WMO

SDS-WAS Research and Development activities

7th meeting of the WWRP JSC(WMO Headquarters, Geneva, 18-20 November 2014)

S. Nickovic (Ex-WMO SDS-WAS, Serbia)

E. Cuevas, SDS-WAS NAMEE (AEMET, Spain)

E. Terradellas SDS-WAS NAMEE (AEMET, Spain)

J.M. Baldasano, SDS-WAS NAMEE (BSC-CNS, Spain)

M. Mikami, SDS-WAS A (MRI/JMA, Japan)

W. Sprigg, SDS-WAS PAC (University of Arizona, USA)

                                                   

WMO; AREP

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SDS-WAS MissionSDS-WAS Mission

To enhance the ability of countries to deliver To enhance the ability of countries to deliver timely and quality sand and dust storm timely and quality sand and dust storm forecasts, observationsforecasts, observations, information and , information and knowledge to knowledge to users users through an international through an international partnership in partnership in research and operationsresearch and operations

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Publications/year on dust-related subjects (Stout et al, 2008)

Increasing interest for dust research

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SDS-WAS regional structureSDS-WAS regional structure

SDS-WAS Science and Implementation Plan SDS-WAS Science and Implementation Plan

Final draft ready for SSC7 consideration Membership in the SDS-WAS Steering Committee

specified SDS-WAS Trust Fund requested to support global

coordination Updated research plan

SDS-WAS Science and Implementation Plan (2) SDS-WAS Science and Implementation Plan (2)

Limitations Lack of observation data, especially in dust source areas Lack of computer resources for hi-res modelling

Transition to operational activities proposed procedure for designation of a Regional

Specialized Meteorological Center with specialization on Atmospheric Sand and Dust Forecasting (RSMC-ASDF)

Spain became the first designated RSMC-ASDF Asian countries show interest to host the Asian RSMC-

ASDF

CAS CBS

Research

SDS-WAS

Op

eration

al fo

recasts

SDS-WAS

Exp

erimen

tal fo

recasts

Current

Future

Research

From Research to OperationsFrom Research to Operations

Research issues

Hi-res modelling Observation improvements

Data assimilation Model validation/intercomparison

Direct and indirect effects Mineralogy

Dust impacts

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SDS-WAS research projects/studies

http://sds-was.aemet.es/projects-research/SDS-WAS-studies

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PROJECT: Tehran 2014 haboob case – high resolution

modelling contact Goran Pejanovic(goran.pejanovic@hidmet.gov.rs)

In-depth case study of the small-scale extreme dust storm occurred in Tehran on 2 June 2014 lasting less than 2 hours

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Dust storm caused several deaths, reduction of visibility to several tenths meters in the city, and adverse disturbance of the public traffic.

All SDS-WAS inter-compared models failed to predict the storm

NAMEE RSG recently proposed a study, exploring if model downscaling more detailed source specification

could improve forecasts

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Groups to participate: Modelling

EMA, Egypt BSC, Spain HMS, Serbia MetOffice, UK NCEP, USA GFDL, USA U of Leipzig ?

Observations IRIMO, Iran Env Agency, Iran

Analysis AEMET, Spain U of Belgrade, Serbia …

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SDS-WAS models forecasts (12UTC 2 June 2014)

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× × ×

× × ×

× × ×

Preliminary simulation results (Pejanovic et al, 2014)

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× × ×

Tehran location

Time of haboob

Time of haboob

12:30UTC

PROJECT:Dust model evaluation against lidar data

contact Ioannis Binietoglou (ioannis.binietoglou@imaa.cnr.it)

Ability of models to reproduce vertical dust distribution of dust never systematically evaluated

lidars co-located with photometers using the LIRIC algorithm Period January 2011 – June 2013 No. cases 69 No. stations 10 No. models 4

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Participating models

BSC-DREAM8bV2 (BSC, Barcelona) NMMB/BSC-Dust (BSC, Barcelona) DREAMABOL (ISAC-CNR, Bologna) DREAM8-NMME-MACC (Serbian HM Service)

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Participating stations

10 EARLINET / AERONET

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Parameters examined:

Center of mass Dust load (vertically integrated) Peak (maximum) value

Article in preparation

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Center of mass

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Average profiles

PROJECT: Forecasting a North African dust

outbreak towards Europe Contact: Nicolás Huneeus (nhuneeus@dgf.uchile.cl)

Assessing prediction capabilities of intense Saharan dust outbreak over Western Europe and Scandinavia between 5-11 April 2011

Comparing models against observations aerosol optical depth (AERONET and MODIS) Aerosol vertical profiles (CALIPSO) dust surface concentration (AQ stations) 10-m winds and vertical wind profiles (SYNOP,

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24, 48 and 72 hour forecasts Models

BSC-DREAM8b (BSC; regional) NMMB/BSC-Dust (BSC; regional) DREAM8-NMME-MACC (Serbian HM Service) Met-UMTM (UK Met Office; global) MACC-II (ECMWF; global)

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AERONET (orange), surface concentration (red), surface wind (green) and radio-sounding (brown) stations used in the study

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Article to be submitted:Forecasting the North African dust outbreak towards Europe in April 2011: A model intercomparison N. Huneeus, S. Basart, S. Fiedler, J.-J. Morcrette, J. Mulcahy, E. Terradellas, C. Pérez, G. Pejanovic, P. Arsenovic, S., M. Schulz, J.M. Baldasano, A. Benedetti, E. Cuevas, J. Pey, S. Nickovic

Dust Mineralogy –new databases

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Nickovic et al, 2012 Journet al, 2014

Importance of dust mineral composition for • radiation, • dust-cloud interactions, • health

Book: Mineral Dust - A key player in the Earth system, edited by Peter Knippertz and Jan-Berend W. Stuut, 2014,Springer.

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SDS-WAS Nodes

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Regional Steering Groups (RSG)

Asian Node Chair: Masao MIKAMI (MRI/JMA, Japan), Co Chairs:

Xiao-Ye ZHANG (CMA, China), Eunha LIM (NIMR/KMA, Korea)

NAMEE Node Chair: Slobodan Nickovic (HM Service, Serbia)

Pan American Node Chair: William Sprigg (U of Arizona, US)

Nodes Status

Asymmetric developments NAMEE most active and developed PA with good potential but not yet well

established Asian Node – most of the research

(modelling and observation) facilities available – still more coordination needed

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Management issues

Implementation Plan finalized – to be approved in this meeting

Regional Node activities – self-funded SDS-WAS Trust Fund to be established

(Secretariat assistance n needed) Steering Committee (SC) to be established for

SDS-WAS global coordination

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Contributions from the SDS-WAS Nodes

SDS-WAS NAMEE Node

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Web portal Archive

OBSERVATION

Monthly plots of PM10/PM2.5

Daily back-trajectoriesEUMETSAT RGB-DUST

imagesUKMO MSG retrievals

OBSERVATION

Monthly plots of PM10/PM2.5

Daily back-trajectoriesEUMETSAT RGB-DUST

imagesUKMO MSG retrievals

PREDICTION

Numerical model forecastsJoint visualization of forecast

Surf. ConcentrationJoint visualization of forecast

DOD 550Monthly-averaged mapsMulti-model productsGuidance for forecasters

PREDICTION

Numerical model forecastsJoint visualization of forecast

Surf. ConcentrationJoint visualization of forecast

DOD 550Monthly-averaged mapsMulti-model productsGuidance for forecasters

FORECAST EVALUATION

NRT evaluation with AERONET. Monthly plots

Evaluation with AERONET (monthly, seasonal, annual scores)

Evaluation with MODISEvaluation with MODIS

deepblue

FORECAST EVALUATION

NRT evaluation with AERONET. Monthly plots

Evaluation with AERONET (monthly, seasonal, annual scores)

Evaluation with MODISEvaluation with MODIS

deepblue

April 2014April 2014

Models intercomparison Download statistics

MODEL DOWNLOADS

BSC-DREAM8b 313MACC 172

DREAM-NMME-MACC

98

NMMB/BSC-Dust 155GEOS-5 85NGAC 84

MEDIAN 80

TOTAL 987Users 233

Observation SDS-Africa: new AERONET stations

Available since Feb 2012

Available since Jun 2013

8-12 Dec 2013: 3rd Training Course on WMO SDS-WAS products. Muscat, Oman

8-12 Dec 2013: 3rd Training Course on WMO SDS-WAS products. Muscat, Oman15-16 Dec 2013: McIDAS-V Tutorial with focus on atmospheric dust cases. Muscat, Oman

15-16 Dec 2013: McIDAS-V Tutorial with focus on atmospheric dust cases. Muscat, Oman28-31 Oct 2013: Workshop on Meteorology, Sand and Dust Storm, Combating Desertification and Erosion. Istanbul, Turkey

28-31 Oct 2013: Workshop on Meteorology, Sand and Dust Storm, Combating Desertification and Erosion. Istanbul, Turkey

Capacity building 2013

10-14 Jun 2013: Training Course on the use of satellite products for agro-meteorological applications, Accra, Ghana

10-14 Jun 2013: Training Course on the use of satellite products for agro-meteorological applications, Accra, Ghana

Capacity building 2014

5-9-May 2014: Cours sur l’utilisation des produits satellitaires aux applications agrometeorologiques, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso

5-9-May 2014: Cours sur l’utilisation des produits satellitaires aux applications agrometeorologiques, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso

Operational forecasts

Jakarta, Sep 2012: The CBS recommends designation of the consortium AEMET/BSC-CNS to host the first RSMC with specialization on sand and dust forecast

Jakarta, Sep 2012: The CBS recommends designation of the consortium AEMET/BSC-CNS to host the first RSMC with specialization on sand and dust forecast

Geneva, Jun 2013: The WMO EC meets the recommendation and designates the consortium to host the RSMC-ASDF for NA-ME-E

Geneva, Jun 2013: The WMO EC meets the recommendation and designates the consortium to host the RSMC-ASDF for NA-ME-E

Barcelona, Mar 2014: The Barcelona Dust Forecast Center starts operations

Barcelona, Mar 2014: The Barcelona Dust Forecast Center starts operations

dust.aemet.es

SDS-WAS Asian Node

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Current status of the SDS-WAS Asian node

In July 2014, several RSG members were replaced with new members

Basic communication within RSG is secured. Establishing RSMC-ADSF will be discussed in the

next 2015 RSG meeting In 2012 (Tsukuba) is agreed to keep working groups

activities – to be reinforced

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RSG Working groups

Data Share (responsible to KMA)

Common Portal Site (responsible to CMA)

Model Inter-comparison (responsible to JMA)

Issue to be discussed in the next Asian RSG meeting

Designation of a Regional Specialized Meteorological Center with specialization on Atmospheric Sand and Dust Forecasting (RSMC-ASDF)

At least two countries show the interest Transition from research (SDS-WAS) to operational

activities (RSMC-ASDF) is now proposed in the Science and IP with conditions and procedures needed to be followed

Common action of CAS and CBS bodies needed

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SDS-WAS Pan American Node

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Pan-American Centre

Moving the Node Center hosting from the Chapman University to University of Arizona

Petitioning the University and Board of Regents for official approval to host the Pan-American Center (PAC)

Team Atmospheric Sciences, Hydrology, Engineering School of Public Health, Office of Arid Lands, College of Agriculture and Life Sciences,

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Other institutions wishing to contribute hosting Desert Research Institute California Department of Public Health California Public Health Institute Possible solution: a coalition of hosts, capitalizing on

the complementarity

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Serving SocietyServing Society

W.A.Sprigg - July 2014

Atmospheric Observations & Modeling NOAA/GFDL/NCEP

NASA JPL & MSFC, Navy

Surface SourceComposition & Characteristics

Mapping & MonitoringNASA, USGS

Information PortalPublic & Partner

NOAA/NCDC

WMO Sand/Dust Warning System

GEONETCast

Public Access

Client BasePractitioner & Policy Maker

Health, Air/Water Quality,Transportation, AgricultureNational/State Health & AQ OfficesPan American Health OrganizationValley Fever Center of Excellence

Valley Fever

Critical SourcesEPA, USGS, USDA

Climate Change Air Quality Assessments

Simulations & Experimental Forecasts

NOAA/NWS/NCEPUSN/NRL

NASA Earth ScienceUniversity Research

Pan-America Centre Start-Up

Director Web Page Science Steering Group Leadership Council

Maintain Compass Heading: Serving Science & the Public

Promote Objectives & Goals

Guide Policy t Communicate Science to the Public, assess priorities & Services for today & tomorrow

Coordinate North, Central and South American Participation in SDS-WAS

Forecasts & Simulations with models & satellite observations

Computing Center

W.A.Sprigg - July 2014

www.wmo.int

Thank you