Science Foundation for Planning and Implementation: Increasing Efficiency, Effectiveness, &...
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Transcript of Science Foundation for Planning and Implementation: Increasing Efficiency, Effectiveness, &...
Science Foundation for Planning and Implementation:Increasing Efficiency, Effectiveness, & Accountability
Barry WilsonGulf Coast Joint Venture
Joint Venture Conservation Business Model RoundtableAustin, Texas
December 13, 2006
Why is a strong science foundationimportant to JVs?
Efficiency
Effectiveness
Accountability
What are the ramifications of having a partnership that fully embraces science as a foundation of JV activities?
Ramifications of Having a Partnership that Fully Embraces Science
While making investments in habitat implementation, partners also expect to invest in research/evaluation ...
... and expect a return on that investment.
HabitatDelivery
Research &Evaluation
Partners expect objectives to change over time as they are refined.
©2006 Vanoostzanen
Curse of the Moving Target
Ramifications of Having a Partnership that Fully Embraces Science
Partners see collaborative science through the JV as an efficient use of their organizations’ resources.
Ramifications of Having a Partnership that Fully Embraces Science
Decisions become more transparent ...
Ramifications of Having a Partnership that Fully Embraces Science
Guidance from Population-based Foraging Habitat Objectives
Population Targets - 17,086 ducks
Mobile-Tensaw Delta Waterfowl Conservation
Guidance from Population-based Foraging Habitat Objectives
Population Targets - 17,086 ducks
Energy Demand in Forested Habitat - 1,053,525 Mallard-Energy-Days
Mobile-Tensaw Delta Waterfowl Conservation
Migration ChronologyEnergy Demand
Guidance from Population-based Foraging Habitat Objectives
Population Targets - 17,086 ducks
Energy Demand in Forested Habitat - 1,053,525 Mallard-Energy-Days
Habitat Foraging Value - 15.5 MEDs/acre
Mobile-Tensaw Delta Waterfowl Conservation
15.5 62
320
553 576
1332 1386
0
300
600
900
1200
1500
MED
s/ac
re
jkl
GC ForestedWetlands
MAV ForestedWetlands Min
MAV ForestedWetlands Max
Shoalgrass
Harvested Rice
Fallow Ricefield
MAV Moist Soil
Guidance from Population-based Foraging Habitat Objectives
Population Targets - 17,086 ducks
Energy Demand in Forested Habitat - 1,053,525 Mallard-Energy-Days
Habitat Foraging Value - 15.5 MEDs/acre
Habitat Needs - 67,969 acres
Mobile-Tensaw Delta Waterfowl Conservation
Guidance from Population-based Foraging Habitat Objectives
Population Targets - 17,086 ducks
Energy Demand in Forested Habitat - 1,053,525 Mallard-Energy-Days
Habitat Foraging Value - 15.5 MEDs/acre
Habitat Needs - 67,969 acres
Existing Habitat Base - 100,800 acres
Mobile-Tensaw Delta Waterfowl Conservation
Guidance from Population-based Foraging Habitat Objectives
Population Targets - 17,086 ducks
Energy Demand in Forested Habitat - 1,053,525 Mallard-Energy-Days
Habitat Foraging Value - 15.5 MEDs/acre
Habitat Needs - 67,969 acres
Existing Habitat Base - 100,800 acres
Habitat Deficit - none
Mobile-Tensaw Delta Waterfowl Conservation
Guidance from Population-based Foraging Habitat Objectives
Population Targets - 17,086 ducks
Energy Demand in Forested Habitat - 1,053,525 Mallard-Energy-Days
Habitat Foraging Value - 15.5 MEDs/acre
Habitat Needs - 67,969 acres
Existing Habitat Base - 100,800 acres
Habitat Deficit - none
Long-term Outlook - 85,520 acres in Public Ownership
Mobile-Tensaw Delta Waterfowl Conservation
Guidance from Population-based Foraging Habitat Objectives
Population Targets - 17,086 ducks
Energy Demand in Forested Habitat - 1,053,525 Mallard-Energy-Days
Habitat Foraging Value - 15.5 MEDs/acre
Habitat Needs - 67,969 acres
Existing Habitat Base - 100,800 acres
Habitat Deficit - none
Long-term Outlook - 85,520 acres in Public Ownership
Conclusion - Focus waterfowl conservation efforts elsewhere and/orguide forested wetland acquisitions according to other bird needs
Mobile-Tensaw Delta Waterfowl Conservation
Partners allocate (and re-allocate) resources according to the compilation and refinement of scientific information.
Ramifications of Having a Partnership that Fully Embraces Science
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
180000
200000
Early Late Early Late Early Late Early Late
Acr
es
Laguna Madre Tx MidCoast Tx ChenierPlain
La ChenierPlain
NeedAvailable
GCJV Flooded Ag Land WaterfowlForaging Habitat Assessment
The partnership pursues research that is specifically intended to alter (or at least challenge) our decision-making.
Ramifications of Having a Partnership that Fully Embraces Science
Research to Alter Decisions
• Bio-energetic model refinement due to the following investments in new information:
– Seed densities in rice• i.e., Ag foraging values• USGS-NWRC
– Pintail & mallard habitat use • i.e., proportional habitat use estimates• CKWRI-TAMU (Tx MidCoast Pintails)• LSU-Coop Unit (Chenier Plain Mallards)
– Marsh pond delineation• i.e., acreage and distribution of fresh marsh ponds • GCJV Office
– Waterfowl foods in coastal fresh marsh• coastal fresh marsh foraging values • LSU & GCJV Office
Partners have elevated expectations for science products to guide their conservation activities.
Ramifications of Having a Partnership that Fully Embraces Science
Conservation Decision Matrix
Current Pond Suitability
Distan
ce fr
om
Suitable
Ponds
None Low High
LowHig
h
Low
HighProximity to
ShallowShoalgrass
Freshwater Wetlands Adjacent tothe Texas Laguna Madre
Freshwater Wetland EnhancementPrioritization Model
ID basins from surface water on 9 dates of satellite imagery
Prioritization Criteria- Proximity to shallow shoalgrass- Redhead use from 2000-03 aerial surveys- Basin permanence
Consider only the shoalgrass > 10km from existing suitable ponds
JV Staff and partners are comfortable with some level of uncertainty because ...
- conservation decisions can’t wait for perfect information,
Ramifications of Having a Partnership that Fully Embraces Science
- inviting researchers to prove us wrong is helpful.
- refinements are expected, and
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