Resource & Climate Protection Plan To 2020 Recommendations, Plan and Update
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Transcript of Resource & Climate Protection Plan To 2020 Recommendations, Plan and Update
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8/14/2019 Resource&ClimateProtectionPlan To2020 Recommendations,PlanandUpdate
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1January 28, 2010
Resource&ClimateProtectionPlanto2020
Recommendations,Plan
and
Update
AustinEnergy
RogerDuncan,GeneralManager
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AGENDA
Resource&ClimateProtectionPlanto2020
2
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3January 28, 2010
Agenda
AustinEnergyMissionStatement
AustinClimate
Protection
Plan
PublicParticipationProcess
StaffRecommendation
OtherScenarios
GenerationTask
Force
Recommendation
StaffResponse
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4January 28, 2010
MissionStatementTodeliverclean,affordable,
reliableenergyand
excellentcustomerservice.
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KeyPlanningRequirements
Reliablymeetdemandandenergyrequirements
MeetCouncil
goals
30%renewablesby2020
100MWsolarby2020
700MW
efficiency
by
2020
Executeexistinggenerationcontracts(solar&
biomass)
Noretirementofexistingpowerplantsbefore2020
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CurrentResourcesvs.LoadForecasts
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Nuclear Coal Nat. Gas
Biomass Wind SolarPurch.Pwr 2009 Peak Load Forecast 2008 Peak Load Forecast
Capacity(M
W)
DEPENDABLE GENERATING CAPACITY AT PEAK
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Fayette Power Plant = Nearly of Power Plant CO2 Emissions
AustinEnergyCO2
EmissionsProfile,2007
8
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PUBLICPARTICIPATIONPROCESSResource&ClimateProtectionPlanto2020
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PublicParticipationProcess
10
TenTownHallMeetingsheldinAustinEnergysserviceterritoryfromOctober2008throughSeptember2009
Oneononemeetingswith30stakeholdersoccurredinparallelwithTown
Hall
meetings
FouremployeeTownHallmeetingsheld
FourteenStakeholderMeetingsreachedapproximately600stakeholders
AustinSmartEnergy.com
websitehits:over570,000
Surveys
submitted:
1,016 LaunchedChangeYourGeneration
onlineenergygame
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PubliclyStatedPreferences
Broadsupportforefficiency
Moresolar
Morewind
Less
coal Splitonnuclear
Strong
appetite
for
information
on
costs
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12January 28, 2010
Citizens
Priorities
Costs
Acrossthe
board
support
for
energy
efficiency
Environmentalgroups
say
this
is
the
time
to
stopusingcoal
Transparencyisstronglydesired,and
sometimeshardtosatisfy
Continuingopportunitiestoparticipateinthe
process12
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AUSTINENERGYSRECOMMENDATIONResource&ClimateProtectionPlanto2020
13
d
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14January 28, 2010
AustinEnergyRecommendation GenerationResourcesinMW
* Wind contracts expire.
Year Coal/Nuclear Gas Biomass Wind Solar
Renewable
Portfolio
2009 1,029 1,444 12 439 1 12.6%
2010 100 30 12.5%
2011 (77)*/ 200 17.7%
2012 100 22.2%
2013 150 26.2%
2014 30 26.4%
2015 200 100 28.7%
2016 50 20 31.6%
2017 (126)*/ 200 30 35.0%
2018 20 33.6%
2019 30 33.7%2020 115 40 36.7%
Total 1,029 1,744 162 1001 201
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AustinEnergyRecommendation GenerationResources&LoadForecast
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Nuclear Coal Nat. Gas
Biomass Wind SolarPurch.Pwr 2009 Peak Load Forecast 2008 Peak Load Forecast
Capacity(MW)
DEPENDABLE GENERATING CAPACITY AT PEAK
15
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AustinEnergyRecommendation
Energy
Mix
2009
vs.
2020
16
NuclearNuclear
CoalCoal
WindWind
NaturalGasNaturalGas
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AustinEnergyRecommendation CO2
Emissions
4,000,000
4,500,000
5,000,000
5,500,000
6,000,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
2005 CO2
Projected AE CO2
withRecommendation
Waxman-MarkeyLegislation
Tonnes
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AustinEnergyRecommendation
GoalsSummaryProposed2020Goals
Increaserenewable
energy
goal
to
35%
Increaseenergyefficiencygoalby100MWto
800MW CO2
reductiontargetof20%below2005level
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AustinEnergyRecommendation EstimatedRateImpactsNorateimpactforatleastthreeyears
Estimatedimpactsassociatedwithincreased
generationrequirements,
in
2020.
Totalcapitalexpendituresto2020of$2.67billion
Residential GeneralService Industrial
Demand/Energy
Used1,000
kWh 100
kW/
43,800
kWh 5,000
kW/3,300,000
kWh
Increaseover2009 22.0% 19.2% 11.7%
BillImpact $21
($0.02/kWh)
$717
($0.016/kWh)
$24,684
($0.007/kWh)
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PLANCOMPONENTSResource&ClimateProtectionPlanto2020
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EnergyEfficiency 1
st
priorityformeetingnewloadgrowth Increase700MWGoalby2020establishedin2007to800MWby
2020
Continue
building
code
changes
for
Zero
Energy
Capable
Homes
(ZECH)homesby2015
Conductcombinedheatandpowerpotentialstudy Developplanfordistributionsystemefficiencyimprovements
Implementinnovative
rate
design
changes
for
energy
efficiency,
includingdynamicpricing
Refocusonbaseloadefficiencyprogramsthatreducecarbon Conductnewenergyefficiencypotentialstudy
Developplan
for
local
contractor,
M/WBE
contractor,
and
veterans
opportunities
AnalyzeimpactsandopportunitiesresultingfromEnergyConservationandDisclosureOrdinance
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Wind
Increasewindcapacityto1,000MWby2020
Seekownership
of
wind
resources
Pursuecompressedairenergystorage
Support
increased
transmission
capacity
in
ERCOT
Investigateotherwindenergydeploymentand
storagestrategies
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Solar
DoubleSolargoalto200MWby2020
Developaportfolio
approach
to
siting,
financing
andownership
Promotesolarthermalhotwateruse
Developincentives
and
strategies
for
local
manufacturingcapacity
Developsolarenergystoragestrategy
PlanfordevelopmentoffullonsitesolarenergypotentialinAustin
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24January 28, 2010
Biomass
Add50MWbiomasscapacityby2020
Studysmall
facility
options
Continuetoinvestigatebiomasscofiringat
FayettePower
Plant
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NaturalGas
Maintaincurrentgasunitsof1,544MW Add200MWcombinedcyclegasturbine(CCGT)
atSand
Hill
UsereclaimedwaterforcoolingnewCCGT
Utilizesexistingexpansionoption
Moreefficient
plant
offers:
Fuelsavingsofapproximately$130Mby2020
CO2
reductionsofapproximately1milliontonnes
by
2020 Dispatchability balancesvariablerenewableandenergyefficiencyresources
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Coal
GenerationplanshouldreduceFayettePower
Plantcapacity
factor
to
60%
by
2020
Setsstageforeventualmodification,closure,or
sale
ContinuetoinvestigatecofiringatFayette
PowerPlant
InvestigatefurtherNOx reductionsandcarbon
captureandstorageretrofits
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Nuclear
ContinueparticipationinSTPUnits1and2
Noparticipation
in
STP
Units
3and
4
Evaluatenuclearpowerpurchaseagreements
if
offered
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Geothermal&Other
Investigategeothermalresourceacquisition
Assessnon
solar
renewable
resources
in
servicearea
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ComplementaryStrategies
EnergyStorage Developacomprehensiveenergystoragestrategy SmartGrid&PecanStreet Acceleratedevelopmentanddeploymentofsmartgrid Electric
Transportation Continuedevelopmentofelectricvehicleincentivesandutilityintegrationfor
storageandotheropportunities
Economic
Development Developandimplementgreencollarjobinitiativestogrowandstrengthen
thelocalworkforce
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CLIMATEPROTECTIONPLANResource&ClimateProtectionPlanto2020
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ClimateProtectionPlan CO2
Plan
ReduceCO2
emissionsto20%below2005levelby2020
AustinEnergy
Recommendation
is
aplan
that
will
reducestackemissionsunderAustinEnergyscontrol
AustinEnergymaybelimitedinitsabilitytoreduce
emissionsat
the
power
plants
AustinEnergyRecommendationmaynotbethelowest
costwaytoreduceCO2
footprint
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DirectEmissionsReductions
AustinEnergyRecommendationisaplanthatwillreducestackemissionsunderAustinEnergyscontrol
Energyefficiency
and
renewable
resources
reduce
load
of
fossilfuelplants
CCGT,200MW
Willdisplacelessefficientgeneration
resources(e.g.,Decker)andprovidebalancingresourcesforrenewable
energy
generation
ExpectedtoreduceFayettePowerPlantcapacityfactorto60%by2020thisistheintendedresult,settingthestage
forclosure,
sale
or
modification
Designedtoaccomplishadirectemissionsapproachtocompliancewithlikelyfederalregulatoryrequirements
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OperationalConsiderations
AustinEnergymaybelimitedinitsabilityto
reduceemissions
at
the
power
plants
LCRAoptionsregardingFayettePowerPlant
operations
BothLCRA&ERCOThaveasayinFayette
PowerPlantclosure
ERCOTcan
dispatch
any
generator
for
grid
reliabilitypurposes
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FinancialConsiderationsofCO2
AustinEnergyRecommendationmaynotbethe
lowestcostwaytoreduceCO2
footprint
Abilitytobuy/sellCO2
allowancesoroffsets
Environmentaldispatchvs.economicdispatch
Mayforegooffsystemsalerevenues,withuncertainenvironmentalbenefits
Newtechnologies
(e.g.,
carbon
capture
and
sequestrationCCS)
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WaterConsumption
AustinEnergyRecommendation expectedtoreducewateruseintensityfrom.72gal/kWhin2007to.57gal/kWh
in
2020
(total
consumption
in
2020
of
about
6
billiongal)
Energyefficiency,solarPV,andwindrequirenowater
Biomass,geothermal,andsolarthermalwillrequirewater
Natural
gas
units
are
more
efficient
and
use
reclaimed
water
ReducedcapacityfactoratFayettePowerPlant
reduceswater
consumption
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BusinessModel
Addressdeploymentofdistributedenergy
resources,
especially
self
generation Investigateunbundledratestructure
Movefromvolumetricpricingtomorefixedcostpricing
AddressfuelportionofGeneralFundTransfer
Developplan
for
future
GreenChoice offerings Prepareforratereviewin2012
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OTHERRECOMMENDATIONSResource&ClimateProtectionPlanto2020
37
Resource and Climate Protection Plan
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ResourceandClimateProtectionPlan
Endorsement AustinGenerationResourcePlanningTaskForce
54voteinfavorofthefollowingResolution:
Resolved,thatthetaskforcerecommendstotheCityCouncilthe
adoptionoftheAustinEnergyStaffRecommendedGenerationPlanasthegenerationplanfortheutility,withtheprovisionthatAustinEnergyreviewtheplanintwoyearswiththetargetofacceleratingthe
phasedown
of
Fayette
plant
and
toward
its
eventual
closure
by
2020
if
economicallyandtechnologicallyfeasible.
ElectricUtilityCommission
51vote
in
favor
of
the
above
Resolution
ResourceManagementCommission
40vote
in
favor
of
the
above
Resolution
Strawman Summary
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Strawman Summary Baselinescenario IntroducedtoCouncilinJuly2008asabaselinescenarioto
meetCouncil
goals
Usedtostimulatediscussionduringpublicparticipationprocess
30%renewable
generation
by
2020
20%reductionincoaluseby2020
6%reductioninCO2
(from2005levels)by2020
15%expected
system
wide
increase
in
cost
of
electricity
by
2020(basedonAustinEnergyanalysis)
Task Force Scenario #1 Summary
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TaskForceScenario#1Summary Eliminatecoalscenario 1voteofsupportfromTaskForce 52%renewablegenerationin2020
Eliminateuse
of
coal
by
2014
61%reductioninCO2 33%expectedsystemwideincreaseincostofelectricityby
2020(basedonAustinEnergyanalysis)
IssuesofConcern
Highrisks greaterexposuretomarketandmorerelianceon
naturalgas
Uncertaintywithassumptionstomeetdemand 750MWcustomerownedsolarPVat$1wattcosttoutility 300additionalMWDSM
Task Force Scenario #2 Summary
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TaskForceScenario#2Summary Lesscapitalintensivescenario 3votesofsupportfromTaskForce 30%renewablegenerationin2020
15%reduction
in
coal
use
14%reductioninCO2 19%expectedsystemwideincreaseincostofelectricityby
2020(basedonAustinEnergyanalysis)
IssuesofConcern:
Lessrenewables,butonlymarginalcostsavings
Uncertaintywith
assumptions
to
meet
demand
266MWcustomerownedsolarPVat$1wattcosttoutility 300additionalMWDSM
ResourceandClimateProtectionPlanSummary
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y AustinEnergyRecommendation Basedonnewinformation,analysisandpublicdebate
SupportedbymajorityofTaskForceandutilityoversight
committees 35%renewablegenerationby2020
Additional100MWofDSMand100MWsolar
25%reduction
in
coal
use
(to
60%
capacity
factor
at
FPP)
20%reductioninCO2
(from2005levels)by2020
22%reductionbasedoninternalAustinEnergyanalysis
20%expected
system
wide
increase
in
cost
of
electricity
by
2020
MorerenewablesthanStrawman,betterbalancesrisks
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Austin Energy Response to Specific Additional
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AustinEnergyResponsetoSpecificAdditionalTaskForceRecommendations
AustinGenerationResourcePlanningTaskForcemade33majorrecommendations(some
recommendationshadnumeroussubparts)
AustinEnergyrecommendsthatCityCouncil
adopt21
of
the
Task
Force
recommendations
as
written
Austin
Energy
recommends
that
City
Council
adopt12oftheTaskForcerecommendations
onlywithspecificmodifications
AustinEnergyProposedModificationstoTask
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ust e gy oposed od cat o s to as
ForceRecommendations TaskForceRecommendation1.a.
AustinEnergywillincreaseitsenergyefficiencyandconservationgoalto800
MWof
total
savings
between
2007
and
2020.
Austin
Energy
will
conduct
anenergyefficiencypotentialstudy,andifwarrantedbytheresultsofthestudy,willincreaseitsenergyefficiencygoalto1000MWinsavingsoverthesameperiod.
TaskForce
Recommendation
1.c.(ii)
AustinEnergywillconsiderinitiatingapilotprojecttomeasureandcommunicatetoownersandtenantsofrentalpropertiesthebenefitsofenergyefficiencyupgradesinrentalhousing,andtheutilizationof
theresults
of
the
pilot
to
develop
aprogram
that
will
realize
energy
efficiencysavingspotentialinbothcommercialandrentalproperty,aswarrantedbytheresultsofacomprehensiveenergyefficiencypotentialstudy.
AustinEnergyProposedModificationstoTask
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gy p
ForceRecommendations TaskForceRecommendation2.a.
AustinEnergyshouldattempttosubstitutelow
orzerocarbonemissionsgenerationresourcesfor
carbonemitting
resources
whenever
such
substitution
is
also
consistent
with
the
achievement
of
economic,financial,operational,reliability,andriskobjectives.
TaskForceRecommendation2.b.
AustinEnergy
will
study
and
report
on
the
potential
for
establishing
adistributed
renewable
energy
goalandanassociateddistributedrenewableenergygenerationdevelopmentprogram.
TaskForceRecommendation2.b.(iv)
Austin
Energywillmonitorandreportonthedevelopmentofthedistributedrenewableenergy
generationsectorinAustin,includingprojectsdevelopedindependentlyofAustinEnergyprogram
support.
AustinEnergyProposedModificationstoTask
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gy p
ForceRecommendations TaskForceRecommendation3.
AustinEnergywilladoptanaffordabilitygoalforratesandservicesforall
classesofcustomers.
TaskForceRecommendation3.a.
AustinEnergywillcoordinatewithitsoversightcommissionsand
otherbodies
designatedbyCounciltoperiodicallyandpubliclyreassessitsResourceand
ClimateProtectionPlantoaddress:(i)performanceagainstgoals,(ii)an
evaluation
of
operating
expenses,
capital
expenses,
and
environmental
complianceexpenses,(iii)changesinlegislation,technology,marketsand
economicconditions,and(iv)whetheranygoalscontainedinthe
plan
shouldbechanged.
AustinEnergyProposedModificationstoTask
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gy p
ForceRecommendations TaskForceRecommendation3.b.
PublicreassessmentoftheResourceandClimateProtectionPlanshouldbe
consistentwithsoundandefficientmanagementandoversight,and
should,totheextentpracticable,include...[AustinEnergyproposesthat
CounciladoptthebalanceofTaskForceRecommendation3.b.]
TaskForceRecommendation3.c.
AstheResourceandClimateProtectionPlanisexecuted,AustinEnergywill
publish
the
anticipated
impact
of
every
proposed
major
resource
acquisitionorcontractexecution.
AustinEnergyProposedModificationstoTask
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gy p
ForceRecommendations TaskForceRecommendation7.a.
Priortotakingactiontoacquirearesourceofacapacityof10
ormoremegawattsunderthe
Resource
and
Climate
Protection
Plan
(whether
by
purchase
agreement
or
direct
investment)
AustinEnergywill,totheextentpracticableandconsistentwithsoundmanagementand
financialresponsibility,presentsuchactionforapprovalatleastoncetoeachapplicable
commissionandtwicetoCityCouncil.
TaskForce
Recommendation
7.c.
AustinEnergywillperiodicallypublishsuchobjectivelyreliableandvalidcomparisondataonits
residential,commercialandindustrialratesascanbereasonablyobtained.
TaskForceRecommendation7.d.
AustinEnergywillannuallypublishasummationofthecostcategoriesofthefuelcharge.