Rhinelander, wi Meteorology 415 – Fall 2012 Ninth Forecast Review.

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Rhinelander, wi Meteorology 415 – Fall 2012 Ninth Forecast Review

Transcript of Rhinelander, wi Meteorology 415 – Fall 2012 Ninth Forecast Review.

Page 1: Rhinelander, wi Meteorology 415 – Fall 2012 Ninth Forecast Review.

Rhinelander, wiMeteorology 415 – Fall 2012

Ninth Forecast Review

Page 2: Rhinelander, wi Meteorology 415 – Fall 2012 Ninth Forecast Review.

Rhinelander, wiPopulation (2000)

 • Total 8,135

 • Density 1,002.5/sq mi (387.1/km2)

Page 3: Rhinelander, wi Meteorology 415 – Fall 2012 Ninth Forecast Review.

Rhinelander obs• KRHI 202353Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT110 08/06 A2985 RMK AO2

SLP116 60014

• T00830056 10117 20083 53012 TSNO=

• KRHI 210053Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 06/04 A2986 RMK AO2 SLP121 T00560044 TSNO=

• KRHI 210153Z AUTO 26003KT 10SM FEW050 SCT090 05/04 A2986 RMK AO2 SLP120

• T00500039 TSNO=

• KRHI 210253Z AUTO 26005KT 10SM FEW075 04/03 A2985 RMK AO2 SLP119 T00440033

• KRHI 210353Z AUTO 25004KT 10SM SCT080 04/03 A2985 RMK AO2 SLP115 T00440033 TSNO=

• KRHI 210453Z AUTO 25003KT 10SM FEW065 05/04 A2983 RMK AO2 SLP111 T00500039 TSNO=

• KRHI 210553Z AUTO 23004KT 10SM FEW055 BKN110 05/04 A2983 RMK AO2 SLP110

• T00500039 10083 20033 401280033 56007 TSNO=

Page 4: Rhinelander, wi Meteorology 415 – Fall 2012 Ninth Forecast Review.

Rhinelander - OBS• KRHI 210653Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM BKN065 OVC090 06/03 A2983 RMK AO2 SLP109

• KRHI 210753Z AUTO 26003KT 10SM BKN041 OVC060 06/04 A2982 RMK AO2 RAB14E52SLP107 P0000 T00560039 TSNO=

• KRHI 210853Z AUTO 25004KT 10SM -RA FEW022 BKN034 OVC042 06/04 A2980 RMK AO2

• RAB0759 SLP100 P0000 60000 T00610044 58009 TSNO=

• KRHI 210910Z AUTO 25006KT 7SM RA FEW014 BKN022 OVC034 06/04 A2980 RMK AO2 P0001

• KRHI 210953Z AUTO 24005KT 8SM -RA FEW019 SCT027 OVC036 06/05 A2980 RMK AO2 SLP101 P0007 T00560050 TSNO=

• KRHI 211048Z AUTO 24006KT 10SM FEW009 BKN028 OVC046 06/05 A2979 RMK AO2 RAE47P0001 TSNO=

• KRHI 211053Z AUTO 24007KT 10SM FEW009 BKN028 OVC036 06/05 A2979 RMK AO2 RAE47 SLP096 P0001 T00610050 TSNO=

• KRHI 211112Z AUTO 25007KT 10SM BKN009 BKN030 OVC050 06/05 A2979 RMK AO2 CIG 006V010 TSNO=

• KRHI 211126Z AUTO 24007KT 10SM SCT007 BKN032 OVC041 06/05 A2979 RMK AO2 TSNO=

• KRHI 211136Z AUTO 25007KT 10SM BKN009 BKN032 OVC041 06/05 A2979 RMK AO2 CIG005V012 TSNO=

• 211153Z AUTO 26008KT 8SM -RA BKN009 BKN028 OVC041 06/05 A2979 RMK AO2

• RAB47 SLP096 P0001 60009 70024 T00610050 10061 20056 58005 TSNO=

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Rhinelander - OBS

• KRHI 211153Z AUTO 26008KT 8SM -RA BKN009 BKN028 OVC041 06/05 A2979 RMK AO2 RAB47 SLP096 P0001 60009 70024 T00610050 10061 20056 58005 TSNO=

• KRHI 211253Z AUTO 26008KT 10SM BKN007 OVC012 07/06 A2979 RMK AO2 RAE16 CIG 006V010 SLP098 P0001 T00670056 TSNO=

• KRHI 211337Z AUTO 27009KT 10SM SCT009 OVC016 07/06 A2980 RMK AO2 TSNO=

• KRHI 211353Z AUTO 28007KT 10SM SCT012 OVC018 07/06 A2980 RMK AO2 SLP101 T00720056 TSNO=

• KRHI 211406Z AUTO 28006KT 10SM BKN013 OVC018 07/06 A2980 RMK AO2 TSNO=

• KRHI 211426Z AUTO 28012G15KT 10SM FEW010 BKN015 08/06 A2980 RMK AO2 TSNO=

• KRHI 211453Z AUTO 28007G15KT 10SM SCT015 BKN019 BKN024 09/06 A2980 RMK AO2 SLP100 60001 T00890056 50003 TSNO=

• KRHI 211528Z AUTO 30008G19KT 10SM FEW015 10/04 A2979 RMK AO2 TSNO=

• KRHI 211553Z AUTO 28011KT 10SM FEW026 BKN033 10/04 A2979 RMK AO2 SLP098 T01000039 TSNO=

• KRHI 211653Z AUTO 28012G17KT 10SM SCT033 BKN047 11/03 A2979 RMK AO2 SLP096 T01060033 TSNO=

• KRHI 211753Z AUTO 30008KT 10SM SCT036 BKN060 12/03 A2979 RMK AO2 SLP094 60001 T01170028 10122 20061 56003 TSNO=

Page 6: Rhinelander, wi Meteorology 415 – Fall 2012 Ninth Forecast Review.

Rhinelander – surface map

Page 7: Rhinelander, wi Meteorology 415 – Fall 2012 Ninth Forecast Review.

rhinelander– upper air

Page 8: Rhinelander, wi Meteorology 415 – Fall 2012 Ninth Forecast Review.

rhinelandersatellite

Page 9: Rhinelander, wi Meteorology 415 – Fall 2012 Ninth Forecast Review.

Rhinelander-radar

Page 10: Rhinelander, wi Meteorology 415 – Fall 2012 Ninth Forecast Review.

Atmospheric sounding

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Rhinelanderverifications

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Class Consensus

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Class Consensus

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Class Consensus

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Rhinelander-scores

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rhinelander– up close and personal

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Weekly Winners

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rhinelander – lessons learned

• The passage of vort max’s or jet streaks determine the risk of showers (especially in a weak cyclonic circulation)

• With dewpoints in the 40’s, the precipitable water is still high enough to cause ~.10” of liquid.

• Ceilings in a cyclonic flow especially over a lake-filled region can drop below 1,000 feet with some mechanical mixing.