SAAD Cost Benefit Analysis(Notes) (1)

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    Systems Analysis and Design

    Strategies for cost-benefit analysis

    (Additional notes)

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    CT026-1 Systems Analysis and Design The traditional systems development lifecycle Slide 31 (of 43)

    Strategies for cost-benefit

    analysis

    Payback Analysis

    Accumulated Benefits equal Accumulated

    Costs

    Return on Investment Analysis

    % of (total benefits total costs) / (total costs)

    Net Present Value AnalysisValue of a dollar years from now based on a

    discount rate

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    CT026-1 Systems Analysis and Design The traditional systems development lifecycle Slide 5 (of 30)

    Payback Analysis

    Payback period

    Four step process

    [1] Determine the systems initial development cost

    [2] Determine annual operating costs

    [3] Estimate the annual benefits

    [4] Find the payback period by comparing total costs to

    accumulated benefits

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    CT026-1 Systems Analysis and Design The traditional systems development lifecycle Slide 6 (of 30)

    Year Costs Cumulative Cost

    Year 0 60,000.00$ 60,000.00$

    Year 1 17,000.00$ 77,000.00$

    Year 2 18,500.00$ 95,500.00$

    Year 3 19,200.00$ 114,700.00$

    Year 4 21,000.00$ 135,700.00$Year 5 22,000.00$ 157,700.00$

    Year 6 23,300.00$ 181,000.00$

    Development

    cost

    Operating

    Cost

    Development Cost & Operating Cost

    Payback Analysis

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    CT026-1 Systems Analysis and Design The traditional systems development lifecycle Slide 7 (of 30)

    Development Cost & Operating Cost

    Payback Analysis

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    CT026-1 Systems Analysis and Design The traditional systems development lifecycle Slide 8 (of 30)

    Annual Benefits

    Benefits Cumulative Benefits

    3,000.00$ 3,000.00$28,000.00$ 31,000.00$

    31,000.00$ 62,000.00$

    34,000.00$ 96,000.00$

    36,000.00$ 132,000.00$

    39,000.00$ 171,000.00$

    42,000.00$ 213,000.00$

    Year

    Year 0Year 1

    Year 2

    Year 3

    Year 4

    Year 5

    Year 6

    Payback Analysis

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    Annual Benefits

    Payback Analysis

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    What it is and what it is not:

    not the point when the current benefits equal current costs

    is the point where accumulated benefits equal accumulated

    costs

    How to compute

    Use a spreadsheet

    Design the spreadsheet and label the columns and rows

    Enter the cost and benefit data for each year

    Enter the formulas to calculate cumulative costs and benefits

    Payback Analysis

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    Payback Analysis

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    Disadvantages:

    places all the emphasis on early costs and benefits

    ignores the benefits received after the payback period

    Conclusion:

    poor tool for comparing or ranking several projects

    Payback Analysis

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    Payback Analysis

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    Quick Review Question

    What is payback analysis and what does it measure?

    What is payback period?

    What is the formula to calculate the payback period?

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    Disadvantages:

    ROI only measures the overall rate of return for the total

    period

    Annual rates can vary considerably

    ROI ignores timing of costs and benefits

    How to compute:

    Set up the worksheet and enter cost and benefit data

    Overall cost and benefit totals are required

    Add a formula to calculate ROI, which is total benefits minus

    total costs, divided by total costs

    Return on Investment Analysis

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    Return on Investment Analysis

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    Quick Review Question

    What is ROI analysis and what does it measure?

    What is the formula to calculate ROI?

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    Present Value Analysis

    Time Value of Money

    A dollar today is worth more than a dollar one year from now.

    Present value of a future dollar

    the amount of money that when invested today at some

    specified interest rate (discount rate / opportunity cost)

    would grow exactly to one dollar at that point in the future

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    Formula:

    Present value of a dollarnyears from now at a discount rate

    ofiis calculated as follows :

    n

    PV = 1 / (1 + i)

    Present Value Analysis

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    Present Value Adjustment Factors:

    are based on a specified interest rate called the discount

    rate.

    Each company determines its own acceptable rate of return

    for an information systems project

    are printed in tables called present value tables

    Present Value Analysis

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    CT026-1 Systems Analysis and Design The traditional systems development lifecycle Slide 22 (of 30)

    Present Value Table:

    PERIODS 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%

    1 0.943 0.926 0.909 0.893 0.877

    2 0.890 0.857 0.826 0.797 0.769

    3 0.840 0.794 0.751 0.712 0.675

    4 0.792 0.735 0.683 0.636 0.592

    5 0.747 0.681 0.621 0.567 0.519

    6 0.705 0.630 0.564 0.507 0.456

    7 0.665 0.583 0.513 0.452 0.400

    8 0.627 0.540 0.467 0.404 0.351

    9 0.592 0.500 1.424 0.361 0.308

    10 0.558 0.463 0.386 0.322 0.270

    Present Value Analysis

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    CT026-1 Systems Analysis and Design The traditional systems development lifecycle Slide 23 (of 30)

    How to compute:

    Enter the unadjusted cost and benefit values and the

    discount factors for each year

    Enter a formula to produce an adjusted value for each cost

    and benefit entry to produce an adjusted value, theformula should multiply the cost or benefit value times the

    discount factor

    Copy your formula to the other cost and benefit cells to

    adjust the other value

    Calculate the net present value by subtracting the total

    adjusted costs from the total adjusted benefits

    Present Value Analysis

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    CT026-1 Systems Analysis and Design The traditional systems development lifecycle Slide 24 (of 30)

    How to compute:

    Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Total

    Benefits 3,000.00 28,000.00 31,000.00 34,000.00 36,000.00 39,000.00 42,000.00

    PresentValue Factor

    (12%) 1.000 0.893 0.797 0.712 0.636 0.567 0.507

    Present

    Value 3,000.00 25,004.00 24,707.00 24,208.00 22,896.00 22,113.00 21,294.00 143,222.00

    Costs 60,000.00 17,000.00 18,500.00 19,200.00 21,000.00 22,000.00 23,300.00Present Value

    Factor (12%) 1.000 0.893 0.797 0.712 0.636 0.567 0.507

    Present

    Value 60,000.00 15,181.00 14,744.50 13,670.40 13,356.00 12,474.00 11,813.10 141,239.00

    Net Present

    Value 1,983.00

    Present Value Analysis

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    CT026-1 Systems Analysis and Design The traditional systems development lifecycle Slide 25 (of 30)

    Advantages:

    not only considers all costs and benefits, but adjusts the

    values based on timing

    Disadvantages:

    depend on future estimates

    are only as reliable as the forecasts themselves

    Conclusion:

    Many companies use all three methods to evaluate projects

    Present Value Analysis

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    CT026-1 Systems Analysis and Design The traditional systems development lifecycle Slide 26 (of 30)

    Quick Review Question

    What is present value analysis and what does it

    measure?

    What is the meaning of the phrase, time value of

    money?

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    Summary

    Payback Analysis

    Accumulated Benefits equal Accumulated Costs

    Return on Investment Analysis

    % of (total benefits total costs) / (total costs)

    Net Present Value Analysis

    Value of a dollar years from now based on a discount rate