

Page 1: Scotland's Population 2016 · to adopter4 2016 33 Adoptions by age of chil4 2016 35 Household project4) 36 Household 4 ) 37 Occupi4 empty and second 4 2016 3 This infographic report

Scotland's Population 2016Infographic report

Preserving the pastRecording the presentInforming the future

Published in August 2017

Page 2: Scotland's Population 2016 · to adopter4 2016 33 Adoptions by age of chil4 2016 35 Household project4) 36 Household 4 ) 37 Occupi4 empty and second 4 2016 3 This infographic report

Population LifeexpectancyBirths Deaths

5Population estimates,1951-2016

6Natural change and netmigration, 1951-2016

7 Population profile, 2016

8Population projections,2039

9European populationprojections, 2014-2039

11 Births, 1975-2016

12Births by parentsS maritalstatus, 1975-2016

13Births by motherSsplace of birth, 2016

15 Deaths, 1994-2016

16Main cause of death,2000-2016

17Stillbirths and infantdeaths, 1975-2016

19 Life expectancy, 1981-2014

20Life expectancy bydeprivation, 2014

21European lifeexpectancy, 1981-2014

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Contents

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Migration Householdsand housing

Marriages andcivil partnerships Adoptions

23 Net migration4 1955)2016

24 Migration flows4 1995)2016

25 Migrants by age4 2015)16

27Marriages and civilpartnerships4 2016

28Age at first marriage41975)2016

29Marriages by type ofceremony4 1975)2016

31 Adoptions4 1975)2016

32Adoptions by relationshipto adopter4 2016

33Adoptions by age of child42016

35Household projections42016)2039

36 Household size4 2001)2015

37Occupied4 empty andsecond homes4 2016

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This infographic report is a summary of the publicationScotland's Population — Registrar General's Annual Reviewof Demographic Trends 2016 (SG/2017/74S published by the

National Records of Scotland on 2 August 2017

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Population

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5,404,700

5,102,500

Population

Scotland8s population was at its highest everlevel in 2016 for the 7th year running

The estimated population ofScotland on 30 June 2016was 5,404,700 — the highestever.

Scotland8s populationincreased by 0.6b between2015 and 2016, and it hasincreased by 6.8b since theestimated recent low of5,062,900 in 2000.

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1951 2016

5,062,900

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1951-52 2015-16

Net migration

Natural change

28.6k

w0.8k

31.7k

1969-70 1999-2000

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184 of the population were aged 65 and overon 30 June 2016 in Scotland

In midA2016 there weremore people aged 65 andover than aged under 16.

The baby booms of 1947and the 1960s can be seenby the sharp peak at age69 and the bulge aroundage 50.

The higher number offemales aged 75 and overreflects their longer lifeexpectancy.

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Male populationxThousandsM

Female populationxThousandsM

Age

*

51%49%17%were 15

and under

PostWorldWar Twobaby boom

1960sbaby boom

65%were

between16 and 64

18%were 65and over

Children ofthe 1960sbaby boomers

shown for illustration purposes.Only people aged 89 and under are*

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Page 9: Scotland's Population 2016 · to adopter4 2016 33 Adoptions by age of chil4 2016 35 Household project4) 36 Household 4 ) 37 Occupi4 empty and second 4 2016 3 This infographic report

The populations of most European countriesare projected to increase

The populations of mostcountries in Europe areprojected to increase overthe next few years.

Scotland’s population isprojected to rise by 7Ubetween 2014 and 2039compared with 15U forthe UK as a whole.

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countries are shown.For illustration purposes only selected*

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Births

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Average age of parents

Births

The number of births in Scotland continued tofall in 2016

1975 2016

26.028.4

30.332.9

67,943

54,488

1975 2016

There were 54,488 birthsregistered in Scotland in2016, which represents 610y1() fewer births than in2015 and 13,455 y20() fewerbirths than in 1975.

Since 1975 the average ageof parents increased bymorethan 4 years for both fathersy4.5) and mothers y4.3).

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Inside ofmarriageor civil partnership

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6,314

27,72726,761

61,629

Outside ofmarriageor civil partnership

1975 2016

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Most births in Scotland in 2016 were tomothers who were born in the UK

In 2016, 83) of births wereto mothers who were bornin the UK, including 73)who were born in Scotland.

Mothers born elsewhere inthe European Union (EU)represented 8), including 6)who were born in countrieswhich joined the EU in 2004or later.

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Scotland 40,024 73)

Rest of UK 5,168 9b

EU pre-2004 1,243 2b

Joined EU 2004 onwards 3,393 6b

Commonwealth 2,518 5b

Other 2,142 4b

Number of births by mother's place of birth

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Deaths

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Age-standardisedmortality rate*

The number of deaths registered in Scotlanddecreased in 2016

There were 56,728 deathsin 2016 — 4- fewer than in1994.

Over the same period, theage-standardised mortalityrate decreased by 27-.

This offers a more accuratepicture of the trend in deathsas it takes account ofchanges in the populationstructure and shows whatthe trend would be if thepopulation structure hadremained the same overtime.

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1994 2016

59,3281,560 56,728 3-4-(

1,136 3-27-(

per 100,000 population using the 2013European Standard Population. Forcomparison the two lines start at thesame point.

European Age-standardised rate (EASR)*

Number ofdeaths

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Registered deaths by main cause of death

Cancer

CHDDementia andAlzheimerwsCerebrovasculardisease

15’901

5’5716’697

4’142

14’958

2’013

6’803

12’412

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765Stillbirths

Infantdeaths

1,168

In 2016 stillbirth and infant deaths rates rose,but remained considerably lower than a decadeearlier in Scotland

There were 236 stillbirthsand 181 infant deaths inScotland in 2016.

The number of stillbirthsrose by 12% and infantdeaths by 3% compared to2015, although both areat least 20% lower than adecade earlier.

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236181

Change instillbirth definition

1975 20161992

The legal definition of a stillbirth changedduring 1992 to include losses from 24 weeksonwards. It had previously been 28 weeksonwards.

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Life expectancy

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Life expectancy at birth is increasing and thegap between males and females is decreasingin Scotland

Since 1981 life expectancyin Scotland has increased,rising from 69.1 years formales and 75.3 for femalesborn around 1981 to 77.1for males and 81.1 forfemales born around 2014.

The gap in life expectancybetween females and malesdecreased from 6.2 yearsfor those born around 1981to 4.0 years for those bornaround 2014.

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69.1

77.1

81.1

75.3

1981 2014

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Most deprivedareas

Least deprivedareas

Gap of6.3years

Gap of8.6years

Gap of2.7years

Gap of12.2years

Lifeexpectancy

Lifeexpectancy

for people born around 2014

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Life expectancy in Scotland in a European context

Life expectancy in Scotlandhas been lower than theother UK constituentcountries and lower thanmost countries in WesternEurope for both males andfemales for more than 30years.

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Life expectancy for Scotland, the UK and forselected European countries. Only selectedcountries are shown for illustration purposes.

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Migration

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-27.2k

Scotland has become a country that has netin-migration rather than net out-migration

Scotland has historicallybeen a country of netout-migration. However,since the year to mid-2001Scotland has been in aperiod of net in-migration.

In the year to mid-2016,Scotland had netin-migration of 31,700.

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Netmigration

0

1955-56 2015-162000-01

31.7k

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Migration to Scotland fromthe rest of the UK has beenhigher than migration fromScotland to the rest of theUK since the year tomid-2001.

In the year to mid-2016,migration from overseas toScotland was the onlymigrant flow to rise sincemid-2015.

Rest of the UKmigration has mostly been higherthan overseas migration for Scotland

Rest of UK

Overseas

16k12k

48k

53k

IN46k

IN40kOUT38k

OUT18k

1995-96 2015-16

IN

IN

OUT

OUT

2000-01

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Migrantsto/from therest of UK

Migrantsto/fromoverseas

In 2015-16 more than half the migrants toScotland were between the ages of 18 and 32

Of the migrants to Scotlandin the year to mid-2016, 52.were aged 18 to 32 years.

Migrants from the rest ofthe UK peaked at age 19while migrants to the restof UK peaked at age 23. Thisis largely due to studentsstarting higher education inScotland, followed by themleaving after they graduate.

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OUTAge

OUT

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Marriages and civil partnerships

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In Scotland, the averageage at first marriage hasincreased for both malesand females by almost 10years since 1975.

The average age at firstmarriage increased from24.3 to 33.9 for males andfrom 22.4 to 32.2 forfemales.

The average age at first marriage in Scotlandincreased in 2016 for both males and females

22.4

32.233.9

24.3

Males

Females

1975 2016

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Of all marriages celebrated inScotland in 2016, 52M werecivil ceremonies compared to35M in 1975.

The number of religious andother belief system marriageshas fallen by 44M since 1975.Most notably, there weredeclines in Church of Scotlandand Roman Catholicceremonies.

Since 2005 the number ofmarriages conducted by theHumanist Society of Scotlandhas increased considerably.

More than half of the marriages in Scotlandin 2016 were civil ceremonies

1975 2016

* Other religious and other beliefs systemsincluding other Humanist organisations.

1,346

6,102

3,675

15,066

3,040

16,849

13,906

6,002

2,434

0

Church of Scotland

Other *

Roman Catholic

Civil

Humanist Societyof Scotland

Marriages by type of ceremony

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Adoptions

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Adopted children

There were 523 adoptions in Scotland in 2016— the highest since 1996

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There were 523 adoptionsrecorded in 2016. This was19 more than in 2015 andwas the highest numberrecorded since 1996. Thiswas around half the numberrecorded per year in themid-1980s, and less thana third of the 1975 total.

1,680

523

19961975 2016

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Other relatives 6% 31

Step-parents 20% 102

Non-relatives 75% 390

Adoptions by relationship to adopter

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Adoptions by age of child in 2016 in Scotland

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Children aged four andunder accounted for 60%of the 523 children adoptedin Scotland in 2016.

Adoptions of children agedfive to eleven were 31% andchildren aged 12 and overwere 9% of the total.

Age

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Households and housing

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The number of households in Scotland isprojected to increase

In mid-2016, there were2.45 million households inScotland, which is an increaseof around 157,000 over thepast 10 years.

The number of householdsis projected to increase to2.76 million by 2039, anaverage annual increase ofapproximately 13,800households.

352016 2039

2.45millionestimated

2.76millionprojected

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One person households arethe most common type ofhousehold in Scotland.

In 2015 nearly 900,000people lived alone. Theyrepresented over one thirdof households.

This is partly becauseScotland's population isageing, as older people aremore likely to live alone orin smaller households.

Number of households by household size

2001 2015

+

726k747k

722k699k

846k

889k

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96) of homes in Scotland were occupied in2016

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Overall in Scotland in 2016,3) of homes were emptyand 1) were second homes,though there were widedifferences across thecountry. Remote rural areashad the highest percentageof homes that were emptyor second homes.

Occupied homes2,470,475 (96))

Second homes26,140 (1))

Empty homes79,052 (3))

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This infographic report is a summary of the main statistics report,which has much more detail.

The sources used include Eurostat, Scotland's Census 2011, ScottishHousehold Survey, administrative data, and data collected fromcouncil areas in Scotland.

The main report, this infographic report and more can be foundvia the following weblinks:

Scotland8s Population — Registrar General8s Annual Reviewof Demographic Trends 2016www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/stats-at-a-glance/registrar-generals-annual-review/2016

Scotland8s Population 2016 — Infographic reportwww.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/stats-at-a-glance/infographics-and-visualisations/rgar-2016

More infographics by National Records of Scotlandwww.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/stats-at-a-glance/infographics-and-visualisations

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Enquiries

Please contact our Statistics Customer Services if you need anyfurther information0

Statistics Customer ServicesNational Records of Scotland

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Published by the National Records of Scotlandon @ August @497

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Page 40: Scotland's Population 2016 · to adopter4 2016 33 Adoptions by age of chil4 2016 35 Household project4) 36 Household 4 ) 37 Occupi4 empty and second 4 2016 3 This infographic report

This infographic report is a summaryof the publication Scotland'sPopulation — Registrar General'sAnnual Review of DemographicTrends 2016 (SG/2017/74) publishedby the National Records of Scotlandon 2 August 2017