Russia combined feed market

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Demo-Version

Russia: Combined

Feed Market

Analysis and Forecast to 2017

November 2012

Marketing Research

http://www.russianmarketreport.com/

from 41 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Market Research Russia: Combined Feed Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)

Brief Overview

The report on the Russian combined feed market contains:

Analysis and forecast of market dynamics;

Structure of consumption by region;

Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main market players;

Analysis of exports and imports;

Analysis of factors, influencing the development of the market;

Analysis of raw materials’ base;

Analysis of the state of the consuming industries;

Assessment and forecast of market development;

Financial and economic profiles of the leading companies in the industry.

Methodology:

Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market;

Analysis of information, received from the main market participants;

An analysis of statistical information:

o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat);

o The Federal Customs Service (FTS);

o The Ministry of Economic Development;

o The Federal Tax Service;

o Industry associations.

The report contains information on the following commodity groups:

Combined feed;

Feed supplements.

The report will allow you to:

1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on

market data;

2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.

Key figures presented in the report on the Russian combined feed market:

Volumes of production, exports and imports;

Indicators of market development;

Consumption indicators.

The report contains 240 pages, 106 tables, and 143 figures.




The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of the

forecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,

importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and

unions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided with

special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Why People Choose Us

• We have been professionals in marketing research for over 9 years, and have

completed over 1000 industry studies which are updated on a regular basis.

• We collect data via expert interviews with market participants. Industry experts

verify all secondary information used in the report.

• We have an extensive database of economic information in almost every sector of

the economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a

complete picture of the market of interest.

• Our own research methodology guarantees the consistently high quality of our work.

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Research Design

The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian combined feed market and

build a forecast of the industry in the medium term.

Geography of the research: Russia

Methodology

1. Analysis of secondary market data:

Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,

shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state and

private media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBox

Marketing” own research.

2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):

Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the market

and the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on market

participants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sending

requests for price lists and other presentation materials.

3. Expert Interviews with Market Participants

The analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews with

representatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.

Our approach to the estimation

The consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants

(experts).

Experts

As market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-

volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expert

opinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regular

basis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special request

or under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensive

database of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, are

provided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Accuracy of forecasts

The accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historical

period (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts to

create the overall average forecast

Indicators

1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features

the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give

an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their

expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).

2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production

capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of

domestic production.

3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import

operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in

legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of

a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.




Table of Contents About IndexBox

1. Executive summary

2. Research design

3. Classification of combined feed

3.1. Combined feed

3.2. Premixes

3.3. Protein-vitamin-mineral supplements

4. Characteristics of the raw materials’ base

4.1. Raw materials’ base for combined feed

4.1.1. Grain crops

4.1.2. Legume crops

4.1.3. Pomace and oil meal

4.1.4. Fish feed meal

4.2. Raw materials’ base for premixes

4.3. Raw materials’ base for protein-vitamin-mineral supplements

5. Characteristics of the Russian market of combined feed and feed supplements

5.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian combined feed market in 2009 - 2017

5.2. Structure of the combined feed market: production, exports, imports, consumption

5.3. Volume and dynamics of the Russian feed supplements market in 2005 - 2011.

Forecast for 2012 - 2017

5.4. Structure of the feed supplements market: production, exports, imports,

consumption

6. Characteristics of the Russian production of combined feed and feed

supplements

6.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of combined feed in 2008- September 2012

6.2. Volume and dynamics of the production of protein-vitamin supplements in 2005 -

September 2012

6.3. Volume and dynamics of the production of premixes in 2005 - September 2012

6.4. Level of loading of the production capacities

6.5. Production of combined feed by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation

6.5.1. Production of combined feed in the Central Federal District

6.5.2. Production of combined feed in the Northwestern Federal District

6.5.3. Production of combined feed in the Southern Federal District

6.5.4. Production of combined feed in the North Caucausian Federal District

6.5.5. Production of combined feed in the Volga Federal District

6.5.6. Production of combined feed in the Ural Federal District

6.5.7. Production of combined feed in the Siberian Federal District

6.5.8. Production of combined feed in the Far Eastern Federal District

6.6. Production of combined feed by industries

6.7. Production of protein-vitamin supplements by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation




6.8. Production of premixes by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation

6.9. Largest Russian manufacturers of combined feed

6.9.1. OJSC “Belgorod Exmerimental Factory for Fish Combined Feed”

6.9.2. OJSC "Luzinskiy Combined Feed Factory"

6.9.3. CJSC “Gatchinskiy Combined Feed Factory”

6.9.4. OJSC “Bogdanovichskiy Combined Feed Factory”

6.10. Largest Russian manufacturers of feed supplements

6.10.1. CJSC “SELTIC RUS”

6.10.2. LLC "VITARGOS-ROSSOVIT"

6.10.3. CJSC "OKSKAYA POULTRY FACTORY"

6.10.4. OJSC "BOGDANOVICHSKIY COMBINED FEED FACTORY"

6.10.5. CJSC "VITASOL"

7. Characteristics of the prices of combined feed and feed supplements

7.1. Dynamics of the manufacturers’ prices of combined feed

7.2. Dynamics of the manufacturers’ prices of protein-vitamin-mineral supplements

8. Characteristics of needs in the combined feed and feed supplements

8.1. Needs in combined feed by the animal breeding industries

8.2. Needs in feed supplements by the animal breeding industries

9. Characteristics of the imports of combined feed to the Russian market

9.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of combined feed

9.2. Manufacturing countries, importing combined feed to the territory of the Russian

Federation

9.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the combined feed, imported to the Russian

Federation

9.4. Russian companies, recipients of the imports of combined feed

9.5. Structure of the imports of combined feed by regions of the Russian Federation

10. Characteristics of the Russian exports of combined feed

10.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of combined feed

10.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of combined feed

10.3. Manufacturing companies, supplying combined feed for exports

10.4. Sending regions of the Russian exports of combined feed

11. Characteristics of the imports of feed supplements to the Russian market

11.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of feed supplements

11.2. Manufacturing countries, importing feed supplements to the territory of the

Russian Federation

11.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the feed supplements, imported to the

Russian Federation

11.4. Russian companies, recipients of the imports of feed supplements

11.5. Structure of the imports of feed supplements by regions of the Russian Federation

12. Characteristics of the Russian exports of feed supplements

12.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of feed supplements

12.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of feed supplements

12.3. Manufacturing companies, supplying feed supplements for exports

12.4. Sending regions of the Russian exports of feed supplements




13. Factors, influencing the development of the market of combined feed and feed

supplements

13.1. Cattle breeding

13.2. Pig breeding

13.3. Poultry breeding

14. Characteristics of the consumption of combined feed and feed supplements

14.1. Volume and dynamics of the consumption of combined feed in 2008 - 2017

14.2. Forecast for the consumption of combined feed by industries until 2017

14.3. Balance between production and consumption of combined feed

14.4. Volume and dynamics of the consumption of feed supplements in 2005 - 2011.


14.5. Volume and structure of the consumption of feed supplements by Federal Districts

of the Russian Federation in 2005 - 2011. Forecast for 2012 - 2017

14.6. Structure of the consumption of feed supplements by industries in 2005 - 2011.


14.7. Balance between production and consumption of feed supplements

15. Forecast for the development of the market of combined feed and feed

supplements in 2012 - 2017

15.1. Preconditions for development of the Russian economy

15.2. Scenarios for development of the combined feed market

15.3. Scenarios for development of the feed supplements market

Appendix 1. Financial and economic indicators of the industry

Appendix 2. Profiles of the leading manufacturers




List of Tables

Table 1. Approximate formula of 1 ton of full combined feed

Table 2. Dynamics of the combined feed market in 2008 - 2017

Table 3. Volume and dynamics of the feed supplements market in 2008 - 2011 and forecast

until 2017, in thousands of tons

Table 4. Production of combined feed in 2008 - September 2012

Table 5. Production of protein-vitamin-mineral supplements in 2005 - September 2012, in

thousands of tons

Table 6. Production of premixes in 2005- September 2012, in thousands of tons

Table 7. Level of loading of the production capacities, manufacturing combined feed, in %

Table 8. Production of combined feed by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in 2009-

September 2012

Table 9. Production of combined feed in the Central Federal District in 2010 - September

2012, in thousands of tons

Table 10. Production of combined feed in the Northwestern Federal District in 2010 -

September 2012, in thousands of tons

Table 11. Production of combined feed in the Southern Federal District in 2010 - September


Table 12. Production of combined feed in the North Caucausian Federal District in 2010 -


Table 13. Production of combined feed in the Volga Federal District in 2010 - September


Table 14. Production of combined feed in the Ural Federal District in January 2010 -


Table 15. Production of combined feed in the Siberian Federal District in January 2010 -


Table 16. Production of combined feed in the Far Eastern Federal District in January 2010 -


Table 17. Production of protein-vitamin-mineral supplements by Federal Districts of the

Russian Federation in 2005 - September 2012, in thousands of tons

Table 18. Production of premixes by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in 2005-


Table 19. Largest manufacturers of combined feed for birds in 2010

Table 20. Largest manufacturers of combined feed for cattle in 2010

Table 21. Largest manufacturers of combined feed for pigs in 2010

Table 22. Average manufacturers’ prices of combined feed in the Russian Federation in

January 2008 - September 2012

Table 23. Average manufacturers’ prices of protein-vitamin-mineral supplements in the

Russian Federation in January 2007- September 2012

Table 24. Temps of demand for combined feed in the cattle breeding industry in 2010 -

2011 and forecast for 2012

Table 25. Forecasted temps of demand for combined feed in the pig breeding industry in

2010 - 2012




Table 26. Forecasted temps of demand for combined feed in the poultry breeding industry in

2010 - 2012

Table 27. Forecasted temps of demand for biologically active supplements in 2010 - 2012

Table 28. Forecasted temps of demand for biologically active supplements by industries in

2010 - 2012

Table 29. Dynamics of the imports of combined feed in the Russian Federation in January -

December 2011, in tons


December 2011, in thousands of USD


July 2012, in tons


July 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 33. Volume of the imports of combined feed by manufacturing countries in 2011, in

tons

Table 34. Volume of the imports of combined feed by manufacturing countries in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Table 35. Volume of the imports of combined feed by manufacturing countries in January -

July 2012, in tons

Table 36. Volume of the imports of combined feed by manufacturing countries in January -


Table 37. Volume of the imports of combined feed by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

tons

Table 38. Volume of the imports of combined feed by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Table 39. Volume of the imports of combined feed by manufacturing companies in January -

July 2012, in tons

Table 40. Volume of the imports of combined feed by manufacturing companies in January -


Table 41. Volume of the imports of combined feed in the Russian Federation by recipient

companies in 2011, in tons


companies in January-September 2011, in thousands of USD


companies in January - July 2012, in tons


companies in January - July 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 45. Volume of the imports of combined feed by recipient regions of the Russian

Federation in 2011, in tons


Federation in 2011, in thousands of USD


Federation in January - July 2012, in tons





Federation in January - July 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 49. Volume of the Russian exports of combined feed in 2011, in tons

Table 50. Volume of the Russian exports of combined feed in 2011, in USD

Table 51. Volume of the Russian exports of combined feed in January - July 2012, in tons

Table 52. Volume of the Russian exports of combined feed in January - July 2012, in

thousands of USD

Table 53. Volume of the Russian exports of combined feed by recipient countries in 2011,

in tons

Table 54. Volume of the Russian exports of combined feed by recipient countries in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Table 55. Volume of the Russian exports of combined feed by recipient countries in January

- July 2012, in tons

Table 56. Volume of the Russian exports of combined feed by recipient countries in January

- July 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 57. Volume of the Russian exports of combined feed by manufacturing companies in

2011 , in tons


2011 , in thousands of USD


January-September 2011, in tons


January - July 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 61. Volume of the Russian exports of combined feed by sending regions in 2011, in

tons

Table 62. Volume of the Russian exports of combined feed by sending regions in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Table 63. Volume of the Russian exports of combined feed by sending regions in January -

July 2012, in tons

Table 64. Volume of the Russian exports of combined feed by sending regions in January -


Table 65. Dynamics of the imports of feed supplements in the Russian Federation in January

- December 2011, in tons

Table 66. Dynamics of the imports of feed supplements in the Russian Federation in January

- December 2011, in thousands of USD

Table 67. Dynamics of the imports of feed supplements in the Russian Federation in

January-June 2012, in tons

Table 68. Dynamics of the imports of feed supplements in the Russian Federation in

January-June 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 69. Volume of the imports of feed supplements by manufacturing countries in 2011,

in tons

Table 70. Volume of the imports of feed supplements by manufacturing countries in 2011,

in thousands of USD

Table 71. Volume of the imports of feed supplements by manufacturing countries in





Table 72. Volume of the imports of feed supplements by manufacturing countries in


Table 73. Volume of the imports of feed supplements by manufacturing companies in 2011,

in tons

Table 74. Volume of the imports of feed supplements by manufacturing companies in 2011,

in thousands of USD

Table 75. Volume of the imports of feed supplements by manufacturing companies in


Table 76. Volume of the imports of feed supplements by manufacturing companies in


Table 77. Volume of the imports of feed supplements in the Russian Federation by recipient

companies in 2011, in tons


companies in January-September 2011, in thousands of USD


companies in January-June 2012, in tons


companies in January-June 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 81. Volume of the imports of feed supplements by recipient regions of the Russian

Federation in 2011, in tons


Federation in 2011, in thousands of USD


Federation in January-June 2012, in tons


Federation in January-June 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 85. Volume of the Russian exports of feed supplements in 2011, in tons

Table 86. Volume of the Russian exports of feed supplements in 2011, in USD

Table 87. Volume of the Russian exports of feed supplements in January-June 2012, in tons

Table 88. Volume of the Russian exports of feed supplements in January-June 2012, in

thousands of USD

Table 89. Volume of the Russian exports of feed supplements by recipient countries in 2011,

in tons

Table 90. Volume of the Russian exports of feed supplements by recipient countries in 2011,

in thousands of USD

Table 91. Volume of the Russian exports of feed supplements by recipient countries in


Table 92. Volume of the Russian exports of feed supplements by recipient countries in


Table 93. Volume of the Russian exports of feed supplements by manufacturing companies

in 2011 , in tons


in 2011 , in thousands of USD





in January-September 2011, in tons


in January-June 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 97. Volume of the Russian exports of feed supplements by sending regions in 2011,

in tons

Table 98. Volume of the Russian exports of feed supplements by sending regions in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Table 99. Volume of the Russian exports of feed supplements by sending regions in


Table 100. Volume of the Russian exports of feed supplements by sending regions in


Table 101. Consumption of combined feed by industries in 2010 - 2011, in thousands of

tons

Table 102. Structure of the consumption of combined feed by industries in 2011 - 2017

Table 103. Forecast for the balance between supply and demand on the combined feed

market in 2011 - 2017, in thousands of tons

Table 104. Consumption of feed supplements in 2008 - 2011 and forecast until 2017, in

thousands of tons

Table 105. Forecast for the balance between supply and demand on the feed supplements

market in 2011 - 2017, in thousands of tons

Table 106. Structure of the consumption of feed supplements by industries in 2008 - 2011

and forecast until 2017




List of Figures

Fig. 1. Structure of usage of grain and legume crops in the production of combined feed in

the Russian Federation

Fig. 2. Structure of usage of raw materials for the production of combined feed in the

Russian Federation

Fig. 3. Gross grain harvest in the Russian Federation in 1995 - 2010

Fig. 4. Structure of gross harvest of grain crops by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation in 2010

Fig. 5. Gross yield of legume crops in the Russian Federation in 1995 - 2010

Fig. 6. Structure of gross harvest of legumes by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation

in 2010

Fig. 7. Production of pomace and oilcake in the Russian Federation in 2005 - 2010

Fig. 8. Production of pomace and oilcake in 2008 - 2010, in %, to the analogical period of

the previous year.

Fig. 9. Production of fish meal in the Russian Federation in 2005 - 2010

Fig. 10. Production of fish meal in 2008 – 2010, in %, to the analogical period of the

previous year

Fig. 11. Volume of supply on the combined feed market in 2008 - 2017, in thousands of

tons

Fig. 12. Volume of supply on the combined feed market in 2008 - 2017, in billions of RUR

Fig. 13. Dynamics and structure of the combined feed market in 2008 - 2011 and forecast

until 2017, in thousands of tons

Fig. 14. Volume of supply on the feed supplements market in 2005 - 2011 and forecast for

2012 - 2017, in thousands of tons

Fig. 15. Volume of supply on the feed supplements market in 2008 - 2011 and forecast for

2012 - 2017, in billions of RUR

Fig. 16. Dynamics and structure of the feed supplements market in 2005 - 2011 and

forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons

Fig. 17. Production of combined feed in January 2011 - September 2012, in thousands of

tons

Fig. 18. Production of combined feed in January 2010 - September 2012, in %, to the

analogical period of the previous year

Fig. 19. Production of combined feed in 2006 - 2011, in thousands of tons

Fig. 20. Production of combined feed in 2007 - 2011, in billions of RUR

Fig. 21. Production of protein-vitamin-mineral supplements in 2011 - September 2012, in

thousands of tons

Fig. 22. Production of protein-vitamin-mineral supplements in January 2010 - September

2012, in %, to the analogical period of the previous year

Fig. 23. Production of protein-vitamin supplements in 2005 - 2011, in tons

Fig. 24. Production of premixes in 2011 - September 2012, in thousands of tons

Fig. 25. Production of premixes in January 2010 - September 2012, in %, to the analogical

period of the previous year

Fig. 26. Production of premixes in 2005 - 2011, in tons




Fig. 27. Level of loading of the capacities of manufacturing combined feed in 2001 - 2011,

in %

Fig. 28. Structure of the production of combined feed by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation in the Russian Federation in 2005 - 2011

Fig. 29. Structure of the production of combined feed by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation in January - September 2012

Fig. 30. Structure of the production of combined feed in the CFD, in January-September

2012

Fig. 31. Structure of the production of combined feed in the Northwestern FD in January-

September 2012

Fig. 32. Structure of the production of combined feed in the SFD in January-September

2012

Fig. 33. Structure of the production of combined feed in the NCFD in January-September

2012

Fig. 34. Structure of the production of combined feed in the VFD in January-September

2012

Fig. 35. Structure of the production of combined feed in the UFD in January-September

2012

Fig. 36. Structure of the production of combined feed in the Siberian FD in January-

September 2012

Fig. 37. Structure of the production of combined feed in the FEFD in January-September

2012

Fig. 38. Structure of the production of combined feed by industries in January-September

2012

Fig. 39. Structure of the production of combined feed and feed supplements by industries in

1990 - 2011

Fig. 40. Structure of the production of protein-vitamin-mineral supplements by Federal

Districts of the Russian Federation in 2005 - 2011

Fig. 41. Structure of the production of protein-vitamin-mineral supplements by Federal

Districts of the Russian Federation in January-September 2012

Fig. 42. Structure of the production of premixes by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation in 2005 - 2011

Fig. 43. Structure of the production of premixes by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation in January-September 2012

Fig. 44. Structure of the production of feed supplements in the Russian Federation in

physical terms by manufacturers in 2010

Fig. 45. Indexes of the average manufacturers’ prices of combined feed in the Russian

Federation in January-September 2012

Fig. 46. Dynamics of the average manufacturers’ prices of combined feed in the Russian

Federation in January 2011 - September 2012, deviation in %, to the analogical period of

the previous year

Fig. 47. Comparison of the average manufacturers’ prices of combined feed by Federal

Districts of the Russian Federation in September 2012

Fig. 48. Indexes of the average manufacturers’ prices of protein-vitamin-mineral




supplements in the Russian Federation in January - December 2011

Fig. 49. Indexes of the average manufacturers’ prices of protein-vitamin-mineral

supplements in the Russian Federation in January-September 2012

Fig. 50. Dynamics of the average manufacturers’ prices of protein-vitamin-mineral

supplements in the Russian Federation in January 2011 - September 2012, deviation in %,

to the analogical period of the previous year

Fig. 51. Comparison of the average manufacturers’ prices of protein-vitamin-mineral

supplements by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in September 2012

Fig. 52. Structure of requirements of combined feed by animal breeding industries in 2011

Fig. 53. Structure of requirements of feed supplements by animal breeding industries in

2011

Fig. 54. Dynamics of the imports of combined feed in the Russian Federation in January -





July 2012, in tons



Fig. 58. Structure of the imports of combined feed in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing countries in 2011 in physical terms


manufacturing countries in 2011 in value terms


manufacturing countries in January - July 2012 in physical terms


manufacturing countries in January - July 2012 in value terms


manufacturing companies in 2011 in physical terms


manufacturing companies in 2011 in value terms


manufacturing companies in January - July 2012 in physical terms


manufacturing companies in January - July 2012 in value terms

Fig. 66. Structure of the imports of combined feed in the Russian Federation by recipient

companies in 2011 in physical terms


companies in January-September 2011 in value terms


companies in January - July 2012 in physical terms


companies in January - July 2012 in value terms

Fig. 70. Structure of the imports of combined feed by recipient regions of the Russian




Federation in 2011 in physical terms


Federation in 2011 in value terms


Federation in January - July 2012 in physical terms


Federation in January - July 2012 in value terms

Fig. 74. Dynamics of the Russian exports of combined feed in 2011, in tons

Fig. 75. Dynamics of the Russian exports of combined feed in 2011, in thousands of USD

Fig. 76. Dynamics of the Russian exports of combined feed in January - July 2012, in tons

Fig. 77. Dynamics of the Russian exports of combined feed in January - July 2012, in

thousands of USD

Fig. 78. Structure of the Russian exports of combined feed by recipient countries in 2011 in

physical terms

Fig. 79. Structure of the Russian exports of combined feed by recipient countries in 2011 in

value terms

Fig. 80. Structure of the Russian exports of combined feed by recipient countries in January

- July 2012 in physical terms

Fig. 81. Structure of the Russian exports of combined feed by recipient countries in January

- July 2012 in value terms

Fig. 82. Structure of the Russian exports of combined feed by manufacturing companies in

2011 in physical terms


2011 in value terms


January - July 2012 in physical terms


January - July 2012 in value terms

Fig. 86. Structure of the Russian exports of combined feed by sending regions in 2011 in

physical terms

Fig. 87. Structure of the Russian exports of combined feed by sending regions in 2011 in

value terms

Fig. 88. Structure of the Russian exports of combined feed by sending regions in January -

July 2012 in physical terms

Fig. 89. Structure of the Russian exports of combined feed by sending regions in January -

July 2012 in value terms

Fig. 90. Dynamics of the imports of feed supplements in the Russian Federation in January -


Fig. 91. Dynamics of the imports of feed supplements in the Russian Federation in January -


Fig. 92. Dynamics of the imports of feed supplements in the Russian Federation in January-

June 2012, in tons

Fig. 93. Dynamics of the imports of feed supplements in the Russian Federation in January-

June 2012, in thousands of USD




Fig. 94. Structure of the imports of feed supplements in the Russian Federation by



manufacturing countries in 2011 in value terms


manufacturing countries in January - July 2012 in physical terms


manufacturing countries in January-June 2012 in value terms




manufacturing companies in 2011 in value terms


manufacturing companies in January-June 2012 in physical terms


manufacturing companies in January-June 2012 in value terms


recipient companies in 2011 in physical terms


recipient companies in January-September 2011 in value terms


recipient companies in January-June 2012 in physical terms


recipient companies in January-June 2012 in value terms

Fig. 106. Structure of the imports of feed supplements by recipient regions of the Russian

Federation in 2011 in physical terms


Federation in 2011 in value terms


Federation in January-June 2012 in physical terms


Federation in January-June 2012 in value terms

Fig. 110. Dynamics of the Russian exports of feed supplements in 2011, in tons

Fig. 111. Dynamics of the Russian exports of feed supplements in 2011, in thousands of

USD

Fig. 112. Dynamics of the Russian exports of feed supplements in January-June 2012, in

tons

Fig. 113. Dynamics of the Russian exports of feed supplements in January-June 2012, in

thousands of USD

Fig. 114. Structure of the Russian exports of feed supplements by recipient countries in

2011 in physical terms


2011 in value terms





January-June 2012 in physical terms


January-June 2012 in value terms

Fig. 118. Structure of the Russian exports of feed supplements by manufacturing companies

in 2011 in physical terms


in 2011 in value terms


in January-June 2012 in physical terms


in January-June 2012 in value terms

Fig. 122. Structure of the Russian exports of feed supplements by sending regions in 2011

in physical terms

Fig. 123. Structure of the Russian exports of feed supplements by sending regions in 2011

in value terms

Fig. 124. Structure of the Russian exports of feed supplements by sending regions in

January-June 2012 in physical terms

Fig. 125. Structure of the Russian exports of feed supplements by sending regions in

January-June 2012 in value terms

Fig. 126. Number of cattle in the Russian Federation in 2005 - 2011 and forecast until 2017

Fig. 127. Number of pigs in the Russian Federation in 2005 - 2011 and forecast until 2017

Fig. 128. Number of poultry in the Russian Federation in 2005 - 2011 and forecast until

2017

Fig. 129. Dynamics of the consumption of combined feed in 2008 - 2017, in thousands of

tons

Fig. 130. Structure of the consumption of combined feed by industries in January -

September 2012

Fig. 131. Forecast for the balance between supply and deman on the combined feed market

in 2008 - 2017

Fig. 132. Dynamics of the consumption of feed supplements in the Russian Federation in


Fig. 133. Consumption of feed supplements by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in

2011

Fig. 134. Consumption of feed supplements by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in

2005 - 2011 and forecast until 2017

Fig. 135. Structure of the consumption of feed supplements by industries in 2011

Fig. 136. Structure of the consumption of feed supplements by industries in 2005 - 2011

and forecast until 2017

Fig. 137. Forecast for the balance between production and consumption on the feed

supplements market in 2005 - 2017

Fig. 138. Base scenario for the development of the combined feed market in 2011 - 2017, in

thousands of tons

Fig. 139. Conservative scenario for the development of the combined feed market in 2011 -





Fig. 140. Pessimistic scenario for the development of the combined feed market in 2011 -


Fig. 141. Base scenario for the development of the feed supplements market in 2011 -


Fig. 142. Conservative scenario for the development of the feed supplements market in


Fig. 143. Pessimistic scenario for the development of the feed supplements market in 2011

- 2017, in thousands of tons




Executive Summary*

…

The volume of supply on the Russian combined feed market in 2012 was almost … tons,

which is …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume

of imported products on the combined feed market was …%.

The volume of production of combined feed in 2012 was … tons, which is …% higher than

the volume of production in 2011.

The largest share (…%) of all combined feed manufactured in the Russian Federation in

2012 belongs to the … Federal District.

In 2012, the import volume of combined feed in Russia amounted to … tons in physical

terms and to … thousand USD in value terms.

In 2012, the volume of the Russian exports of combined feed was … tons, which was equal

to … thousand USD in value terms.

…

*The information provided from this point on in this demo version is for illustrative purposes

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Key figures and

conclusions

about the market

mailto:[email protected]




6. Characteristics of the Russian

combined feed market

...

6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian combined feed

market in 2007 - 2012. Forecast for 2012 – 2017

The volume of supply on the Russian combined feed market in 2012 was almost … tons,

which is …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume

of imported products on the combined feed market was …% of the total market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the combined feed market in 2008 - 2012 and

forecast for 2013 -2017, in thousands of tons (base scenario)




6.2. Structure of the combined feed market in Russia: production,

exports, imports, consumption

The volume of imports of combined feed in 2012 was about … tons, which was …% of the

total market volume. A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is presented

below.

Table 6. Volume and dynamics of the combined feed market in 2008 - 2012

and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons

2009 2010 2011F 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Volume of production

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of

exports In units

… … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of imports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of total supply

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 6. Volume and dynamics of the combined feed market in 2008 - 2012 and

forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Production Consumption

Exports Imports




7. Characteristics of the domestic

production of combined feed in Russia

in 2007 - 2012

…

7.1 Volume and dynamics of combined feed production in 2007 -

2012

In 2011, the volume of production was higher than for the analogical period of the previous

year.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 8 Combined feed production in 2007 - 2011, in thousands of tons

Characteristics of domestic production

- Volume and dynamics by type of

product

- Production capacities

- Structure of production

- Main producers and their market shares




Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 9 Combined feed production in 2011 - 2012, in thousands of tons and in %, to

the previous year




7.6 The main manufacturers of combined feed and their

corresponding market shares

The main manufacturers of combined feed in Russia in 2011 were Company A, Company B,

and Company C. They produced …, …, and … tons, respectively. They were followed by

Company D (… tons, equal to …% of the total production) and Company E (… tons - …%).

Table 16. Characteristics of the largest manufacturers of pig iron in Russia in 2010

- 2011, in thousands of tons

Manufacturer Region

Production

of combined

feed, in tons

Market

share

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

OTHERS … …

TOTAL … …

Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

…




8. Characteristics of combined feed prices 8.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of combined feed

Manufacturers’ prices of combined feed have been fluctuating a lot in the last 5 years – from … RUR/ton in 2007, through … RUR/ton in

2009 to … RUR/ton in December 2012. In 2012, the prices were lower in …, when they were equal to … RUR/ton. They reached their

highest value in …, when they were … RUR/ton, which was …% more, compared to the analogical period of the previous year.

Table 20. Average manufacturers’ prices1 of combined feed in Russia in January 2007 – November 2012

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In % to analogical period of the

previous year

In % to December of the previous

year

In % to the

previous

month

In RUR/ ton

In % to analogical

period of the previous

year

In % to December of the previous

year

In % to the

previous

month

January … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

February … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

March … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

April … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

May … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

June … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

July … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

August … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

September … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

October … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

November … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

December … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”) 1 Manufacturers’ prices – subject to registration, as a rule, are the actual prices of produced and shipped in the current month production for the domestic market (excluding value added tax, excise duty and other taxes not included in the cost).




9. Characteristics of the imports of

combined feed to the Russian market 9.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian imports of

combined feed

…

The volume of Russian imports of combined feed in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount of

combined feed was imported in …, when were imported … tons.

Table 22. Dynamics of the imports of combined feed in the Russian

Federation in January-December 2011, in tons

Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …

Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)





Fig. 18. Dynamics of the imports of combined feed in the Russian Federation in

January-December 2011, in tons

9.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imported

combined feed on the territory of the Russian Federation

Country A was the leader in terms of imports of combined feed (in physical terms) in 2011,

with a share of …% of the total. The country imported … tons of combined feed in 2011. The

second place was taken by Country B, which in 2011 imported … tons of combined feed (a

share of …%, respectively). In the third place was Country C with a share of …%.







Table 24. Volume of the imports of combined feed in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing countries in 2011, in tons

Country of origin Net weight, in tons Share, in %

Country A … …%

Country B … …%

Country C … …%

Country D … …%

Country E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


9.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the combined feed,

imported to the Russian Federation

Company A was the leader in terms of imports of combined feed (in physical terms) in

2011, with a share of …% of the total. The company imported … tons of combined feed in

2011. The second place was taken by Company B, which in 2011 imported … tons of

combined feed (a share of …%, respectively). In the third place was Company C with a

share of …%.

25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Country A

Country B

Country C

Country D

Country E

OTHERS







Table 26. Volume of the imports of combined feed in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing companies in 2011, in tons

Manufacturing company Net weight, in tons Share, in %

Company A … …%

Company B … …%

Company C … …%

Company D … …%

Company E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Company A

Company B

Company C

Company D

Company E

OTHERS




10. Characteristics of the Russian

exports of combined feed 10.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of

combined feed

…

The volume of Russian exports of combined feed in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount of

combined feed was exported in …, when were exported … tons.

Table 31. Dynamics of the exports of combined feed in the Russian Federation

in January-December 2011, in tons

Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …






Fig. 27. Dynamics of the exports of combined feed in the Russian Federation in

January-December 2011, in tons

10.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of combined feed

In 2011, the main recipient country of the Russian exports of combined feed was Country A.

Its share in physical terms was …%. It was then followed by Country B (…%) and Country C

(…%). To Country D and Country E were exported …% and …%, respectively. The combined

share of the other countries is …%.





Fig. 29. Structure of the Russian exports of combined feed by recipient countries

in 2011 in physical terms

Table 33. Volume of the Russian exports of combined feed by recipient countries in

2011, in tons

Recipient country Net weight, in tons Share, in %

Country A … …%

Country B … …%

Country C … …%

Country D … …%

Country E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


…

25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Country A

Country B

Country C

Country D

Country E

OTHERS




12. Characteristics of consumption

of combined feed 12.1. Volume and dynamics of consumption of combined feed

in 2008 - 2012. Forecast for 2013 - 2017

The volume of consumption of combined feed in 2012 was … tons, which was …% more,

compared to 2011. In 2011 was noted the largest drop in the consumption of combined

feed in recent years - a decline of …% to … thousand tons. Another decline in recent years

was observed in 2009, when the growth rate was …%, compared to 2008. At the end of

2012, the consumption of combined feed almost reached the level in 2010, but the growth

is not yet possible to reach the pre-crisis levels of 2007 - 2008.

According to forecasts, the favorable development of the consuming industries can help

consumption of combined feed increase in the next few years with rates of …-…% annually.

Thus, by 2017, the consumption can reach … million tons. The demand for combined feed in

the country will be met, as before, by the Russian manufacturers, who account for over …%

of the market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 40. Dynamics of consumption of combined feed in the Russian Federation

in 2008 – 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons




12.2. Structure of consumption of combined feed by

industries

Currently, the largest shares in the consumption of combined feed are taken by Industry A

(…%) and Industry B (…%). Industry C accounts for about … of the market, while Industry

D consumes about …% of the combined feed in Russia.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 42. Structure of consumption of combined feed by industries in 2012

35%

37%

10%

8%

10% Industry A Industry B

Industry C Industry D

Others




12.3. Balance between production and consumption of combined

feed

In the forecasted balance between production and consumption are used estimates of the

consumption of combined feed and projections for increase in production.

Throughout the forecast horizon, 2013 – 2017, there is a positive balance, calculated as the

difference between production and consumption. The surplus on the market, as before, will

be exported, mainly to the countries of the Customs Union, where most purchases are in

made in Kazakhstan.

Table 1. Balance between production and consumption on the

combined feed market in Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in

thousands of tons

Indicator 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Production … … … … … … … … … …

Consumption … … … … … … … … … …

Balance

(Production-

Consumption)

… … … … … … … … … …

Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 47. Balance between production and consumption on the combined feed

market in Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons

20082009

20102011

20122013F

2014F2015F

2016F2017F

Consumption

Production




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