RTC Mobility Plan WorkshopNorth Central Texas Council of Governments

July 9, 2015

2

Agenda

1. Introduction to the Metropolitan Transportation Plan (MTP)

2. New Planning Parameters3. Emerging Planning and Policy Considerations4. Additional Plan Topic Fast Facts5. Financial Elements of the MTP6. Other Discussion

3

Item 1: Introduction to the MTP

4

What is the Metropolitan Transportation Plan?

Represents a blueprint for the region’s multimodal transportation system

Covers years 2016 - 2040

Responds to Regional Transportation Council goals

Identifies policies, programs, and projects for continued development

Guides the expenditure of federal and state transportation funds

5

Existing Metropolitan Transportation Plan Goals

Mobility• Improve the availability of transportation options for people and goods.• Support travel efficiency measures and system enhancements targeted at congestion reduction

and management.• Assure all communities are provided access to the regional transportation system and planning

process.Quality of Life

• Preserve and enhance the natural environment, improve air quality, and promote active lifestyles.

• Encourage livable communities that support sustainability and economic vitality.

System Sustainability

• Ensure adequate maintenance and enhance the safety and reliability of the existing transportation system.

• Pursue long-term, sustainable revenue sources to address regional transportation system needs.

Implementation

• Provide for timely project planning and implementation.• Develop cost-effective projects and programs aimed at reducing the costs associated with

constructing, operating, and maintaining the regional transportation system.

6

Long-Range Planning Timeframes

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

2041

2042

2043

2044

2045

Mobility 2035

Mobility 2040

Mobility 2045

*Adopted

*Updated

*Amended Planning Horizon*

Planning Horizon*

Planning Horizon*

*Anticipated Adoption

*Anticipated Adoption

As part of the continuous planning process, the MTP must be updated at least every four years, and can be amended as needed.

7

Item 2: New Planning Parameters

8

What is New for Mobility 2040?

Planning Horizon• Extending five years further into the future• ~900,000 more people from 2035 to 2040

Planning Requirements• MAP-21 performance based planning ‐Official guidance is pending, efforts underway to meet the spirit of the law

• Texas House Bill 20‐MPOs required to develop a 10-year plan

9

2040 Demographics

•Metropolitan Planning Area (MPA) population estimated to reach 10.7 million by 2040 ‐ 4.3 million more people from 2010 to 2040‐ 85% of this growth will occur in Collin, Dallas, Denton, and

Tarrant counties•MPA employment estimated to reach 6.7 million by 2040

‐ 2.8 million more jobs from 2010 to 2040‐ 93% of this growth will occur in Collin, Dallas, Denton, and

Tarrant counties• As regional demographics change, providing a variety of

transportation choices will be important

10

Legislative Outcomes

Lawmakers have provided opportunities for new funding for transportation

Revenue SourcePriced Facility

UseTransit

Use

Estimated Statewide Revenue (in billions)

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Prop. 1 No No

End Diversions Yes No

Sales Tax* No No

Excise Tax* No No

Total Revenue $1.74 $1.81 $1.79 $4.84 $4.84 $5.53* Pending voter approval

11

Item 3: Emerging Planning and Policy Considerations

12

Mobility 2035 Roadway Recommendations

13

Roadway Project Status

DRAFT

14

Balancing Tolled vs. Tax-Funded Facilities

2013 2035

Freeway/Tollway/Managed LanesTotal Lane Miles

13%

87%

22%

69%

9%

Leveraging funds has been effective in

delivering both tolled and non-tolled capacity.

15

Planned Funding

$3.6 B, 73 miDART Blue Line - UNT ExtensionCotton BeltD2 (Phase 1)TEX RailDallas Streetcar

$8.3 B, 210 miCleburne LineD2 (Phase 2)A-Train Extension to Belt LineFrisco LineHSR Airport Connector Mansfield LineMcKinney LineMidlothian LineGreen Line - Southeast ExtensionSpeedway LineScyene LineWaxahachie Line

$1.2 B, 31 miHigh Speed Rail (HSR) East/West

$0.8 B, 40 miRegional HSR Connections

16

Past Efforts to Advance Rail Service

Year Effort Result Year Effort Result

2002-2004

Regional Transit Summit, Regional Rail Corridor Study, Regional Transit Initiative

2005- 2006

Regional Transit System Review Committee

2005-2006

Support for Regional Transit System Review Committee

2007 HB 2084 and SB 257 introduced without result

2007-2008

Transit Authority Partnership Subcommittee (RTC) and Rail North Texas

2009 Texas Local Option Transportation Act (SB 855 and HB 9) introduced without result

2010-2011

Conceptual engineering and funding studies (4 corridors)

2011 Innovative Finance Initiative (Cotton Belt and TEX Rail)

2013 Cotton Belt Rail ImprovementDistrict (SB 1333) introduced without result

2015 Legislative focus on increasing transportation revenue identified highway funding but not transit funding

Region Legislature

17

Proposed Process for Developing Transit Recommendations

Technical AnalysisSupport and

Implementation Analysis

Analyze corridors

Evaluate options for alternative transit services

Work with local governments to define and confirm support in specific corridors

Plan Recommendations

18

Role of Technology

• Evolving technology can improve safety, increase the capacity of the existing transportation system, and can reduce demand• Technology considerations

‐ Vehicle to vehicle communication‐ Driverless vehicles‐ Connected trucks‐ Intelligent traffic signals‐ Impacts of telecommuting‐ Traveler information‐ Public transportation efficiencies

19

Item 4: Additional Plan Topic Fast Facts

Air Quality

Emphasis Areas

High-Emitting Vehicles/EquipmentLow Speeds

IdlingVehicle Miles of TravelEnergy and Fuel Use

Cold StartsHard Accelerations

20

Photo Source: iStock

Photo Source: iStock

Photo Source: iStock Photo Source: iStock

21

Sustainable Development

Smart Goal IdeasIn an effort to maximize limited resources, transportation infrastructure will be prioritized to support sustainable land uses (offering more than one land use choice or within a connected two-mile proximity to others) within the urban core and to support similar nodes of development investment in more rural areas.

Big Ideas/Policies and Programs(NEW) Transit-Oriented Development (TOD) Policy: Promote TOD for all station types that improve:• Jobs/housing balance• “Last-mile” connections• Appropriate land use density to encourage diverse transportation mode choices

(UPDATE) Incorporate RTC 2013 Sustainable Schools Policy in the Plan: Support Independent School Districts and local governments through various programs and projects:• Creation of a regional working group• Coordination on school siting issues• Coordination for resource sharing

22

Smart Goal Ideas• All trips less than two miles in length in the urbanized area will have options available

to be accomplished by non-motorized or transit modes of travel (in transit section also).

• All roadways in the urbanized area should be designed and constructed to accommodate at least three or more modes of transportation (in roadway and transit sections also).

• All roadway projects will implement a context sensitive design approach compatible for the community and neighborhood in which the roadway is located (in roadway section also).

Big Ideas/New Additions• (UPDATE) Context Sensitive Design/Complete Streets (Multi-Modal Accommodations)• (UPDATE) Regional Veloweb (Off-Street Paths)

‐ Updated to include many more communities with adopted master plans‐ Will reflect regionally significant corridors as well as other Community Paths

• (NEW) Regional On-Street Bikeway Network Urbanized Area (reflects local adopted master plans)‐ Rural Area (wide shoulder accommodations)

Active Transportation

23

Asset Management – Process and Function

Asset Management Definition “The strategic and systematic process of operating, maintaining, upgrading, and expanding physical assets cost-effectively throughout their lifecycle.” (AASHTO, 1998)• Determine appropriate system balance of preservation

and expansion improvements to maximize asset performance and minimize life-cycle costs• Track infrastructure conditions and performance using

an integrated data management system• Develop low to moderate cost solutions for projects

that can incorporate existing assets as much as possible

24

Freight

Proposed DRIVE Act Freight Provisions• US Senate Environment & Public Works

Committee Bill approved in June – not yet funded; still has many steps before it becomes law• Formula-based freight program funding

tied to national highway freight network, state freight plans and performance measures• Major urban areas (500,000 in population)

could designate critical urban freight corridors• National freight transportation performance reports

25

Evolving Transit Projects and High Speed Rail

Mobility 2040 will include policies, programs, and projects for:• Various people mover projects• High Speed Rail projects

‐ 3 station concept‐ Regional connectivity

• Selected Regional Rail projects• Regional Positive Train Control program

DCTA Stadler GTW Stadler FLIRT

26

Item 5: Financial Elements of the MTP

27

Financial Plan Background

• Federal regulations require MTPs to be financially constrained to available resources; projects in the MTP are assumed to be funded• The MTP accounts for all sources of revenue that are

reasonably expected to be available over the life of the plan• The MTP reports financial information in “year of

expenditure” dollars and total project costs to accurately reflect costs over time• Many revenue sources have restrictions on how they can be

used; the MTP assigns revenue sources to eligible projects

28

Mobility 2035 Financial Sources & Expenditures

Revenue Sources

Expenditures

29

Mobility 2035 Financial Assumptions

Mobility 2035 Financial Scenarios

Funding Strategies Baseline Adopted

State Fuel Tax (per gallon)

$0.20(existing)

+$0.05 in 2020 &+$0.05 in 2030

State Fuel Tax Indexing - To Fuel Efficiency by 2015

Federal Fuel Tax(per gallon)

$0.184(existing)

+$0.05 in 2020 &+$0.05 in 2030

Average Vehicle Registration Fee

$60(existing) +$10 in 2015 & +$10 in 2025

Tollroads, Managed Lanes, CDA, and PPP Currently Funded Facilities Additional Facilities

Other Assumptions- Regional Partners Continue

to Implement Projects- Reliance on local entities to

fund projects locally

Same as Baseline Plus:- End 80% of Diversions

Incrementally by 2025- Maintenance: TxDOT

addresses pavement conditions; MPO funds bridge replacements

Total Revenue ($B) $74.9 $94.5

30

Mobility 2040 Financial Assumptions

Mobility 2040 Financial Scenarios

Funding Strategies Adopted Mobility 2035 Mobility 2035 Baseline Mobility 2040 Baseline1 Mobility 2040 Enhanced Revenue2

State Fuel Tax (per gallon)

Existing +$0.05 in 2020 &+$0.05 in 2030 Existing -

Assumptions about additional revenue tied to future legislative agendas

State Fuel Tax Indexing To Fuel Efficiency by 2015 - -

Federal Fuel Tax(per gallon)

Existing +$0.05 in 2020 &+$0.05 in 2030 Existing -

Average Vehicle Registration Fee

Existing +$10 in 2015 & +$10 in 2025 Existing -

Tollroads, Managed Lanes, CDA, and PPP Additional Facilities Currently Funded

Facilities -

Other Assumptions

- End 80% of Diversions Incrementally by 2025

- Maintenance: TxDOT addresses pavement conditions; MPO funds bridge replacements

-- Utilize New Revenues from 84th Legislature (~$30B to region over time)

Total Revenue ($B) $94.5 $74.9 $104.9 (DRAFT) $124.5 (DRAFT)

DRAFT

1. Assumes Mobility 2035 Baseline + new revenue from 84th Legislature.2. Assumes $104.9B draft Mobility 2040 Baseline + an equivalent revenue enhancement amount as Mobility 2035.

31

Financial Considerations

• The Texas Legislature has provided new revenues for transportation, but there are restrictions on how the funds can be used. • How do we best use new funding sources to meet

regional transportation goals?• What is the future of priced facilities in the region and

the balance with tax-funded roadways?• How do we address regional transit funding in the future?• What items should future legislative agendas focus on

regarding funding?

32

Item 6: Other Discussion

33

Mobility 2035 Roadway Recommendations

DRAFT

34

Top Eight RTC Focus Items

• Passenger Rail with Limited Funding Eligibility• High Speed Rail with Wavering Legislative Support• Goods Movement Needs through National Legislative

Emphasis • User Focus on Transportation Choice • Momentum Toward “Pay as you Go”• Impacts of Technology• Operational Freeway Improvement Group• Role of RTC Policies as Incentives to Local Match: Air

Quality Improvement

35

Contacts

To find out more about the Mobility 2040, visit us at:www.nctcog.org/mobility2040

email questions or comments to: mobilityplan@nctcog.org

Chad McKeown, AICPProgram Manager

cmckeown@nctcog.org817-695-9134

Dan Lamers, P.E.Senior Program Manager

dlamers@nctcog.org817-695-9263

Elizabeth Whitaker, AICPPrincipal Transportation Planner

ewhitaker@nctcog.org817-608-2324