Risk Management based on IC Technology in Korea - … management... · Risk Management based on IC...

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0 March 26 th , 2015 Jawon Lee Ph.D. Department of Geography Sungshin University, Korea [email protected] [email protected] Risk Management based on IC Technology in Korea

Transcript of Risk Management based on IC Technology in Korea - … management... · Risk Management based on IC...

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March 26th, 2015

Jawon Lee Ph.D.

Department of Geography

Sungshin University, Korea

[email protected]

[email protected]

Risk Management based on IC Technology in Korea

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State of ICT for RM

Prospect

I

II

III

IV

V

Contents Introduction

Development of ICT for RM

Risk Management System

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I Introduction

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World Natural Disaster Trends

* Source : Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED)

• Increasing rainfall intensity due to climate change, frequent occurrence of heavy rainfall, and heavy snow in 100 years

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Characteristics of Natural Disaster, Korea

•2002 Lusa, 2003 Maemi, 2006 Torrential rainfall

•Disasters caused by heavy rains increase

(source : NEMA)

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Trend of Risk

Increasing Natural Hazard

by Climate Change

• temperature 6.4℃ up

• sea level 59cm rise

• precipitation 20% up

Various incident occurrence - unexpected Incident rise

- expansion of damage scale

Increasing of Social Incident Increasing international cooperation on disaster

- Emergency Management

improvement using ICT

- The need for new standards in

disaster countermeasures

- Participated in international

organizations in activities

related to the disaster by

utilizing the ICT technology

- Foreign aid project participation

• Formulated ICT system supply considering

the expansion and diversification of the

disaster

• Using ICT to effective disaster

management at each stage of mitigation-

preparedness- response- recovery

• Each community is equipped with a

ubiquitous environment should allow

citizens to accept the ICT diffusion

• learning and training program

development for all citizens to accept

disaster management by the ICT

Viewpoint

Characteristics of Risk

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II Risk Management System

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System Movement for Risk Management

1994 Sugnsoo Bridge

Breakdown / 1995 Sampoong

Dep. Store Collapse

Ministry of Home Affairs, 1996,

Informational System Plan for Security Management

1999, Cyber Korea 21 Plan

Informational Disaster

Management System : Storm Management,

119 Emergency Management

Systems

2003, Daegu city,

Subway Explosion

NDMS, 2003

2004, Enactment Law for Disaster

and Security Management /

2004, NEMA

BPR / ISP, 2005

(DataBase)

2008, South Gate Arson

Submersion Ferry

‘Sewol’

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Organization

2014, Ministry of Public Safety and Security was established

Established the National Emergency Agency affiliated with the Ministry of Government Administration and Home Affairs

Eastablished the Disaster and Safety Management Office in the Ministry of Public Administration and Security

The revised bill for the National Government Organization Act (Concerning the establishment of the National Safety Agency) passed by the National Assembly

2004

2008

2013 Expanded and reorganized into the Safety Management Headquarters in the MOSPA

2014

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III State of ICT for Risk Management

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Condition

Change in Natural Disaster Environment • Increasing risk of earthquake and tsunami, volcano eruption in the Mt. Baekdu, and nuclear power plant incidents

Increasing vulnerabilities due to urbanization and population growth • Increasing disaster damage scale by multiple use of urban space • Expansion of imperative areas due to urbanization, industrialization and aged society

• Consideration for increasing social incidents, and accidents

Extending research area for large scaled and complex disaster

• Prediction of future disaster and development of disaster response scenario • Development of technology for disaster management capacity building and response

to social disaster

Comprehensive management of disaster and safety R&D • Extension of collaborative research project investment on multi-hazards and safety

management • Preventing the duplicate investment in disaster R&D at national level

Strengthening development of technology for disaster response coping with climate change

• Development of technology for natural disaster prediction and response • Development of technology for analysis of disaster vulnerabilities and causes based

on advanced scientific technologies NDMI, Oct 24, 2011

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-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

1,00

0 U

S $

Year

Disaster Prevention and ManagementTechnology (2004~)

Man-made Disaster Prevention Technology(2003~)

Natural Disaster Mitigation Technology (2003~)

Fire Protection & Safety Technology (2007~)

Disaster Safety Technology Development &Infrastructure Construction (2008~)

Special Disaster Emergency ResponseTechnology (2012~2016)

Earthquake·Tsunami Damage MigitaionTechnology (2012~2016)

Baekdu Mountain Volcano Eruption ResponseTechnology (2012~2014)

Year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Total R&D Investment for Disaster & Safety

in NDMI (1,000 US $)

2,210 1,960 2,480 8,080 11,000 14,651 17,361 20,559 23,832 34,015

Research Project

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CCTV Integration & Interface System

CCTV Integration & Interface System (for cites)

CCTV (Disaster Image Data)

Monitoring of CCTV CCTVs

• Collection of video data installed at disaster risk area, stage gauges, major bridges

• Transmission video data to the province

• Detecting occurrence of dangerous situation through video data analysis

Monitoring of CCTVs

• Total monitoring (province) • Transmission of video data to the

center

CCTV Integration & Interface System (for center)

Video integration server

Transmitting disaster video data

Disaster agency

Province

City

Integrated management of

CCTV

Coping with disaster situation

Real-time grasping of disaster situation in

the whole country

Real-time grasping of

disaster situation in the province

Supporting real-time grasping of local situation and making a decision by Image Data (CCTV) Integration & Interface System installed in cities.

Video integration server

Video integration server

Displaying the video data

Center

Transmitting disaster video data

• Monitoring (whole country) • Transmission of video data to

provinces and disaster related agencies

CCTV Integration & Interface System (for provinces)

Collecting disaster video data

Displaying the video data

Displaying the video data

Information Sharing System - CCTV

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Information Sharing System - CCTV

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Information Analysis

Rainfall frequency Rainfall Dam operation Historical damages Administrative area

Disaster risk maps •Landslide •Flooding

GIS based overlay analysis of layers

Satellite/aerial images Flood maps

Assessing local based risk and vulnerability with hazard or risk map, statistical and historical disaster information Estimating GIS based damages and supporting numerical results for disaster response and recovery

Local Based Risk and Vulnerability Assessment

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Estimate similar typhoon trajectory Estimate typhoon related damages

Development of UN Typhoon Committee Disaster Information System (TCDIS) since 2007 DB establishment with typhoon trajectory, damage and precipitation information for Korea, Viet Nam and Hong Kong (China) Development of GIS based system including the function of searching similar typhoons with current typhoon and their damage records

WEB GIS Typhoon Committee Disaster Information System

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- Main function bar - Damage information

management - Toolbar for damage

investigation

- Pre/post damaged image - Geographic information

- Pre/post damage image layer information

- Layer information for facilities

- Detail damage information by each damaged facilities

- Damage area, amount of damage etc.

Layered tree

Map

Damage Information

Estimation of damage information (area, length, volume) using pre and post disaster satellite/aerial images analysis Newly developed automatic detection method for searching damaged area in 2009

Disaster damage investigation with satellite Images

Using satellite/aerial images

Damage Investigation system

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IC Technology Adaptation

ICT-based Approach to Climate Change Adaptation (example)

Research for ICT

Presentation of ICT Adaptation

Analysis of ICT Application

Grasp of the ICT

ICT paradigm Analysis of Case Study Introduction of the newest Technology and Tool

Understanding the core

Technology

Evaluation for ICT Applicability Making ICT Portfolio

Deduction the Best Practice

at each Technology

Classification Technology

M

P

R

R

• GIS, GPS, LBS

• HAZUS-MH

• LIDAR, UAV

• FRID, CCTV, USN

• DMB, EDI

• RFID etc.

• network

• SNG,MMS

• TRS

• SIIS

• HAZUS-MH etc.

• Auto-Adjustment

…….

…….

…….

Observation / forecast

Monitoring

vulnerability

EM Management

Study for Adequacy

assessment contents

Adaptation examination of possibility

requirement capacity of technical application

improvement adaptable ability for acquirement of technology

Skill level comparison technical level with advanced nation

section Applica-bility

Technical Importance

Utilization Direction

Focus on leveraging vulnerabilities

Increase the utilization and improve the applicability

Increase the utilization and increase the applicability by Integration of the core technology

improve the applicability by Induction of the core technology

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Application ICT in All Step of Risk Management

Utilization of sectoral and technical details presented by

utilizing and applying measures for climate change

adaptation

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IV Development of ICT for Risk Management

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Emergency fighting GIS

・Sharing disaster information ・Providing data on disaster support space ・Solution against multi-format data ・Advanced/swift searching ・Linking to the emergency fighting GIS

Disaster Support Database

Manpower resources & List

PDF of research & inquiry data Model, analysis process

Text information data

Risk Management System on GIS

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Verification of Climate Model and Inference of Spatial-Temporal Pattern (example)

Rainfall Future Changes

IPCC AR4 Model Verification KPCC Model Verification Statistics Analysis of Trend

Method Development and Review Applicability of Climate Model Validation

기후변화 원인

Exist Korean Data Analysis

Spatial-Temporal Pattern Inferred

Korean Disaster Forecast

축소된 결과의 통계적 특성 분석 (계절성, 평균,분산)

비시나리오적 방법에 의한 결과와 비교검토

(a) (b) (c) (d) (e)

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예시) 통계학적 축소모형

Methodology Development based on IC Technology

Korean Sea Level Rise Predictions

Shoreline change (Busan case) Flooding Forecast

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Policy governance

BigData analysis support center

Cloud center

Policy decision maker

Decision making organization

Government ministry National research and development institutes

Land

distribution

Welfare

Health care

Diplomacy

Security

Sci-tech

education

Econimy

Finance ...

Government data

Gathering tool

Cloud based HW/SW environment

Local gov. data

Affiliated org. data

Private DB (structured)

SNS etc. (unstructured)

External public data External private data

Policy officer

Relevant ministry officer

Affiliated R&D

institutes

Data analist

statistician

psychologist

sociologist

Private institutes

Academic community, Experts, etc.

.

.

.

Proposed subject analysis

Autonomous analyze the future trend

Task relevant data Requirement/offer

Routine data provision by detail field

Propose subject / offering analyzed results

Trend and Policy implications deduction

Project based collaboration

Gathering tool

Linked hub

Analysis tool

Building a Disaster Management System Utilizing BigData

(source : Kim. SL., 2014, Lessons from Government 3.0 Innovation of Korea)

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V Prospect

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ICT as a Growth Engine of Korea

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Innovation of the Government Support System

• Rapid emergence of e-government service through ICT • Transformation of Major Enterprises from home appliance company to the ICT company • Making Efficient use of the Leading Internet Company of Korea as a Disaster Alert Delivery System for Citizen

Government 3.0 Initiative

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Constant research support and professional development

with IC Database Construction

customized Services provides considering the

Recipient , and Build local systems in which the

characteristics of the type of disaster

Strategy

IC Technology support for reduction disaster of

developing countries , and Participation in the

UN Action Plan with international disaster

prevention agenda establishment

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Thank You