RETAIL REPORT - Lee & Associates Vancouvermortgages as well as bring the prices of homes back to a...
Transcript of RETAIL REPORT - Lee & Associates Vancouvermortgages as well as bring the prices of homes back to a...
RETAIL REPORTMETRO VANCOUVER FALL 2016
LEE & ASSOCIATES COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE (BC) LTD.
lee-associates.com
OVERVIEW
METRO VANCOUVER MARKET
The Metro Vancouver retail market remains stable heading
into Q4 of 2016 despite economic uncertainty over the past
few quarters. In regards to the residential real estate industry;
the changing market conditions are easing upward pressure
on home prices in the Metro Vancouver residential market
which hit its peak number of sales in March 2016. Since March
2016 sales have declined month-to-month with September
2016 data showing a sales-to-active listings ratio of 24.1%.
This is the lowest this ratio has been since February 2015.
This is in large part due to the introduction of the Foreign
Buyer’s Tax of 15% which came into effect August 2nd of
this year. The soaring home prices in Metro Vancouver have
caused the Federal Government to step in and introduce
"mortgage stress tests" which will only allow home buyers
to be pre-approved for a mortgage if they are able to still
make payments if a potential higher interest rate is inputted.
The hope is that this will lessen the risk for defaulting on
mortgages as well as bring the prices of homes back to a
more affordable range.
The BC economy hasn’t shown any signs of fatigue as it lead
the country in employment growth adding 60,000 jobs to the
province during the past twelve months. Retail sales in the
province continue to remain strong, amounting to $6.2 Billion
for the latest read in June which is a 5.2% increase from 2015.
The BC retail estate market continues to show that retail tenants
are evolving into an e-commerce and multichannel approach
to engaging customers. This is seen through the on-going
trend of pop-up stores, particularly in the Vancouver market.
Retailers are using pop-up locations to create awareness and
urgency amongst consumers while simultaneously delivering
a faster and more efficient online shopping experience
through technological advancements in data mining. Another
upcoming trend in the retail market involves online retailers
adding brick-and-mortar stores to their portfolio; even as
online shopping continues to grow, retailers such as Amazon
and Indochino are now opening brick -and-mortar locations.
Retail supply in Metro Vancouver has increased with over
2,000,000 square feet of retail space that has or will be built
out this year and another 4,000,000 square feet coming onto
Sources: Realnet, Statistics Canada, BC Statistics, Lee & Associates Research
BC STATISTICS
VARIABLE Q3 2016 READ TREND
Unemployment Rate 5.5% August q
Total Building Permits $7.676 Billion July p
Retail Sales* $6.2 Billion June p
Consumer Price Index 123.3 June p
Net Population (2016) +0.3% April p
*Seasonally adjusted
CANADA STATISTICS
VARIABLE Q3 2016 READ TREND
Consumer Price Index 128.9 June p
Total Building Permits $47.227 Billion July
CAD/USD $0.758 September q
Prime Lending Rate 2.70% September
Overnight Rate 0.509% September
MACROECONOMIC FACTORS
the market in the next five to six years. The demand for this
supply remains stable as some big box and large format retailers
respond to developer activity in the Metro Vancouver market.
The retail investment market has remained relatively stable
when compared to 2015, with 2016 sales transactions totaling
$1.12 Billion* so far this year. Due to the lack of available supply,
the market recorded just 22 investment transactions between
$5 Million and $10 Million, representing 14% of the total sales
figure. The market saw 23 transactions above $10 Million,
representing 15% of the total sales figure. The most notable
transaction this year was the sale of Royal City Centre in New
Westminster for $114.7 Million.
*Total sales figure represents a YTD transaction volume of $1.12 Billion based on transactions over $1 Million.
GILMORE PLACE BY ONNI GROUP
Gilmore Place is a mixed-use master planned community development in
Burnaby located at the Gilmore SkyTrain Station with the first phase now
underway.
THE CITY OF LOUGHEED BY SHAPE PROPERTIES
The City of Lougheed is a 40-acre master planned community centred around the
current Lougheed Shopping Centre with redevelopment densification of 1.4 million SF
of retail, 1 million SF of office space and on-site residential homes.
LEE & ASSOCIATES VANCOUVER FALL 2016 RETAIL REPORT | 3
CURRENTLY UNDER CONSTRUCTION AND POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENTS | LOWER MAINLAND
DEVELOPER PROJECT NAME MUNICIPALITY RETAIL SIZE NOTABLE TENANTS ESTIMATED COMPLETION
Shape Properties The City of Lougheed Burnaby 1,400,000 SF TBD Q1 2020 (phase 1)
Ivanhoe Cambridge Tsawwassen Mills Tsawwassen 1,200,000 SF Bass Pro Shop, DSW, Saks Off 5th Q3 2016
Shape Properties The Amazing Brentwood Burnaby 547,192 SF TBD Q3 2018 (phase 1)
PDG Tsawwassen Commons Tsawwassen 510,000 SF Canadian Tire, Petsmart, Dollarama Q4 2016
Onni Group Gilmore Place Burnaby 491,000 SF TBD TBD
Smart Centre Central at Garden City Richmond 359,090 SF Walmart, Bed Bath and Beyond, Marshalls Q3 2016
Cressey Kings Crossing Burnaby 138,102 SF TBD Q2 2018
Matsqui Development McCallum Junction Abbotsford 130,000 SF Cabela’s Q4 2016
Onni Group Centreview North Vancouver 90,200 SF Whole Foods, Steve Nash Fitness World Q4 2017
RETRACTING RETAILERS | CANADIAN MARKET
TENANT TYPICAL SQ FT MARKET STORES CLOSING
Sears 130,000 Canada TBC
Golf Town 18,000 Canada TBC
American Apparel 3,000 Canada TBC
Jacob 3,000 Canada 92 stores
Le Château 3,000 Canada 14+ stores
Smart Set 2,000 Canada 107 stores*
Quiznos 800 Canada TBC
*76 of 107 stores will be converted into other Reitmans Canada Limited operated stores
EXPANDING RETAILERS | CANADIAN MARKET
TENANT TYPICAL SQ FT MARKET LOCATIONS*
Costco 150,000 Canada 98+
La Maison Simons 100,000 Canada 17+
Saks off Fifth 30,000 Canada 25+
Nordstrom Rack 30,000 Canada 20+
Urban Barn 8,000 Canada 70+
Pet Valu 3,800 Canada 700+
Rudsak 2,000 Canada 50+
GNC 1,000 Canada 200+
David’s Tea 700 Canada 250+
*Canadian locations post-expansion
PACIFIC CENTRE BY CADILLAC FAIRVIEW
The mall owner proposes to remove the public plaza at the southwest corner of Granville Street and West
Georgia Street to build a three-storey 25,000 square foot addition to Pacific Centre.
lee-associates.com
DOWNTOWN VANCOUVER MARKET
MARKET FORECAST INDICATORS
METRO VANCOUVER
INDICATOR TREND
Vacancy
Net Absorption
New Development p
Rental Rates
Cap Rates q
DOWNTOWN CORE
Vancouver's Downtown core experienced major rejuvenation
with the addition of several luxury retail tenants in 2015.
High-end retail continues to grow in 2016 with Equinox gym,
a luxury mind, body and health centre which is set to open
in the Trump Tower this November. The revamping trend
continues with Pacific Centre submitting a development
application to redevelop the existing plaza and dome located
on the northwest corner of West Georgia and Howe Streets.
The application under review proposes a 25,614 square foot
three-storey addition. The 40,000 square foot expansion of
Holt Renfrew is now complete, bringing the luxury department
store to a total of 187,700 square feet.
Italian luxury brand Prada has opened a three-level flagship
at the southeast corner of Alberni and Thurlow Streets which
is approximately 13,000 square feet. Italian men’s fashion
brand Stefano Ricci will open a 2,600 square foot location
next to Trump International Hotel & Tower Vancouver on West
Georgia Street. Well underway is Tiffany’s 4,700 square foot
second level expansion at the northwest corner of Burrard and
Alberni Streets which replaces the former Japanese restaurant
Kamei Royale. French fashion brand Saint Laurent Paris (Yves
Saint Laurent) recently opened its first freestanding boutique
at 746 Thurlow Street, between Moncler and Prada. The 5,000
square foot, two-level store is one of the chain’s largest in
North America, behind New York and Beverly Hills.
GASTOWN | RAILTOWN
Gastown, historically a renowned destination for tourists, has
evolved into a trendy part of Downtown Vancouver for locals
as well. The retail landscape is rapidly evolving with relatively
low lease rates — compared to other Downtown submarkets
— fueling an influx of boutiques, up-scale restaurants, cafés,
stylish art galleries and unique fashion retailers. Noteworthy
was the opening of Lululemon’s Lab, their conceptual design
retail format that relocated to 50 Powell Street from Broadway
and Cambie earlier this year.
YALETOWN
This submarket is home to some of the city’s best salons,
restaurants and lounges. Proximity to high-density condo
towers as well as the Canada Line SkyTrain station at Davie and
Mainland Streets drive demand in the area. Retro-fit brick and
beam former warehouse buildings now facilitate retail spaces
and quality offices above. Demand for this heritage submarket
remains steady with recent entrants such as BCAA, Nuba,
and Suquet — a new locally based high-end furniture store.
The Vancouver based Mexican taco quick-service restaurant
Tacofino also opened their second location here in July 2016.
BURRARD INLET
ENGLISH BAY
Stanley Park
SunsetBeach
Hadden Park
Vanier Park
George Wainborn Park
David LamPark
NelsonPark
ThortonPark
CreeksidePark
CoopersPark
Andy Livingstone
Park
RobsonSquare
oppenheimer park
portside park
harbour green park
Robson between Thurlow and Hornby boast the highest net rents in Metro Vancouver. Darker regions indicate higher lease rates.
DOWNTOWN VANCOUVER LEASE RATE MAP
LEE & ASSOCIATES VANCOUVER FALL 2016 RETAIL REPORT | 5
LEASE RATE TRENDS | DOWNTOWN VANCOUVERMAP STREET SEGMENT TREND NET RENT PSF
2016*TAX & CAM
2016*MAP STREET SEGMENT TREND NET RENT PSF
2016*TAX & CAM
2016*
Alberni Street p $130 – $160 $15 – $30 Robson Street (Beatty to Burrard) p $50 – $235 $20 – $45
Burrard Street (Georgia to Davie) $40 – $200 $15 – $40 Robson Street
(Bute to Denman) q $50 – $120 $20 – $40
Davie Street p $30 – $65 $15 – $20 Abbott Street (Expo to Hastings) $30 – $50 $15 – $25
Denman q $40 – $75 $20 – $30 Gastown p $20 – $65 $15 – $25
Granville Street (Downtown) p $40 – $125 $15 – $30 Railtown p $15 – $25 $8 – $14
Hornby Street $45 – $180 $20 – $50 Yaletown p $40 – $80 $20 – $30
Robson Street (Burrard to Bute) $120 – $250 $50 – $65 West Georgia p $35 – $175 $20 – $35
*Estimated
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VANCOUVER MARKET
SOUTH GRANVILLE
South Granville is a sophisticated shopping district where
premier brands have assembled outside of the Downtown
Core. High-end apparel and furniture retailers such as Pottery
Barn, Restoration Hardware, EQ3, and Anthropologie have
established themselves in this affluent shopping district.
There has been some recent activity in the market as higher
rates are forcing some retailers to reconsider their presence
in the market. Typically vacancy rates are very low as retailers
benefit from the central location and high traffic.
KITSILANO (KITS)
Within close proximity to The University of British Columbia,
this area is popular with students and lifestyle conscious
residents who enjoy Kitsilano for its organic food markets,
fashion, eateries and close proximity to beaches along the
south shore of English Bay. New retail tenants to Kits and its
main retail corridor — West 4th Avenue — include a flagship
location for the upscale Australian skincare company
Aesop as well as a new "hyper store" for Flight Centre.
Lululemon is expanding their West 4th location to a total of
6,000 square feet which will include a rooftop patio for yoga.
SOUTH VANCOUVER
There is an emerging sub-market located on Marine
Drive and Cambie Street, in South Vancouver. The city’s
top developers including Onni, Intracorp, PCI and Concord
Pacific have invested heavily in creating a contemporary
neighborhood with over 1,700 residential units, 400,000
square feet of office space and 500,000 square feet of
retail. The most notable development to date has been PCI’s
Marine Gateway connected to the Canada Line Station. This
mixed-use office/retail/residential development opened in
Spring 2016. The retail component is grocery anchored and
co-tenants include Shopper’s Drug Mart, Winners, Cineplex
Odeon, Steve Nash Fitness World, and CIBC.
Further east at the northwest corner of Fraser Street and
Southeast Marine Drive is the Super 8 Hotel site, slated for
mixed use redevelopment with upwards of 15,000 square feet
of new retail.
The most significant new retail development underway
will be Phase 1 of Wesgroup’s 130 acre River District which
will feature approximately 60,000 square feet of grocery
anchored retail. Located along the Marine Drive corridor
between Kerr Street and Boundary Road, this planned
community will serve the growing population within the
South Vancouver–Burnaby region.
NORTH SHORE
The North Shore boasts some of the highest household and
disposable incomes in Metro Vancouver. Park Royal Shopping
Centre dominates the retail landscape of West Vancouver,
where historic Quebec retail giant La Maison Simons has now
opened a 100,000 square foot high-end fashion store. Park
Royal continues to renovate and is currently revamping the
entire North Mall. When completed in early 2017, the North
side of Park Royal will have been de-malled and will feature
a new 25,000 square foot BC Government Liquor Store, a
30,500 square foot Steve Nash Platinum Fitness Club, and a
new 45,000 square foot Loblaws City Market grocery store.
In North Vancouver along Marine Drive, First Capital is
finalizing a 9,000 square foot addition to Amadon Plaza.
Also along Marine Drive, Norgate Plaza has leased 4,500
square feet to Bosley’s by Pet Valu for an end-cap space in
the former Rockford restaurant space.
In Central Lonsdale, Onni Group’s Centerview at 13th
and Lonsdale is being constructed ahead of schedule.
The project, anchored by Whole Foods with co-tenants
Steve Nash Fitness World and Shopper’s Drug Mart, is
slated to open in early 2017. Lower Lonsdale, centered
around the Seabus Terminal at Lonsdale Quay, continues
to experience significant population growth and increased
retail development. The Seabus Terminal itself is slated for
a $12.5 Million renovation to be completed by 2018. The
Seabus carries 16,000 passengers per day from the North
Shore to Downtown Vancouver. Last year Tap & Barrel
opened a 14,000 square foot restaurant inside a 100 year old
building on the Shipyards Site and future additions to the
waterfront area include mixed-use development purposed
for restaurants, retail and a hotel. There are also plans to
build Metro Vancouver’s largest outdoor skating rink.
ENGLISH BAY
F A L S E C R E E KW 4TH AVENUE
VanierPark
Darker regions indicated highe lease rates.
VANCOUVER LEASE RATE MAP
LEE & ASSOCIATES VANCOUVER FALL 2016 RETAIL REPORT | 7
LEASE RATE TRENDS | VANCOUVER MARKETMAP STREET SEGMENT TREND NET RENT PSF
2016*TAX & CAM
2016*MAP STREET SEGMENT TREND NET RENT PSF
2016*TAX & CAM
2016*
Commercial Drive (Venables to 13th Ave) p $30 – $45 $10 – $15 Chinatown p $18 – $35 $10 – $15
South Granville (5th Ave to 16th Ave) $30 – $90 $20 – $35 West 4th Avenue
(Burrard to Alma) $30 – $70 $15 – $25
Kingsway $15 – $35 $10 – $15 West Broadway (Main to Granville) p $22 – $65 $10 – $20
Main Street (Hastings to 28th Ave) p $20 – $50 $10 – $15 West Broadway
(Granville to Alma) $25 – $55 $15 – $20
Cambie Street (2nd Ave to 19th Ave) p $30 – $75 $15 – $30 East Hastings Street p $20 – $40 $10 – $15
Burrard Street $35 - $55 $15 - $20 Fraser Street(Kingsway to King Edward) $25 - $35 $10 - $15
*Estimated
To N
anaimo
To Victoria
BC Ferries Terminal TswawwassenTo Nanaimo
CANADAU.S.A.
BC Ferries Terminal Horseshoe Bay
SeaIsland
Steveston
WesthamIsland
BeachGrove
TilburyIsland
AnnacisIsland
SouthWestminster
Newton
Panorama Ridge
Sullivan
SurreyCentre
Sunny SideAcres
Sunny Side
Douglas
Brookswood
ForestKnolls
FortLangley
Cloverdale
FraserHeights
Whalley
Anniedale
PortKells
Milner
Murrayville
Hoppington
WalnutGrove
Albion
HaneyYennadon
Whonnock
Glen Valley
Bradner
Aldergrove
NorthPoplar
Clearbrooke
Clayburn
Matsqui
Mission City
Hatzic
Dewdney
Steelhead
West Heights
Huntingdon
Yarrow
Greendale
VedderCrossing
Sardis
Rosedale
Harrison Mills
Aberdeen
Ruskin
Guildford
Queensborough
Sapperton
Edmonds
Metrotown
CapitolHill
Deep Cove
CoquitlamCentre
Burquitlam Austin Heights
Maillardville
Mary Hill
DouglasIsland
BarnstonIsland
Lynn Valley
Westridge
Ladner
West Point Grey
Dunbar
Kerrisdale
Oakridge
Marpole Fraserview
Collingwood
Tsawwassen
Lake Errock
Stave Falls
LangleyAirport
University of British Columbia
Vancouver International
Airport
Boundary BayAirport
Simon Fraser University
British Columbia Institute of Technology
AbbotsfordAirport
Pitt MeadowsAirport
CANADAU.S.A.
BOUNDARY BAY
MUD BAY
FRASER RIVER
PIT LAKE
CULTUS LAKE
STAVE LAKE
ALOUETTE LAKE
LOUGHEED HIGHWAY
FRASER RIVER
BUNTZEN LAKE
COQUITLAMLAKE
ENGLISH BAY
BURRARD INLET
CAPILANOLAKE
Aldergrove Lake
Regional Park
Campbell ValleyRegional Park
Sumas MountainRegional
Park
Sumas MountainRegional
Park
Cultus Lake Provincial Park
Rolley LakeProvincial Park
Derby ReachRegional Park
Golden EarsProvincial
Park
Cypress Provincial Park
LighthousePark
Lynn Canyon
Park
Lynn Headwaters
Regional Park
Mount SeymourProvincial Park
Belcarra Regional
Park
Indian ArmProvincial
Park
Pinecone Burke
Mountain Provincial
Park
UrbanForest
Water Shed Park
North DeltaNature Reserve
Deas IslandRegional Park
Green TimbersUrban Forest
Park
Bear CreekPark
TyneheadRegional Park
Central Park
Burnaby Mountain
Park
Colony FarmRegional Park
SurreyBend Regional
Park
Pacific SpiritRegional Park
Burnaby LakeRegional Park
Boundary BayRegional Park
Deer LakePark
ST
RA
IGH
T O
F G
EO
RG
IA
INDIA
N AR
M
Stanley Park
Queen Elizabeth
Park
MundyPark
Fraser IslandsRegional Park
Res.
NORRISH
CR
EE
K
CHEH
AL
IS R
IVER
CHILLIWAC K RIVER
WESTVANCOUVER
42,694
NORTHVANCOUVER
84,412
CITY OFNORTH VANCOUVER
48,136
RICHMOND190,470
DELTA100,571
BURNABY223,220
VANCOUVER603,502
COQUITLAM126,456
NEWWESTMINSTER
65,976
PITTMEADOWS
17,736
PORTCOQUITLAM
55,958
PORTMOODY32,975
ANMORE1,496
BELCARRA716
SURREY468,251
MAPLE RIDGE76,052
MISSION31,272
ABBOTSFORD133,497
LANGLEY104,177
CHILLIWACK77,936
KENT
WHITE ROCK19,339
lee-associates.com
METRO VANCOUVER MARKETS
SUBURBAN MARKETS OVERVIEW
The suburban markets have seen significant retail and residential growth over the past year, most notably Tsawwassen and Burnaby. With the exception of high demand lease opportunities in close proximity to rapid transit stations or major arterials, the overall tone of retail leasing activity in the suburban markets has retailers cautiously evaluating new opportunities.
BURNABY | NEW WESTMINSTER
Shape Properties continues their redevelopment plans for North Burnaby’s Brentwood Mall and are now also focused on the redevelopment of the Lougheed Town Centre Mall. “The City of Lougheed” will be Canada’s largest new master-planned community spanning 40 acres in size. The community will include up to 10,000 homes in 23+ high-rise towers, two SkyTrain lines directly on site and over 300 new shops and restaurants. A formal rezoning application for the first phase in the project has now been put forth by Shape Properties. The first phase will include a 55-storey, 566-unit residential tower on the northwest corner of North Road and Austin Avenue.
On Burnaby’s western boundary, Onni is in the planning phases of constructing phase one of their Gilmore Place development at Gilmore Avenue and Lougheed Highway, next to Gilmore SkyTrain station. Comprised of over 12 acres of land, Onni anticipates 500,000 square feet of newly constructed retail space in addition to a large quantity of residential apartments on site.
New Westminster continues to see strong multifamily residential growth and with it, increased demand from consumers. Uptown (Sixth Street & Sixth Avenue) continues to be the most desirable area for retailers. In lower New Westminster, Bosa Development purchased the 1.6 hectare plot at 660 Quayside Drive — between Westminster Pier Park and the Fraser River Discovery Centre — from Larco earlier this year and are going forth with a multi-tower residential and commercial project on the undeveloped waterfront site. The completed project will consist of either two or three residential towers and will also include a stand-alone building for a restaurant and a daycare facility.
RICHMOND
Richmond is experiencing extensive residential development particularly in the Oval Neighbourhood (North West Richmond) and along No. 3 Road with urban villages clustering around the Canada Line transit stations. The No. 3 Road corridor is transforming from a long stretch of strip malls into a growing parade of high-rise residential and commercial buildings. Lease rates along the transit routes have seen sharp increases with the demolition of older existing retail and the development of mixed-use projects.
The Oval Neighbourhood, bordered by No. 3 Road, Westminster Highway, the Fraser River and No. 2 Road has experienced extensive residential high-rise development. When fully built-out, the area will total approximately 15,600 residential units and house 35,500 residents with a mix of office and retail.
The recently opened McArthurGlen Outlet Centre is preparing for an expansion that will nearly double the size of the current 240,000 square foot centre to add an additional 200,000 square feet by 2018. The expansion has caught the eye of multiple global retailers as well as retailers who were unable to obtain space in the first phase of the development.
The newest arrival to the retail scene in Richmond is the imminent grand opening this Fall of Smart Centre’s “Central at Garden City” comprising 359,090 square feet of retail anchored by Walmart at Alderbridge Way and Garden City Road. Co-tenants include Marshall’s, Discount Shoe Warehouse, Bed Bath & Beyond and Bosley’s by Pet Valu.
To N
anaimo
To Victoria
BC Ferries Terminal TswawwassenTo Nanaimo
CANADAU.S.A.
BC Ferries Terminal Horseshoe Bay
SeaIsland
Steveston
WesthamIsland
BeachGrove
TilburyIsland
AnnacisIsland
SouthWestminster
Newton
Panorama Ridge
Sullivan
SurreyCentre
Sunny SideAcres
Sunny Side
Douglas
Brookswood
ForestKnolls
FortLangley
Cloverdale
FraserHeights
Whalley
Anniedale
PortKells
Milner
Murrayville
Hoppington
WalnutGrove
Albion
HaneyYennadon
Whonnock
Glen Valley
Bradner
Aldergrove
NorthPoplar
Clearbrooke
Clayburn
Matsqui
Mission City
Hatzic
Dewdney
Steelhead
West Heights
Huntingdon
Yarrow
Greendale
VedderCrossing
Sardis
Rosedale
Harrison Mills
Aberdeen
Ruskin
Guildford
Queensborough
Sapperton
Edmonds
Metrotown
CapitolHill
Deep Cove
CoquitlamCentre
Burquitlam Austin Heights
Maillardville
Mary Hill
DouglasIsland
BarnstonIsland
Lynn Valley
Westridge
Ladner
West Point Grey
Dunbar
Kerrisdale
Oakridge
Marpole Fraserview
Collingwood
Tsawwassen
Lake Errock
Stave Falls
LangleyAirport
University of British Columbia
Vancouver International
Airport
Boundary BayAirport
Simon Fraser University
British Columbia Institute of Technology
AbbotsfordAirport
Pitt MeadowsAirport
CANADAU.S.A.
BOUNDARY BAY
MUD BAY
FRASER RIVER
PIT LAKE
CULTUS LAKE
STAVE LAKE
ALOUETTE LAKE
LOUGHEED HIGHWAY
FRASER RIVER
BUNTZEN LAKE
COQUITLAMLAKE
ENGLISH BAY
BURRARD INLET
CAPILANOLAKE
Aldergrove Lake
Regional Park
Campbell ValleyRegional Park
Sumas MountainRegional
Park
Sumas MountainRegional
Park
Cultus Lake Provincial Park
Rolley LakeProvincial Park
Derby ReachRegional Park
Golden EarsProvincial
Park
Cypress Provincial Park
LighthousePark
Lynn Canyon
Park
Lynn Headwaters
Regional Park
Mount SeymourProvincial Park
Belcarra Regional
Park
Indian ArmProvincial
Park
Pinecone Burke
Mountain Provincial
Park
UrbanForest
Water Shed Park
North DeltaNature Reserve
Deas IslandRegional Park
Green TimbersUrban Forest
Park
Bear CreekPark
TyneheadRegional Park
Central Park
Burnaby Mountain
Park
Colony FarmRegional Park
SurreyBend Regional
Park
Pacific SpiritRegional Park
Burnaby LakeRegional Park
Boundary BayRegional Park
Deer LakePark
ST
RA
IGH
T O
F G
EO
RG
IA
INDIA
N AR
M
Stanley Park
Queen Elizabeth
Park
MundyPark
Fraser IslandsRegional Park
Res.
NORRISH
CR
EE
K
CHEH
AL
IS R
IVER
CHILLIWAC K RIVER
WESTVANCOUVER
42,694
NORTHVANCOUVER
84,412
CITY OFNORTH VANCOUVER
48,136
RICHMOND190,470
DELTA100,571
BURNABY223,220
VANCOUVER603,502
COQUITLAM126,456
NEWWESTMINSTER
65,976
PITTMEADOWS
17,736
PORTCOQUITLAM
55,958
PORTMOODY32,975
ANMORE1,496
BELCARRA716
SURREY468,251
MAPLE RIDGE76,052
MISSION31,272
ABBOTSFORD133,497
LANGLEY104,177
CHILLIWACK77,936
KENT
WHITE ROCK19,339
METRO VANCOUVER POPULATION MAP
LEE & ASSOCIATES VANCOUVER FALL 2016 RETAIL REPORT | 9
*PCensus 2013 Estimate **Average Household Income, 2013 Estimate
MUNICIPALITY POPULATION* MED. AGE* AVG. INCOME**
Coquitlam 136,202 39.8 $87,995
Port Moody 36,579 38.0 $104,521
Port Coquitlam 59,972 38.7 $98,424
Pitt Meadows 19,298 39.0 $93,172
Mission 38,727 38.5 $81,765
Maple Ridge 81,888 39.9 $96,230
City of Langley 26,635 39.8 $65,640
Township of Langley 112,496 40.0 $110,579
Abbotsford 142,881 37.0 $84,904
Chilliwack 84,872 39.0 $79,860
METRO VANCOUVER DEMOGRAPHICS
MUNICIPALITY POPULATION* MED. AGE* AVG. INCOME**
Vancouver 636,534 38.9 $88,663
West Vancouver 44,508 50.2 $196,433
City of North Vancouver 51,267 40.5 $79,815
District of North Vancouver 88,303 43.2 $126,445
Burnaby 240,171 39.0 $79,424
New Westminster 71,594 40.7 $79,499
Richmond 204,327 41.5 $81,899
Delta 104,911 42.6 $101,059
Tsawwassen 739 50.2 $142,066
White Rock 20,300 54.0 $82,685
Surrey 517,417 37.1 $96,557
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SUBURBAN VANCOUVER MARKET
DELTA | LADNER | TSAWWASSEN
Two of the largest retail projects currently in Metro Vancouver
are Tsawwassen Mills and Tsawwassen Commons which are
developed in tandem by Ivanhoe Cambridge, The Property
Development Group and Tsawwassen First Nations. Tsawwassen
Mills recently opened on October 5, 2016 and Tsawwassen
Commons is set to open Q4 2016. The projects are situated at
the intersection of Highway 17 and 52nd Street and will add
1,710,000 square feet of retail space to Tsawwassen. Wilderness
themed retail giant Bass Pro Shop will anchor the Mill site with a
180,000 square foot location while Walmart, Canadian Tire, Tim
Hortons, and PetSmart will anchor Tsawwassen Commons.
PORT MOODY | COQUITLAM | PORT COQUITLAM
Metro Vancouver’s northeast sector is growing in anticipation
of the Evergreen Rapid Transit Line. As a result, all the nearby
communities are benefitting including Port Moody with even
more high-rises in the town centre.
Coquitlam Centre continues to thrive along with neighbouring
strip centres. The Westwood Mall anchored by the Real
Canadian Superstore is underway with renovations which also
features the introduction of a new 8,000 square foot UFC
Gym (the first in Metro Vancouver) alongside their sister club
Steve Nash Fitness World which renewed and renovated.
In Port Coquitlam, a new retail development at Maryhill Bypass
and Broadway is now under construction. The development
will include three buildings totaling 13,500 square feet. Tenants
already confirmed for the retail convenience centre are A&W,
Starbucks, and Subway.
SURREY
With over 1,000 new residents welcomed every month,
Surrey continues to be one of the fastest growing markets in
Canada. Surrey Central City is currently transitioning into a
densely populated commercial node with numerous mixed-
use projects slated for construction over the next five to ten
years. Concord Pacific’s Park Avenue West project is currently
under construction and will be completed in Q2 2017. The
second phase of PCI’s King George Station is getting traction
and proposes a mixed-use development which will include
approximately 350,000 square feet of retail space and
450,000 square feet of class ‘A’ office space. Phase One is
now completed and is anchored by Coast Capital Savings’
new head office with over 700 employees. Additional phases
of the development may include 1,200,000 square feet of
residential space.
In South Surrey, Grandview Central Shopping Centre is in
the final stages of construction and when finished will be
anchored by the recently opened Real Canadian Superstore
and co-tenants Goodlife Fitness and Shopper’s Drug Mart.
These retailers will join a market of over 1,000,000 square
feet of existing retail within a one kilometer radius of the
southeast corner of 24th Avenue and 160th Street.
LANGLEYLangley is made up of several shopping districts with
Willowbrook remaining the largest at 200th Street and the
Langley Bypass. Activity in Willowbrook includes renovations
to Wesgroup’s Langley City Square which will feature new
contemporary building facades, improved access and parking.
Meanwhile, Willowbrook Mall has revealed plans to expand
Langley’s largest shopping centre to include a new 140,000
square foot outdoor mall on the northwest side of the
property. Along with more retail space, restaurants and
places for shoppers to relax, the developer envisions a Park
Royal Village feel. The site will add 1,000 more underground
parking stalls and most of the work will take place where the
old Target has sat empty since 2015.
ABBOTSFORDAbbotsford’s most notable new retail development is Matsqui
Development’s McCallum Junction project located on the
northeast corner of Highway 1 and McCallum Road. The
130,000 square foot development is anchored by outdoor
recreation merchandiser Cabela’s, who opened their 70,000
square foot location in June 2016. The entire project is slated
to be completed in Q4 of 2016.
On Abbotsford’s western boundary, Forever 21’s sister brand
F21 RED will open its first Western Canadian store this fall.
The 15,000 square foot store will compliment Highstreet
Shopping Centre’s 600,000 square foot open-air plaza at
Mount Lehman Road and Highway 1, anchored by Walmart,
London Drugs, H&M, Steve Nash Fitness World, Milestone’s,
and Ciniplex VIP Cinema.
THE AMAZING BRENTWOOD BY SHAPE PROPERTIES
The Amazing Brentwood, located in North Burnaby, is a mixed-use development
that will house over 1.1 million SF of retail space and 500,000 SF of office space.
Scheduled completion: Q2 2018.
LEE & ASSOCIATES VANCOUVER FALL 2016 RETAIL REPORT | 11
NOTABLE TRANSACTIONS
NOTABLE RETAIL SALE TRANSACTIONS | 2016PROPERTY ADDRESS | NAME MUNICIPALITY PRICE SIZE (SF) PRICE
PER SFPURCHASER(S)
Royal City Centre New Westminster $114,700,000 361,386 $317 Share Sale - Dava Developments Ltd.
Peninsula Village Shopping Centre Surrey $78,250,000 170,706 $458 Share Sale - First Capital Realty Inc
Mission Junction Mission $68,050,000 282,533 $241 Share Sale - LaSalle Investment Management
1818-1862 West Broadway Vancouver $56,250,000 37,500 $1,500 1077003 B.C. Ltd –Canadian Private Investor
950 West Broadway Vancouver $46,000,000 25,000 $1,840 Hometop Enterprises Ltd.
The Wilson Block Vancouver $38,250,000 75,155 $509 Bonnis Properties Ltd.
Central Plaza Shopping Centre White Rock $29,000,000 50,000* $580 Landmark Premiere Properties Ltd.
3695 Lougheed Highway Vancouver $13,300,000 8,914 $1,493 3695 Lougheed Highway Ltd. – Private Investor
*Estimated
NOTABLE RETAIL LEASE TRANSACTIONS | 2016PROPERTY ADDRESS | NAME MUNICIPALITY TENANT SIZE (SF)
Park Royal * West Vancouver Steve Nash Fitness World 28,740
948-950 Homer Street* Vancouver Kokko 21,750
1308 Lonsdale Avenue* North Vancouver Steve Nash Fitness World. 21,000
34150 South Fraser Way* Abbotsford Get Air 18,000
1606 West Broadway Vancouver Kohler 5,000
1150 Robson Street Vancouver Eddie Bauer 2,500
830 Thurlow Street Vancouver Cali Burger 2,200
805 Thurlow Street Vancouver RYU 1,100
*Brokered by Lee & Associates
RETAIL INVESTMENT SNAPSHOT METRO VANCOUVER
2015JAN-SEP
2016JAN-SEP TREND
Number Of Trades* 183 153 q
Transaction Volume* (CAD)
$1.189 Billion
$1.120 Billion
*Number of trades and transaction volume are based on trades over $1 Million
Source: Realnet, Lee & Associates Research
Lee & Associates Vancouver475 West Georgia Street, Suite 800Vancouver, BC V6B 4M9 tel 604 684 7117 | fax 604 684 1017
This report should not be relied upon as a basis for entering into transactions without seeking specific, qualified, professional advice. Whilst facts have been rigorously checked, Lee & Associates can take no responsibility for any damage or loss suffered as a result of any inadvertent inaccuracy within this report. Information contained herein should not, in whole or part, be published, reproduced or referred to without prior approval. Any such reproduction should be credited to Lee & Associates.
© 2016 Lee & Associates Vancouver
FOR INQUIRIES PLEASE CONTACT
Hayley AdamsResearch Associate, Retail604 630 [email protected]
RETAIL MARKET REPORTMETRO VANCOUVER FALL 2016
Sean OgilvieVice President604 630 3402email: [email protected]
Neil S McAllister Personal Real Estate CorporationSenior Vice President604 630 [email protected]
LEE & ASSOCIATES RETAIL TEAM
Andrea FletcherSenior Associate604 630 [email protected]
Russell Long, BA, DULESenior Associate604 630 [email protected]
Howard Malchy Personal Real Estate CorporationVice President604 895 [email protected]