Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 A Presentation for Utrecht ll: Charting the Future of...
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Transcript of Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 A Presentation for Utrecht ll: Charting the Future of...
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
A Presentation for A Presentation for
Utrecht ll: Charting the Future of Parapsychology Utrecht ll: Charting the Future of Parapsychology
October 2008, Utrecht, The NetherlandsOctober 2008, Utrecht, The Netherlands
Roger NelsonRoger NelsonDirector, Global Consciousness ProjectDirector, Global Consciousness Project
http://noosphere.princeton.eduhttp://noosphere.princeton.edu
Consciousness and PsiConsciousness and PsiCan Consciousness be Real?Can Consciousness be Real?
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
An Early Understanding
F. W. H. Myers believed that a theory of consciousness must derive from, and be able to accommodate … the full range of human experience, including not only normal psychological phenomena but also … what Myers called "supernormal" phenomena.
-- E. Kelly and C. Alvarado, 2005
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
Experimental Science
Joseph Banks Rhine and his colleagues summarized the developing scientific research field in the book Extra-Sensory Perception After Sixty Years
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
Technology, Psychology, AestheticsTechnology, Psychology, Aesthetics
Princeton Engineering Anomalies Research (PEAR) Director Robert Jahn, Lab Manager Brenda Dunne
Nearly three decades of supported research Tapping the resources of a great university
Consciousness and Psi from a personal perspective
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
Enjoy yourself or try to learn,You will annoy someone.And if you don’t,You will annoy someone.
Enjoy yourself or try to learn,You will annoy someone.And if you don’t,You will annoy someone.
-- Idries Shah, The Mullah Nasrudin-- Idries Shah, The Mullah Nasrudin
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
At PEAR we asked ordinary peopleTo change the behaviour of machines
Chaotic Fountain
Random Drumbeat
BenchmarkElectronic REG/RNG
Linear Pendulum
Dual Thermistor
We foundSignificant
Effects
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
Random Event Generator (REG)Intention to change machine behaviour
High and Low both depart from expectation
Random Event Generator (REG)Intention to change machine behaviour
High and Low both depart from expectation
HI
LO
BL
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
Looking at PK in experiments withMany different physical random sources,
We confirmed that conscious intent is effective
Linear Pendulum
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
How about PK in a macroscopic system? 2m wide 3m tall “Pinball” machine, 19mm ballsBut Left vs Right is just a decision = information
Random Mechanical Cascade
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
Psi in a natural experiment – Princeton reunionsGroup consciousness is unconscious or subconscious, but it is evidently real
10,000 people really want good weather
Control: no focus, no coherent group
It may be …
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
Second major experimental focusRemote Perception (RV) performance
Suggests consciousness is not localized
Distance Time
Highly significant composite score overall, e.g. p = 10-8
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
We identified many pieces of the puzzleAttitude, acceptance, expectation, choice
Mental, not physical parametersAn example: Time invested in the psi task
Is arguably the “right” metric for comparisons
Time normalized yield is comparable For all PEAR PK experiments
Time-based ES is similar across labsRV and Ganzfeld 2-3 times larger than PK
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
FieldREG Experiments: Deep engagement Coherent group consciousness and emotion
Group chanting: Sacred spaceGreat Pyramid, inner chambers
Numinous event: Shamanic Healing ritual for Devils Tower
Expectation for the data is a level random walk
Moving out of the lab
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
Expansion to global dimensionColleagues in Europe and the US
Collected 12 independent data streamsExpectation is level trend
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
http://noosphere.princeton.edu/egghosts/
A world-spanning network of REGs (EGGs)
Google Map of nodes
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
The World Trade Center September 11
2001
Tamara Beckwith
Continuous random
Data since 1998
What do we see
In the data?
An example
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
September 11 2001 Destruction of the World Trade Towers
Increased network variance for 50 hours
Two days
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
More positive: Synchronized meditation Half a million people around the world
Significant reduction of network variance
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
New Years Eve 1999-2008 (10 years, 37 time zones)
Signal averaged device variance decreases
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
Concatenate 10 years of formal replications 264 rigorously defined global eventsOdds: 20 million to 1 against chance
Concatenate 10 years of formal replications 264 rigorously defined global eventsOdds: 20 million to 1 against chance
But it is a small effect: The average Z-score is about 0.35
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
The GCP is now in a second phaseDeeper analysis finds structure
Six independent measures and correlations
The GCP is now in a second phaseDeeper analysis finds structure
Six independent measures and correlations
Structure Sigma P-value S1 3.67 0.0001 S2 2.45 0.007 Distance[S1] 1.49 0.07 Distance[S2] 2.48 0.006 Correlation[S1 S2] 1.95 0.02 Combined Results Phase 2 3.90 0.00005 Combined Results Phases 1&2 5.35 5x10-8
Calculations by Peter Bancel; Reduced dataset amenable to all analyses
Distance: Closer pairs = Stronger correlations
S1: zizj
S2: zi2zj2
Deeper analysis – Parametric elements – Modeling is next
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
Looking at categories: Emotions
Explorations: What matters, what doesn’t
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
~650 Major earthquakes, Richter 6 or moreOnly those on land show a pattern in GCP data
553 ControlsOcean Quakes +/- 30 hours
92 Quakes on Land +/- 30 hours
Reciprocal linkage to human consciousness
The realty of consciousnessIs clearly implied
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
1. Physical and statistical theories are incomplete1. Physical and statistical theories are incomplete2. Individual, group, global consciousness are real2. Individual, group, global consciousness are real3. Consciousness is information, not energy 3. Consciousness is information, not energy 4. Models of the world must include consciousness4. Models of the world must include consciousness5. Mind matters – it can directly change the world5. Mind matters – it can directly change the world
Decades of Psi ResearchDecades of Psi Research Contributions largely unrecognized Contributions largely unrecognized
(Until now … But that will change)(Until now … But that will change)
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
What's Next? What's Next? The Future of Parapsychology The Future of Parapsychology
1. Replicate experiments with strong implications1. Replicate experiments with strong implications2. Dig deeper with clear, sophisticated analysis2. Dig deeper with clear, sophisticated analysis3. Develop richer predictive theoretical models3. Develop richer predictive theoretical models4. Create applications for science education4. Create applications for science education5. Write articles that focus on Myers’ point5. Write articles that focus on Myers’ point6. Engage our mainstream colleagues6. Engage our mainstream colleagues7. Foster young researchers7. Foster young researchers
GCP 2008
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
Is this the future of Parapsychology?Is this the future of Parapsychology?
I think not ...I think not ...
Mainstream guys Psi research
Roger NelsonUtrecht IIOct 15 2008
GCP/EGG ProjectGCP/EGG ProjectThe people who make it goThe people who make it go
GCP/EGG ProjectGCP/EGG ProjectThe people who make it goThe people who make it go
International collaboration of 100 Scientists, Artists, Friends, …
Peter Bancel, Paris, professional analysis, collaborationWilliam Treurniet, Canada, egganalysis programmingJohn Walker, Switzerland, programming, general supportRichard & Connie Adams, USA, general supportPaul Bethke, USA, windows programming, networkDick Bierman, Netherlands, design and realtime displayDean Radin, USA, design and independent analysisBrad Anderson, USA, widget programmingTaylor Jackson, Canada, realtime display maintenanceGreg & Lefty Nelson, USA, program architecture, general supportFernando Rodríguez, Spain, egghosts google mapYork Dobyns and PEAR, general support, server hostingLeane Roffey, USA, music, outreach, general supportJaroen Ruuward, Netherlands, realtime programmingDick Shoup, USA, independent analysisNishith Singh, India, realtime programmingMahadeva Srinivasan, India, general support… And all the EGG hosts around the world