Science Foundation for Planning and Implementation: Increasing Efficiency, Effectiveness, &...

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ience Foundation for Planning and Implementatio Increasing Efficiency, Effectiveness, & Accountability Barry Wilson Gulf Coast Joint Venture Joint Venture Conservation Business Model Roundtable Austin, Texas December 13, 2006

Transcript of Science Foundation for Planning and Implementation: Increasing Efficiency, Effectiveness, &...

Science Foundation for Planning and Implementation:Increasing Efficiency, Effectiveness, & Accountability

Barry WilsonGulf Coast Joint Venture

Joint Venture Conservation Business Model RoundtableAustin, Texas

December 13, 2006

Why is a strong science foundationimportant to JVs?

Efficiency

Effectiveness

Accountability

Why is a strong science foundationimportant to JVs?

Efficiency

Effectiveness

Accountability

What are the ramifications of having a partnership that fully embraces science as a foundation of JV activities?

Ramifications of Having a Partnership that Fully Embraces Science

While making investments in habitat implementation, partners also expect to invest in research/evaluation ...

... and expect a return on that investment.

HabitatDelivery

Research &Evaluation

Partners expect objectives to change over time as they are refined.

©2006 Vanoostzanen

Curse of the Moving Target

Ramifications of Having a Partnership that Fully Embraces Science

Partners see collaborative science through the JV as an efficient use of their organizations’ resources.

Ramifications of Having a Partnership that Fully Embraces Science

Decisions become more transparent ...

Ramifications of Having a Partnership that Fully Embraces Science

Conservation of Mobile-Tensaw Delta Habitats for Waterfowl

Guidance from Population-based Foraging Habitat Objectives

Population Targets - 17,086 ducks

Mobile-Tensaw Delta Waterfowl Conservation

Guidance from Population-based Foraging Habitat Objectives

Population Targets - 17,086 ducks

Energy Demand in Forested Habitat - 1,053,525 Mallard-Energy-Days

Mobile-Tensaw Delta Waterfowl Conservation

Migration ChronologyEnergy Demand

Guidance from Population-based Foraging Habitat Objectives

Population Targets - 17,086 ducks

Energy Demand in Forested Habitat - 1,053,525 Mallard-Energy-Days

Habitat Foraging Value - 15.5 MEDs/acre

Mobile-Tensaw Delta Waterfowl Conservation

15.5 62

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MAV ForestedWetlands Min

MAV ForestedWetlands Max

Shoalgrass

Harvested Rice

Fallow Ricefield

MAV Moist Soil

Guidance from Population-based Foraging Habitat Objectives

Population Targets - 17,086 ducks

Energy Demand in Forested Habitat - 1,053,525 Mallard-Energy-Days

Habitat Foraging Value - 15.5 MEDs/acre

Habitat Needs - 67,969 acres

Mobile-Tensaw Delta Waterfowl Conservation

Guidance from Population-based Foraging Habitat Objectives

Population Targets - 17,086 ducks

Energy Demand in Forested Habitat - 1,053,525 Mallard-Energy-Days

Habitat Foraging Value - 15.5 MEDs/acre

Habitat Needs - 67,969 acres

Existing Habitat Base - 100,800 acres

Mobile-Tensaw Delta Waterfowl Conservation

Guidance from Population-based Foraging Habitat Objectives

Population Targets - 17,086 ducks

Energy Demand in Forested Habitat - 1,053,525 Mallard-Energy-Days

Habitat Foraging Value - 15.5 MEDs/acre

Habitat Needs - 67,969 acres

Existing Habitat Base - 100,800 acres

Habitat Deficit - none

Mobile-Tensaw Delta Waterfowl Conservation

Guidance from Population-based Foraging Habitat Objectives

Population Targets - 17,086 ducks

Energy Demand in Forested Habitat - 1,053,525 Mallard-Energy-Days

Habitat Foraging Value - 15.5 MEDs/acre

Habitat Needs - 67,969 acres

Existing Habitat Base - 100,800 acres

Habitat Deficit - none

Long-term Outlook - 85,520 acres in Public Ownership

Mobile-Tensaw Delta Waterfowl Conservation

Guidance from Population-based Foraging Habitat Objectives

Population Targets - 17,086 ducks

Energy Demand in Forested Habitat - 1,053,525 Mallard-Energy-Days

Habitat Foraging Value - 15.5 MEDs/acre

Habitat Needs - 67,969 acres

Existing Habitat Base - 100,800 acres

Habitat Deficit - none

Long-term Outlook - 85,520 acres in Public Ownership

Conclusion - Focus waterfowl conservation efforts elsewhere and/orguide forested wetland acquisitions according to other bird needs

Mobile-Tensaw Delta Waterfowl Conservation

Partners allocate (and re-allocate) resources according to the compilation and refinement of scientific information.

Ramifications of Having a Partnership that Fully Embraces Science

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Early Late Early Late Early Late Early Late

Acr

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Laguna Madre Tx MidCoast Tx ChenierPlain

La ChenierPlain

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GCJV Flooded Ag Land WaterfowlForaging Habitat Assessment

The partnership pursues research that is specifically intended to alter (or at least challenge) our decision-making.

Ramifications of Having a Partnership that Fully Embraces Science

Research to Alter Decisions

• Bio-energetic model refinement due to the following investments in new information:

– Seed densities in rice• i.e., Ag foraging values• USGS-NWRC

– Pintail & mallard habitat use • i.e., proportional habitat use estimates• CKWRI-TAMU (Tx MidCoast Pintails)• LSU-Coop Unit (Chenier Plain Mallards)

– Marsh pond delineation• i.e., acreage and distribution of fresh marsh ponds • GCJV Office

– Waterfowl foods in coastal fresh marsh• coastal fresh marsh foraging values • LSU & GCJV Office

Partners have elevated expectations for science products to guide their conservation activities.

Ramifications of Having a Partnership that Fully Embraces Science

Gulf Coast Joint Venture GIS Model Development

Laguna Madre Redhead Model

Conservation Decision Matrix

Current Pond Suitability

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LowHig

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HighProximity to

ShallowShoalgrass

Freshwater Wetlands Adjacent tothe Texas Laguna Madre

Freshwater Wetland EnhancementPrioritization Model

ID basins from surface water on 9 dates of satellite imagery

Prioritization Criteria- Proximity to shallow shoalgrass- Redhead use from 2000-03 aerial surveys- Basin permanence

Consider only the shoalgrass > 10km from existing suitable ponds

JV Staff and partners are comfortable with some level of uncertainty because ...

- conservation decisions can’t wait for perfect information,

Ramifications of Having a Partnership that Fully Embraces Science

- inviting researchers to prove us wrong is helpful.

- refinements are expected, and

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