Salzburg2014 keynote2 staudinger

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Zentralanstalt fürMeteorologie undGeodynamik

The making of meteoalarm

Michael Staudinger ZAMG / EUMETNET

ZentralanstaltfürMeteorologieundGeodynamik

What is MeteoAlarm?

Request of EUMETNET to the EMMA - MeteoAlarm consortium:

Provide pan - European alert information on an Online Internet platform for:

• a variety of weather parameters causing damage

• understandable by all actors from the private and public sector –

• harmonized as far as possible

Sources of the information: The National Meteorological and Hydrological Services

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time, location, severity, certainty . . . .source: BH Landeck

A warning situation– who needs to know what?


Severe thunderstorms

Laundry on the balcony? Event management? Canal system?

source: Fabian Lackner, meteopics

A warning situation– who needs to know what?

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Definition of warnings (ISDR)

What is a warning?

Tangible and understandable description of an expecteddamage scenario

+ a clear advice what to do


Definition of warnings

How to communicate within the chain of information?

Meteorology - Civil Protection:

Well prepared conversation:

Evaluating the infos on upcoming damage scenarios

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Definition of warnings

How to communicate within the chain of information?

Meteorology – Public:

Less prepared conversation:

What to do?Why?Which are similar events?


ISDR – guidelines on Early warning systems

Integrate within DRR — EWS is not a stand-alone

Aim for synergy across levels: community, national, regional, global

Insist on multi-hazard EWS

Systematically include vulnerability

Accommodate multiple timescales

Account for evolving risk and rising uncertainty

Build partnership and individual engagement

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Standardised European Warnings - public


European Warnings – Civil Protection : 5 days

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Meteoalarm – National level


Meteoalarm – district (regional) level

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Meteoalarm Lessons learned (since 2007 1 bio hits/y)

• 4 – level colour code seen as understandable „language“

• Transition from „pure meteorology“ to „impact“well under way

• Links to www.meteoalarm from more than 1300 websites

• Approx. 6 Bio hits since start

• High acceptance with public and professonal institutions• Civil Protection, First responders (national level)

• „European“ usage by tourists & professionals


Warning matrix

Colour One word What to do? Damage / Impact Used how often?(Area approx. 300 000 km2)

Meteo Treshholdse.g. Rain(area + impact related)

Green Weatherreport

usual phenomena - - - usual phenomena Examples

yellow Be aware! caution withexposed activities

exposed objects(avoidable)

> 30 per year > 54 mm/12h

orange Beprepared!

keep informed in detail, follow advice of authorities

general damages(not avoidable)

1 to 30 per year > 80 mm/12h

red Take action!

follow order of authorities under all circumstancesbe prepared for extraordinary measures

extreme damage and /or casualties extreme damage (mostly) on large areas, threatening life and properties(not avoidable, even in otherwise safe places)

less then 1 year + large (5000km2) scale phenomena

> 140 mm/12h

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Meteorological „rareness“ vs impact

Meteo (only) threshold

DamageCriteria

Green Yellow Orange Red

No damage

Exposed objects/Exposed acivities

general damages(not avoidable)

extreme damage and / or casualties

e.g. Heat wave in GreenlandWind warnings on mountains

Forest fire in Sahara. . . . . .


Meteorologicalrareness

xxxxxxx

generalrisk

Reactionneeded!!!

xxxx xxx

impact

XXXXXX

Risk whenexposed

xxx

xxx RR 60mm/60 min

Is the rareness of an event recognized under multi parameter conditions?

25° in December

RR 200mm/10 d& snow cover ll

Meteorological rareness vs impact

RR 200mm/10 d

snow cover low lands

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Defining „thresholds“

Define areas byclimatology

Define areas ofvulnerability

Seasonalvariations?

Possibleinteraction ofparameters?

Divide Damage /Impact in 3 categories and define

meteorology

Use thresholds as guidance

Consider possible impacts togetherwith Civil Protection

Determing alert levels

criteria at one point/station? no red / lower level

area criteria (parameter) met?

extreme impact possible? 1

Positive feedback from civ pro?

„red“

no red / lower level



optional steps

1 might be caused by a combination of parameters

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Intranet – homogenisation of forecaster work

Levels used in 2013

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Levels used in 2013

Levels used in 2013

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Different pathes towards the public and CP

forecasting Media, public

EM

I -E

urop

enM

eteo

rolo

gica

lInf

rast

ruct

ure

LAM, in situ

data, …

forecasting

Civil Protection

Media, public

Media, public

Civil Protection

forecasting

Civil Protection regio

Media, public

Media, public

Civil Protection regio Media, public

LAM, in situ

data, …

LAM, in situ

data, …

Media, public

forecasting

forecasting

ERC (Intranet)

Different pathes towards the public and CP

forecasting Media, public

EM

I -E

urop

enM

eteo

rolo

gica

lInf

rast

ruct

ure

LAM, in situ

data, …

forecasting

Civil Protection

Media, public

Media, public

Civil Protection

forecasting

Civil Protection regio

Media, public

Media, public

Civil Protection regio Media, public

LAM, in situ

data, …

LAM, in situ

data, …

Media, public

forecasting

forecasting

ERC

CAP Google

Pro users

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It´s all about communication

CP



CP

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CP



CP

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Two way communication to Civil Protection

What ought to be communicated

• Certainties/ probabilities?

• possible Scenarios ?

• Local and regional impact conditions?

• What has happened so far?


Meteoalarm – growing together1. Clear task by EUMETNET

2. Awareness of the chain of information:Climatology – Impact (considering vulnerability)

3. Cooperation with users from Civil Protection - media

4. See harmonisation as permanent task, not precondition

5. Start simple and upgrade later (aim at multi hazard)

6. Offer other partners access to a highly visible platform

7. clear datapolicy for the re-use of data

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ISDR tasks

• Post HFA : Austrian position

• Portfolio of interventions: thematic and ressources

• what do people in the field need from science?

• creating awareness in the public

• Damage database

• Risc analysis (EC)

• Fachgruppe

Politics, administration economy

exposed

Media,Civil societyFachgruppe

ISDR Plattform Austria

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ISDR Plattform Austria• Risikoanalyse


Thanks for your attention!

Salzburg2014 keynote2 staudinger

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