Rexer Analytics 2010 Data Miner Survey Summary Report

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    4th Annual Data Miner Survey 2010 Survey Summary Report

    Rexer Analytics

    For more information contactKarl Rexer, PhD

    [email protected]

    www.RexerAnalytics.com

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    Outline

    Overview & Key Findings Where & How Data Miners Work

    Whats Important to Data Miners

    Data Mining Tools: Usage & Satisfaction

    Overcoming Challenges & Optimism about the Future

    Appendix: Where do Data Miners Come From?

    Appendix: Rexer Analytics

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    Overview & Key Findings

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    2010 Data Miner Survey: Overview

    Fourth annual survey

    50 questions

    Data collected online in early 2010

    10,000+ invitations emailed,

    plus promoted by newsgroups,

    vendors, and bloggers

    Respondents:735 data miners from

    60 countries

    Corporate

    Consultants

    Note: Data from tool vendors (companiesmaking data mining software) was excluded

    from many analyses.

    Academics

    NGO / Govt

    Vendors

    North America

    USA 40%

    Canada 4%

    Europe Germany 7%

    UK 5%

    France 4%

    Poland 4%

    Asia Pacific

    India 4%

    Australia 3%

    China 2%

    Central & SouthAmerica (4%)

    Columbia 2%

    Brazil 1%

    Middle East & Africa (3%) Israel 1%

    Turkey 1%

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    Key Findings

    FIELDS & GOALS: Data miners work in a diverse set of fields. CRM / Marketing has been the #1 fieldin each of the past four years. Fittingly, improving the understanding of customers, retainingcustomers and other CRM goals are also the goals identified by the most data miners surveyed.

    ALGORITHMS: Decision trees, regression, and cluster analysis continue to form a triad of corealgorithms for most data miners. However, a wide variety of algorithms are being used. This year, forthe first time, the survey asked about Ensemble Models, and 22% of data miners report using them.A third of data miners currently use text mining and another third plan to in the future.

    MODELS: About one-third of data miners typically build final models with 10 or fewer variables, whileabout 28% generally construct models with more than 45 variables.

    TOOLS: After a steady rise across the past few years, the open source data mining software R overtookother tools to become the tool used by more data miners (43%) than any other. STATISTICA, which hasalso been climbing in the rankings, is selected as the primarydata mining tool by the most data miners(18%). Data miners report using an average of 4.6 software tools overall. STATISTICA, IBM SPSSModeler, and R received the strongest satisfaction ratings in both 2010 and 2009.

    TECHNOLOGY: Data Mining most often occurs on a desktop or laptop computer, and frequently thedata is stored locally. Model scoring typically happens using the same software used to develop models.

    STATISTICA users are more likely than other tool users to deploy models using PMML.

    CHALLENGES:As in previous years, dirty data, explaining data mining to others, and difficult access todata are the top challenges data miners face. This year data miners also shared best practices forovercoming these challenges.

    FUTURE: Data miners are optimistic about continued growth in the number of projects they will beconducting, and growth in data mining adoption is the number one future trend identified. There isroom to improve: only 13% of data miners rate their companys analytic capabilities as excellent and

    only 8% rate their data quality as very strong.

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    Where & How Data Miners Work

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    Where Data Miners Work

    More data miners work in CRM / Marketing than any other field.

    Many data miners also work in Academia and Financial Services.

    These have been the three most commonly reported fields in each of the fourannual data miner surveys (2007-2010).

    Many data miners work in several fields.

    Question: In what fields do you TYPICALLY apply data mining? (Select all that apply)

    10%

    10%

    10%

    11%

    13%

    13%

    14%

    15%

    15%

    25%

    29%

    41%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

    Government

    Internet-based

    Manufacturing

    Medical

    Technology

    Pharmaceutical

    Retail

    Telecommunications

    Insurance

    Academic

    Financial

    CRM/Marketing

    Vendors were excluded from this analysis.

    Data Mining is everywhere!

    Data miners also report working in Non-profit (6%), Hospitality/Entertainment/

    Sports (4%), Military/Security (3%), andOther (9%).

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    8%

    9%

    9%

    11%

    12%

    13%

    14%

    16%

    21%

    21%

    22%

    25%

    26%

    27%

    31%

    32%

    60%

    68%

    69%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

    MARS

    Uplift Modeling

    Link Analysis

    Genetic Algorithms

    Social Network Analysis

    Rule Induction

    Survival Analysis

    Anomoly Detection

    Bayesian

    Support Vector

    Ensemble Models

    Association Rules

    Text MiningFactor Analysis

    Neural Nets

    Time Series

    Cluster Analysis

    Regression

    Decision Trees

    Data Mining Algorithms

    Decision trees, regression, and cluster analysis continue to form a triad of corealgorithms for most data miners. This has been very consistent over time.

    However, a wide variety of algorithms are being used.

    Question: What algorithms/analytic methods do you TYPICALLY use? (Select all that apply)

    Corporate Consultants Academic NGO / Govt

    10% 12% 4% 5%

    Consultants are more likely to use

    Ensemble Models

    Consultants and corporate data miners aremore likely to use Uplift Modeling

    Corporate Consultants Academic NGO / Govt

    21% 27% 20% 18%

    Vendors were excluded from this analysis.

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    Text Mining

    STATISTICA Text Miner 19%

    IBM SPSS Modeler 17%

    SAS Text Miner 9%

    IBM SPSS Text Analytics 7%

    Rapid Miner 6%

    Provalis Wordstat 2%

    GATE 2%

    KXEN 2%

    Oracle Text or ODM 1%

    Megaputer Text Analyst 1%

    Autonomy 1%

    Other 35%Text Miners

    About a third of data minerscurrently incorporate text

    mining into their analyses,

    while another third plan to

    do so.

    Software Used

    Plan to StartText Mining

    No Plans to

    Conduct TextMining

    !" $!" %!" &!"

    The focus of our text miningis to extract key themes

    (sentiment analysis)

    We use text fields as inputs /predictors in a larger model

    We use text mining as part ofsocial network analyses

    55%

    59%

    21%

    Question: Which is the best description of your use of text mining?

    Question: What software do you use to perform text mining?

    Question: Which statement(s) describe your use of text mining?

    Vendors were excluded from this analysis.

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    Number of Variables in Final Models

    About one-third of data miners typically build final models with 10 or

    fewer variables, while about 28% generally construct models with morethan 45 variables.

    10%

    26%

    13%

    11%

    3%

    6%

    1%2%

    0%

    7%8%

    13%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    1 to 5 6 to 10 11 to 15 16 to 20 21 to 25 26 to 30 31 to 35 36 to 40 41 to 45 46 to 50 51 to

    100

    More

    than 100

    Number of Variables in Models

    Question: How many variables are typically incorporated into your final model? Vendors were excluded from this analysis.

    There were no significant differences in numberof variables by company size, computing

    platform, or employment type.

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    Number of Analytic Projects

    About half of data miners report completing 5 or fewer projects in 2009.

    Data miners completing 6 or more projects are more likely to use larger,centralized computing platforms.

    1%

    8%

    46%

    20%

    14%

    8%

    3%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    None One 2 to 5 6 to 10 11 to 20 21 to 50 More than

    50

    Number of Analytic Projects in 2009

    Question: Please estimate the number of analytic projects you completed in 2009.

    Data miners completing 6 or more projects in 2009 aremore likely to use a centralized main frame (23% vs.

    15%), a local server (31% vs. 23%), or a desktop withdata on server, mainframe, or cloud (45% vs. 36%)

    than are those completing fewer projects.

    Data mining academics and consultants tended to

    conduct fewer projects than did data miners incorporate or NGO / government settings (5.0, 9.8,

    19.4, and 21.0 projects, respectively).

    Vendors were excluded from this analysis.

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    35%

    24%

    49%

    39%

    26%

    18%

    7%

    0%60%

    Computing Environments

    Most data mining happens on desktop and laptop computers.

    Frequently the data and processing is local(not on servers, mainframe or cloud).

    Only a small minority of data mining is on the cloud.

    Question: What are the computing environments/platforms on which datamining/analytics occurs at your company/organization? (Check all that apply)

    Corporate

    Consultant

    Academic

    NGO/

    Govt

    Vendor

    5% 10% 7% 3% 14%

    20% 16% 14% 32% 26%

    28% 30% 19% 29% 45%

    48% 36% 25% 47% 39%

    43% 49% 58% 58% 35%

    29% 24% 15% 32% 37%

    28% 36% 46% 42% 44%

    Cloud Computing

    Centralized Mainframe/Server

    Local Server

    Desktop PC/Workstation (with data &processing on server, mainframe or cloud)

    Desktop PC/Workstation (withdata & processing locally)

    Laptop PC (with data & processingon server, mainframe or cloud)

    Laptop PC (with data &processing locally)

    Overall

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    Internal vs. External Data Mining Resources

    Data miners report that data mining is generally handled internally. Data miners

    reported very similar results in the 2009 survey.

    Also,14% of data miners report that their company offshores some analytics (anincrease from 8% in the 2009 survey).

    Entirely internal

    More internalthan external

    Approximatelyhalf internal &

    half external

    Entirelyexternal

    (1%)

    More externalthan internal

    Question: To what degree does your organization use internal versus external resources foryour data mining projects?

    Offshoring Question (not graphed): Has your company moved any data mining or other

    analytics to another country to take advantage of lower wages in the destination country?

    Note: Responders answer this question

    about their company/organization,therefore they are themselves internal.

    The probability of external responses islimited by the structure of the question.

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    Whats Important to Data Miners

    V d

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    The goals for data mining analyses are very diverse.

    Several CRM goals are high on the list. More than a third of data miners identify that they are using datamining to improve the understanding of customers.

    Some data mining tools are used for a wide range of goals, and others have more specific, niche uses.

    Goals for Analyses

    Overall

    IBM

    SPSS

    Statistics

    IBM

    SPSS

    Modeler Knime R SAS

    SAS

    Enterprise

    Miner

    STATISTICA

    (StatSoft) WekaTotal Number of Goals 3.8 4.5 4.9 1.8 3.4 4.4 4.7 2.9 2.1

    Improving understanding of customers 37% 55% 52% 15% 28% 64% 42% 22% 14%

    Retaining customers 32% 45% 55% 3% 19% 42% 48% 15% 11%

    Improving direct marketing programs 29% 40% 39% 12% 19% 48% 48% 19% 14%

    Selling products / services to existingcustomers 29% 29% 38% 9% 21% 40% 55% 17% 11%

    Market research / survey analysis 29% 62% 32% 12% 26% 31% 26% 33% 11%

    Acquiring customers 27% 40% 45% 3% 19% 37% 39% 20% 4%

    Risk management / credit scoring 26% 24% 32% 9% 19% 31% 39% 21% 25%

    Improving customer experiences 25% 24% 35% 12% 19% 31% 32% 16% 14%

    Fraud detection or prevention 21% 12% 28% 0% 23% 12% 39% 27% 7%

    Sales forecasting 21% 29% 27% 6% 26% 27% 19% 16% 11%Medical advancement / drug discovery /biotech / genomics 18% 19% 4% 61% 26% 9% 10% 9% 36%

    Price optimization 13% 21% 21% 0% 12% 13% 19% 13% 0%Manufacturing improvement 10% 2% 10% 6% 19% 1% 3% 23% 4%

    Investment planning / optimization 10% 14% 6% 3% 9% 7% 16% 9% 7%

    Website or search optimization 8% 10% 14% 3% 7% 7% 6% 2% 4%

    Criminal or terrorist detection 6% 2% 13% 0% 2% 3% 3% 4% 7%

    Collections 6% 0% 7% 3% 7% 13% 3% 3% 0%

    Software optimization 6% 2% 4% 9% 12% 4% 3% 3% 4%

    Language understanding 4% 0% 10% 0% 5% 1% 3% 1% 7%

    Fundraising 3% 14% 4% 0% 5% 1% 6% 1% 4%

    Higher Frequency Lower FrequencyQuestion: What were the goals of your analyses in 2009? (Select all that apply)

    Vendors wereexcluded from

    this analysis.

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    Importance of Model Explainability

    Model explainability / transparency is important to most data miners.

    It is particularly important to data miners working in NGO / Govt settings and todata miners who use IBM SPSS Statistics as their primary tool.

    Percent indicating Model Explainability isExtremely Importantby Primary Tool Used

    Question: How important is model explainability / transparency to you?

    Extremely Important

    39% 38% 16% 4%

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    ModeratelyImportant

    Not at allImportant

    (2%)

    17%

    25%

    30%

    33%

    37%

    38%

    45%

    60%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

    R

    Knime

    Weka

    STATISTICA

    SAS Enterprise

    IBM SPSS Modeler

    SAS

    IBM SPSS Statistics

    Percent indicating Model Explainability isExtremely Importantby Employment Type

    49%

    58%

    41%

    35%

    38%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

    Vendor

    NGO / Gov't

    Academic

    Consultant

    Corporate

    Overall

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    Data Mining Tools:Usage & Satisfaction

    Survey Questions:

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    Data Mining SoftwareSurvey Questions:

    What Data mining/analytic tools did you use in 2009?(rate each as never, occasionally, or frequently)

    What one Data Mining software package do you usemost frequently?

    Overall Corporate Consultants Academics NGO / Govt

    Data miners report using an average of 4.6 software tools.

    R is used by the most data miners (43%).

    STATISTICA is the primary data mining tool chosen most often (18%).

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    Satisfaction with Data Mining Tools

    Question: Please rate your overall satisfaction with your primary Data Mining software package.

    2010 2009

    Sample size < 20

    STATISTICA received the highest satisfaction ratings. R and

    IBM SPSS Modeler users are also quite satisfied.

    These three tools also had the highest satisfaction rates in 2009.

    Vendors were excluded from this analysis.

    Vendors were

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    Continuing Use of Data Mining Tools

    2010 2009

    Sample size < 20

    About 80% of STATISTICA and R users report that they are extremely

    likely to stay with these primary tools over the next 3 years.

    Only 18% of Weka users feel this way.

    The ranking of tools on this measure is different than that seen in 2009.

    Question: What is the likelihood that you will continue to use this tool as your primary Data Mining software package over the next 3 years?

    Vendors wereexcluded from

    this analysis.

    Vendors were

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    Satisfaction with Tools: Details

    STATISTICA received strong ratings across all dimensions.

    OverallIBM SPSSStatistics

    IBM SPSSModeler Knime R SAS

    SAS

    EnterpriseMiner

    STATISTICA(StatSoft) Weka

    Quality and accuracy of model performance 4.33 4.20 4.12 3.96 4.51 4.20 4.24 4.82 3.65

    Variety of available algorithms 4.32 3.70 4.28 4.10 4.71 4.04 3.97 4.85 4.15

    Dependability/Stability of software 4.26 4.03 3.88 4.18 4.24 4.37 3.96 4.76 3.96

    Data manipulation capabilities 4.24 4.15 4.22 4.03 4.02 4.44 3.83 4.64 3.52

    Ease of use 4.19 4.28 4.53 4.33 3.60 3.64 3.69 4.63 4.08

    The software contains a specific analytic

    technique that I need 4.17 4.08 3.90 3.93 4.46 3.98 3.90 4.63 3.79

    Ability to automate repetitive tasks 4.11 3.65 3.71 3.71 4.50 4.23 3.75 4.68 3.67Quality of user interface 4.09 3.98 4.37 4.36 3.66 3.54 3.45 4.71 3.46

    Good metrics of model quality 4.08 3.74 3.88 3.46 4.32 3.96 4.00 4.70 3.52

    Ability to handle very large data sets 4.07 3.83 3.97 3.79 3.00 4.59 4.24 4.78 2.77

    Good variable discovery, profiling and

    selection 4.06 3.55 4.13 3.72 4.08 3.82 3.79 4.71 3.42

    Ease of scoring models to other data sets 4.05 3.33 4.16 4.00 4.06 3.83 3.93 4.55 3.67

    Quality of output / Ease of interpretation 4.04 4.03 4.00 3.86 3.85 3.70 3.69 4.74 3.21

    Speed 4.03 3.83 3.78 3.93 3.63 4.07 3.83 4.76 3.24Ability to modify algorithm options to fine-tune

    analyses 3.97 3.45 3.63 3.97 4.53 3.73 3.64 4.45 3.92

    Useful help menu, demos and tutorials 3.88 3.78 3.88 3.64 3.78 3.50 3.57 4.50 3.30

    Enables mining within one's database 3.88 3.48 3.94 3.70 3.50 4.09 3.57 4.30 3.39

    Strong graphical visualization of models 3.70 3.35 3.62 3.37 4.13 2.68 3.17 4.80 2.88

    Cost of software 3.69 3.55 3.23 4.88 4.69 2.31 2.36 4.18 4.84

    Higher Satisfaction Lower SatisfactionMean satisfaction rating on 1-5 scale

    Question: Rate how satisfied you are with the performance of your primary data mining package (identified earlier) on each of these factors.

    Vendors wereexcluded from

    this analysis.

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    Factors Most Related to Primary Tool Satisfaction

    The simple correlations between the detailed satisfaction items and overall primarytool satisfaction reveal the factors most closely related to primary tool satisfaction.

    Correlation with Overall SatisfactionOverall Corporate Consultant Academic NGO / Govt

    Correlation Rank Correlation Rank Correlation Rank Correlation Rank Correlation Rank

    Quality of user interface .428 1 .469 4 .430 2 .532 1 .142 16

    Good variable discovery, profiling

    and selection.419 2 .523 2 .315 11 .311 11 .469 3

    Good metrics of model quality .414 3 .462 5 .385 4 .379 7 .503 2

    Ease of use .402 4 .528 1 .279 14 .385 6 .346 10

    Quality and accuracy of model

    performance.397 5 .444 6 .377 5 .391 5 .178 14

    Useful help menu, demos and

    tutorials.396 6 .422 11 .444 1 .284 14 .413 6

    The software contains a specific

    analytic technique that I need.394 7 .437 8 .368 6 .267 16 .574 1

    Quality of output / Ease of

    interpretation.392 8 .506 3 .428 3 .244 17 -.172 19

    Variety of available algorithms .371 9 .426 9 .344 8 .313 10 .405 7

    Strong graphical visualization of

    models.366 10 .406 12 .362 7 .095 19 .424 4

    Ease of scoring models to other

    data sets .365 11 .440 7 .317 10 .244 18 .302 11Speed .360 12 .424 10 .253 16 .428 3 .351 8

    Dependability/Stability of software .337 13 .360 15 .289 13 .501 2 .158 15

    Ability to automate repetitive tasks .332 14 .352 16 .306 12 .427 4 .190 13

    Ability to modify algorithm options to

    fine-tune analyses.332 15 .342 17 .324 9 .375 8 .351 9

    Data manipulation capabilities .322 16 .371 14 .278 15 .308 12 .416 5

    Ability to handle very large data sets .289 17 .384 13 .203 18 .286 13 .229 12

    Enables mining within one's

    database.217 18 .225 19 .222 17 .274 15 .060 17

    Cost of software .202 19 .320 18 .118 19 .325 9 .000 18

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    Data Mining Tools: Strengths & Weaknesses

    Tool strengths and weaknesses were identified by the satisfaction ratings of data minerswho considered each tool to be their primary data mining tool.

    IBM SPSS

    Statistics

    IBM SPSS

    Modeler Knime R SAS

    SAS Enterprise

    MinerSTATISTICA

    (StatSoft) Weka

    Top 3

    Strengths

    1)Ease of use

    2)Quality andaccuracy ofmodelperformance

    3)Data

    Manipulationcapabilities

    1)Ease of use

    2)Quality ofuser interface

    3)Variety ofavailablealgorithms

    1)Cost ofsoftware

    2)Quality ofuser interface

    3)Ease of use

    1)Variety ofavailablealgorithms

    2)Cost ofsoftware

    3)Ability to

    modifyalgorithmoptions tofine-tuneanalyses

    1)Ability tohandle verylarge datasets

    2)DataManipulationcapabilities

    3)Dependability/stability ofsoftware

    1)Ability tohandle verylarge datasets

    2)Quality andaccuracy ofmodel

    performance

    3)Good metricsof modelperformance

    1)Variety ofavailablealgorithms

    2)Quality andaccuracy ofmodelperformance

    3)Stronggraphicalvisualizationof models

    1)Cost ofsoftware

    2)Variety ofavailablealgorithms

    3)Ease of use

    Top 3Weaknesses

    1)Ease ofscoring toother datasets

    2)Stronggraphicalvisualizationof models

    3)Ability tomodifyalgorithmoptions tofine-tuneanalyses

    1)Cost ofsoftware

    2)Stronggraphicalvisualizationof models

    3)Ability tomodifyalgorithmoptions tofine-tuneanalyses

    1)Stronggraphicalvisualizationof models

    2)Good metricsof modelquality

    3)Useful helpmenu, demosand tutorials

    1)Ability tohandle verylarge datasets

    2)Enablesmining withinonesdatabase

    3)Ease of use

    1)Cost ofsoftware

    2)Stronggraphicalvisualizationof models

    3)Useful helpmenu, demosand tutorials

    1)Cost ofsoftware

    2)Stronggraphicalvisualizationof models

    3)Quality ofuser interface

    1)Cost ofsoftware

    2)Enablesmining withinonesdatabase

    3)Ability tomodifyalgorithmoptions tofine-tuneanalyses

    1)Ability tohandle verylarge datasets

    2)Stronggraphicalvisualizationof models

    3)Quality ofoutput/easeofinterpretation

    Vendors were excluded from this analysis. Note: Strengths and weaknesses determined by mean on 5-point satisfaction scale.

    Question: Rate how satisfied you are with the performance of your primary data mining package (identified earlier) on each of these factors.

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    Priorities in Selecting a Data Mining Package Data miners have a diverse set of priorities when selecting a data mining package.

    Almost of third of data miners identify model performance among their top 3 priorities.

    Users of different tools identified different factors as their top priorities.

    Overall

    IBM

    SPSS

    Statistics

    IBM

    SPSS

    Modeler Knime R SAS

    SAS

    Enterprise

    Miner

    STATISTICA

    (StatSoft) Weka

    Quality and accuracy of model performance 31% 24% 23% 24% 19% 18% 35% 64% 29%

    Ability to handle very large data sets 27% 33% 30% 12% 16% 39% 29% 18% 25%

    Variety of available algorithms 26% 33% 34% 21% 42% 22% 19% 19% 43%

    Cost of software 23% 26% 21% 36% 33% 21% 23% 6% 29%

    Data manipulation capabilities 22% 19% 38% 21% 30% 27% 23% 18% 18%

    Ease of use20% 26% 24% 39% 9% 12% 26% 21% 7%

    Dependability/Stability of software 18% 12% 20% 12% 16% 21% 13% 34% 4%

    Strong graphical visualization of models 15% 10% 7% 12% 26% 19% 13% 21% 11%

    Speed 14% 5% 7% 9% 23% 13% 10% 21% 18%The software contains a specific analytic

    technique that I need 13% 17% 7% 15% 16% 18% 6% 10% 18%

    Ability to automate repetitive tasks 13% 12% 10% 21% 14% 16% 6% 10% 11%

    Quality of graphics 12% 26% 11% 12% 7% 4% 13% 8% 11%

    Quality of user interface 11% 7% 15% 12% 2% 6% 13% 13% 14%Ability to modify algorithm options to fine-tune

    analyses 10% 7% 8% 9% 23% 7% 23% 5% 18%Good variable discovery, profiling and

    selection9% 2% 10% 9% 2% 13% 13% 5% 11%

    Good metrics of model quality 7% 0% 4% 12% 7% 7% 16% 15% 11%

    Ease of scoring models to other data sets 6% 5% 10% 3% 2% 10% 6% 8% 0%

    Enables mining within ones database 5% 10% 6% 6% 0% 4% 0% 0% 4%

    Useful help menu, demos and tutorials 4% 10% 4% 9% 5% 0% 3% 2% 0%

    Higher Priority Lower Priority

    The table shows the frequency that each

    factor was ranked among the top 3.Question: Please identify the top five factors that are most import

    to you when selecting your primary data mining software.

    Vendors wereexcluded from

    this analysis.

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    7%

    11%

    11%

    12%

    13%

    13%

    26%

    51%

    0% 20% 40% 60%

    .Net

    C code

    PMML

    Java

    We dont score our models tonew data

    Other

    SQL

    Data mining tool used to create

    model

    Technologies Used to Score / Deploy Models

    Models are often scored / deployed using the same data mining tool used to create them.

    This is especially true among SPSS Modeler users.

    STATISTICA users are more likely thananyone else to score / deploy using PMML.

    Question: What technology do you use to score or deploy yourmodels to new data records? (Select all that apply)

    Primary Tool

    Score

    Using Data

    Mining Tool*

    Score

    Using SQL*

    Score

    Using

    PMML*

    IBM SPSS

    Statistics50% 31% 2%

    IBM SPSS

    Modeler

    69% 31% 10%

    Knime 55% 9% 15%

    R 53% 16% 12%

    SAS 54% 34% 3%

    SAS Enterprise

    Miner45% 32% 10%

    STATISTICA(StatSoft)

    43% 23% 32%

    Weka 36% 7% 0%

    Vendors were excluded from this analysis.

    Exclusively Data

    Mining Tool

    Data Mining Tool

    and Other

    Exclusively

    Something Other

    than Data Mining

    Tool

    *Percentages are within the group of data miners whoidentify these tools as their primary tool.

    31%

    21%

    48%

    Data mining tool used to create model

    SQL

    Other

    We dont score our models to new data

    Java

    PMML

    C code

    .Net

    PMML I d E

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    PMML Import and Export

    PMML adoption is strongest among STATISTICA users.

    ! The previous page showed that 32% of STATISTICA primary users score / deploy using PMML.

    !In the tables below we see that a third of the people importing PMML are importing their PMML

    into STATISTICA. A similar proportion of PMML exporters are exporting their PMML from

    STATISTICA.

    PMML Export Tool % cases

    STATISTICA (Statsoft) 36%

    Knime 14%

    R 13%

    IBM/SPSS Modeler 9%

    Own package/code 6%

    Rapid Miner 6%

    SAS 6%

    KXEN 3%

    SPSS 3%

    PMML Import Tool % cases

    STATISTICA (Statsoft) 33%

    Knime 11%

    R 9%

    SAS 6%

    IBM/SPSS Modeler 5%

    Zementis ADAPA 5%

    SAS Enterprise Miner 4%

    Portrait Customer

    Analytics3%

    WEKA 3%

    Oracle 3%

    Note: Any tools identified by fewer than 3% of responders are not shown.

    Question: If you use PMML, what

    software package(s) do you use toproduce (export) your PMML?

    Question: If you use PMML, what

    software package(s) do you use toconsume (import) your PMML?

    Vendors were excluded from this analysis.

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    Overcoming Challenges

    &

    Optimism about the Future

    Ch ll & O i Th

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    Challenges & Overcoming Them

    Data miners face a consistent set of challenges. The topchallenges facing data miners are:

    Dirty data: #1 challenge every year, 2007-2010

    Explaining data mining to others: Always in the top 4 challenges,2007-2010

    Difficult access to data: Always in the top 3 challenges, 2007-2010

    This year survey respondents shared their BestPractices for overcoming these challenges.

    E.g., Dirty Data: Use anomaly detection to flag records to put beforesubject matter experts.

    E.g., Dirty Data: All projects begin with low-level data reports showingcounts of records, verification of keys (uniqueness, widows/orphans), anddistributions of field contents. These reports are echoed back to the datacontent experts.

    A summarized list of the best practices outlined by the 2010 survey

    responders is available at www.RexerAnalytics.com.

    A l ti C bilit & D t Q lit

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    Analytic Capability & Data Quality

    Analytic capability:

    Theres room to improve if were going to Compete on Analytics.

    Data miners at small companies (

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    Data Mining and the Economy

    Question: How will the number of data mining projects your organization

    conducts in 2010 compare to what has been typical in the past few years?

    There is a strong market for data mining:

    73% of data miners foresee increases in the number of data mining projects.

    Data miners working in diverse settings share this optimism.

    Number of Data Mining Projects in 2010

    F t T d i D t Mi i

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    Number of respondents

    Survey respondents shared their ideas about future trends in data

    mining (an open-ended survey question).

    The future trend foreseen by the most data miners is a growth in the

    adoption of data mining.

    Future Trends in Data Mining

    50

    32

    32

    26

    15

    15

    12

    11

    ! #! $! %! &! '! (!

    Growth in Data Mining Adoption

    Text Mining

    Social Network Analysis

    Automation

    Cloud Computing

    Data Visualization

    Tools Get Easier to Use

    Scaling to Bigger Data

    Question: What do you envision as the primary future

    trends in data mining? (text box provided for response)

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    Appendix: Where do Data MinersCome From?

    Ed ti l B k d

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    !2011 Rexer Analytics 34

    Educational Background

    Question: What is your formal training/education/dominant work background? (Check option that is best description)

    Data miners have diverse backgrounds.

    Almost a quarter of data miners have backgrounds in computer science.

    Many others were trained in statistics or engineering.

    24%

    18%

    12%

    9%

    9%

    7%

    6%

    3%

    3%

    2%

    2%

    3%

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

    Computer Science / IT

    Statistics

    Engineering

    EconomicsMathematics

    Social Science

    Medical / Biological Sciences

    Market Research

    Financial Forecasting / Risk

    Operation Research

    Humanities / Liberal Arts

    Physics

    Business / Marketing

    Other

    1%

    1%

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    Appendix: Rexer Analytics

    Rexer Analytics Overview

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    Company Summary

    Small privately held consulting firm Founded in 2002

    Focus: Analytic and CRM Consulting

    (applied statistics & data mining)

    Example Projects Fraud detection

    Customer attrition analysis & prediction

    Text mining

    Customer segmentation

    Sales forecasting

    Market basket analysis

    Analysis of product returns and failure

    CRM metric design & measurement

    Predictive models for campaign targeting & cross-sell

    Survey research (to understand customer needs & customer decision making)

    Senior Staff

    Karl Rexer, PhD Paul Gearan

    Heather Allen, PhD

    Roberta Chicos

    Recent Clients Redbox

    ADT Securities

    Hewlett-Packard

    Davol (CR Bard)

    Oracle

    Loan Depot

    Accudata

    Palladium

    Rexer Analytics Overview

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    Karl Rexer, PhD

    [email protected]

    617-233-8185

    Rexer Analytics

    30 Vine Street

    Winchester, MA 01890USA

    www.RexerAnalytics.com

    For more information contact: