Experiencing Dust Storms in the Seas of the Old World Emin Özsoy
Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences
-
Upload
riseagrant -
Category
Environment
-
view
73 -
download
2
Transcript of Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences
![Page 1: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Rising Seas and Extreme Storms:Similarities and differences
@John EnglanderNewport, RIDecember 10, 2014
![Page 2: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
FEMA photo
Storm events….“Sandy”
![Page 3: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
![Page 4: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
one month after “Sandy”, the“no name” Thanksgiving storm of 2012
![Page 5: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
![Page 6: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Not a Future Problemsaltwater on the streets
every month at peak tide
![Page 7: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
King Tide not Florida to replace next FLL
![Page 8: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
![Page 9: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Flooding has many variations
![Page 10: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Flooding due to:1. Storms
2. Extreme Tides
3. Rising Sea Level
4. Subsidence
5. Runoff / Downstream
6. [Erosion]
![Page 11: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Flooding due to:1. Storms
2. Extreme Tides
3. Rising Sea Level
4. Subsidence
5. Runoff / Downstream
6. [Erosion]
Drivers
Predictability
Magnitude
Permanence
Impact areas
Different
![Page 12: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Sea LevelToday
Elevation
Combined Effect of Sea Level Rise, Tides and Waves
SLR
Long-Term Risk Factors
Episodic Risk Factors
Maximum Potential Inundation Elevation (!)
William O’Reilly / Scripps Institution of Oceanography
![Page 13: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
See Level change is “new.”
Barely changed in 5,000 years.
Last time it was higher was 120,000
years ago.
![Page 14: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
![Page 15: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
![Page 16: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
@johnenglander
![Page 17: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Sea Level
20,000 Years Ago
![Page 18: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
![Page 19: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Present Sea Level
When all ice meltsMiami Tower“Bank of America”
30th Floor
47th Floor
212 ft (65 m)
20,000 years agoLast Ice Age
390 ft (120 m)
@ johnenglander.net
![Page 20: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
![Page 21: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
![Page 22: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
![Page 23: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
© 2006 John Englander
![Page 24: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
@johnenglander
![Page 25: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
@johnenglander
![Page 26: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
![Page 27: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
![Page 28: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
Greenland =24 feet of SLR
Antarctica = 186 feet of SLR
![Page 29: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
© 2006 John Englander
![Page 30: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
![Page 31: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
![Page 32: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
![Page 33: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
![Page 34: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
![Page 35: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
Last half century continues the pattern:CO2, global temperature, and sea level are all rising
![Page 36: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
By 2100, new IPCC Projections:
“10 – 32 Inches of SLR”
#’s do not include the “wild card” amplifiers:
• Methane • West Antarctic glaciers
![Page 37: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
![Page 38: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
![Page 39: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
![Page 40: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
![Page 41: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
Methane becoming larger factor
86 x CO2 warming force per unit / 20 years
![Page 42: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/42.jpg)
![Page 43: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
![Page 44: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
![Page 45: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/45.jpg)
Takeaways
1. Storms + tides + SLR = vulnerability now
2. After years of stability, SL is rising and
will continue for centuries
3. We can slow SLR, but not stop it
4. The trend can be your friend
5. Know your risk, plan, and adapt
![Page 46: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/46.jpg)
![Page 47: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/47.jpg)
![Page 48: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/48.jpg)
![Page 49: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/49.jpg)
Sacramento, CA is 80 miles from the Pacific but has extreme vulnerability to rising sea level and over a thousand miles of earthen levees.
![Page 50: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/50.jpg)
![Page 51: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/51.jpg)
Rotterdam Multipurpose Urban Dikes Concept
![Page 52: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/52.jpg)
Water Plaza
![Page 53: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/53.jpg)
UNDERGROUND WATER STORAGE
![Page 54: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/54.jpg)
KWS (NL)Benelux Flood Defence System
Beach Resort Scheveningen: Dike-under-Boulevard concept
![Page 55: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/55.jpg)
KWS (NL)Benelux Flood Defence System
New dike
BoulevardAdditional dune
Noordwijk: ‘Dike-in-Dune’ concept
![Page 56: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/56.jpg)
![Page 57: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/57.jpg)
Designing for future generations…
…is our responsibility, and a great opportunity
![Page 58: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/58.jpg)
RECAP
1. Storms, Extreme Tides, and SLR are different.
2. SLR will have different effects in different places.
3. Projections differ and change. Plan for first 3 feet of SLR, asap……more to come
4. Don’t confuse planning for SLR with reducing GHG and other efforts at being “sustainable” and green.
![Page 59: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/59.jpg)
www.johnenglander.net
Amazon.com: print and Kindle
Twitter: @johnenglander
RI @ johnenglander.net
![Page 60: Rising Seas and Extreme Storms: Similarities and differences](https://reader033.fdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052912/55a02a5a1a28ab021f8b4585/html5/thumbnails/60.jpg)