RIDERSHIP PREDICTION MODEL - Nashua · 2014-03-10 · Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua...
Transcript of RIDERSHIP PREDICTION MODEL - Nashua · 2014-03-10 · Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua...
RIDERSHIP PREDICTION MODEL FOR THE
NASHUA TRANSIT SYSTEM
Multivariate estimation of ridership potential in non-served areas of Nashua and surrounding communities
Prepared June 2011 by the
Nashua Regional Planning Commission
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Table of Contents
June 2011
Page i.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
CHAPTER I: INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................................................................................. I-1
CHAPTER II: METHODOLOGY ............................................................................................................................................................................... II-1
CHAPTER III: RESULTS ........................................................................................................................................................................................... III-1
A. OVERALL SUMMARY ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................ III-1
B. NASHUA ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. III-5
C. MERRIMACK ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ III-12
D. HUDSON .............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. III-20
E. MILFORD .............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. III-27
F. POTENTIAL SERVICE CORRIDORS .................................................................................................................................................................................................. III-31
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Table of Contents
June 2011
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LIST OF FIGURES
FIGURE 1 - EXAMPLE OF WALKSHED AREAS IN NASHUA ....................................................................................................................................... II-1
FIGURE 2 - APPLICATION OF WEIGHTED CENSUS VALUES ...................................................................................................................................... II-2
FIGURE 3 - RIDERSHIP ALONG POTENTIAL CORRIDORS ....................................................................................................................................... III-31
LIST OF MAPS
MAP 1- EXISTING NTS ROUTES WITH 3/4 MILE BUFFER ............................................................................................................................................ I-1
MAP 2 - TRANSIT NEEDS BY CENSUS TRACT (2003 REGIONAL TRANSIT PLAN) ...................................................................................................... I-2
MAP 3 – ESTIMATED RIDERSHIP ~ NORTHERN HALF .............................................................................................................................................. III-2
MAP 4 – ESTIMATED RIDERSHIP ~ SOUTHERN HALF .............................................................................................................................................. III-3
MAP 5 – 3D VISUALIZATION ................................................................................................................................................................................... III-4
APPENDICES
Appendix A EXISTING DAILY AVERAGE RIDERSHIP DATA BY ROUTE
Appendix B ESTIMATED RIDERSHIP RESULTS (SORTED BY OVERALL RANK)
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Chapter I: Introduction
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Page I-1.
CHAPTER I: INTRODUCTION
The Nashua Transit System currently operates eight fixed routes in the City of Nashua from Monday to Saturday, servicing over 550 signed stops. With a required American with Disabilities Act (ADA) service buffer of ¾ mile, these routes serve over 98% of all Nashua addresses (see Map 1 below). As the region grows in population, particularly in the communities surrounding Nashua, and current economic conditions have begun to change people’s travel patterns and choices, access to transit has become a more important issue. In 2002, NTS began service to Milford through the Job Access and Reverse Commute (JARC) program with funding from the Federal Transit Administration, and the New Hampshire Department of Health and Human Services, with local matching funds from the Towns of Amherst and Milford. This service ended when municipal matching funds were eliminated. Since then, no fixed route service outside the City of Nashua has been available. Past efforts at determining where transit service needs are concentrated have focused on basic demographic data across broad geographical areas. NRPC’s 2003 Regional Transit Plan developed a Transit Need Composite Index Score for each 2000 U.S. Census Block Group in the region (at the time, the Town of Mason was not a part of the NRPC region). Each block group was assigned a total score based on a combination of rankings in several key demographic indicators, including vehicles per household, poverty level, disability status, and elderly and youth populations. Map 2 shows the results of that study, with darker colors representing the areas with the greatest potential need for transit service.
Map 1- Existing NTS Routes with 3/4 Mile Buffer
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Chapter I: Introduction
June 2011
Page I-2.
Map 2 - Transit Needs by Census Tract (2003 Regional Transit Plan)
Now, with more local parcel data and better modeling and data-gathering capabilities, this analysis can be done at a much smaller scale. This report details the methodology and findings of a ridership prediction model. Demographics, employment and land use characteristics have been shown to have a significant effect on bus transit ridership. Most statistical analysis that account for these factors do so using aggregate Census data and Euclidean distance measurements. NRPC has developed a statistical model that predicts transit ridership using discrete demographic, employment and land use information at the household or parcel level using pedestrian network based distances. Using this model, daily ridership is predicted for a number of key locations in the City of Nashua and surrounding communities and travel corridors. The model can then be used for scenario planning, altering inputs and deriving new ridership numbers for the future.
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CHAPTER II: METHODOLOGY
The ridership model is based on actual daily ridership numbers, collected on a stop-by-stop basis by NTS in 2008 (see Appendix). Demographics of the area around existing stops are then used to model all predicted future areas. This demographic data is based at the parcel level and includes the following: -From GIS and Assessing Data
Total Housing Units
Year Built
Assessed Value
Average Residential Value
Square Feet
Supermarket or Large Residential Area
-From Census and Employment Data
Total Jobs
Total Workers
Median Income
Median Age
Race & Ethnicity
Vehicle Availability
Poverty
Next, a network analysis was done to derive bus stop service areas, or “walksheds”, that represented the parcels within walking distance of each existing stop on the NTS route network. These walksheds are based on a GIS layer representing the walkable street network, including non-limited access streets as well as paths and cut-throughs currently used primarily for walking.
FIGURE 1 - EXAMPLE OF WALKSHED AREAS IN NASHUA
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Weighted census values were then assigned to each walkshed, based on the data from the census blocks each walkshed was contained in. Weighting the values was especially important in walksheds which crossed census boundaries, as illustrated in Figure 2: In this example, a straight average of the median income from each census block would be $41,206. However, since more residential units fall in the block with the lower income, the weighted average of all households in the walkshed becomes $35,951. With each walkshed now assigned the various demographic data, NPRC then created a regression model to attempt to relate these characteristics to the daily ridership at each stop. This weekday ridership number was used as the dependent variable while the independent variables were all the land use and demographic information for each service area. The model was based on an “ordinary least squares” statistical method for estimating unknowns in a linear progression model – the equation is as follows:
FIGURE 2 - APPLICATION OF WEIGHTED CENSUS VALUES
Y = a + bX + b1X1 + b2X2 +b3X3 Where: y = ridership a = intercept bn = coefficients X = total retail jobs X1 = average median household income X2 = major attraction (supermarkets) X3 = major residential (very large apartment/condo complex)
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After much calibration, the coefficients were determined and the final equation that most accurately represented the NTS route system was determined to be:
Ridership = 41.97 + (.0986)Retail Jobs + (-.000441)HH Income + (160.99)Major Attractions + (76.8)Major Residential
The R2 value for this model, which provides a measure of how well future outcomes are likely to be predicted by the model, is .72 (where a value of 0 indicates no correlation between expected and actual ridership and 1 would indicate complete correlation). Note on Limitations This model’s primary use is to estimate ridership potential based on immediate surrounding land use and typical weekday NTS route frequency. The model is not intended to do actual routing, account for changes in service frequency, bus stop amenities and attractiveness, safety, or other similar factors.
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
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CHAPTER III: RESULTS
A. OVERALL SUMMARY
NOTE: Current NTS Route 4 was not in place at the time of this analysis and thus and ridership data regarding stops along that route in the City of Nashua are included in this report as “predicted” instead of existing. This section touches on the highlights of estimated ridership data results for the entire analysis area. For the entire list, see Appendix B. The top 4 stops in the analysis area are all existing stops in Nashua. They are:
1. Pheasant Lane Mall – 1269 boardings/alightings per day (bapd) 2. Southgate Plaza (on Daniel Webster Hwy) @ Walgreens – 402 bapd 3. Main Street Marketplace @ Shaw’s – 384 bapd 4. Somerset Plaza (on Amherst St) @ Market Basket – 311 bapd
The highest-ranked stop on the list among potential future locations, and number 5 overall, is at the Wal-Mart in Amherst on Route 101A, with an estimated 281 bapd. The remainder of the Top 10 on the list is as follows:
6. Coliseum Avenue @ Hannaford (Nashua - existing) – 277 bapd 7. Lowell Rd @ Wal-Mart (Hudson – predicted) – 258 bapd 8. Lowell Rd @ Fox Hollow (Hudson – predicted) – 253 bapd 9. Nashua St @ Shaw’s (Milford – predicted) – 226 bapd 10. Nashua Mall @ Christmas Tree Shops (Nashua – existing) – 223 bapd
Interestingly, the top 40 stops are split almost evenly between existing locations and possible future locations. This indicates that there is a clear potential for essential transit service beyond the current Nashua city limits. Maps 3 and 4 on the following pages show the number of boardings and alightings at each stop in the analysis area. Following that, Map 5 shows the data in a different way, with a 3D visualization of the area. Other sections in this chapter go into further detail for each community.
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Map 3 – Estimated Ridership ~ Northern Half
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Map 4 – Estimated Ridership ~ Southern Half
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Map 5 – 3D Visualization
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B. NASHUA
As most of Nashua is already served by a stop within walkshed distance, there are no new destinations predicted to have the large ridership numbers of Wal-Mart in Amherst and Hudson or the major apartment complexes of Merrimack. However, four of the new locations still rank in the Top 50 overall throughout the predicted analysis area, and a total of seven new locations claim an estimated ridership of 75 or more. The following pages profile these sites:
T-1. Thornton Road near 38 Thornton Est. Ridership : 96
Located near existing Route 2 and the Nashua Community College, this stop would serve a mobile home park off the south side of Thornton Rd and parts of other residential neighborhoods on the
north side.
Nashua Rank T-1st among potential stops
T-20th among all stops
System-wide Rank T-24th among potential stops
T-43rd among all stops
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Chapter III: Results
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T-1. Tinker Road at Glencliff Way Est. Ridership : 96
This stop would serve the northern end of the Kessler Farm Condominium complex that stretches south to Somerset Parkway, along NTS Route 2
Nashua Rank T-1st among potential stops
T-20th among all stops
System-wide Rank T-24th among potential stops
T-43rd among all stops
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Chapter III: Results
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3. Holden Road at Stockton Way Est. Ridership : 91
Located near the Hollis line south of Pine Hill Rd, this stop would service a large residential development.
Coburn Woods is very close to this location, so a combined stop would pull in an even larger
ridership number.
Nashua Rank 3rd among potential stops
22nd among all stops
System-wide Rank 27th among potential stops
46th among all stops
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Chapter III: Results
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4. Conant Road at Burgundy Drive Est. Ridership : 90
Conant Road is one of the busiest streets in residential southwest Nashua. This intersection with
Burgundy Dr. would serve a densely populated portion of the street, near Main Dunstable Rd.
Nashua Rank 4th among potential stops
24th among all stops
System-wide Rank 29th among potential stops
47th among all stops
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Chapter III: Results
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5. Coburn Avenue at Coburn Woods Est. Ridership : 87
This stop would service Coburn Woods and is very close to another location with similar ridership
estimates (see #3 above)
Nashua Rank 5th among potential stops
25th among all stops
System-wide Rank T-34th among potential stops
T-53rd among all stops
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
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6. Ferry Road at Westminster Drive Est. Ridership : 83
Just off Exit 7 and Henri Burque Hwy, this stop is located at the entrance to the Glen Abbey
residential development.
Nashua Rank 6th among potential stops
26th among all stops
System-wide Rank 45th among potential stops
64th among all stops
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7. Ridge Road at Poliquin Drive Est. Ridership : 78
This is the stop with the largest potential ridership in the south-central part of Nashua; it would serve two large residential clusters, including across the street
at Cadogan Way.
Nashua Rank 7th among potential stops
33rd among all stops
System-wide Rank 47th among potential stops
70th among all stops
An 8th location – Broad Street at Bartemus Trail at the Hollis Town line – was included as a predicted site in the analysis but is served by the new Route 9. The remainder of new predicted ridership numbers in Nashua are concentrated along similar routes as the locations profiled above – Tinker Rd., Thornton Rd., and Ridge Rd., for example.
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Chapter III: Results
June 2011
Page III-12.
C. MERRIMACK
Merrimack is home to many areas of transit need, according to past studies, with large apartment complexes and retail centers concentrated along the Daniel Webster Highway corridor along the eastern edge of Town and the Route 101A corridor in the southwest corner. Eight predicted stops featured a modeled ridership of 100 or more. The following pages profile these sites: NOTE – The Merrimack Premium Outlet Mall development, currently under construction on Industrial Drive near Exit 10 of the Everett Turnpike, is not represented by the model results, since the demographic and employment data associated with it does not exist yet. Any future update or scenario planning using this model will incorporate the outlets, and a large ridership estimate is to be expected.
1. Daniel Webster Highway @ Reeds Ferry Crossing Est. Ridership : 196
This stop would serve the Shaw’s supermarket in the north end of Merrimack, as well as a portion of a
dense residential neighborhood located east of the road.
Merrimack Rank 1st among potential stops
System-wide Rank 6th among potential stops
15th among all stops
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2. Continental Boulevard @ Shaw’s Plaza Est. Ridership : 172
This is the site of Merrimack’s other Shaw’s supermarket off Exit 11 and Continental
Boulevard. The plaza also contains other retail and dining locations.
Merrimack Rank 2nd among potential stops
System-wide Rank 8th among potential stops
20th among all stops
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
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3. Route 101A @ Home Depot Est. Ridership : 117
One of the busiest roads in the region, NH101A would feature many stops, such as this one at Home
Depot near the Nashua city line. Nearby is the intersection of Continental Blvd, as well as PC Connection, making this area very attractive to
future bus service.
Merrimack Rank 3rd among potential stops
System-wide Rank 12th among potential stops
29th among all stops
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Chapter III: Results
June 2011
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4. Daniel Webster Highway @ Hummingbird Drive Est. Ridership : 111
Located near the predicted #1 Merrimack location by the model, Hummingbird Dr. is the site of a large
apartment complex in the north end of Town.
Merrimack Rank 4th among potential stops
System-wide Rank 14th among potential stops
32nd among all stops
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Chapter III: Results
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5. Front Street @ Center Street Est. Ridership : 104
Another potential stop in the north end of Merrimack is this location on Front Street, just off DW Highway, which would serve the Commons
apartment and condo complexes.
Merrimack Rank 5th among potential stops
System-wide Rank 16th among potential stops
34th among all stops
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6. Route 101A @ Continental Boulevard Est. Ridership : 103
Another potential stop in the north end of Merrimack is this location on Front Street, just off DW Highway, which would serve the Commons
apartment and condo complexes.
Merrimack Rank 6th among potential stops
System-wide Rank 17th among potential stops
35th among all stops
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T-7. Daniel Webster Highway @ Sentry Way Est. Ridership : 100
This stop would serve the large Country Crossing condominium development just south of Exit 11.
Merrimack Rank T-7th among potential stops
System-wide Rank T-19th among potential stops
T-37th among all stops
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T-7. Daniel Webster Highway @ Shelburne Rd Est. Ridership : 100
This stop would serve the large Webster Green condominium development along the northern
portion of Daniel Webster Highway.
Merrimack Rank T-7th among potential stops
System-wide Rank T-19th among potential stops
T-37th among all stops
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Chapter III: Results
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D. HUDSON
According to the results of the prediction model, Hudson has perhaps the best mix of need and accessibility for future service expansion, as evidenced by its numerous stops located close to the Nashua border with a large predicted ridership. A total of 7 new stops have estimated riderships of more than 100 per day. The following pages profile these sites:
1. Lowell Road @ Wal-Mart Est. Ridership : 258
Located just across the Merrimack River,, this is the closest Wal-Mart for much of Nashua and a
common wishlist destination for NTS passengers.
Hudson Rank 1st among potential stops
System-wide Rank 2nd among potential stops
7th among all stops
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Chapter III: Results
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2. Lowell Road @ Fox Hollow Drive Est. Ridership : 253
This stop would serve Fox Hollow, a large residential complex, and a shopping center across
the street featuring restaurants and retail sites.
Hudson Rank 2nd among potential stops
System-wide Rank 3rd among potential stops
8th among all stops
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3. Lowell Road @ Market Basket Plaza Est. Ridership : 207
Located in between the previous two stops, the Market Basket off Lowell Road is also near several
other high-ranked stops near the Industrial Park and the Mission Pointe condo development.
Hudson Rank 3rd among potential stops
System-wide Rank 5th among potential stops
13th among all stops
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4. Derry Street @ Abbott Farm Lane Est. Ridership : 143
The largest predicted stop on Route 102 is this one, featuring Abbott Farms Condos and a Walgreens on one side, and a large shopping plaza on the
other.
Hudson Rank 4th among potential stops
System-wide Rank 9th among potential stops
23rd among all stops
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5. Lowell Road @ 203 Lowell Road Est. Ridership : 121
This stop would draw riders from the Mission Pointe development and is near other large stops, as
referenced in #3 above.
Hudson Rank 5th among potential stops
System-wide Rank 11th among potential stops
27th among all stops
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6. Webster Street @ Willow Creek Drive Est. Ridership : 105
This stop would draw riders from the Mission Pointe development and is near other large stops, as
referenced in #3 above.
Hudson Rank 6th among potential stops
System-wide Rank 15th among potential stops
33rd among all stops
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Chapter III: Results
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7. Elm Drive @ Elmwood Village Est. Ridership : 102
Located on Route 3A near its intersection with Route 102, this stop would serve the Elmwood Village
residential development.
Hudson Rank 7th among potential stops
System-wide Rank 18th among potential stops
36th among all stops
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Chapter III: Results
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E. MILFORD
The analysis of stops in Milford included only Route 101A (Nashua St.) between the Milford Oval and the Amherst Town line – mirroring the route taken by JARC service in past years. Of the 11 sites, 4 stood out in terms of large ridership numbers. The following pages profile these sites:
1. Nashua Street @ Lorden Plaza Est. Ridership : 226
Featuring a Shaw’s supermarket and several other retail sites, Lorden Plaza is predicted to pull the
largest ridership in the Town
Milford Rank 1st among potential stops
System-wide Rank 4th among potential stops
9th among all stops
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2. Nashua Street @ Stop and Shop Plaza Est. Ridership : 186
Across 101A from the previous site is this other supermarket plaza. A combined stop here could attract a ridership of more than 400 per day.
Milford Rank 2nd among potential stops
System-wide Rank 7th among potential stops
16th among all stops
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Chapter III: Results
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3. Nashua Street @ 536 Nashua Street Est. Ridership : 139
This site would serve some small retail areas along 101A but is also the closest stop to the residential
areas of Ponemah Hill Rd.
Milford Rank 3rd among potential stops
System-wide Rank 10th among potential stops
24th among all stops
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4. Nashua Street @ Tonella Road Est. Ridership : 114
This stop would serve the County Stores plaza closer to the Milford Oval, as well as a huge mixed
residential development on Tonella Road.
Milford Rank 4th among potential stops
System-wide Rank 13th among potential stops
30th among all stops
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
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F. POTENTIAL SERVICE CORRIDORS
Looking at the community-specific results, as well as the regional summary, it becomes clear that many of the stops with the highest potential ridership can be found on the same corridors. These corridors include Lowell Road in Hudson, Route 101A in Merrimack, Amherst, and Milford, and Daniel Webster Highway in Merrimack. The map below shows these corridors and the total ridership predicted along each one.
FIGURE 3 - RIDERSHIP ALONG POTENTIAL CORRIDORS
APPENDIX
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-1.
EXISTING DAILY AVERAGE RIDERSHIP DATA BY ROUTE
ROUTE 2 - AMHERST ST / CONCORD FY 2008
Number of Surveys = 61
Main - Park St 34
Amherst - Celina 2 Main - Pearson Ave 46
Amherst - Target 11
7 Concord St 51
Amherst - Walgreen's 24
Manchester - Mt Pleasant St 26
Amherst - Capitol 23
Manchester - Courtland 18
Amherst - State 19
Manchester - Monadnock 10
Amherst - D'angelo's 37
Charlotte Ave - Manchester 10
Amherst - Townsend West 17
Charlotte Ave - Sheridan 11
Amherst - Community Council 13
Charlotte Ave - Meade 5
Amherst - Building 19 16
Charlotte St - Charlotte Ave 6
Amherst - Bertucci's 22
Charlotte St - Amherst 12
Amherst - McDonald's 35
Amherst - Wellman 13
Amherst - Leda Lanes 23
Amherst - Henri Burque 7
Amherst - Peter's Honda 35
Amherst - Hampshire 91
Amherst - Mt. Vernon 1
Amherst - Cannongate 23
Amherst - Milford 7
Amherst - Sullivan Tire 10
Charlotte St - Rite Aid 22
Somerset Plaza - Sears 60
Charlotte Ave School 3
Somerset Plaza - Mrkt Bskt 164
Charlotte - Nutting 2
Trafalgar - Crown Plaza 31
Charlotte - Manchester 8
Somerset Pkwy - Kessler 11
Manchester - Beauview 7
Somerset Pkwy - Ground Rd 11
Manchester - Watson 1
Amherst - Amherst St Mall 14
Manchester - Henri Burque 12
Amherst - Wallingford 27
Concord - Henri Burque 33
Amherst - Sunapee 18
Concord - Latter Day Church 4
Amherst - Rickdales 73
Concord - Greeley Park 6
Amherst - Community College 50
Concord - Bartlett 2
Amherst - Amherst Park 91
Concord - Stark 4
Amherst - Blackstone 38
Concord - Courtland 9
Amherst - Best Ford 38
Concord - Red Cross 20
Northwest Blvd - Greystone 42
6 Concord St 29
West Side - Marshalls 171
Main - RR Track 30
Celina - Northwest Blvd 11
Main - Water St 37
Northwest Blvd - Pier 1 6
Main - High 24
Totals: 1767
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
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ROUTE 3 - WEST HOLLIS / NASHUA MALL FY 2008 Number of Surveys = 29
Number of Surveys = 035
Will St Loop
Ledge St Loop
West Hollis - Walnut 2
West Hollis - Walnut 6
West Hollis - Pine 9
West Hollis - Pine 10
West Hollis - Badger 3
West Hollis - Badger 3
West Hollis - Eaton 4
West Hollis - Eaton 1
West Hollis - Manilla 7
West Hollis - Manilla 6
West Hollis - 12th St Shelter 8
West Hollis - 12th St Shelter 10
** Will - 12th St 50
** 12th St - Will 12
** Will - Gatewood 49
** 12th St - Ledge St 17
** Will - Bronze Craft 4
** Ledge - Davidson 14
7 Coliseum Ave 21
** 190 Ledge St 5
Chunky's 11
** Simon St - Ledge 2
Hannaford's 62
** Simon St - Will
Nashua Mall - Christmas Tree 45
7 Coliseum Ave 26
Broad - Car Wash 4
Chunky's 10
Broad - Dairy Queen 1
Hannaford's 58
Broad - Fox 4
Nashua Mall - Christmas Tree 66
Broad - Chautauqua 3
Broad - Car Wash 10
Amherst - Baldwin 7
Broad - Dairy Queen 3
Amherst - Bruce 1
Broad - Fox 4
Amherst - Vernon 10
Broad - Chautauqua 2
Amherst - Main 4
Amherst - Baldwin 4
Main - RR Track 4
Amherst - Bruce 3
Main - Water St 8
Amherst - Vernon 14
Main - High 7
Amherst - Main 8
Totals: 328
Main - RR Track 3
Main - Water St 3
Main - High 11
Totals: 311
Will St Loop - Even Hours
Ledge St Loop - Odd Hours
** 6:15am, 8:15am, 10:15am
** 7:15am, 9:15am, 11:15am
** 12:15pm, 2:15pm, 4:15pm, 6:15pm ** 1:15pm, 3:15pm, 5:15pm
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
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ROUTE 5 - LAKE ST / NE BLVD
FY 2008
Number of Surveys = 112
Elm - Oak 14
Harris Rd - Greenbriar 69
Elm - Lake 44
NE Blvd - Holiday Inn 104
Lake - Chestnut 25
NE Blvd - Industrial Pk 22
Lake - Ash 12
NE Blvd - Launching Pad 6
Lake - Pine 13
55 NE Blvd - Boston Billards 25
Lake - Balcom 17
NE Blvd - Murphy 14
Balcom - Ross 10
NE Blvd - Pittsburgh 20
Pine - Arel Manor 105
NE Blvd - Congress 90
Lake - Balcom 10
NE Blvd - 7-11 100
Lake - Fire Station 14
Kinsley - Ferson 6
Lake - Almont 7
Kinsley - Euclid 18
Lake - Caldwell 15
Kinsley - St Joseph Hospital 33
Fairview - Lake 17
Kinsley - St Joseph Shelter 25
Fairview - Caldwell 33
Kinsley - Sawyer 6
Fairview - Fairgrounds Jr High 29
Kinsley - Hanover 27
Almont - Wilson 3
Kinsley - Ash 4
Almont - Forest Park 5
Kinsley - Chestnut 17
Almont - Bishop Guertin 15
Totals: 987
Lund - Foxmeadow 10
Lund - Archery 3
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Appendix
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Page A-4.
ROUTE 6 - SOUTH END / PHEASANT LANE
FY 2008
Number of Surveys = 78
Main - Prospect Ave 29
Spitbrook - BAE 26
Main - Belmont 31
Royal Ridge Center - Hallmark 178
Main - Lake St 46
DW Hwy - Harold 30
Main - West Allds 27
Southgate Plaza - Walgreens 293
Main - Revere 13
Pheasant Lane Mall - Food Ct 1090
Main - Park Ave 13
DW Hwy - Danforth 18
Main - East Dunstable 12
DW Hwy - Webster Square 48
East Dunstable - Catherine 2
DW Hwy - Burger King 60
East Dunstable - Burnett 1
DW Hwy - Poisson 17
East Dunstable - Roby St
DW Hwy - Funworld 8
East Dunstable - Klondike 1
DW Hwy - Volvo 22
East Dunstable - Roy St 4
DW Hwy - Colliston Yard 1
East Dunstable - Bright Spot 2
Veterans Dr 53
East Dunstable - Phillips 3
South Main - Beausite 3
East Dunstable - Harris Rd 7
South Main - Waltham 10
East Dunstable - Judith 5
South Main - April 8
East Dunstable - Beckmann 1
South Main - East Hobart 7
East Dunstable - Niquette 1
South Main - Osgood 6
East Dunstable - New Searles 24
South Main - Farmington
East Dunstable - Viekas 2
South Main - Fairway 5
East Dunstable - Monica 6
Rivier College - Clement 15
East Dunstable - Lisa Ave 12
Rivier College - Florence Hall 6
East Dunstable - Langdon Pl 6
Main - East Dunstable 5
East Dunstable - Sky Meadow 17
Main - Dickerman 11
Spitbrook - Roby Park 8
Main - Taylor 2
Spitbrook - Oak Hill 15
Main - Buchanon 13
Spitbrook - Hamlet 22
Main - Allds 26
Spitbrook - Sapling 9
Main - Market Place Plaza 53
Radisson Hotel Parking Lot 29
Main - Burger King 31
Tara Blvd 17
Main - Bowers 30
Spitbrook Shelter 157
Totals: 2597
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-5.
ROUTE 7 - CROWN HILL / SPRING ST FY 2008
Number of Surveys = 72
Temple - Spring 16
Temple - Cottage 25
Temple - Senior Center 45
Spruce - Temple 22
Spruce - Worcester 11
Harbor - Sullivan Shelter 59
Harbor - Prospect 9
Bowers - Marshall 12
Bowers - Allds 28
Bowers - Newbury 6
Bowers - Arlington 10
Arlington - Williams 31
Arlington - Haines 19
Arlington - Underhill 11
Burke - Wagner Court 21
Burke - Vagge 24
Burke - Major Dr Shelter 58
Burke - Barker
Burke - Allds 13
Allds - Hunt Homes 7
Main - Hunt Homes 3
Main - Market Place Plaza 16
Market Plaza - AJ Wright's 61
Market Plaza - Shaw's 102
Dearborn - Bowers 12
Dearborn - Prospect 15
Dearborn - Hitchcook East 11
Spring St - Post Office 11
Spring St - Court House 19
Totals: 677
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-6.
ROUTE 8 - LOCK/NASHUA MALL/ WEST HOLLIS
FY 2008
Number of Surveys = 58
Main - Park St 9
West Hollis - Pitary's Park 5
Main - Pearson Ave 8
West Hollis - Hillock 3
Canal St - Cross 8
West Hollis - Gary 5
Canal St - BAE 19
West Hollis - Skyline 8
Chandler - BAE 12
West Hollis - Mahogany 6
Chandler - Francis Church 28
West Hollis - Jensen's Park 10
Chandler - Lock St 25
West Hollis - Elmhurst 25
Lock St - Lessard 6
West Hollis - J Don's 10
Lock St - Tolles 5
West Hollis - Countryside 4
Lock St - Cross 12
West Hollis - Ridgefield 4
Lock St - Foster Sq 14
West Hollis - Yorkway
Amherst - Abbott 13
West Hollis - Landfill 1
Amherst - Fire Station 11
West Hollis - Trestle Brook 6
Amherst - Holman Stadium 11
W Hollis - St Louis Cemetary 1
Amherst - Sargent 1
West Hollis - Westgate 13
Broad St - Chatauqua 5
West Hollis - Hammar
Broad St - Pine Hill Ave 2
West Hollis - Ledgewood 4
Broad St - Sullivan 1
West Hollis - Kensington 4
Broad St - Short Ave 7
West Hollis - WSMN 1
7 Coliseum Ave 38
West Hollis - Greek Church 1
Chunky's 12
Kinsley - Ferson 6
Hannaford's 96
Kinsley - Euclid 5
Nashua Mall - Christmas Tree 87
Kinsley - St Joseph Hospital 12
11 Riverside St 40
Kinsley - St Joseph Shelter 7
Riverside St - Park & Ride 19
Kinsley - Sawyer 8
West Hollis - Pratt Shelter 10
Kinsley - Hanover 17
West Hollis - Hitchcook West 6
Kinsley - Ash 10
West Hollis - Parkhurst 2
Kinsley - Chestnut 16
West Hollis - Jayron 1
Totals: 708
West Hollis - Norma 8
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-7.
ROUTE 9 - BROAD ST / NASHUA NORTH
FY 2008
Number of Surveys = 31
Main - Park St 2
Hollis Crossing 4
Main - Pearson Ave 4
Broad - Hyannis 1
Amherst - Abbott 9
Broad - Piermount 1
Amherst - Fire Station 2
Broad - Counrty Hill 3
Amherst - Holman Stadium 1
Broad - Thistle 10
Amherst - Sargent 2
Nashua High North 30
Broad St - Chatauqua
Broad - Roundabout
Broad St - Pine Hill Ave
Broad - Upstone
Broad St - Sullivan 1
Broad - Beaver
Broad St - Short Ave 1
Broad - Carroll
Blue Hill - Long Ave
Broad - Bailey 1
Pine Hill Gardens - Flagstone 2
Broad - Greenlay
Cypress Ln - Northwood
7 Coliseum Ave 9
Cypress Ln - Laconia 1
Chunky's 2
Hunter - Rugby
Hannaford's 49
Wheaton - Dunloggin
Nashua Mall - Christmas Tree 8
Pine Hill - Wheaton
Visitor Center 6
Pine Hill - Airport Bldg 2
Broad - Car Wash 1
DW College Shelter 5
Broad - Dairy Queen 1
DW College - University Dr 5
Broad - Fox
Pine Hill - University Dr
Broad - Chautauqua 3
Dublin - Dunbarton
Amherst - Baldwin 9
Dublin - Fremont
Amherst - Bruce
41 Dublin Ave
Amherst - Vernon 2
Dublin - Woodland
Amherst - Main
Dublin - Dixville
Main - RR Track 1
Dublin - Durham
Main - Water St 4
Broad - Sims
Main - High 1
Broad - Chapel Hill 3
Totals: 188
Broad - Roundabout 3
Broad - Parrish Hill 1
Broad - Brittany Place
Broad - Unicorn
Broad - Red Barn 4
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-8.
ESTIMATED RIDERSHIP RESULTS (SORTED BY OVERALL RANK)
Ridership = combined number of boardings and alightings per weekday Blue text = actual data for existing stops Green text = predicted data for potential stops
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
98 Nashua Existing Pheasant Lane Mall @ Food Court 1269 100.00% 1
109 Nashua Existing Southgate Plaza @ Walgreens 402 99.80% 2
87 Nashua Existing Main St Marketplace @ Shaw's 384 99.60% 3
106 Nashua Existing Somerset Plaza @ Market Basket 311 99.50% 4
2504 Amherst Predicted Milford Rd (NH 101A) @ Wall Mart Entrance 281 99.30% 5
40 Nashua Existing Coliseum Ave @ Hannaford 277 99.20% 6
3036 Hudson Predicted Lowell Rd (NH 3A) @ Wal-Mart Blvd 258 99.00% 7
3031 Hudson Predicted Lowell Rd (NH 3A) @ Fox Hollow Dr & Market B 253 98.80% 8
1501 Milford Predicted Nashua St (NH 101A) @ Shaws 226 98.70% 9
92 Nashua Existing Nashua Mall @ Xmas Tree Shops 223 98.50% 10
133 Nashua Existing Westside Plaza @ Marshalls 213 98.40% 11
86 Nashua Existing Main St @ Railroad Tracks 210 98.20% 12
3034 Hudson Predicted Lowell Rd (NH 3A) @ Market Basket 207 98.00% 13
94 Nashua Existing Northeastern Blvd @ Congress St 201 97.90% 14
2022 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Shaws 196 97.70% 15
111 Nashua Existing Spit Brook Rd @ Brook Village 186 97.40% 16
1502 Milford Predicted Nashua St (NH 101A) @ Stop & Shop 186 97.40% 16
14 Nashua Existing Amherst St @ Rickdales 181 97.20% 18
103 Nashua Existing Royal Ridge Plaza @ Hallmark 178 97.10% 19
2048 Merrimack Predicted Continental Blvd @ Shaws 172 96.90% 20
13 Nashua Existing Amherst St @ Peters Honda 149 96.80% 21
4 Nashua Existing Amherst St @ Amherst Park 145 96.60% 22
3099 Hudson Predicted Derry St (NH 102) @ Abbott Farm Ln 143 96.40% 23
1503 Milford Predicted Nashua St (NH 101A) @ 536 Nashua St 139 96.30% 24
39 Nashua Existing Coliseum Ave @ 7 Coliseum 137 96.10% 25
95 Nashua Existing Northeastern Blvd @ Holiday Inn 128 96.00% 26
3033 Hudson Predicted Lowell Rd (NH 3A) @ 203 Lowell Rd 121 95.80% 27
100 Nashua Existing Pine St @ Arel Manor 118 95.60% 28
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-9.
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
2034 Merrimack Predicted Milford Rd (NH 101A) @ Home Depot 117 95.50% 29
1508 Milford Predicted Nashua St (NH 101A) @ Tonella Rd 114 95.30% 30
6 Nashua Existing Amherst St @ Best Ford 113 95.20% 31
2023 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Hummingbird Dr 111 95.00% 32
3111 Hudson Predicted Webster St @ Willow Creek Dr 105 94.80% 33
2027 Merrimack Predicted Front St @ Center St 104 94.70% 34
2033 Merrimack Predicted Milford Rd (NH 101A) @ Continental Blvd 103 94.50% 35
3107 Hudson Predicted Elm Ave (NH 3A) @ Elwood Village Condo 102 94.40% 36
12 Nashua Existing Amherst St @ Main St 100 93.90% 37
2008 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Sentry Way 100 93.90% 37
2026 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Shelborne Rd 100 93.90% 37
2028 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ 725 DW Hwy 98 93.60% 40
3070 Hudson Predicted Roosevelt Ave @ 18 Roosevelt Ave 98 93.60% 40
2002 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Harris Pond Rd North 97 93.40% 42
4001 Nashua Predicted Thornton Rd @ 38 Thornton Rd 96 93.10% 43
4004 Nashua Predicted Tinker Rd @ Glencliff Way 96 93.10% 43
2012 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Concord Rd 93 92.90% 45
4025 Nashua Predicted Holden Rd @ Stocton Way 91 92.80% 46
4038 Nashua Predicted Broad St (NH 130) @ Bartemus Trl 90 92.50% 47
4053 Nashua Predicted Conant Rd @ Burgundy Dr 90 92.50% 47
2094 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ Indian Rock Rd 89 91.80% 49
2129 Merrimack Predicted Bedford Rd @ Ravencroft Way 89 91.80% 49
2149 Merrimack Predicted Spring Pond Rd @ Chestnut Cir 89 91.80% 49
3079 Hudson Predicted Melendy Rd @ Rickey Dr 89 91.80% 49
1062 Hollis Predicted Market Pl @ 2 Market Pl 87 91.00% 53
2119 Merrimack Predicted Joppa Rd @ Donovan Ct 87 91.00% 53
3085 Hudson Predicted Kimball Hill Rd @ Shadowbrook Dr 87 91.00% 53
3087 Hudson Predicted Kimball Hill Rd @ Mobile Dr 87 91.00% 53
4026 Nashua Predicted Coburn Ave @ Coburn Woods 87 91.00% 53
2077 Merrimack Predicted West Chamberlain Rd @ Summit Rd 86 90.50% 58
3066 Hudson Predicted Burns Hill Rd @ 11 Burns Hill Rd 86 90.50% 58
3116 Hudson Predicted Holly Ln @ Quail Run Dr 86 90.50% 58
3115 Hudson Predicted Joel Path @ Barbara Ln 84 90.10% 61
3122 Hudson Predicted Highland St @ Scottsdale Dr 84 90.10% 61
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-10.
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
3125 Hudson Predicted Daniel Webster Dr @ 16 Daniel Webster Dr 84 90.10% 61
4017 Nashua Predicted Ferry Rd @ Westminster Dr 83 89.90% 64
28 Nashua Existing Burke St @ Major Dr 82 89.60% 65
2035 Merrimack Predicted Milford Rd (NH 101A) @ Boston Post Rd 82 89.60% 65
67 Nashua Existing Harbor Ave @ Sullivan Terrace 80 89.40% 67
73 Nashua Existing Kinsley St @ St Joseph's 79 89.10% 68
85 Nashua Existing Main St @ Prospect Ave 79 89.10% 68
68 Nashua Existing Harris Rd @ Greenbriar 78 88.60% 70
116 Nashua Existing Spruce St @ Temple St 78 88.60% 70
4066 Nashua Predicted Ridge Rd @ Poliquin Dr 78 88.60% 70
69 Nashua Existing Kinsley St @ Chestnut St 75 88.50% 73
48 Nashua Existing Daniel Webster Hwy @ Burger King 71 88.30% 74
81 Nashua Existing Main St @ Allds St 66 88.10% 75
16 Nashua Existing Amherst St @ Wallingford Dr 65 88.00% 76
9 Nashua Existing Amherst St @ Cannongate 60 87.80% 77
101 Nashua Existing Riverside St @ 11 Riverside 59 87.70% 78
37 Nashua Existing Charlotte St @ Rite Aid 56 87.40% 79
53 Nashua Existing Daniel Webster Hwy @ Veterans Dr 56 87.40% 79
2032 Merrimack Predicted Milford Rd (NH 101A) @ Nashua TL 55 87.20% 81
3098 Hudson Predicted Derry St (NH 102) @ Ledge Rd 52 87.00% 82
7 Nashua Existing Amherst St @ Blackstone 49 86.70% 83
134 Nashua Existing Will St @ Gatewood Manor 49 86.70% 83
18 Nashua Existing Arlington St @ Williams St 47 86.20% 85
97 Nashua Existing Northwest Blvd @ Greystone Plaza 47 86.20% 85
3035 Hudson Predicted Lowell Rd (NH 3A) @ Wason Rd 47 86.20% 85
15 Nashua Existing Amherst St @ Vernon St 46 85.80% 88
71 Nashua Existing Kinsley St @ Hanover St 46 85.80% 88
117 Nashua Existing Tara Blvd @ Radisson 46 85.80% 88
5 Nashua Existing Amherst St @ Baldwin St 45 85.60% 91
83 Nashua Existing Main St @ High St 43 84.80% 92
2004 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Manchester St 43 84.80% 92
2505 Amherst Predicted Milford Rd (NH 101A) @ Old Nashua Rd 43 84.80% 92
3013 Hudson Predicted Central St (NH 111) @ Park Ave 43 84.80% 92
3106 Hudson Predicted Derry St (NH 102) @ Robinson Rd 43 84.80% 92
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-11.
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
105 Nashua Existing Somerset Pkwy @ Kessler Farm Dr 42 83.80% 97
2001 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Harris Pond Rd South 42 83.80% 97
2006 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Robert Milligan Pkwy 42 83.80% 97
2508 Amherst Predicted Milford Rd (NH 101A) @ Milford TL 42 83.80% 97
3010 Hudson Predicted Central St (NH 111) @ Hudson Park Dr 42 83.80% 97
3058 Hudson Predicted Wason Rd @ Holly Ln 42 83.80% 97
84 Nashua Existing Main St @ Park Ave 41 83.40% 103
112 Nashua Existing Spit Brook Rd @ Hamlet Dr 41 83.40% 103
118 Nashua Existing Temple St @ Cottage St 41 83.40% 103
26 Nashua Existing Broad St @ Welcome Center 39 83.00% 106
124 Nashua Existing West Hollis St @ Elmhurst Ln 39 83.00% 106
1 Nashua Existing 12th St @ Ledge St 37 82.20% 108
74 Nashua Existing Lake St @ Balcom St 37 82.20% 108
76 Nashua Existing Lake St @ Chestnut St 37 82.20% 108
1509 Milford Predicted Nashua St (NH 101A) @ Clinton St 37 82.20% 108
1511 Milford Predicted Nashua St (NH 101A) @ Oval 37 82.20% 108
32 Nashua Existing Chandler St @ Lock St 36 82.10% 113
35 Nashua Existing Charlotte Ave @ Manchester St 35 81.80% 114
70 Nashua Existing Kinsley St @ Euclid Ave 35 81.80% 114
38 Nashua Existing Chuck Druding Dr @ Nashua High North 34 81.30% 116
96 Nashua Existing Northeastern Blvd @ Pittsburgh Ave 34 81.30% 116
2015 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Woodbury St 34 81.30% 116
43 Nashua Existing Concord St @ Henri Burque Hwy 33 81.00% 119
65 Nashua Existing Fairview Ave @ Caldwell Rd 33 81.00% 119
75 Nashua Existing Lake St @ Caldwell Rd 32 80.50% 121
82 Nashua Existing Main St @ East Dunstable Rd 32 80.50% 121
121 Nashua Existing West Hollis St @ 12th St Shelter 32 80.50% 121
8 Nashua Existing Amherst St @ Building 19 31 79.50% 124
31 Nashua Existing Chandler St @ BAE 31 79.50% 124
61 Nashua Existing East Dunstable Rd @ New Searles Rd 31 79.50% 124
93 Nashua Existing Northeastern Blvd @ Boston Billiards 31 79.50% 124
1505 Milford Predicted Nashua St (NH 101A) @ 444 Nashua St 31 79.50% 124
1506 Milford Predicted Nashua St (NH 101A) @ Shepard St 31 79.50% 124
2 Nashua Existing Almont St @ Bishop Guertin 30 78.60% 130
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-12.
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
17 Nashua Existing Arlington St @ Haines St 30 78.60% 130
115 Nashua Existing Spring St @ Post Office 30 78.60% 130
129 Nashua Existing West Hollis St @ Trestle Brook Dr 30 78.60% 130
2017 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Baboosic Lake Rd 30 78.60% 130
2126 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Bedford Rd 30 78.60% 130
66 Nashua Existing Fairview Ave @ Fairgrounds MS 29 78.30% 136
110 Nashua Existing Spit Brook Rd @ BAE 29 78.30% 136
19 Nashua Existing Bowers St @ Allds St 28 77.60% 138
33 Nashua Existing Chandler St @ St Francis Church 28 77.60% 138
3027 Hudson Predicted Lowell Rd (NH 3A) @ County Rd North 28 77.60% 138
3071 Hudson Predicted Melendy Rd @ Able St 28 77.60% 138
132 Nashua Existing West Hollis St @ Westgate Crossing 27 76.80% 142
1504 Milford Predicted Nashua St (NH 101A) @ Medlyn St 27 76.80% 142
1510 Milford Predicted Nashua St (NH 101A) @ Franklin St 27 76.80% 142
2016 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ 454 DW Hwy 27 76.80% 142
2019 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Front St 27 76.80% 142
54 Nashua Existing Daniel Webster Hwy @ Volvo 26 75.50% 147
55 Nashua Existing Dearborn St @ Hitchcock East 26 75.50% 147
90 Nashua Existing Manchester St @ Mt Pleasant St 26 75.50% 147
102 Nashua Existing Riverside St @ Clement St 26 75.50% 147
2010 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Greeley St 26 75.50% 147
2020 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Williams St 26 75.50% 147
2021 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Pine St 26 75.50% 147
3028 Hudson Predicted Lowell Rd (NH 3A) @ Birch St 26 75.50% 147
1507 Milford Predicted Nashua St (NH 101A) @ Powers St 25 74.60% 155
2092 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ McElwain St 25 74.60% 155
3016 Hudson Predicted Ferry St (NH 111) @ Derry Rd (NH 102) 25 74.60% 155
3025 Hudson Predicted Lowell Rd (NH 3A) @ Riverside Dr 25 74.60% 155
3110 Hudson Predicted Webster St @ Kenyon St 25 74.60% 155
3112 Hudson Predicted Webster St @ Cummings St 25 74.60% 155
128 Nashua Existing West Hollis St @ Pine St 24 73.30% 161
2003 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ 74 DW Hwy 24 73.30% 161
2018 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Wire Rd 24 73.30% 161
2024 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Hilton Dr 24 73.30% 161
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-13.
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
2025 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ 658 DW Hwy 24 73.30% 161
2093 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ O'Gara Dr 24 73.30% 161
2121 Merrimack Predicted Wire Rd @ Hillside Ter 24 73.30% 161
3100 Hudson Predicted Derry St (NH 102) @ Phillips Dr 24 73.30% 161
22 Nashua Existing Broad St @ Chautauqua Ave 23 72.00% 169
2009 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Star Dr 23 72.00% 169
3003 Hudson Predicted Central St @ Melendy Rd 23 72.00% 169
3024 Hudson Predicted Ferry St (NH 111) @ Alpine Ave 23 72.00% 169
3026 Hudson Predicted Lowell Rd (NH 3A) @ Winnhaven Dr 23 72.00% 169
3096 Hudson Predicted Derry St (NH 102) @ Highland Ave 23 72.00% 169
3109 Hudson Predicted Webster St @ Garrison Farm Rd 23 72.00% 169
4039 Nashua Predicted Main Dunstable Rd @ Northeastern Blvd 23 72.00% 169
3000 Hudson Predicted Central St (NH 3A) @ Chase St 22 71.40% 177
3001 Hudson Predicted Central St (NH 3A) @ Library St 22 71.40% 177
3002 Hudson Predicted Central St (NH 3A) @ Lowell Rd (NH 3A) 22 71.40% 177
3004 Hudson Predicted Central St @ Vinton St 22 71.40% 177
29 Nashua Existing Burke St @ Wagner Ct 21 70.00% 181
77 Nashua Existing Lake St @ Fire Station 21 70.00% 181
107 Nashua Existing South Main St @ East Hobart St 21 70.00% 181
3005 Hudson Predicted Central St @ 128 Central St 21 70.00% 181
3018 Hudson Predicted Ferry St (NH 111) @ Second St 21 70.00% 181
3021 Hudson Predicted Ferry St (NH 111) @ Adelaide St 21 70.00% 181
3072 Hudson Predicted Melendy Rd @ Roosevelt Ave 21 70.00% 181
3073 Hudson Predicted Melendy Rd @ Merrill St 21 70.00% 181
3097 Hudson Predicted Derry St (NH 102) @ Haverill St 21 70.00% 181
45 Nashua Existing Concord St @ Red Cross 20 68.10% 190
51 Nashua Existing Daniel Webster Hwy @ Poisson Ave 20 68.10% 190
1070 Hollis Predicted Runnells Bridge Rd @ Terrell Ln 20 68.10% 190
2005 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ BAE 20 68.10% 190
2029 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Crosswoods Path Blvd 20 68.10% 190
3006 Hudson Predicted Central St @ Belknap Rd 20 68.10% 190
3017 Hudson Predicted Ferry St (NH 111) @ Pleasant St 20 68.10% 190
3019 Hudson Predicted Ferry St (NH 111) @ Buswell St 20 68.10% 190
3022 Hudson Predicted Ferry St (NH 111) @ 132 Ferry St 20 68.10% 190
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-14.
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
3023 Hudson Predicted Ferry St (NH 111( @ State St 20 68.10% 190
3108 Hudson Predicted Elm Ave (NH 3A) @ Webster St 20 68.10% 190
4000 Nashua Predicted Thornton Rd @ Watersedge Dr 20 68.10% 190
2007 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Budweiser Plant 19 66.00% 202
2014 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ East Chamberlain Rd 19 66.00% 202
2030 Merrimack Predicted Manchester St @ Heron Cove Dr South 19 66.00% 202
2031 Merrimack Predicted Manchester St @ 21 Manchester St 19 66.00% 202
2037 Merrimack Predicted Continental Blvd @ Naticook Rd 19 66.00% 202
2051 Merrimack Predicted Amherst Rd @ Executive Park Dr 19 66.00% 202
3020 Hudson Predicted Ferry St (NH 111) @ Gloria Ave 19 66.00% 202
3074 Hudson Predicted County Rd @ Belknap Rd 19 66.00% 202
3076 Hudson Predicted Belknap Rd @ Alpha St 19 66.00% 202
4002 Nashua Predicted Thornton Rd @ White Oak Dr 19 66.00% 202
4005 Nashua Predicted Tinker Rd @ Fireside Cir 19 66.00% 202
4006 Nashua Predicted Tinker Rd @ Hearthside Dr 19 66.00% 202
4007 Nashua Predicted Tinker Rd @ Damper Cir 19 66.00% 202
88 Nashua Existing Manchester St @ Courtland St 18 65.30% 215
122 Nashua Existing West Hollis St @ Badger St 18 65.30% 215
2013 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Columbia Cir 18 65.30% 215
4003 Nashua Predicted Tinker Rd @ White Oak Dr 18 65.30% 215
64 Nashua Existing East Dunstable Rd @ Sky Meadow Dr 17 63.90% 219
72 Nashua Existing Kinsley St @ Sawyer St 17 63.90% 219
2011 Merrimack Predicted DW Hwy @ Hoyt St 17 63.90% 219
2501 Amherst Predicted Milford Rd (NH 101A) @ Craftsman Ln 17 63.90% 219
3075 Hudson Predicted Belknap Rd @ Lorraine St 17 63.90% 219
3117 Hudson Predicted Highland St @ Haverill St 17 63.90% 219
3118 Hudson Predicted Highland St @ Nottingham St 17 63.90% 219
3120 Hudson Predicted Highland St @ George St 17 63.90% 219
4020 Nashua Predicted Pine Hill Rd @Robert Dr 17 63.90% 219
127 Nashua Existing West Hollis St @ Manila St 16 62.80% 228
1068 Hollis Predicted Runnells Bridge Rd @ Nashua TL 16 62.80% 228
3029 Hudson Predicted Lowell Rd (NH 3A) @ Atwood Ave 16 62.80% 228
3119 Hudson Predicted Highland St @ Lampron Rd 16 62.80% 228
3131 Hudson Predicted Marsh Rd @ Evergreen Dr 16 62.80% 228
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-15.
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
3132 Hudson Predicted Marsh Rd @ 46 Marsh Rd 16 62.80% 228
3147 Hudson Predicted Robinson Rd @ Old Derry Rd 16 62.80% 228
2042 Merrimack Predicted Thornton Rd West @ 55 Thornton Rd West 15 61.00% 235
2050 Merrimack Predicted Camp Sargent Rd North @ Nottingwood Ln 15 61.00% 235
3008 Hudson Predicted Central St (NH 111) @ Kimball Hill Rd 15 61.00% 235
3014 Hudson Predicted Central St (NH 111) @ Lawrence Rd South 15 61.00% 235
3030 Hudson Predicted Lowell Rd (NH 3A) @ Pelham Rd 15 61.00% 235
3038 Hudson Predicted Lowell Rd (NH 3A) @ Steele Rd 15 61.00% 235
3039 Hudson Predicted River Rd (NH 3A) @ Friel Golf Rd 15 61.00% 235
3044 Hudson Predicted Dracut Rd @ Stuart St 15 61.00% 235
4019 Nashua Predicted Pine Hill Rd @ High Pine Ave 15 61.00% 235
4021 Nashua Predicted Pine Hill Rd @ Wheaton Dr 15 61.00% 235
4037 Nashua Predicted Broad St (NH 130) @ Dublin Ave 15 61.00% 235
34 Nashua Existing Charlotte Ave @ Elementary School 14 59.40% 246
50 Nashua Existing Daniel Webster Hwy @ Funworld 14 59.40% 246
79 Nashua Existing Lock St @ Foster Sq 14 59.40% 246
123 Nashua Existing West Hollis St @ Countryside Dr 14 59.40% 246
130 Nashua Existing West Hollis St @ Walkeridge Dr 14 59.40% 246
3077 Hudson Predicted Belknap Rd @ Melendy Rd 14 59.40% 246
3152 Hudson Predicted Robinson Rd @ Parker Dr 14 59.40% 246
3154 Hudson Predicted Robinson Rd @ Griffin Rd 14 59.40% 246
4024 Nashua Predicted Pine Hill Rd @ Holden Rd 14 59.40% 246
4071 Nashua Predicted Ridge Rd @ Govenors Ln 14 59.40% 246
27 Nashua Existing Burke St @ Allds St 13 55.00% 256
36 Nashua Existing Charlotte Ave @ Sheridan St 13 55.00% 256
42 Nashua Existing Concord St @ Courtland St 13 55.00% 256
108 Nashua Existing South Main St @ Waltham Dr 13 55.00% 256
3032 Hudson Predicted Lowell Rd (NH 3A) @ Executive Dr 13 55.00% 256
3105 Hudson Predicted Derry St (NH 102) @ Cutler Rd 13 55.00% 256
3153 Hudson Predicted Robinson Rd @ Kienia Rd 13 55.00% 256
4040 Nashua Predicted Main Dunstable Rd @ Valhalla Dr 13 55.00% 256
4041 Nashua Predicted Main Dunstable Rd @ Old Coach Rd 13 55.00% 256
4042 Nashua Predicted Main Dunstable Rd @ Conant Rd 13 55.00% 256
4043 Nashua Predicted Main Dunstable Rd @ Westgate Crossing 13 55.00% 256
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-16.
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
4044 Nashua Predicted Main Dunstable Rd @ Acacia St 13 55.00% 256
4045 Nashua Predicted Main Dunstable Rd @ Sagamore Rd 13 55.00% 256
4046 Nashua Predicted Main Dunstable Rd @ Rene Dr 13 55.00% 256
4047 Nashua Predicted Main Dunstable Rd @ Whitford Rd 13 55.00% 256
4048 Nashua Predicted Main Dunstable Rd @ Buckmeadow Rd 13 55.00% 256
4049 Nashua Predicted Main Dunstable Rd @ Ridge Rd 13 55.00% 256
4050 Nashua Predicted Main Dunstable Rd @ Gregg Rd 13 55.00% 256
4051 Nashua Predicted Main Dunstable Rd @ Hadley Dr 13 55.00% 256
4052 Nashua Predicted Conant Rd @ Yarmouth Dr 13 55.00% 256
4054 Nashua Predicted Conant Rd @ Sagamore Rd 13 55.00% 256
4055 Nashua Predicted Conant Rd @ Grace Dr South 13 55.00% 256
4058 Nashua Predicted Conant Rd @ Forsythia Dr 13 55.00% 256
4059 Nashua Predicted Conant Rd @ Hollyhock Ave 13 55.00% 256
4068 Nashua Predicted Ridge Rd @ Quinton Dr 13 55.00% 256
4069 Nashua Predicted Ridge Rd @ Cherrywood Dr 13 55.00% 256
4070 Nashua Predicted Ridge Rd @ Buckmeadow Rd 13 55.00% 256
4072 Nashua Predicted Ridge Rd @ Parker Dr 13 55.00% 256
59 Nashua Existing East Dunstable Rd @ Lisa Ave 12 48.80% 284
78 Nashua Existing Lock St @ Cross St 12 48.80% 284
89 Nashua Existing Manchester St @ Henri Burque Hwy 12 48.80% 284
126 Nashua Existing West Hollis St @ Ledgewood Hills Dr 12 48.80% 284
1043 Hollis Predicted Federal Hill Rd @ Milford TL 12 48.80% 284
2082 Merrimack Predicted Turkey Hill Rd @ Balsam Ln 12 48.80% 284
2095 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ Woodland Dr 12 48.80% 284
2096 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ Turkey Hill Rd 12 48.80% 284
2122 Merrimack Predicted Wire Rd @ Mallard Point Rd South 12 48.80% 284
2123 Merrimack Predicted Wire Rd @ Mallard Point Rd North 12 48.80% 284
2124 Merrimack Predicted Wire Rd @ Ichabod Dr 12 48.80% 284
2125 Merrimack Predicted Wire Rd @ Catskill Dr 12 48.80% 284
2127 Merrimack Predicted Bedford Rd @ Back River Rd 12 48.80% 284
2128 Merrimack Predicted Bedford Rd @ Woodridge Rd 12 48.80% 284
2130 Merrimack Predicted Bedford Rd @ Bramber Ln 12 48.80% 284
2131 Merrimack Predicted Bedford Rd @ Catdkill Dr 12 48.80% 284
2132 Merrimack Predicted Bedford Rd @ Wire Rd 12 48.80% 284
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-17.
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
2143 Merrimack Predicted Back River Rd @ 20 Back River Rd 12 48.80% 284
2144 Merrimack Predicted Back River Rd @ Brookfield Dr 12 48.80% 284
2145 Merrimack Predicted Back River Rd @ Pheasant Run 12 48.80% 284
2146 Merrimack Predicted Back River Rd @ Packard Dr 12 48.80% 284
2147 Merrimack Predicted Back River Rd @ Fairway Dr 12 48.80% 284
2148 Merrimack Predicted Back River Rd @ Spring Pond Rd 12 48.80% 284
2150 Merrimack Predicted Pearson Rd @ Woodhaven Cir South 12 48.80% 284
2151 Merrimack Predicted Pearson Rd @ Paige Dr 12 48.80% 284
2152 Merrimack Predicted Pearson Rd @ Windover Ln 12 48.80% 284
3015 Hudson Predicted Central St (NH 111) @ Lawrence Rd North 12 48.80% 284
3078 Hudson Predicted Belknap Rd @ Hillindale Dr 12 48.80% 284
3080 Hudson Predicted Melendy Rd @ Tate St 12 48.80% 284
3082 Hudson Predicted Peham Rd @ Melendy Rd 12 48.80% 284
3155 Hudson Predicted Robinson Rd @ Lawrence Rd 12 48.80% 284
4014 Nashua Predicted Henri Burque Hwy @ St. Laurent St 12 48.80% 284
4015 Nashua Predicted St. Laurent St @ Ferry Rd 12 48.80% 284
4034 Nashua Predicted Dublin Ave @ Franconia Dr 12 48.80% 284
4056 Nashua Predicted Conant Rd @ Harris Rd 12 48.80% 284
4057 Nashua Predicted Conant Rd @ Searles Rd 12 48.80% 284
4060 Nashua Predicted Searles Rd @ Aberdeen Ln 12 48.80% 284
4061 Nashua Predicted Searles Rd @ Alford Ln 12 48.80% 284
4062 Nashua Predicted Searles Rd @ Colleen Rd 12 48.80% 284
104 Nashua Existing Simon St @ Will St 11 44.40% 323
114 Nashua Existing Spit Brook Rd @ Sapling Cir 11 44.40% 323
2040 Merrimack Predicted Tinker Rd @ Thornton Rd West 11 44.40% 323
3007 Hudson Predicted Central St @ 214 Central St 11 44.40% 323
3051 Hudson Predicted Gowing Rd @ Richman Rd 11 44.40% 323
3052 Hudson Predicted Gowing Rd @ Winding Hollow Rd 11 44.40% 323
3053 Hudson Predicted Gowing Rd @ Beaver Path 11 44.40% 323
3062 Hudson Predicted Wason Rd @ 88 Wason Rd 11 44.40% 323
3063 Hudson Predicted Wason Rd @ 111 Wason Rd 11 44.40% 323
3064 Hudson Predicted Wason Rd @ Pasture Dr 11 44.40% 323
3065 Hudson Predicted Wason Rd @ Mountain View Dr 11 44.40% 323
3081 Hudson Predicted Pelham Rd @ Virginia Dr 11 44.40% 323
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-18.
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
3083 Hudson Predicted Pelham Rd @ Granite Hill Rd 11 44.40% 323
3084 Hudson Predicted Pelham Rd @ 92 Pelham Rd 11 44.40% 323
3086 Hudson Predicted Kimball Hill Rd @ Catalpa Dr 11 44.40% 323
3088 Hudson Predicted Kimball Hill Rd @ Clement Rd 11 44.40% 323
3089 Hudson Predicted Kimball Hill Rd @ Gibson Rd 11 44.40% 323
3090 Hudson Predicted Bush Hii Rd @ Jump Ln 11 44.40% 323
3091 Hudson Predicted Bush Hill Rd @ Bear Path Ln 11 44.40% 323
3092 Hudson Predicted Bush Hill Rd @ Pelham Rd 11 44.40% 323
3093 Hudson Predicted Bush Hill Rd @ Wason Rd 11 44.40% 323
3094 Hudson Predicted Bush Hill Rd @ 114 Bush Hill Rd 11 44.40% 323
3095 Hudson Predicted Bush Hill Rd @ 152 Bush Hill Rd 11 44.40% 323
3151 Hudson Predicted Robinson Rd @ Old Robinson Rd 11 44.40% 323
4023 Nashua Predicted Pine Hill Rd @ Coburn Ave 11 44.40% 323
4029 Nashua Predicted Coburn Ave @ Hampton Dr 11 44.40% 323
4031 Nashua Predicted Coburn Ave @ Canter Ct 11 44.40% 323
44 Nashua Existing Concord St @ Latter Day Church 10 38.70% 350
131 Nashua Existing West Hollis St @ Walnut St 10 38.70% 350
1067 Hollis Predicted Runnells Bridge Rd @ Depot Rd 10 38.70% 350
2036 Merrimack Predicted Milford Rd (NH 101A) @ Hollis TL 10 38.70% 350
2038 Merrimack Predicted Continental Blvd @ Tinker Rd 10 38.70% 350
2039 Merrimack Predicted Tinker Rd @ 60 Tinker Rd 10 38.70% 350
2041 Merrimack Predicted Thornton Rd West @ 30 Thornton Rd West 10 38.70% 350
2043 Merrimack Predicted Tinker Rd @ Dumbarton Dr 10 38.70% 350
2044 Merrimack Predicted Camp Sargent Rd @ Tinker Rd 10 38.70% 350
2046 Merrimack Predicted Continental Blvd @ Spruce St 10 38.70% 350
2049 Merrimack Predicted Camp Sargent Rd North @ Whittier Rd North 10 38.70% 350
2063 Merrimack Predicted Naticook Rd @ Peaslee Rd 10 38.70% 350
2065 Merrimack Predicted Naticook Rd @ Joey Rd 10 38.70% 350
2066 Merrimack Predicted Naticook Rd @ Lamson Dr 10 38.70% 350
2081 Merrimack Predicted Turkey Hill Rd @ Beacon Dr East 10 38.70% 350
2118 Merrimack Predicted Joppa Rd @ Forest Dr 10 38.70% 350
2502 Amherst Predicted Milford Rd (NH 101A) @ 131 Milford Rd 10 38.70% 350
3009 Hudson Predicted Central St (NH 111) @ 255 Central St 10 38.70% 350
3011 Hudson Predicted Central St (NH 111) @ Clement Rd 10 38.70% 350
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-19.
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
3043 Hudson Predicted River Rd (NH 3A) @ Security Dr 10 38.70% 350
3047 Hudson Predicted Dracut Rd @ Pine Rd 10 38.70% 350
3048 Hudson Predicted Dracut Rd @ Musquash Rd 10 38.70% 350
3049 Hudson Predicted Dracut Rd @ Ponderosa Dr 10 38.70% 350
3050 Hudson Predicted Gowing Rd @ Musquash Rd 10 38.70% 350
3054 Hudson Predicted Musquash Rd @ Nathaniel Dr 10 38.70% 350
3055 Hudson Predicted Musquash Rd @ Cathedral Ln 10 38.70% 350
3057 Hudson Predicted Musquash Rd @ Copper Hill Rd 10 38.70% 350
3061 Hudson Predicted Wason Rd @ Burns Hill Rd 10 38.70% 350
3104 Hudson Predicted Derry St (NH 102) @ Old Derry Rd 10 38.70% 350
3124 Hudson Predicted Greeley St @ Daniel Webster Dr 10 38.70% 350
3126 Hudson Predicted Greeley St @ Washington St 10 38.70% 350
3148 Hudson Predicted Robinson Rd @ Boyd Rd 10 38.70% 350
4027 Nashua Predicted Coburn Ave @ Holden Rd 10 38.70% 350
4028 Nashua Predicted Coburn Ave @ Brander Ct 10 38.70% 350
4030 Nashua Predicted Coburn Ave @ Belfast St 10 38.70% 350
4033 Nashua Predicted Dublin Ave @ Alice Dr South 10 38.70% 350
10 Nashua Existing Amherst St @ Celina Ave 9 32.00% 386
2045 Merrimack Predicted Continental Blvd @ Cambridge Dr 9 32.00% 386
2047 Merrimack Predicted Continental Blvd @ Camp Sargent Rd North 9 32.00% 386
2052 Merrimack Predicted Amherst Rd @ Turkey Hill Rd 9 32.00% 386
2053 Merrimack Predicted Amherst Rd @ Scott Dr 9 32.00% 386
2054 Merrimack Predicted Amherst Rd @ Cross St 9 32.00% 386
2060 Merrimack Predicted Naticook Rd @ Hutchinson Rd 9 32.00% 386
2061 Merrimack Predicted Naticook Rd @ Greens Pond Rd 9 32.00% 386
2064 Merrimack Predicted Naticook Rd @ Dirt Rd 9 32.00% 386
2067 Merrimack Predicted Peaslee Rd @ Dana Ave 9 32.00% 386
2068 Merrimack Predicted Peaslee Rd @ Dahl Rd 9 32.00% 386
2070 Merrimack Predicted Bates Rd @ Four Winds Rd 9 32.00% 386
2071 Merrimack Predicted Turkey Hill Rd @ Bigwood Dr North 9 32.00% 386
2072 Merrimack Predicted Turkey Hill Rd @ Sunrise Dr 9 32.00% 386
2073 Merrimack Predicted Turkey Hill Rd @ Wintergreen Dr 9 32.00% 386
2074 Merrimack Predicted Turkey Hill Rd @ Bancroft St 9 32.00% 386
2075 Merrimack Predicted Turkey Hill Rd @ West Chamberlain Rd 9 32.00% 386
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-20.
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
2076 Merrimack Predicted West Chamberlain Rd @ Christopher Rd 9 32.00% 386
2078 Merrimack Predicted Turkey Hill Rd @ Iris Ed 9 32.00% 386
2079 Merrimack Predicted Turkey Hill Rd @ Meeting House Rd 9 32.00% 386
2097 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ Joppa Rd 9 32.00% 386
2117 Merrimack Predicted Joppa Rd @ Pinetree Ln 9 32.00% 386
2506 Amherst Predicted Milford Rd (NH 101A) @ Veterans Rd 9 32.00% 386
3012 Hudson Predicted Central St (NH 111) @ Industrial Dr 9 32.00% 386
3037 Hudson Predicted Lowell Rd (NH 3A) @ Rena Ave 9 32.00% 386
3040 Hudson Predicted River Rd (NH 3A) @ 27 River Rd 9 32.00% 386
3041 Hudson Predicted River Rd (NH 3A) @ Philbrick St 9 32.00% 386
3042 Hudson Predicted River Rd (NH 3A) @ Pine Rd 9 32.00% 386
3045 Hudson Predicted Dracut Rd @ Brookfield Rd 9 32.00% 386
3046 Hudson Predicted Dracut Rd @ Sand Hill Rd 9 32.00% 386
3056 Hudson Predicted Musquash Rd @ Stable Rd 9 32.00% 386
3059 Hudson Predicted Wason Rd @ 34 Wason Rd 9 32.00% 386
3060 Hudson Predicted Wason Rd @ 52 Wason Rd 9 32.00% 386
3067 Hudson Predicted Burns Hill Rd @ East Hill Dr 9 32.00% 386
3068 Hudson Predicted Burns Hill Rd @ Glen Dr 9 32.00% 386
3069 Hudson Predicted Burns Hill Rd @ St. Francis Pl 9 32.00% 386
3121 Hudson Predicted Highland St @ Bonnie Ln 9 32.00% 386
3134 Hudson Predicted Greeley St @ Old Derry Rd 9 32.00% 386
4022 Nashua Predicted Pine Hill Rd @ Dublin Ave 9 32.00% 386
4032 Nashua Predicted Dublin Ave @ Alice Dr North 9 32.00% 386
4035 Nashua Predicted Dublin Ave @ Woodland Dr 9 32.00% 386
4036 Nashua Predicted Dublin Ave @ Dover St 9 32.00% 386
11 Nashua Existing Amherst St @ Henri Burque Hwy 8 29.30% 428
30 Nashua Existing Canal St @ Cross St 8 29.30% 428
113 Nashua Existing Spit Brook Rd @ Roby Park 8 29.30% 428
1030 Hollis Predicted Silver Lake Rd @ Amherst TL 8 29.30% 428
1064 Hollis Predicted Rideout Rd @ Hannah Dr 8 29.30% 428
1065 Hollis Predicted Rideout Rd @ French Hill Rd 8 29.30% 428
2055 Merrimack Predicted Amherst Rd @ Naticook Rd 8 29.30% 428
2056 Merrimack Predicted Amherst Rd @ Davidson Ave 8 29.30% 428
2057 Merrimack Predicted Amherst Rd @ Mason Rd 8 29.30% 428
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-21.
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
2058 Merrimack Predicted Amherst Rd @ Peaslee Rd 8 29.30% 428
2062 Merrimack Predicted Naticook Rd @ Wasserman Heights 8 29.30% 428
2069 Merrimack Predicted Peaslee Rd @ Bates Rd 8 29.30% 428
2098 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ Pilgrim Ave 8 29.30% 428
2120 Merrimack Predicted Joppa Rd @ Patten Rd 8 29.30% 428
3101 Hudson Predicted Derry St (NH 102) @ Whip-Poor-Will Dr 8 29.30% 428
3114 Hudson Predicted Wagner Way @ Robin Dr 8 29.30% 428
3135 Hudson Predicted Webster St (NH 3A) @ Derry St 8 29.30% 428
25 Nashua Existing Broad St @ Sullivan St 7 25.90% 445
1010 Hollis Predicted Proctor Hill Rd @ Rocky Pond Rd 7 25.90% 445
2080 Merrimack Predicted Turkey Hill Rd @ McQuestion Rd 7 25.90% 445
2099 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ Courtland Dr 7 25.90% 445
2100 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ Maidstone Dr 7 25.90% 445
2136 Merrimack Predicted Bean Rd @ Profile Dr 7 25.90% 445
3102 Hudson Predicted Derry St (NH 102) @ Derry Ln 7 25.90% 445
3103 Hudson Predicted Derry St (NH 102) @ North Ridge Rd 7 25.90% 445
3113 Hudson Predicted Wagner Way @ Wade Rd 7 25.90% 445
3123 Hudson Predicted Highland St @ Glover Brook Ln 7 25.90% 445
3127 Hudson Predicted Greeley St @ 60 Greeley St 7 25.90% 445
3128 Hudson Predicted Greeley St @ Highland St 7 25.90% 445
3129 Hudson Predicted Greeley St @ Sunshine Dr 7 25.90% 445
3130 Hudson Predicted Greeley St @ Sousa Blvd 7 25.90% 445
3136 Hudson Predicted Webster St (NH 3A) @ Sunland Dr 7 25.90% 445
3137 Hudson Predicted Webster St (NH 3A) @ Plaza Ave 7 25.90% 445
3138 Hudson Predicted Windham Rd @ Barretts Hill Rd 7 25.90% 445
3139 Hudson Predicted Barretts Hill Rd @ Mallard Dr 7 25.90% 445
3140 Hudson Predicted Barretts Hill Rd @ Copeland Dr 7 25.90% 445
3140 Hudson Predicted Robinson Rd @ Stoney Ln 7 25.90% 445
3149 Hudson Predicted Robinson Rd @ Henry Dr 7 25.90% 445
58 Nashua Existing East Dunstable Rd @ Langdon Place 6 23.60% 466
60 Nashua Existing East Dunstable Rd @ Monica Dr 6 23.60% 466
1009 Hollis Predicted Main St @ Proctor Hill Rd 6 23.60% 466
1024 Hollis Predicted South Merrimack Rd @ Amherst TL 6 23.60% 466
2133 Merrimack Predicted Bedford Rd @ Joppa Rd 6 23.60% 466
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-22.
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
2153 Merrimack Predicted Wire Rd @ Jason Dr 6 23.60% 466
3133 Hudson Predicted Greeley St @ Timothy Ln 6 23.60% 466
4008 Nashua Predicted Tinker Rd @ Monza Rd 6 23.60% 466
4009 Nashua Predicted Tinker Rd @ Biscayne Pkwy 6 23.60% 466
4010 Nashua Predicted Manchester St @ Ferry Rd 6 23.60% 466
4011 Nashua Predicted Manchester St @ Deerhaven Dr 6 23.60% 466
4012 Nashua Predicted Manchester St @ Tinker Rd 6 23.60% 466
4013 Nashua Predicted Manchester St @ Preserve Dr 6 23.60% 466
4016 Nashua Predicted Ferry Rd @ Hideaway Rd 6 23.60% 466
4018 Nashua Predicted Ferry Rd @ Dunlap Dr 6 23.60% 466
24 Nashua Existing Broad St @ Red Barn 5 17.20% 481
57 Nashua Existing East Dunstable Rd @ Judith Dr 5 17.20% 481
62 Nashua Existing East Dunstable Rd @ Phillips St 5 17.20% 481
63 Nashua Existing East Dunstable Rd @ Roy St 5 17.20% 481
119 Nashua Existing University Dr @ DWC 5 17.20% 481
120 Nashua Existing University Dr @ DWC Shelter 5 17.20% 481
1020 Hollis Predicted South Merrimack Rd @ Marion Dr 5 17.20% 481
1021 Hollis Predicted South Merrimack Rd @ Meadow Dr South 5 17.20% 481
1022 Hollis Predicted South Merrimack Rd @ Fletcher Ln 5 17.20% 481
1023 Hollis Predicted South Merrimack Rd @ Meadow Dr North 5 17.20% 481
1025 Hollis Predicted Witches Spring Rd @ Fletcher Ln 5 17.20% 481
1026 Hollis Predicted Witches Spring Rd @ 100 Witches Spring Rd 5 17.20% 481
1027 Hollis Predicted Witches Spring Rd @ 60 Witches Spring Rd 5 17.20% 481
1028 Hollis Predicted Silver Lake Rd @ Witches Spring Rd 5 17.20% 481
1029 Hollis Predicted Silver Lake Rd @ 424 Silver Lake Rd 5 17.20% 481
1031 Hollis Predicted Silver Lake Rd @ Toddy Brook Rd 5 17.20% 481
1032 Hollis Predicted Silver Lake Rd @ Hayden Rd 5 17.20% 481
1033 Hollis Predicted Silver Lake Rd @ Truell Rd 5 17.20% 481
1034 Hollis Predicted Silver Lake Rd @ Colburn Ln 5 17.20% 481
1035 Hollis Predicted Silver Lake Rd @ Plain Rd 5 17.20% 481
1040 Hollis Predicted Hayden Rd @ 56 Hayden Rd 5 17.20% 481
1041 Hollis Predicted Federal Hill Rd @ Hayden Rd 5 17.20% 481
1042 Hollis Predicted Federal Hill Rd @ 264 Federal Hill Rd 5 17.20% 481
1044 Hollis Predicted Hayden Rd @ 160 Hayden Rd 5 17.20% 481
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-23.
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
1045 Hollis Predicted Hayden Rd @ Forest View Dr 5 17.20% 481
1046 Hollis Predicted Hayden Rd @ 242 Hayden Rd 5 17.20% 481
1047 Hollis Predicted Hayden Rd @ Rocky Pond Rd 5 17.20% 481
1050 Hollis Predicted Rocky Pond Rd @ 163 Rocky Pond Rd 5 17.20% 481
1051 Hollis Predicted Rocky Pond Rd @ 129 Rocky Pond Rd 5 17.20% 481
1076 Hollis Predicted Depot Rd @ Wright Rd 5 17.20% 481
2103 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ Mitchell St 5 17.20% 481
2113 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ Jebb Rd 5 17.20% 481
2135 Merrimack Predicted Bean Rd @ Woodward Rd 5 17.20% 481
2137 Merrimack Predicted Bean Rd @ Brieann Dr 5 17.20% 481
2138 Merrimack Predicted Bean Rd @ West Rd 5 17.20% 481
2139 Merrimack Predicted Bean Rd @ Westcott Dr 5 17.20% 481
3141 Hudson Predicted Barretts Hill Rd @ Dugout Rd 5 17.20% 481
3142 Hudson Predicted Barretts Hill Rd @ Hazelwood Rd 5 17.20% 481
3143 Hudson Predicted Barretts Hill Rd @ 28 Barretts Hill Rd 5 17.20% 481
4063 Nashua Predicted Searles Rd @ New Searles Rd 5 17.20% 481
23 Nashua Existing Broad St @ Country Hill Rd 4 15.10% 521
1048 Hollis Predicted Rocky Pond Rd @ 222 Rocky Pond Rd 4 15.10% 521
1055 Hollis Predicted Federal Hill Rd @ 88 Federal Hill Rd 4 15.10% 521
1056 Hollis Predicted Federal Hill Rd @ 66 Federal Hill Rd 4 15.10% 521
1066 Hollis Predicted Depot Rd @ Jewett Ln 4 15.10% 521
1077 Hollis Predicted Wright Rd @ 77 Wright Rd 4 15.10% 521
2084 Merrimack Predicted McQuestion Rd @ Linda Ln 4 15.10% 521
2091 Merrimack Predicted Wilson Hill Rd @ Amherst TL 4 15.10% 521
2101 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ McQuestion Rd 4 15.10% 521
2154 Merrimack Predicted Wire Rd @ Bryant Cir 4 15.10% 521
3144 Hudson Predicted Hazelwood Rd @ Beechwood Rd 4 15.10% 521
3145 Hudson Predicted Beechwood Rd @ Pinewood Rd 4 15.10% 521
3146 Hudson Predicted Beechwood Rd @ Boulder Rd 4 15.10% 521
3 Nashua Existing Almont St @ Wilson St 3 12.20% 534
21 Nashua Existing Broad St @ Chapel Hill Dr 3 12.20% 534
52 Nashua Existing Daniel Webster Hwy @ Roundabout 3 12.20% 534
80 Nashua Existing Lund Rd @ Archery Ln 3 12.20% 534
1002 Hollis Predicted Broad St @ Wright Rd 3 12.20% 534
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-24.
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
1037 Hollis Predicted South Merrimack Rd @ 28 South Merrimack Rd 3 12.20% 534
1039 Hollis Predicted Federal Hill Rd @ Plain Rd 3 12.20% 534
1054 Hollis Predicted Federal Hill Rd @ 117 Federal Hill Rd 3 12.20% 534
1073 Hollis Predicted Dow Rd @ Twiss Ln 3 12.20% 534
2059 Merrimack Predicted County Rd @ Amherst TL 3 12.20% 534
2083 Merrimack Predicted McQuestion Rd @ Ellie Dr 3 12.20% 534
2110 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ Longa Rd 3 12.20% 534
2111 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ Miriam Rd 3 12.20% 534
2112 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ Parkhurst Rd 3 12.20% 534
2134 Merrimack Predicted Bedford Rd @ Lawrence Rd 3 12.20% 534
2140 Merrimack Predicted Woodward Rd @ French Ct 3 12.20% 534
2141 Merrimack Predicted Woodward Rd @ Hitchinpost Ln 3 12.20% 534
2142 Merrimack Predicted Woodward Rd @ Steeplechase Dr 3 12.20% 534
41 Nashua Existing Concord St @ Bartlett Ave 2 9.20% 552
46 Nashua Existing Cypress Ln @ Flagstone Dr 2 9.20% 552
99 Nashua Existing Pine Hill Rd @ Airport 2 9.20% 552
125 Nashua Existing West Hollis St @ Greek Church 2 9.20% 552
1008 Hollis Predicted Broad St @ Proctor Hill Rd 2 9.20% 552
1038 Hollis Predicted South Merrimack Rd @ Farley Rd 2 9.20% 552
1052 Hollis Predicted Rocky Pond Rd @ 95 Rocky Pond Rd 2 9.20% 552
1053 Hollis Predicted Rocky Pond Rd @ Wood Ln 2 9.20% 552
1057 Hollis Predicted Federal Hill Rd @ Wood Ln 2 9.20% 552
1061 Hollis Predicted Silver Lake Rd @ Federal Hill Rd 2 9.20% 552
2085 Merrimack Predicted McQuestion Rd @ Meadowview Ln 2 9.20% 552
2102 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ Lesa Dr 2 9.20% 552
2104 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ Bean Rd 2 9.20% 552
2106 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ Greatstone Dr 2 9.20% 552
2107 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ Parker Dr 2 9.20% 552
2109 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ South Baboosic Lake Rd 2 9.20% 552
2114 Merrimack Predicted South Baboosic Lake Rd @ Greenwood Rd 2 9.20% 552
2116 Merrimack Predicted South Baboosic Lake Rd @ Beebe Ln 2 9.20% 552
4064 Nashua Predicted Searles Rd @ Salmon Brook Dr 2 9.20% 552
20 Nashua Existing Broad St @ Bailey St 1 3.90% 571
47 Nashua Existing Cypress Ln @ Laconia Ave 1 3.90% 571
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-25.
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
49 Nashua Existing Daniel Webster Hwy @ Colliston Yard 1 3.90% 571
56 Nashua Existing East Dunstable Rd @ Beckman Ln 1 3.90% 571
91 Nashua Existing Manchester St @ Watson St 1 3.90% 571
1001 Hollis Predicted Broad St @ Pine Hill Rd 1 3.90% 571
1011 Hollis Predicted Proctor Hill Rd @ Diamond Casting & Machine 1 3.90% 571
1012 Hollis Predicted Proctor Hill Rd @ Kerk St 1 3.90% 571
1014 Hollis Predicted Proctor Hill Rd @ 179 Proctor Hill Rd 1 3.90% 571
1049 Hollis Predicted Rocky Pond Rd @ Brookline TL 1 3.90% 571
1071 Hollis Predicted Jewett Ln @ 48 Jewett Ln 1 3.90% 571
1072 Hollis Predicted Dow Rd @ Jewett Ln 1 3.90% 571
1074 Hollis Predicted Blood Rd @ 55 Blood Rd 1 3.90% 571
1075 Hollis Predicted Pepperell Rd @ Blood Rd 1 3.90% 571
1078 Hollis Predicted Depot Rd @ Dow Rd 1 3.90% 571
1079 Hollis Predicted Depot Rd @ Richardson Rd South 1 3.90% 571
1080 Hollis Predicted Depot Rd @ Richardson Rd North 1 3.90% 571
1081 Hollis Predicted Pepperell Rd @ Spaulding Ln South 1 3.90% 571
1082 Hollis Predicted Pepperell Rd @ Spaulding Ln North 1 3.90% 571
1083 Hollis Predicted Pepperell Rd @ North Pepperell Rd 1 3.90% 571
1084 Hollis Predicted Main St @ Love Ln 1 3.90% 571
1085 Hollis Predicted North Pepperell Rd @ Black Oak Dr 1 3.90% 571
1086 Hollis Predicted North Pepperell Rd @ Worcester Dr 1 3.90% 571
1087 Hollis Predicted Worcester Rd @ Ridge Rd 1 3.90% 571
1088 Hollis Predicted Worcester Rd @ Irene Dr 1 3.90% 571
1089 Hollis Predicted Worcester Rd @ West Hollis Rd 1 3.90% 571
1090 Hollis Predicted West Hollis Rd @ Lawrence Ln 1 3.90% 571
1091 Hollis Predicted West Hollis Rd @ Brookline TL 1 3.90% 571
2105 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ Tomahawk Dr 1 3.90% 571
2108 Merrimack Predicted Baboosic Lake Rd @ Windsor Dr 1 3.90% 571
2115 Merrimack Predicted South Baboosic Lake Rd @ Trowbridge Rd 1 3.90% 571
4065 Nashua Predicted Searles Rd @ Middle Dunstable Rd 1 3.90% 571
4067 Nashua Predicted Ridge Rd @ Pinebrook Rd 1 3.90% 571
1000 Hollis Predicted Broad St @ Nartoff Rd 0 0.00% 604
1003 Hollis Predicted Pine Hill Rd @ Ranger Rd 0 0.00% 604
1004 Hollis Predicted Pine Hill Rd @ Pierce Ln 0 0.00% 604
Ridership Prediction Model for the Nashua Transit System
Appendix
June 2011
Page A-26.
Fac_ID Community Type Name
Estimate or Surveyed Ridership Percentile
Rank (1-628)
1005 Hollis Predicted Wheeler Rd @ Pierce Ln 0 0.00% 604
1006 Hollis Predicted Broad St @ Ranger Rd 0 0.00% 604
1007 Hollis Predicted Pine Hill Rd @ Farley Rd 0 0.00% 604
1013 Hollis Predicted Farley Rd @ Wheeler Rd 0 0.00% 604
1015 Hollis Predicted Farley Rd @ 129 Farley Rd 0 0.00% 604
1016 Hollis Predicted Farley Rd @ Swallow Dr 0 0.00% 604
1017 Hollis Predicted Farley Rd @ Nevins Rd 0 0.00% 604
1018 Hollis Predicted Nevins Rd @ 35 Nevins Rd 0 0.00% 604
1019 Hollis Predicted South Merrimack Rd @ Nevins Rd 0 0.00% 604
1036 Hollis Predicted Silver Lake Rd @ South Merrimack Rd 0 0.00% 604
1058 Hollis Predicted Silver Lake Rd @ 169 Silver Lake Rd 0 0.00% 604
1059 Hollis Predicted Silver Lake Rd @ 130 Silver Lake Rd 0 0.00% 604
1060 Hollis Predicted Silver Lake Rd @ 112 Silver Lake Rd 0 0.00% 604
1063 Hollis Predicted Wheeler Rd @ 74 Wheeler Rd 0 0.00% 604
1069 Hollis Predicted South Depot Rd @ Nashua TL 0 0.00% 604
2086 Merrimack Predicted Wilson Hill Rd @ Old Blood Rd 0 0.00% 604
2087 Merrimack Predicted Wilson Hill Rd @ Harrington Dr 0 0.00% 604
2088 Merrimack Predicted Wilson Hill Rd @ 67 Wilson Hill Rd 0 0.00% 604
2089 Merrimack Predicted Wilson Hill Rd @ Upham Rd 0 0.00% 604
2090 Merrimack Predicted Wilson Hill Rd @ 107 Wilson Hill Rd 0 0.00% 604
2503 Amherst Predicted Milford Rd (NH 101A) @ Caldwell Dr 0 0.00% 604
2507 Amherst Predicted Milford Rd (NH 101A) @ NH 122 0 0.00% 604 #4050-14