Ryanair presentation
-
Upload
mohammed-awad -
Category
Business
-
view
301 -
download
1
Transcript of Ryanair presentation
![Page 1: Ryanair presentation](https://reader037.fdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022102606/55a3007c1a28ab164d8b465f/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Mohammed Salem Awad
Aden Regional Director
YEMENIA
Date of Issue: 30 Nov 2014
![Page 2: Ryanair presentation](https://reader037.fdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022102606/55a3007c1a28ab164d8b465f/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
“Excellence is never an accident. It is always the result of high intention, sincere effort, and intelligent execution; it represents the wise choice of many alternatives -choice, not chance, determines your destiny.”
― Aristotle
Aristotle
![Page 3: Ryanair presentation](https://reader037.fdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022102606/55a3007c1a28ab164d8b465f/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
• RYANAIR• Data Base.• Forecasting Approach • Mathematical Model • Forecasting Accuracy • Signal Tracking Analysis• Passengers Evaluation
• Model Vs Actual• Measuring The Error
• RYANAIR ON SPOT • Passenger Forecasting
2015 – graph• Passenger Forecasting
2015 – Table• Contact
![Page 4: Ryanair presentation](https://reader037.fdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022102606/55a3007c1a28ab164d8b465f/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Ryanair is Europe’s only ultra-low cost carrier (ULCC), operating more than 1,600 daily flights (over 500,000 per year) from 57 bases, across 1,600 low fare routes, connecting 180 destinations in 29 countries and operating a fleet of 303 new Boeing 737-800 aircraft.Ryanair has recently announced firm orders for a further 175 new Boeing aircraft, which will be delivered between 2014 and 2018. Ryanair currently has a team of more than 9,000 highly skilled professionals, will carry over 81.5 million passengers this year and has an outstanding 29-year safety record.
![Page 5: Ryanair presentation](https://reader037.fdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022102606/55a3007c1a28ab164d8b465f/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
![Page 6: Ryanair presentation](https://reader037.fdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022102606/55a3007c1a28ab164d8b465f/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Golden Rule -4 < Signal Tracking < + 4
And Coefficient of Determination > 80 %
Defining the Max/Min S. T. in the control band.
![Page 7: Ryanair presentation](https://reader037.fdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022102606/55a3007c1a28ab164d8b465f/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Golden Rule -4 < Signal Tracking < + 4
And Coefficient of Determination > 80 %
We will use the concept of
Forecasting by Objectives
to develop a fair matrix decision, so forecasting by objective ; can be either by:
- Classical Method by Evaluation R2
- Setting Signal Tracking S. T. (36 ) to Zero
- Defining the Max/Min S. T. in the control band.
- Targeting the final results of the annual long term forecast.
- Reflecting the impact of the most recent monthly data.
![Page 8: Ryanair presentation](https://reader037.fdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022102606/55a3007c1a28ab164d8b465f/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Rotational Vs Displacement
![Page 9: Ryanair presentation](https://reader037.fdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022102606/55a3007c1a28ab164d8b465f/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
(R) Coefficient of Determination Vs Signal Tracking
![Page 10: Ryanair presentation](https://reader037.fdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022102606/55a3007c1a28ab164d8b465f/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Golden Rule -4 < Signal Tracking < + 4
And R Coefficient of Determination > 80 %
Max/Min S. T. in the control Range.
![Page 11: Ryanair presentation](https://reader037.fdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022102606/55a3007c1a28ab164d8b465f/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
![Page 12: Ryanair presentation](https://reader037.fdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022102606/55a3007c1a28ab164d8b465f/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
![Page 13: Ryanair presentation](https://reader037.fdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022102606/55a3007c1a28ab164d8b465f/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
For 36 data set only two reading that exceeds 5 % errors.
All the remaining reading for 3 years data base are below 5 % errors !!!!!!!!
![Page 14: Ryanair presentation](https://reader037.fdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022102606/55a3007c1a28ab164d8b465f/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
ON
TAR
GET
2015
PASSENGERS FORECASTING
![Page 15: Ryanair presentation](https://reader037.fdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022102606/55a3007c1a28ab164d8b465f/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
![Page 16: Ryanair presentation](https://reader037.fdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022102606/55a3007c1a28ab164d8b465f/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
![Page 17: Ryanair presentation](https://reader037.fdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022102606/55a3007c1a28ab164d8b465f/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Welcome in the Club :