Russia bituminous coal market

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Russia: Bituminous

Market

Analysis and Forecast to 2017

December 2012

Marketing Research

http://www.russianmarketreport.com/

from 18 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Market Research Russia: Bituminous Coal Market. December 2012 (Demo-version)

Brief Overview

The report on the Russian bituminous coal market contains:

Analysis and forecast of market dynamics;

Structure of consumption by region;

Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main market players;

Analysis of exports and imports;

Analysis of factors, influencing the development of the market;

Analysis of raw materials’ base;

Analysis of the state of the consuming industries;

Assessment and forecast of market development;

Financial and economic profiles of the leading companies in the industry.

Methodology:

Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market;

Analysis of information, received from the main market participants;

An analysis of statistical information:

o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat);

o The Federal Customs Service (FTS);

o The Ministry of Economic Development;

o The Federal Tax Service;

o Industry associations.

The report will allow you to:

1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on

market data;

2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.

Key figures presented in the report on the Russian bituminous coal market:

Volumes of production, exports and imports;

Indicators of market development;

Consumption indicators.

The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of the

forecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,

importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and

unions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided with

special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




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completed over 1000 industry studies which are updated on a regular basis.

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verify all secondary information used in the report.

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the economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a

complete picture of the market of interest.

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Research Design

The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian bituminous coal market and

build a forecast of the industry in the medium term.

Geography of the research: Russia

Methodology

1. Analysis of secondary market data:

Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,

shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state and

private media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBox

Marketing” own research.

2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):

Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the market

and the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on market

participants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sending

requests for price lists and other presentation materials.

3. Expert Interviews with Market Participants

The analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews with

representatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.

Our approach to the estimation

The consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants

(experts).

Experts

As market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-

volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expert

opinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regular

basis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special request

or under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensive

database of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, are

provided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Accuracy of forecasts

The accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historical

period (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts to

create the overall average forecast

Indicators

1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features

the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give

an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their

expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).

2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production

capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of

domestic production.

3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import

operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in

legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of

a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.




Table of Contents 1. Executive summary

2. Research design

3. Classification of bituminous coal

4. Mining technology of bituminous coal

5. Characteristics of the Russian bituminous coal market in 2008 – 2011. Forecast

for 2012 - 2017

5.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian bituminous coal market in 2008 – 2011.

Forecast for 2012 - 2017

5.2. Structure of the bituminous coal market: production, exports, imports,

consumption

6. Characteristics of the domestic production of bituminous coal in 2008 – 2011.


6.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of bituminous coal in 2008 - September

2012

6.2. Structure of production of bituminous coal by regions of the Russian Federation

6.3. Production capacities and their level of loading

6.4. Main manufacturers of bituminous coal and their corresponding shares

6.4.1. OJSC UK “Kuzbassrazrezugol”

6.4.2. OJSC “UK “South Kuzbass”

6.4.3. CJSC “Raspadskaya UK”

6.4.4. OJSC “OUK “Yuzhkuzbassugol”

6.4.5. OJSC “Belon”

6.4.6. CJSC “Sibuglemet”

6.4.7. OJSC “Vorkutaugol”

6.4.8. LLC UK “Prokopyevskugol”

6.4.9. OJSC “Yakutugol”

6.5. Investment projects in the industry

7. Characteristics of bituminous coal prices

7.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of bituminous coal in 2010 - October 2012

7.2. Comparison of manufacturers’ prices of bituminous coal by Federal Districts of the

Russian Federation

8. Characteristics of the imports of bituminous coal to the Russian market

8.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of bituminous coal

8.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imported bituminous coal on the

territory of the Russian Federation

8.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the bituminous coal, imported to the

Russian Federation

8.4. Russian companies, recipients of the imports of bituminous coal

8.5. Structure of the imports of bituminous coal by regions of the Russian Federation

9. Characteristics of the Russian exports of bituminous coal

9.1.Volume and dynamics of the exports of bituminous coal




9.2.Recipient countries of the Russian exports of bituminous coal

9.3.Manufacturing companies, supplying bituminous coal for exports

9.4.Sending regions of the Russian exports of bituminous coal

10. Factors, influencing the development of the Russian bituminous coal market

10.1. State of the energy industry

10.2. Government initiatives in the industry

11. Characteristics of the consumption of bituminous coal

11.1. Volume and dynamics of consumption of bituminous coal in 2008 – 2011.


11.2.Balance between production and consumption of bituminous coal in 2005 - 2010

12. Forecast for the development of the bituminous coal market in Russia in 2012

- 2017

12.1. Evaluation of the potential volume of supply of bituminous coal in 2012 - 2017

Appendix1. Profiles of the leading manufacturers

• Contact details

• Registration data

• Management information

• Daughter organizations

• Main shareholders

• Accounting balance

• Income statement

• Key financial indicators




Data, presented in Tables

• Dynamics of the bituminous coal market in 2008 - 2017

• Production of bituminous coal in 2010 - September 2012, in thousands of tons

• Volume of production of bituminous coal by types in January - September 2012, in

thousands of tons

• Production of bituminous coal by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in 2011,

in thousands of tons

• Usage of the average annual production capacity for the manufacturing of

bituminous coal in 2010 - 2011 by regions of the Russian Federation, in %

• Average manufacturers’ prices of bituminous coal in the Russian Federation in

January 2010 - October 2012

• Volume of the imports of bituminous coal by manufacturing countries in 2011, in

thousands of tons

• Volume of the imports of bituminous coal by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

thousands of tons

• Volume of the imports of bituminous coal in the Russian Federation by importing

companies in 2011, in thousands of tons

• Volume of the imports of bituminous coal by regions of the Russian Federation in

2011, in thousands of tons

• Volume of the Russian exports of bituminous coal by recipient countries in 2011, in

thousands of tons

• Volume of the Russian exports of bituminous coal by manufacturing companies in


• Indicators of the state of the energy industry in 2010 - 2011

• Forecast for the volumes of consumption of bituminous coal until 2017 by Federal

Districts




Data, presented in Figures

• Volume of supply on the bituminous coal market in 2008 - 2017

• Production of bituminous coal in 2010 - 2012, in thousands of tons

• Production of bituminous coal in January 2010 - March 2011, in %, to the analogical

period of the previous year

• Production of bituminous coal in 2010 - 2012, in thousands of tons

• Structure of production of bituminous coal in January - September 2012, in

thousands of tons

• Structure of production of bituminous coal by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation in January - September 2012

• Structure of production of bituminous coal by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation in 2011

• Production capacities for the manufacturing of bituminous coal by Federal Districts of

the Russian Federation in 2011, in thousands of tons

• Level of usage of the annual average production capacity for the manufacturing of

bituminous coal in 2010 - 2011, in %

• Index of the average manufacturers’ prices of bituminous coal in the Russian

Federation in January - October 2012

• Dynamics of the average manufacturers’ prices of bituminous coal in the Russian

Federation in January 2010 - October 2012, deviation in %, to the analogical period of the

previous year

• Comparison of the average manufacturers’ prices of bituminous coal by Federal

Districts, in October 2012

• Dynamics of the imports of bituminous coal in the Russian Federation in January -

July 2012, in thousands of tons

• Structure of the imports of bituminous coal in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing countries in 2011

• Structure of the imports of bituminous coal in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing companies in 2011

• Structure of the imports of bituminous coal in the Russian Federation by importing

companies

• Structure of the imports of bituminous coal by regions of the Russian Federation в

2011

• Dynamics of the Russian exports of bituminous coal in 2011, in thousands of tons

• Structure of the Russian exports of bituminous coal by recipient countries in 2011

• Structure of the Russian exports of bituminous coal by manufacturing companies in

2011

• Structure of the Russian exports of bituminous coal by sending regions in 2011

• Dynamics of consumption of bituminous coal in the Russian Federation in 2010 -





Executive Summary

…

The volume of supply on the Russian bituminous coal market in 2012 was almost … tons,

which is …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume

of imported products on the bituminous coal market was …%.

The volume of production of bituminous coal in 2012 was … tons, which is …% higher than

the volume of production in 2011.

The largest share (…%) of all bituminous coal manufactured in the Russian Federation in

2012 belongs to the … Federal District.

In 2012, the import volume of bituminous coal in Russia amounted to … tons in physical

terms and to … thousand USD in value terms.

…

Key figures and

conclusions

about the market




5. Characteristics of the Russian

bituminous coal market

...

5.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian bituminous coal

market in 2007 - 2012. Forecast for 2012 – 2017

The volume of supply on the Russian bituminous coal market in 2012 was almost … tons,

which is …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume

of imported products on the bituminous coal market was …% of the total market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 1. Volume of the supply of bituminous coal in 2008 - 2012 and forecast

for 2013 - 2017, in thousands of tons and percentage




5.2. Structure of the bituminous coal market in Russia:

production, exports, imports, consumption

The volume of imports of bituminous coal in 2012 was about … tons, which was …% of the

total market volume. A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is presented

below.

Table 1. Volume and dynamics of the bituminous coal market in Russia in

2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in tons

2009 2010 2011F 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Volume of production

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of

exports In units

… … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of imports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of total supply

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




6. Characteristics of the domestic

production of bituminous coal in

Russia in 2007 - 2012

…

6.1 Volume and dynamics of bituminous coal production in 2007

- 2012

In 2011, the volume of production was higher than for the analogical period of the previous

year.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 6 Bituminous coal production in 2007 - 2011, in thousands of tons

Characteristics of domestic production

- Volume and dynamics by type of

product

- Production capacities

- Structure of production

- Main producers and their market shares




6.5 The main manufacturers of bituminous coal and their

corresponding market shares

Table 4. Manufacturers of bituminous coal and their corresponding market shares

in 2011

Manufacturer Region

Production

of

bituminous

coal, in tons

Market

share

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

OTHERS … …

TOTAL … …

Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

…





8. Characteristics of the imports of

bituminous coal into the Russian

market 8.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of bituminous

coal

…

The volume of imports of bituminous coal in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount of

bituminous coal was imported in …, when were imported … tons.

Table 8. Volume and dynamics of the imports of bituminous coal in 2012, in

thousands of liters of 100% alcohol

Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …

Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)





Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 30. Dynamics of the imports of bituminous coal in Russia in 2012, in

thousands of liters of 100% alcohol and in %

…





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