ROSKO14 - Regional carrying capacity in a small area

Regional carrying capacity in a small area

(Sellye micro-region)Csilla FILÓ – Péter ÁCS

University of Pécs

Content:Characteristics of Sellye micro region• population and comparing more dimension• gender and age rates• relationship of activity types• labour market of Sellye micro region• Unemployment and rate of emloyee• rates of income and non income• education• families• gypsy population• enterprises in the region• added value• personal income• Opportunities, solutions

Sellye micro-region charasteristics

Population (Hungary, Baranya, Sellye) 1980-2011

The demographic processes: • Similar to those of the county and national average • Population decline

Source: KSH Census 2011

Gender and age rates 2011

- A higher number of children - Lower percentage of young people - The number of older workers is higher - Less the retirement / health services?


Activity rates 2001, 2011

The activity trends have not changed - The Sellye micro-region indicators are lower than the national and county average - The decline in employment than on differences - Dangerous the rate of inactive / all index higher than the national average



- The number of employees increased in the region, but the national rate did not change - The number of inactive people in the region has decreased, but the trend did not change compared to the national

average - The number of dependents is reduced, but higher than the national average

Unemployment rate in Hungary 2011


• The unemployment rate in the region was not changed

• Continuous high • In the neighboring regions also increased to a high

level

Labour-market Sellye micro-region

- Half of the working age population is economically active - The crisis has increased the number of unemployed - A significant number of the low-skilled unemployed


Labour-market Sellye micro-region


• More than half of the unemployed, under-educated.

• Significant the number of long-term unemployed

Decline the population and the number of active, but rising number of unemployed!

Income – no income rate (2001, 2011)

Magyarország/Hungary 2001

Magyarország/Hungary 2011

Baranya megye/Baranya County 2001

Baranya megye/Baranya County 2011

Sellyei kistérség/Sellye micro-reg. 2001

Sellyei kistérség/Sellye micro-reg. 2011

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

active-passive rate

passive/ no income active/ income


year2001 year2002 year2003 year2004 year2005 year2006 year2007 year2008 year2009 year2010 year20110%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Munkavállalók aránya / The rate of employees

Hungary Baranya Sellye

Source: KSH 2011

Education (2001, 2011)

Hungary 2001 Hungary/2011 Baranya 2001 Baranya/2011 Sellye kt. 2001 Sellye kt. 20110%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

Education

nincs általános isk. végz./ no school 8 osztály/ elementary school szakmunkás/vocational trainingérettségi /high school egyetem-főisk / university


• too many unskilled • too few highly skilled

Children in family


Rate of Gypsy population

Hungary 2001 Hungary 2011 Baranya 2001 Baranya 2011 Sellye 2001 Sellye 20110%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

rate of Gypsy population (2001, 2011)


Their number has doubled in the last 10 years!

Number of enterprises / 1000 inhabitants


• The number of enterprises is very low.• Several settlements, where there is not

business. • Employment is the only state

administration!• Only the center of the region is a

sufficient number of companies.

Gross added value / person, 2011 (million HUF)


• Below the national average. • Very low. • Influenced to the small number of

businesses. • Unfavorable corporate structures.

Personal income


Permanent low income level

No consumption.No service sector.No self-employment.

Summary

Opportunities

Solution?

• EDUCATION • Raising qualification level• Creative skills - development of key competencies (include: ICT)• Instead of benefit to training• Special local skills (f.e.:agricultural, turism, economic)• Adequate education for gypsy population (f.e. GANDHI method)• Vocational trainig, new vocational schools (now, 1 in the region!!!)• Foreing language learning

Solution?

NEW RELATIONSHIPS

New partnership with Croatia in EU Cross-border cooperation Duna-Drava National Parc new projects (exhibition places, ecotourism)More NGO in the region (trainig, cultural, life-style, sport)More gypsy advocacy (family education, family farming)

ConclusionThis area’s troubles are complex: related with human resource, hygienic, informatics, environmental, production and traffic problems. The lasting solution of the problems, the sustainable development, a global approach is needed in the majority of the cases. On the one hand the increase of the qualification can not be imagined without institution developments and the population’s positive attitude, on the other hand with in terms of our gentility (Romany) politics applying positive discriminations it is necessary to create an opportunity for the numerous Gipsy populations living here to get at the trainings. The population’s involvement is indispensable to the forming of the economic development concepts, which will be able to decide upon their own fate simply by possessing knowledge and acquaintance. It is necessary to keep clear of decision mechanics in Sellye micro-region at the beginning of the XXI. century, that only leaders and experts interfere in the development and decision processes, since this area’s population has been delivered to this process continuous for half a century already. These processes have not been applied in the past 10 years. But already there were signs of the lag effect. This is the last moment. Summary, that the area's carrying capacity is very low. High external resources needed for sustainable development.

Thank you for your attention!

Csilla FILO

[email protected]

ROSKO14 - Regional carrying capacity in a small area

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