Review Session. Functions of Money Medium of Exchange Store of Value Unit of Accounting.
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Transcript of Review Session. Functions of Money Medium of Exchange Store of Value Unit of Accounting.
Review Session
Functions of Money
• Medium of Exchange
• Store of Value
• Unit of Accounting
Examples of Exchange Rates (1/29/13)
Direct Quotes (U.S. Perspective)
• Swiss Franc 1.0852CHF 1 = $ 1.0852
• Euro 1.3491€ 1 = $ 1.3491
• British Pound 1.5759£ 1 = $ 1.5759
• Japanese Yen 0.01103¥ 1 = $ 0.01103
http://finance.yahoo.com/currency?u
Indirect Quotes
• Swiss Franc0.9215$1 = CHF 0.9215
• Euro 0.7412
• $1 = € 0.7412
• British Pound 0.6346$1 = £ 0.6346
• Japanese Yen 90.6545$1 = ¥ 90.6545
Examples of Exchange Rates (4/30/13)
Direct Quotes (U.S. Perspective)
• Swiss Franc 1.0754CHF 1 = $ 1.0754
• Euro 1.3168€ 1 = $ 1.3168
• British Pound 1.5534£ 1 = $ 1.5534
• Japanese Yen 0.010256¥ 1 = $ 0.010256
http://finance.yahoo.com/currency?u
Indirect Quotes
• Swiss Franc0.9299$1 = CHF 0.9299
• Euro 0.7594$1 = € 0.7594
• British Pound 0.6437$1 = £ 0.6437
• Japanese Yen 97.505$1 = ¥ 97.505
The Basic Relationship (FA is a financial asset; RA is a real asset)
MU money
P moneyMU FA1
P FA1
MU FA2
P FA2
L MU FAnP FAn
MU RA1
P RA1
MU RA2
P RA2
L MU RAnP RAn
And $1 buys 5 bags of good stuff
Then $1 = DKK 5
And DKK 1 = $ 0.20
Now, suppose $1 buys 2 bags of better stuff
And €1 buys 3 bags of the better stuff
Then €1 = $1.50
And $1 = € 0.67
Cross Rate Example:
NewYork
London Brussels
$1 =
£ 0.6
0€1 = $1.50
£ 1 = € 1.15
$1,035,000 - $1,000,000 = $35,000
£ 600,000 € 690,000
DollarWeakens
Pound Weakens
DollarStrengthens
$1,000,000
Would be equilibrium if €1 = £0.90
Generic Currency Arbitrage: Same Time
NewYork
London Brussels
Requires three locations and means of exchange
Excha
nge r
ateExchange rate
Exchange rate
Generic Currency Arbitrage: Across Time
FRAtoday
2 locations, 2 dates
NYtoday
FRAlater
%i or prices
NYlater
%i or prices
Means for transition
Exchange rate
Exchange rate
Lessons Learned from Currency Arbitrage:
• Interest Rate Parity– Real rate same for every currency
• Purchasing Power Parity– A Dollar (or Euro, or Pound, or Franc, etc.) buys same stuff in
every country (except for cost of transport)
Yield Curve
• Upward sloping yield curve
• Flat yield curve
• Downward sloping yield curve
R
Convexity
R
Convexity
R
Convexity
Generic Rate Arbitrage: No Coupon
Day 90
Initial Time Day 120
Requires three dates and means of transfer across time
Inter
est r
ateInterest rate
or derivative
Interest rate
Generic Interest Rate Arbitrage: Different Coupons
C(Example: 8%)
C–x(Example: 6%)
C+x(Example: 10%)
Requires three equally-spaced coupons, with prices out of balance
Price too high Sell two bonds
Buy one of each
Generic Interest Rate Arbitrage: Different Coupons
C(Example: 8%)
C–x(Example: 6%)
C+x(Example: 10%)
Requires three equally-spaced coupons, with prices out of balance
Price too low Buy two bonds
Sell one of each
Generic Interest Rate Arbitrage: Same Coupon, Different Maturities
M(Example: 7 yrs)
M–x(Example: 6 yrs)
M+x(Example: 8 yrs)
Requires three equally-spaced maturities, with prices out of balance
Price too high (YTM too low)
Sell two bonds
Buy one of each
Generic Interest Rate Arbitrage: Same Coupon, Different Maturities
M(Example: 7 yrs)
M–x(Example: 6 yrs)
M+x(Example: 8 yrs)
Requires three equally-spaced maturities, with prices out of balance
Price too low(YTM too high)
Buy two bonds
Sell one of each
Lessons Learned from Bond Arbitrage:
• Yield curve behavior must be monotonous in any currency– If upward sloping anywhere, must be upward sloping overall
– If downward sloping anywhere, must be downward sloping overall
– Slope must gradually move toward zero at ever diminishing rate until curve becomes flat
– Once curve becomes flat, it must remain flat
– There can be no kinks in the curve
• Yield curves for different risk classes (say, AAA versus junk) – may rest at different risk levels,
– but quality gap must be same overall
Lessons Learned from Bond Arbitrage:
• Yield curves may have different shapes for bonds in different currencies, but– Once bond prices are adjusted for forward currency exchange
rates, yield curves must have same shape
– Once bond prices are adjusted for forward currency exchange rates, quality gap must be same overall
• Derivatives can be very useful in managing interest rate risk
• Interest rate derivatives must conform to the shape of the yield curve
http://www.smartmoney.com/investing/bonds/the-living-yield-curve-7923
Questions for discussion:
• What is the marginal utility of money?
• What is the price of money?
• What is the marginal utility of a financial asset?
• What is the marginal utility of a real asset?
• Consider the ratio of marginal utility to price. What does it mean for this ratio to be the same for all financial assets and real assets in the world?
Examples of Exchange Rates (9/3/09)
Direct Quotes (U.S. Perspective)
• Swiss Franc 0.9416CHF 1 = $ 0.9416
• Euro 1.4257€ 1 = $ 1.4257
• British Pound 1.6321£ 1 = $ 1.6321
• Japanese Yen 0.0108¥ 1 = $ 0.0108
http://finance.yahoo.com/currency?u
Indirect Quotes
• Swiss Franc1.062$1 = CHF 1.062
• Euro 0.7014$1 = € 0.7014
• British Pound 0.6127$1 = £ 0.6127
• Japanese Yen 92.6950$1 = ¥ 92.695
Examples of Exchange Rates (11/20/09)
Direct Quotes (U.S. Perspective)
• Swiss Franc 0.9824CHF 1 = $ 0.9824
• Euro 1.4865€ 1 = $ 1.4865
• British Pound 1.6508£ 1 = $ 1.6508
• Japanese Yen 0.0112¥ 1 = $ 0.0112
http://finance.yahoo.com/currency?u
Indirect Quotes
• Swiss Franc1.0179$1 = CHF 1.062
• Euro 0.6727$1 = € 0.6727
• British Pound 0.6059$1 = £ 0.6059
• Japanese Yen 88.905$1 = ¥ 88.905
Examples of Exchange Rates (9/2/11)
Direct Quotes (U.S. Perspective)
• Swiss Franc 1.2692CHF 1 = $ 1.2692
• Euro 1.4209€ 1 = $ 1.4209
• British Pound 1.622£ 1 = $ 1.622
• Japanese Yen 0.01297¥ 1 = $ 0.01297
http://finance.yahoo.com/currency?u
Indirect Quotes
• Swiss Franc0.7879$1 = CHF 0.7879
• Euro 0.7038$1 = € 0.7038
• British Pound 0.6165$1 = £ 0.6165
• Japanese Yen 77.085$1 = ¥ 77.085
Examples of Exchange Rates (11/28/11)
Direct Quotes (U.S. Perspective)
• Swiss Franc 1.0837CHF 1 = $ 1.0837
• Euro 1.3313€ 1 = $ 1.3313
• British Pound 1.5502£ 1 = $ 1.5502
• Japanese Yen 0.01281¥ 1 = $ 0.01281
http://finance.yahoo.com/currency?u
Indirect Quotes
• Swiss Franc0.9228$1 = CHF 0.9228
• Euro 0.7511$1 = € 0.7511
• British Pound 0.6451$1 = £ 0.6451
• Japanese Yen 78.075$1 = ¥ 78.075