SAFETY FIRST, SAFETY FOR ALLiaass.space-safety.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/32/... · could drive...

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8th INTERNATIONAL SPACE SAFETY CONFERENCE

SAFETY FIRST, SAFETY FOR ALL

Academic Q

uad 402

Room 110, 113

Crawford Building

Room 403 (4

th floor)

Skurla Hall

Room 110 (Auditorium

, 1st floor)

Gleason Performing

Arts Center

Denius Student Center

John and Martha Hartley

Room (2

nd floor)

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18-20 May 2016Melbourne, Florida (USA)

Programme

Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, USA

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About The Conference

INTRODUCTIONThe International Association for the Advancement of Space Safety (http://iaass.space-safety.org) is a non-profit organisation dedicated to furthering international cooperation and scientific advancement in the fields of space systems safety and sustainability. IAASS is a member of the International Astronautical Federation (IAF), and Permanent Observer at the Unit-ed Nations Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space (COPUOS). The association exists to help shape and advance an international culture of space safety (technical, organisational and socio-political) which could contribute to make space missions, vehicles, stations, extra-terrestrial habitats, equipment and payload safer for the general public, ground personnel, crews and flight participants. The association also pursues the safeguarding of the on-orbit, atmospheric, and ground environment during space systems and associated ground infrastructure operations.

The eight IAASS Conference “Safety First, Safety for All” is an invitation to reflect and exchange information on a number of topics in space safety and sustainability of national and international interest. The conference is also a forum to promote mutual understanding, trust, and the widest possible international cooperation in such matters. The once exclusive “club” of nations with autonomous space access capabilities is becoming crowded with fresh, and ambitious new entrants. New commercial spaceports are starting operations and others are being built.In the manned spaceflight arena a commercial market is becoming reality with government use of commercial services for cargo and crew transportation to orbit, and the addition of a commercial habitable volume to the international space station. Besides the national ambitions in space, the international cooperation both civil and commercial is also gaining momentum.

Space bound systems and aviation traffic will share more and more a crowded airspace, while aviation will increasingly rely on space-based safety-critical services. Air launches may become an important segment of the launch business and could drive the establishment of ad-hoc regulations. Finally, most nations own nowadays space assets, mainly satellites of various kinds and purpose, which are under the constant threat of collision with other spacecraft and with the ever increasing number of space debris. Awareness is increasing internationally (as solemnly declared since decades in space treaties) that space is a mankind asset and that we all have the duty of caring for it. Without proactive and courageous international initiatives to establish an international regulatory framework for space traffic management we risk to negate access and use of space to future generations.The 8th IAASS Conference will in addition to normal sessions dedicate a set of panel sessions to four topics which need to get better attention in space programs: Space Debris and Space Traffic Management, Safety Standards for Commercial Human Spaceflight, Space Safety Education, and Mishap Investigation.

IAASS ConferencesT. Sgobba [email protected]

C. Felix [email protected]

IAASS AdministrationG. Elfering [email protected]

International Association for the Advancement of Space Safety Kapteynstraat 1 2201BB Noordwijk The Netherlands Phone: +31(0)712020023 Mob. : +31(0)643552918

Conference website: http://iaassconference2016.space-safety.org/

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Conference Sponsors and Organizers

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Conference Programme Committee

Chairs:

I. Rongier (F) R. DeLoach (USA) M. Glissman (USA)

Members: W. Ailor (USA) J. Jeevarajan (USA) P. Omaly (F)K. Amsden (USA) M. Jones (USA) N. Packham (USA)C. Botts (USA) B. Kanki (USA) S. Pearson (USA)G. Boy (USA) S. Kaul (IN) J. Pelton (USA)E. Browne (USA) R. Kelley (USA) T. Pfitzer (USA)C. Cazaux (F) M. Kezirian (USA) A. Quinn (UK)D. Cone (USA) P. Kirkpatrick (USA) L. Ren (CH)P. Contoveros (USA) J. Kreimer (D) K. Schubert (USA)T. Erikson (USA) B. Lazare (F) T. Sgobba (NL)H. Ernst (D) C. Leveau (F) G. Sinnema (NL)C. Felix (NL) T. Lips (D) J. Souders (USA)D. Finkleman (USA) E. Mango (USA) A. Stampfel (USA)W. Frazier (USA) W. McArthur (USA) S. Takada (JP)T. Fukatsu (JP) D. McKnight (USA) G. Trinchero (F)G. Gafka (USA) A. Menzel (D) S. Weikert (D)T. Heimann (USA) C. Moura (BR) P. Wilde (USA)R. Jakhu (CA) M. Nogami (JP) U. Wirth (D)

Organizing Committee: G. Elfering (NL)T. Pfitzer (USA)P. Kirkpatrick (USA)J. Rudolph (USA)

N. Takeuchi (JP) M. Ciancone (USA)

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Keynote Speakers

Charles F. Bolden NASA Administrator

Roberto Battiston Italian Space Agency President

Maj. Gen. Andrew M. Mueller US Air Force Chief of Safety Comander

George C. Nield Federal Aviation Administration

Associate Administrator for Commercial Space Transportation

Kiyoshi Higuchi International Astronautical

Federation President (Jaxa VP retired)

Jan Droz Deputy Director of Safety, Security and Environment,

CNES

Jules Schneider Lockheed Martin

Orion Program AIP Manager

Guy A. Boy Florida Institute of Technology

SHCDA Dean

Christophe Chicher Airbus DS

Head of System Design and Performance

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CONFERENCE SESSIONS

Wednesday, May 18

Plenary Session Part I (08:30am - 10:30am)

Welcome Message: T. Dwayne McCay Vice President & Chief Operating Officer President-Elect Florida Institute of Technology

Conference Introduction: Isabelle Rongier President IAASS

Keynote Speakers: Roberto Battiston President Italian Space Agency

Kiyoshi Higuchi President International Astronautics Federation VP ret. Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency Jan Droz Deputy Director of Safety, Security and Environment French Space Agency (CNES)

Guy A. Boy Dean School of Human Centered Design, Innovation and Arts Florida Institute of Technology

S01: Session 01: Launch Safety Risk (11:00am - 12:30pm)Source Data Applicability Impacts on Epistemic Uncertainty for Launch Vehicle Fault Tree ModelsMohammad Izeddin Al HassanNASA/Bastion Technologies Incorporated, United States of America; [email protected]

Lessons Learned from accepting the satellites developed by the organizations externally to JAXA for H-IIA launchesManami NogamiJAXA, Japan; [email protected]

Pitfalls and Precautions when using Predicted Failure Data for Quantitative Analysis of Safety Risk for Human Rated Launch VehiclesGlen Spencer Hatfield1, Frank Hark1, James Stott2

1NASA/Bastion Technology inc., United States of America; 2NASA Safety and Mission Assurance; [email protected]

Characterizing Epistemic Uncertainty for Launch Vehicle DesignsSteven David Novack1, Jim Rogers2, Frank Hark1, Mohammad Al Hassan1

1NASA/Bastion Technologies Incorporated, United States of America; 2NASA; [email protected]

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S02: Session 02: Lessons Learned (11:00am - 12:30pm)Role of Ground Safety Reviews in ISS Payload Mission SuccessRavi Narayana Margasahayam, Theodore MeadeNASA, United States of America; [email protected]

Icarus Laugh. Risk and space conquestJacques ArnouldCentre national d’études spatiales, France; [email protected]

The Demise of the Safety Engineer – Overcoming the Potential Impact on Space SafetyJames Allen RunnellsJSC JETS Contract, HX5, LLC, United States of America; [email protected]

S03: Session 03: Commercial Spaceflight - I (11:00am - 12:30pm)The Evolution of the NASA Commercial Crew Program Mission Assurance ProcessAmy Christine CanfieldNASA / John F. Kennedy Space Center, United States of America; [email protected]

Safety Considerations regarding Commercial Human Spaceflight TrainingNicholas Mercury CarlstromEmbry-Riddle Aeronautical University, United States of America; [email protected]

The Right Stuff ‘V’ The Right (Safe) ThingAndy Quinn1, Ivan Sikora2

1SATURN SMS Ltd, United Kingdom; 2City University, United Kingdom; [email protected]

S04: Panel Session: Impact of Newcomers

“CubeSat, ChipSat, Small Satellites and Huge Constellations”

(11:00am - 12:30pm)

S05: Session 05: Space Debris - I (2:00pm - 3:30pm)A Systematic Study of Laser Ablation for Space Debris MitigationWilliam Jerome Burger1, Roberto Battiston2, Andrea Cafagna2, Christian Manea3, Bruno Spataro4

1FBK and TIFPA Trento Italy, Italy; 2University of Trento and TIFPA; 3TIFPA; 4National Laboratory of Frascati; [email protected]

RADID - Rapid Assessment of Design Impact on Debris GenerationSven Weikert1, Bent Fritsche2, Valentino Zuccarelli1, Jochen Teufel1, Irene Huertas3, Sven Erb3

1Astos Solutions GmbH, Germany; 2Hypersonic Technology Goettingen (HTG), Germany; 3European Space Agency, ESTEC, The Netherlands; [email protected]

Improving Space Safety with Effective End-of-Life SolutionsLorenzo Ferrario1, Stéphane Heinrich2, Alessio Fanfani1, Stefano Antonetti1, Luca Rossettini11D-Orbit; 2Altran; [email protected]

Long term orbit propagation: lessons learnt and on going activities at CNESVincent Morand, Clemence Le Fevre, Hubert FraysseCNES, France; [email protected]

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S06: Session 06: Regulations & Standards – I (2:00pm - 3:30pm)2016 U.S. Safety Regulation Status UpdateDiane HowardEmbry-Riddle Aeronautical University, United States of America; [email protected]

Regulation of Safety of Space MiningRam S. Jakhu, Joseph N. PeltonMcGill University, Canada; [email protected]

Commercial Human Spaceflight: What Regulation?Tommaso Sgobba1, Michael Kezirian2

1International Association for the Advancement of Space Safety, Netherlands, The; 2International Space Safety Foundation, USA; [email protected]

Filling The Regulatory Void For Launch And Reentry Safety Resulting From The Commercialization Of Space OperationsRuth StilwellAerospace Policy Solutions, LLC, United States of America; [email protected]

S07: Session 07: Launch Ground Operations Safety (2:00pm - 3:30pm)Dealing with a subtle danger during launch preparation operations: oxygen-deficient atmosphere leading to anoxiaMiguel MorèreCNES, France; [email protected]

Ground Operations Human Factors Task Analysis PathfinderTimothy Barth1, Charlie Dischinger1, Cynthia Null1, Damon Stambolian2, Don Tran2, Marcia Groh-Hammond2, Gena Henderson2, Darcy Miller3, Tracy Neal3, Richard Parker3, Barbara Kanki4, Rich Ellenberger5, Jennifer Boyer5, David Reynolds6, Matt Czech7, Jeannie Ruiz7

1NASA Engineering and Safety Center; 2KSC Engineering; 3KSC Safety and Mission Assurance; 4Ames Human Factors; 5JSC Human Engineering; 6MSFC Human Factors; 7KSC Ground Systems Development and Operations; [email protected]

The Payload Safety Handbook: a self-supporting tool to ensure the respect of regulations applicable to spacecraft at the Guiana Space CenterLoriane BourjacCNES, France; [email protected]

Ensuring Payload Safety on Missions Involving Special PartnershipsCalvert A. Staubus, Rachel C. WillenbringNASA, United States of America; [email protected]

S08: Session 08: Designing Safety – I (2:00pm - 3:30pm)Flat H Redundant Frangible Joint - EvolutionThomas Edward Diegelman, Christopher W Brown, Brian V. Rochon, Todd Hinkel, Andrew L BenjaminNASA / JSC, United States of America; [email protected]

Pressure Suits for Suborbital Spaceflight - mandatory or not?Christian Lüthen1, Neil Jaschinski21Erasmus MC - University Hospital Rotterdam, Netherlands, The; 2Applied Rocket Technology; [email protected]

Overview of Non-Ionizing Radiation Safety Operations on the International Space StationJohn Flores-McLaughlin1, Sam Ghalayini2, James Runnells3, Ramona Gaza4

1University of Houston / NASA Space Radiation Analysis Group, United States of America; 2Lockheed Martin IS&GS; 3Jacobs Technology; 4Lockheed Martin IS&GS / NASA Space Radiation Analysis Group, United States of America; [email protected]

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S09: Session 09: Safety Critical Software (4:00pm - 6:00pm)STPA for space software dependability and safetyCarlos Henrique Netto Lahoz1,3, Synara Rosa Gomes de Medeiros2

1Massachusetts Institute of Technology MIT, United States of America; 2Embraer, Brazil; 3Instituto de Aeronautica e Espaco IAE, Brazil; [email protected]

A FDIR implentation based on functional and software units designOlivier Boudillet, Jacques MagneAIRBUS DEFENCE & SPACE, France; [email protected]

Safety Characteristics In Systems Application Software For Human Rated Exploration MissionsEdward Joseph MangoNASA / US Govt, United States of America; [email protected]

S10: Session 10: Launch Safety – I (4:00pm - 6:00pm)Launch and Reentry Safety ObjectivesJerold Mark HaberACTA, Inc, United States of America; [email protected]

Improved Range Safety Methodologies for Long-Duration Heavy-lift Balloon Missions Over Populated RegionsGeorge M Lloyd1, Kevin Benn1, Jerry Haber1, Danielle Franklin2

1ACTA Inc., United States of America; 2Pacific Missile Range Facility; [email protected]

Near range safety analysis for a reusable launcher concept based on Toss-BackAlexandra Martinez Torio, Vanessa Guenard, Jean-Marc Bahu, David Delorme

CNES, France; [email protected] Common Cause Failure Modeling in Space Launch VehiclesFrank Hark1,2, Paul Britton2,3, Rob Ring1,2, Steven Novack1,2, James Stott2,3

1Bastion Technologies Incorporated, United States of America; 2Marshall Space Flight Center Safety and Mission Assurance; 3NASA; [email protected]

S11: Session 11: Operations Safety (4:00pm - 6:00pm)You Can’t Reach for the Stars if You are Tripping Over the Ground! (Preventing Slips, Trips, and Falls)Darcy H. Miller1, Mark S. Raysich2, Mary K. Kirkland3

1NASA-KSC, United States of America; 2APT; 3Integrated Mission Support Service; [email protected]

Recurring Themes from Human Spaceflight Mishaps During Flight Tests and Early OperationsTimothy Barth1, Steve Lilley2, Donna Blankmann-Alexander3, Barbara Kanki4, Blake Parker5

1NASA Engineering and Safety Center; 2NASA Safety Center; 3Abacus Technology Corporation; 4Ames Research Center; 5ASRC Aerospace; [email protected]

The safety approval of procedures used on board ISSAlessandro Nocera1, Piera Mannini21Aviospace s.r.l.; 2Thales Alenia Space S.p.A.; [email protected]

Probabilistic Survivability Versus Time MoelingJames Jeffrey Joyner. SrNASA, United States of America; [email protected]

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S12: Session 12: Probabilistic Risk Assessment (4:00pm - 6:00pm)Space Mission PRAsDiana L. DeMottSAIC, United States of America; [email protected]

Resilience Engineering for space missions safety assessmentRiccardo Patriarca, Francesco Costantino, Giulio Di GravioSapienza University of Rome, Italy; [email protected]

Quantifying the Benefit of a Developmental Test Program: Probablistic Risk Assessment and Red Bull StratosAkshay Kothakonda1, Jonathan Clark2, Art Thompson3, Michael Tevriz Kezirian1

1University of Southern California, United States of America; 2National Space Biomedical Research Institute, United States of America; 3Sage Cheshire Aerospace Tooling, United States of America; [email protected]

International collaboration for HTV PRA analysisMasami Miki1, Satomi Takada1, Takashi Goto1, Koji Oga1, Toru Yoshihara2, Hiraku Kudo2, Norimitsu Kamimori2, Jinfeng Ni3, John Yasensky3, Philip Mortillaro4

1JAMSS, Japan; 2JAXA, Japan; 3MAPI Contract, USA; 4NASA, USA; [email protected]

Dynamic fault tree analysis using Monte Carlo simulation in probabilistic safety assessmentJinjing Wang, Liming Ren, Hang WuChina Academy of Aerospace Standardization and Product Assurance, China, People’s Republic of; [email protected]

Thursday, May 19

Plenary Session Part II (08:30am - 10:00am)

Keynote Speakers: Charles BoldenAdministrator National Aeronautics and Space Administration

Andrew M. MuellerChief of SafetyUnited States Air Force

George Nield Associated Administrator Federal Aviation Administration For Commercial Space Transportation

Jules SchneiderOrion Program AIP Manager Lockheed Martin Space Systems Company

Christophe ChicherHead of System Design and PerformanceAirbus DS

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S13: Session 13: Commercial Spaceflight – II (10:30pm - 12:00pm)Single Stage To Orbit Spaceplane SafetyAndy Quinn1, Richard Varvill21SATURN SMS Ltd, United Kingdom; 2Reaction Engines Ltd; [email protected]

Operational Safety Considerations for Rapid Turnaround Private Suborbital Flight ProvidersJustin Otto KarlEmbry-Riddle Aeronautical University, United States of America; [email protected]

Development of a Commercially Available Pressure Suit for Suborbital FlightErik SeedhouseEmbry-Riddle University, United States of America; [email protected]

From Parabolic to Manned Sub-orbital Flights: S3 Safety and Certification ApproachJean-Bruno Marciacq, Thomas Avanzi, Davide Apostolo, Ntorina AntoniSwiss Space Systems (S3), Switzerland; [email protected]

S14: Session 14: Launch Safety – II (10:30am - 12:00pm)Potential Uses of Consequence Analyses for Range SafetyPaul David WildeFederal Aviation Administration, United States of America; [email protected]

Managing a Safe and Successful Multi-User SpaceportTaylor M Dacko, Kirk A Ketterer, Phillip T MeadeNASA Kennedy Space Center, United States of America; [email protected]

Launch System Hazard Analysis : Methodology And Lessons Learnt After 5 Years Of ApplicationDavid Delorme, Arnaud BiardCNES, France; [email protected]

The use of an atmospheric model for studying the gas dispersion at the Brazilian space launch centerGilberto Fisch2, Paulo Geovani Iriart3, Vinicius Couto Milanez2, Carlos Augusto Teixeira de Moura1

1Alcantara Cyclone Space - ACS, Brazil; 2Aeronautics and Space Institute - IAE, Brazil; 3Technical Institute of Aeronautics - ITA, Brazil; [email protected]

S15: Session 15: Organization Culture – I (10:30am - 12:00pm)Purpose, Principles, and Challenges of the NASA Engineering and Safety CenterMichael GilbertNational Aeronautics and Space Administration, United States of America; [email protected]

Observations, Reflections, and Lessons Learned... from ~500 SSPCBs & ~1000 IMMTs... and gobs of SORRs, FRRs, etc.George K GafkaNASA, United States of America; [email protected]

Space Safety Culture and PolicyLt Col Steve Bogstie

AFSEC/SES, United States of America; [email protected]

Launch Systems Conformity Training Process and academic methodologyCaroline Gabrielle Josephine Aussilhou, David Gerard MiotCNES, France; [email protected]

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S16: Session 16: Regulations & Standards – II (10:30am - 12:00pm)Need for Space Regulation in IndiaSanat KaulInternational Foundation for Aviation, Aerospace & Development (India Chapter), India; [email protected]

Policy Challenges Related to NanosatellitesMatteo Emanuelli1, Blake James Edwards1, Matt Driedger1, Justin Atchison1, Jordan Sotudeh1, Gabriel Lapilli1, Maria Grulich1, Laura Bettiol1, Caroline Thro1, Eren Gorur1, Leehandi De Witt1, Alon Davidi1, Suman Gautam1, Sirisha Bandla1, Juan Gramajo1, Milan Mijovic1, Laura León Perez1, Chantelle Dubois1, Emmanuelle David1, Meidad Pariente2, Chris Johnson3

1Space Generation Advisory Council, Austria; 2Spacecialist, Israel; 3Secure World Foundation, USA; [email protected]

Near space and modern aerospace principlesTaro-Jesus KuusiholmaSharper Shape Inc., Finland; [email protected]

Proposal For A Governing Space Safety Treaty OrganizationLeslie Ann AlfordA-P-T Research, Inc., United States of America; [email protected]

Legal Challenges to the Safety of Commercial Space Activities Provided by Aerospace Launch SystemsNtorina AntoniSwiss Space Systems Holding SA, Switzerland; [email protected]

S17: Session 17: Re-entry Safety – I (1:30pm - 3:00pm)Upgraded version of the DEBRISK object-oriented toolJulien Annaloro, Guillaume Prigent, Stéphane Galera, Pierre OmalyCNES, France; [email protected]

Rationale and methodologies of ADMIRE - Aviation (Space) Debris and Meteorites Integrated Risk EvaluationMatteo Emanuelli1, Tommaso Sgobba1, Hauke Ernst2, Sven Weikart3, Tobias Lips4, Jonas Radtke7, James Beck11, Jim Merrifield12, Carmen Pardini5, Luciano Anselmo5, Jeremie Vaubaillon13, Daniel Hestroffer13, Carl-Herbert Rokitansky6, Bruno Lazare1, Thomas Hauf8, Juergen Lang10, Sven Kaltenhaeuser9, Jens Hampe9

1International Association for Advancement of Space Safety; 2Airbus Defence and Space; 3ASTOS; 4HTG; 5ISTI-CNR; 6Universität Salzburg; 7TU Braunschweig; 8Leibniz Universität Hannover; 9Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt; 10Meteosolutions; 11Belstead Research; 12Fluid Gravity Engineering; 13IMCCE; [email protected]

In-Orbit Demonstration of Satellite Re-entry Capabilities: the D-SAT MissionAlessio Fanfani1, Alexander Weigand2, Elena Toson1, Simone Brilli1, Matteo Trotti1, Angelo Dainotto1, Lorenzo Ferrario1

1D-Orbit, Italy; 2Bayern-Chemie, Germany; [email protected]

S18: Session 18: Space Traffic Control – I (1:30pm - 3:00pm)Preliminary Study On Inadvertent Laser Illumination Hazards Posed To Satellite Optical SensorsPatrick Shriver1, Karen Yamamoto1, Chad Cogburn1, Chris Jones1, Ken Miller2

1Metatech Corporation, United States of America; 2Satellite Assessment Center, Air Force Research Laboratory, United States of America; [email protected]

The Impact of New Trends in Satellite Launches on Orbital Debris EnvironmentArif Göktug Karacalıoglu, Jan StuplNASA Ames Research Center, United States of America; [email protected]

Orbital Debris: What are the best near-term actions to take? A view from the fieldMark Andrew SkinnerThe Boeing Company, United States of America; [email protected]

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Analysis On Spacecraft Safety Enhancement Through On-Orbit ServicingAureliano Rivolta, Jeremy Wang, Caroline Thro, Nicolò Carletti, Ali Nasseri, Joao Lousada, Matteo EmanuelliSpace Generation Advisory Council; [email protected]

S19: Session 19: Designing Safety – II (1:30pm - 3:00pm)Predicting Damaged Pressure Vessel Failure After Orbital Debris StrikeMichael Scott Surratt, Michael KezirianUniversity of Southern California, United States of America; [email protected]

Early Engagement of Safety & Mission Assurance Expertise Using Systems Engineering Tools: A Risk-Based Approach to Early Identification of Safety and Assurance RequirementsScott Darpel, Sean BeckmanNASA John H Glenn Research Center, United States of America; [email protected]

Safe Use of Electrical COTS hardware in Human Space FlightJames Allen RunnellsJSC JETS Contract, HX5, LLC, United States of America; [email protected]

Introducing IAASS–ISSB-S–1700 Rev. B Space Safety Standard Commercial Human Rated SystemTommaso SgobbaInternational Association for the Advacement of Space Safety, Netherlands; [email protected]

S20: Session 20: Human Performance – I (1:30pm - 3:00pm)Human Factor in flight safetyHerve Poussin, Thierry Vallee, Regis BertrandCNES, France; [email protected]

Managing Cognitive Bias in Safety Decision Making: Application of Emotional Intelligence CompetenciesWalter Scott HersingKennedy Space Center, United States of America; [email protected]

IAASS Book Project: “Space Safety and Human Performance”Barbara Kanki, Tommaso SgobbaInternational Association for the Advancement of Space Safety; The Netherlands; [email protected]

S21: Panel Session:

Role of Standards in Commercial Human Spaceflight Safety Governance

(1:30pm - 3:00pm)

S22: Session22: Space Debris – II (3:30pm - 5:30pm)Good practice for upper stages going to Lagrangian point - Application to the Ariane 5 JWST missionDavid-Alexis Handschuh1, Jean Campedelli2, Norbert Lidon3

1CNES Launcher Directorate, France; 2ALTEN, France; 3ESA Launcher Directorate; [email protected]

Satellite Design for Demise: Updated state of the art and innovative conceptsStephane Heinrich1, Lilith Grassi2, Roberto Destefanis2

1ALTRAN, France; 2THALES, Italy; [email protected]

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Debris Remediation Examined via an Operational Success FrameworkDarren Scott McKnightIntegrity Applications, Inc., United States of America; [email protected]

Fast and Flexible Space Debris Risk Assessment for SatellitesMax Gulde, Scott Kempf, Frank SchäferFraunhofer Institute for High-Speed Dynamics, Ernst-Mach-Institut, Germany; [email protected]

S23: Panel Session: SpaceShipTwo Lessons Learned

(3:30pm - 5:30pm)

S24: Session 24: Materials (3:30pm – 5:30pm)Investigation of Ti-6Al-4V alloy response to atmospheric re-entry exposureJessica Lynn Buckner, Stephen W Stafford, Darren M Cone, John D OlivasUniversity of Texas at El Paso, United States of America; [email protected]

The Spacecraft Fire Experiment (Saffire) – Objectives and StatusWilliam Robert Schoren, Gary Ruff, David UrbanNASA/Glenn Research Center, United States of America; [email protected]

About the Demisability of Propellant Tanks during Atmospheric Re-entry from LEOTobias Lips1, Ronny Kanzler1, Thorn Schleutker2, Ali Guelhan2, Benoit Bonvoisin3, Tiago Soares3, Gerben Sinnema3

1HTG GmbH, Katlenburg-Lindau, Germany; 2DLR, Cologne, Germany; 3ESA/ESTEC, Noordwijk, The Netherlands; [email protected]

Demise and Survivability Criteria for Spacecraft Design OptimisationMirko Trisolini, Hugh Lewis, Camilla ColomboUniversity of Southampton, United Kingdom; [email protected]

S25: Panel Session: Space Safety Education

(3:30pm - 5:30pm)

Friday, May 20

S26: Session 26: Space Traffic Control – II (8:30am - 10:30am)Exploring Necessary Altitude Awareness and Response Times for Air Traffic Control during Space Launch and Reentry Vehicle OperationsZheng Tao1, Ganghuai Wang1, Paul D. Wilde2

1The MITRE Organization, United States of America; 2Federal Aviation Administration; [email protected]

Optimal Impulsive Design for Aeroassisted Orbit Transfer in Noncoplanar Orbit Debris RemoveRuidong YanNational Space Science Center,Chinese Academy of Science, China, People’s Republic of; [email protected]

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Why a future commercial spacecraft must be able to SWIMFrank Morlang1, Jorge Ferrand2

1German Aerospace Center DLR, Germany; 2Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University ERAU, USA; [email protected]

Aerocene: Obtaining Regulatory Approval and Performing Risk Assessment for Stratospheric Science and Human SpaceflightMichael Tevriz KezirianUniversity of Southern California, United States of America; [email protected]

Space Situational Awareness and Space Traffic Management Points of IntersectionGeorge VazquezAerospace, United States of America; [email protected]

Development of Space Debris Collision Warning Techniques in NSSCRonglan Wang, Siqing LiuNational Space Science Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China, People’s Republic of; [email protected]

S27: Session 27: Re-entry Safety – II (8:30am - 10:30am)Update of aerodynamics and heat flux model for ORSAT-JKeiichiro Fujimoto, Hiroumi Tani, Hideyo Negishi, Yasuhiro Saito, Nobuyuki Iizuka, Koichi OkitaJapan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Japan; [email protected]

Atmospheric entry of space debris: oxidation and emissivity data for model implementationMarianne Balat-Pichelin1, Julien Annaloro2, Pierre Omaly3

1PROMES-CNRS laboratory, France; 2CNES, Toulouse, France; 3CNES, Toulouse, France; [email protected]

Statistical Issues for Calculating Reentry HazardsMark John Matney, John Bacon

Orbital Debris Program Office, Johnson Space Center, NASA, United States of America; [email protected] The Uncontrolled Re-Entry Of Progress-M 27mCarmen Pardini, Luciano AnselmoISTI-CNR, Italy; [email protected]

Comparison between two spacecraft-oriented tools: PAMPERO & SCARABJulien Annaloro1, Tobias Lips2, Stephane Galera1, Guillaume Prigent1, Pierre Omaly1

1CNES, France; 2HTG - Hypersonic Technology Göttingen, Germany; [email protected]

S28: Session 28: Organization Culture – II (08:30am - 10:30am)NASA’s Approach to Technical Excellence of Safety ProfessionalsJohn Marinaro, Harmony MyersNASA, United States of America; [email protected]

NASA’s Safety Culture PathTracy G DillingerNASA, United States of America; [email protected]

The Evolution of Continuing Education & Training for Safety & Mission Assurance ProfessionalsMegan Stroud, Tom PfitzerA-P-T Research, Inc., United States of America; [email protected]

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S29: Session 29: Designing Safety – III (8:30am - 10:30am)How to ensure medical safety and rescue in human spaceflight for the futureYacine BenyoucefSPACEMEDEX, France; [email protected]

Unified maximum likelihood based method for composite stress rupture data analysisAmy Engelbrecht-WiggansCornell University, United States of America; [email protected]

Aerospace Pressure Vessel Standards: Update on AIAA S-080A and AIAA S-081BMichael Tevriz KezirianUniversity of Southern California, United States of America; [email protected]

S30: Panel Session:

Mishap Investigation

(08:30am - 10:30am)

S31: Session 31: NEO & Cosmic Hazards (11:00am - 12:30pm) Asteroids discovery and astrometry reduction using CoLiTec software: research and developmentSergii Khlamov1, Oleksandr Briukhovetskyi2, Vadym Savanevych1,3, Eugene Dikov4, Artem Pohorelov1

1Kharkiv National University of Radioelectronic, Kharkiv, Ukraine; 2Kharkiv representative of the general customer - State Space Agency of Ukraine, Kharkiv, Ukraine; 3Uzhhorod National University, Uzhhorod, Ukraine; 4Research, Design and Technological Institute of Micrographics, Kharkiv, Ukraine; [email protected]

Space Situational Awareness Programme: enhanced NEO Propagator (NEOProp2)Valentino Zuccarelli1, Celia Yabar Valles2

1Astos Solutions GmbH, Germany; 2ESA Estec, The Netherlands; [email protected]

Global Cosmic Risk Assessment Study (COSRAS) by the IAASSJoseph Pelton Chair IAASS Academic Committee, The Netherlands ; [email protected]

S32: Session 32: Human Performance – II (11:00am - 12:30pm)Human Factors Checklist: Think Human Factors - Keep the Human in the LoopDarcy H. Miller1, Katrine S. Stelges2, Timothy S. Barth3, Damon.B. Stambolian1, Gena M. Henderson1, Charles Dischinger3, Barbara.G. Kanki41NASA-KSC, United States of America; 2Jacobs Technology; 3NASA Engineering Safety Center; 4NASA-ARC, Retired; [email protected]

A Methodology for Trending International Space Station Human Factors DataBettina L Beard1, Cynthia H Null2, Gordon A Voss3, Susan Schuh4

1NASA Ames Research Center, United States of America; 2NASA Langley Research Center, United States of America; 3NASA Johnson Space Center, United States of America; 4MEI Technologies, United States of America; [email protected]

Organizational, technical and human resilience in complex operationsStig O. Johnsen1, Knut Fossum2, Brit-Eli Danielsen2

1Sintef, Trondheim, Norway; 2N-USOC CIRIS at NTNU, Trondheim, Norway; [email protected]

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S33: Session 33: Safety on Long Duration Missions (11:00am - 12:30pm)Study of Safety Assessment for Chinese Space Station Operation MissionWei Zhang, Fuqiu Li, Fengxi Chen, ShouSong QingChina Astronautics Standards Institute, China, People’s Republic of; [email protected]

Identification of Hazards Associated with a One-way Human Mission to MarsJoao Lousada, Aureliano Rivolta, Matteo Emanuelli, Ali NasseriSpace Generation Advisory Council, Austria; [email protected]

Develop global Safety synergies for long-range human space exploration, with focus on Launch Systems (manned and unmanned)Aline DecadiHE Space Operations BV on behalf of European Space Agency, France; [email protected]

S34: Lecture by N. Packham:

Role The Columbia Crew Survival Investigation Report – What happened to the STS-107 Columbia crew and what can be learned from it

(11:00am - 12:30pm)

S35: Lecture by C. Lauer:

A Global Perspective On Suborbital Commercial Human Spaceflight Safety

(11:00am - 12:30pm)

Plenary Closing Session Pt.1 (02:00pm - 03:00pm)Hypersonic, Space Transit, and Space Access Flight TestJames Vasil Souders1, Timothy R Jorris2

1AFSEC/SES, United States of America; 2Lockheed Martin Aeronautics Company; [email protected]

Plenary Closing Session Pt. 2 (03:00pm - 04:00pm)SABRE & Skylon: The Next Generation in Space Access Andy Quinn, Mark Thomas, Richard Varvill Reaction Engines, United Kingdom

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Orbital Debris Atmospheric ReentryStephane Heinrich1, Florent Leglise1, Luke Harrison1, Frederic Renard2

1ALTRAN, France, Cannes; 2ALTRAN,France, Lyon; [email protected]

Escape CabinRobert N. TalmageTAAS Company, United States of America; [email protected]

Orbit covariance prediction based on numerical orbit modelRuidong Yan, Ronglan Wang, Siqing LiuNational Space Science Center,Chinese Academy of Science, China, People’s Republic of; [email protected]

The Accident Mechanism and Model for Aerospace Software SystemXiao Sun, xinlei Zhou, Jie Yang, Renfei Dong, Jie JinChina Academy of Aerospace Standardization and Produce Assurance, China, People’s Republic of; [email protected]

A method based on IPOS model for software hazard probability risk analysisJie Yang, Xinlei Zhou, Jiahui Luan, Xiao Sun, Jie JinChina Academy of Aerospace Standardization and Produce Assurance, China, People’s Republic of; [email protected]

Poster SessionWednesaday, May 18 (12:00pm)

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Award Winners

William Ailor

Jerome Lederer Space Safety Pioneer AwardWinner: Dr. William Ailor, The Aerospace Corp, El-Segundo (US - CA)Sponsor: Lockheed Martin

Award assigned bi-annually to an individual who has made outstanding contributions in the field of space safety. Named in honor of Jerome Lederer (1902-2004) who was an American aviation-safety pioneer, known as “Mr. Aviation Safety”.

Nancy Leveson

Vladimir Syromiatnikov Safety-by-Design AwardWinner: Prof. Nancy Leveson, MIT, Boston (US - MA)Sponsor: International Space Safety Foundation

The Vladimir Syromyatnikov Safety-by-Design Award is a means for IAASS to honor outstanding designers and engineers who have made major technical contribution toward systems safety. Named in honor of Vladi-mir Syromiatnikov (1934-2006) the Russian designer of one of the most successful piece of space hardware, the docking system APAS. It was used in the Apollo-Soyuz Test Project in 1975, successful in more than 200 dockings of Soviet/Russian, on the Shuttle and on the International Space Station.

Nicholas Johnson

Joseph Loftus Space Sustainability AwardWinner: Dr. Nicholas Johnson, NASA-JSC (ret.), Houston (US - TX)Sponsor: Airbus DS

The Joseph Loftus Space Sustainability Award is assigned to an individual, or to a team, which has made outstanding contributions in the field of space sustainability. The IAASS Space Sustainability Award is named after Joseph (Joe) P. Loftus (1930-2005) who was the early proponent of orbital debris research, gained an international reputation in that field and was known as the godfather of the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office.

Jean-Pierre Trinchero

Da Vinci Life-long Achievements AwardWinner: Jean-Pierre Trinchero, CNES, Paris (F)Sponsor: International Space Safety Foundation

The Leonardo da Vinci Life-long achievements award recognizes and individual whole life-long work has significantly contributed to the advancement of space safety and to the mission goals and core values of IAASS. The IAASS Long-life Achievements Award is named after Leonardo da Vinci, the renaissance genius of science, engineering and art.

Ram Sarup Jakhu

Da Vinci Life-long Achievements AwardWinner: Ram Sarup Jakhu, McGill University, Montreal (CA)Sponsor: International Space Safety Foundation

The Leonardo da Vinci Life-long achievements award recognizes and individual whole life-long work has significantly contributed to the advancement of space safety and to the mission goals and core values of IAASS. The IAASS Long-life Achievements Award is named after Leonardo da Vinci, the renaissance genius of science, engineering and art.

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IAASS Conference & AwardsGala Dinner

The Conference Gala Dinner will take place on

Thursday 19 May at 7:30pmat

Kennedy Space Center Visitor Complex

There will be NASA KSC buses to take participants from Hilton-Melbourne at Rialto Place to the dinner,

departing at 6:30pm and arriving at Shuttle Atlantis Exhibit at 7:30pm

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8th IAASS International Space Safety ConferenceMelbourne, Florida – USA, 18-20 May 2016

Wednesday, May 188:30 - 10:30 P1: Plenary Session - Part I (GLEASON)

Chairs: M. Ciancone, N. Takeuchi

10:30 - 11:00 Coffee Break

11:00 - 12:30 Session 01: Launch Safety Risk Chairs: C. Moura, C. Botts

SKURLA HALL Rm 110

Session 02: Lessons LearnedChairs: W. Frazier,J. Pelton

QUAD Bldg. 402 - Rm113

Session 03: Commercial Spaceflight - I Chairs: A. Quinn, T. Erikson

GLEASON

S04 Panel Session:Impact of Newcomers: CubeSat, ChipSat, Small Satellites and Huge Constellations Chairs: M. Glissman, B. Lazare


12:30 - 14:00 Lunch Break

14:00 - 15:30 Session 05: Space Debris - I Chairs: W. Ailor, D. Mcknight


Session 06: Regulations & Standards - I Chairs: R. Jakhu, D. Howard


Session 07: Launch Ground Operations Safety Chairs: T. Pfitzer, R. DeLoach

GLEASON

Session 08: Designing Safety - I Chairs: M. Nogami, G. Gafka

SKURLA HALL Rm 110


16:00 - 18:00 Session 09: Safety Critical Software Chairs: M. Ciancone, I. Rongier


Session 10: Launch Safety - I Chairs: C. Botts, N. Takeuchi

GLEASON

Session 11: Operations Safety Chairs: C. Cazaux, D. McKnight


Session 12: Probabilistic Risk Assessment Chairs: G. Boy,M. Kezirian

Crawford Bldg. - Rm 403

Thursday, May 198:30 – 10:00 P2: Plenary Session - Part II (GLEASON)

Chairs: R. DeLoach, M. Glissman


10:30 - 12:00 Session 13: Commercial Spaceflight – II Chairs: P.Kirkpatrick, A. Stampfel


Session 14: Launch Safety – II Chairs: T. Pfitzer, N. Takeuchi

GLEASON

Session 15: Organization Culture – I Chairs: B. Kanki, S. Kaul

DENIUS STUDENT CENTER Hartley Rm

Session 16: Regulations & Standards – II Chairs: A. Menzel, M. Nogami

SKURLA HALL Rm 110

12:00 - 13:30 Lunch Break and IAASS General Assembly

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13:30 - 15:00 Session 17: Re-entry Safety – I Chairs: T. Lips, K.G. Amsden

GLEASON

Session 18: Space Traffic Control – I Chairs: F. Alby, H. Ernst

SKURLA HALL Rm 110

Session 19: Designing Safety – II Chairs: E. Mango, N. Packham

DENIUS STUDENT CENTER Hartley

Session 20: Human Performance – I Chairs: B. Kanki, K. Amsden


S21 Panel Session: “Role of Standards in Commercial Human Spaceflight Safety Governance” Chairs: P. Wilde, T. Sgobba



15:30 - 17:30 Session 22: Space Debris – IIChairs: C. Cazaux, W. Ailor


S23 Panel Session: SpaceShipTwo Lessons Learned Chairs: T. Erikson, K. Wilson

SKURLA HALL Rm 110

Session 24:Materials Chairs: M. Ciancone, D. Cone


S25Panel Session: Space Safety EducationChairs: J. Pelton, M. Kezirian


18:30 Gala Dinner Buses departing from Hilton-Melbourne at Rialto Place

Friday, May 208:30 - 10:30 Session 26:

Space Traffic Control – II Chairs: F. Alby, M. Glissman


Session 27: Re-entry Safety – II Chairs: P. Omaly, T. Lips

GLEASON

Session 28: Organization Culture – IIChairs: B. Kanki, I. Rongier


Session 29: Designing Safety – IIIChairs: A. Quinn, T. Heimann

DENIUS STUDENT CENTER Hartley Rm

S30Panel Session:Mishap Investigation Chairs: I. Rongier, M. Glissman

Crawford Bldg. - Rm 404


11:00 - 12:30 Session 31: NEO HazardsChairs: W. Ailor, J. Pelton


Session 32: Human Performance – II Chairs: W. McArthur, T. Fukatsu


Session 33: Safety on Long Duration Missions Chairs: T. Sgobba, J. Kreimer

GLEASON

S34: Lecture The Columbia Crew Survival Investigation Report – What happened to the STS-107 Columbia crew and what can be learned from it.Chairs: M. Ciancone, N. Takeuchi

SKURLA HALL Rm 110

S35: Lecture A Global Perspective On Suborbital Commercial Human Spaceflight SafetyChairs: A. Quinn, A. Menzel


12:30 - 14:00 Lunch Break

14:00 - 15:00 Plenary Closing Session Part I: Hypersonic, Space Transit, and Space Access Flight TestChair: M. Glissman, M. Ciancone

15:00 - 16:00 Plenary Closing Session Part II: SABRE & Skylon: The Next Generation in Space AccessChairs: N. Takeuchi, R. DeLoach

16:00 - 16:30 Conference Wrap-Up & Announcement by Isabelle Rongier, IAASS President

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