Reshaping our Future - PhonakPro · 2020. 10. 4. · ‒ Risk of permanent shift of customers to...
Transcript of Reshaping our Future - PhonakPro · 2020. 10. 4. · ‒ Risk of permanent shift of customers to...
June 1, 2020
Reshaping our Future: A Fresh Perspective on COVID and Beyond – Part 1
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Context for today's presentation
• The nature of the crisis as it relates to the hearing healthcare industry
• Learnings from global retailers
• The key areas every business needs to address
• Translating those imperatives to the private practice
Sonova Boston Consulting Group
Jason Mayer Tom Lang Christine Jones
VP Corporate
Development
Nate Shenck Bob Lavoie
VP Commercial
Sales
VP Marketing VP Audiology Managing
Director and
Senior Partner
Managing
Director and
Senior Partner
Jeff Dickenson
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The crisis: Health related or economic?
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Comparing COVID-19 to economic shocks of the past
Most commentators expect any recession to last <12 months
2007 crash reached -50% and
took 4 years to recover
Dow Jones Performance
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Spend on most non-essential retail in US has decreased, with DIY only category seeing sustained growth in past few weeks
-90
-60
-30
0
30
3/18 3/25
Weekly YoY change in sales vs. Dec-Jan avg.
2/12 2/19 2/26 3/4 3/11 4/1
In immediate term, non-
essential goods sales
growth decreased or
flatlined
DIY sales more resistant
to crisis as some stores
remain open and time-
at-home increases
Sales growth of all other
non-essential goods
continue to decrease as
consumers focus on
essential goods
Apparel and Accessories
Beauty
Home
Department Stores
Fitness
Hobby
Health & Wellness
Electronics
DIY
Note: Only includes non-essential retail (excludes travel, transportation, restaurants, away from home entertainment, etc.) Source: BCG Marketing, Sales, and Pricing; BCG GAMMA; Earnest Research; BCG analysis
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Non-essential retailers are likely to remain disadvantaged even as overall consumer spending rebounds
Source: BCG COVID-19 Consumer Sentiment Survey, March 13–16, 2020 (N = 1,831 China; 2,345 US; 2,787 UK; 2,521 France; 2,206 Italy), unweighted; representative within ±3% of census/national demographics.; Note: Question text: “How do you expect your spend to change in the next 6 months across the following areas?" Excludes categories with N <~100.; 1. Winners and losers were defined as up to the top 10 categories in which 20% or more of respondents plan either to increase or to reduce their spending over the next six months. ; 2. Includes leisure travel (41%) and business travel (39%).
Top winners
Public transportation
Athletic equipment
Gambling
Women's clothing
Luxury/fashion
Travel
Tobacco/ smoking
Home decor
Toys and games
Electronics/appliances
Top categories where respondents are likely to spend more in next 6 months
Top losersTop categories where respondents are likely to spend less in next 6 months
Education
Savings
Preventive health care
Household care
Fresh and organic foods
Vitamins/
supplements
US US
Represents non-
essential retailRepresents
essential retail
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Our industry has so far been resilient to financial shocks
1. Defined as wholesale revenueSource: Analyst Reports; BCG interviews
Global sales1
($B)
Impact from 2008 global financial crisis
3.53.9
4.24.6 4.7 4.9 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.4 5.6
5.9 6.16.4 6.6
6.9
20052004 20092006 2007 2008 20122010 2011 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
+4-5%
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2008-2009 industry figures in the US
20092008
Impact from 2008 global financial crisis
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A resilient industry
In ordinary times, the 6% increase in hearing aid sales during the first three quarters of 2009
over last year would seem respectable. However, these are not ordinary times.
Last summer the nation's economy became mired in its worst downturn since the Great
Depression. Among the lowlights have been four consecutive quarters of decline in GDP, a near
meltdown in the financial markets, a 53% drop in the Dow between October 2007 and March
2009, plunging home prices, and an unprecedented number of home foreclosures.
The unemployment rate rose to 10.2% in October, the highest since 1983. Consumer confidence
remains low, and many industries continue to see sales plummet. For example, sales of new
cars and other passenger vehicles dropped by 18% in 2008 and are expected to decline by
another 20% to 25% by year's end.
Against this backdrop of hard times, the latest statistical report from the Hearing Industries
Association (HIA) looks remarkably good. As of September 30, net domestic unit sales by
manufacturers for the year were at an all-time high of 1,956,821, up 6.07% from that date last
year. Third-quarter results were especially good, 8.75% ahead of 2008
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Hearing care is an essential service
Rogin says it's that, despite what has often been said, they are not
generally discretionary purchases. “In most cases they have been putting off the decision
(to buy hearing aids) for as long as they could”. “They turn to amplification as a final
resort when they absolutely need it.”
“Once people go through the typical 7 years of denial and actually accept that they
need the devices, many then view them as a health-related (or independent-living)
requirement as opposed to a discretionary spending item”.
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Conclusions
1. Hearing care is an essential business
2. At the macro level, our industry is relatively unaffected by
economic crises
3. A recession caused by a pandemic cannot be expected to
impact our business like previous economic crises
→ We must shift our attention from the economy & focus
on the healthcare aspect instead!
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Consumer retail behavior expected to change across crisis phases
Flatten Fight Future
HC system
capacity
Re-start Vaccine/treatment
Critical care
patients
Interventions
InterventionsInterventions
Economic
activity
2-3 months 12 – 24 months
Consumers panic and focus on stock
piling grocery and health items,
switch to eCommerce for most
non-essential buying
Consumers adapt to new behaviors
and spending increases, but not to
pre-crisis levels as consumers adjust
to new economic environment
Consumer spending returns to pre-
crisis levels with global rebound not
expected before 2021
Current focus for business leaders
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Learnings from global retailers
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Why look broadly to inform how to reopen hearing instrument stores?
‒ There will be pent up demand for hearing instruments (estimate 70% of potential first-time
hearing instrument customers delayed purchase due to COVID-191)
‒ Customers have been adapting to the new norms of essential retailers and communicating with
non-essential retailers
‒ Risk of permanent shift of customers to 'store-less' online retailers (e.g., Eargo, Lively, Audicus,
NuHeara)
‒ Customers and employees will be cautious about reentering stores
‒ Significant opportunity to bring customers back to stores and capture pent up demand
1. BCG survey of 1,067 hearing instrument customers and prospective customers from April 2020
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~70% Considerers and Lapsers reporting delayed hearing aid purchase due to COVID-19
11%
69% 67%
12%
26% 28%
74%
6%
Current Users
Impact
on H
A p
urc
hase
3% 5%
LapsersConsiderers
How has COVID-19 impacted how soon you expect to buy your next set of hearing aid(s)?
Total n = 1067; excludes respondents who said they stopped considering purchase of hearing aids before COVID-19 1. Considerers and Lapsers were not given “dark red” answer choice Note: A Lapser used to have hearing aids, but no longer does. A Current User currently uses hearing aids. A Considerer is considering buying hearing aidsSource: BCG Hearing Aid Customer Survey-Apr 2020; BCG analysis
n = 904 n = 127 n = 36
Sped up my purchase: I plan to buy earlier than I was before COVID
Delayed my purchase: I’m now not sure if/when I will buy1
No change or not sure
Delayed my purchase: I plan to buy later than I was before COVID
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Procedures dropped ~60% due to COVID-19 of which ~80% of volume drop linked to delays
Avg. -60%
77%
17%
Ophthal-
mology
-84%
86%
-47%
14%
83%
Derm-
atological
Urological
Procedures
76%91%
9%
16%
Neuro-
surgery
(incl. Spine)
-66%
82%
18%
Otolaryng-
ology (Ear,
Nose,
Throat)
84%
24%
Pediatric
26%
Cardio-
thoracic &
Inter-
ventional
Cardio-logy
-54%
81%75%
19%
-62%
Ortho-
pedic /
Trauma-
tology
-58%
25%
Peripheral
Vascular
Procedures
74% 82%
-63%
18%
% of decline
linked to delays
(80% avg)
Neuro-
radiology
procedures
67%
33%
General/GI
% of decline
linked to
permanent
cancellations
80%
Aesthetic
& Plastic
Obstetrics
and Gyne-
cological
-62% -61%
-51%-45%
-39%
23%
20%-76%
Note: 13 procedure groups were sub-divided into 63 sub-procedures; respondents were allowed to provide input on multiple sub-procedure groupsFollow up survey question: "What percentage of the reduced number of procedures is due to a delay vs. a permanent cancellation? (total answer = 100%) Source: BCG COVID-19 survey (298 total respondents -> 1,465 responses), April 2020
n = 76 n = 80 n = 90 n = 48 n = 145 n = 144 n = 246 n = 120 n = 105 n = 196 n = 85 n = 90 n = 40
What impact do you expect on number of procedures in short-term (1-3 months) vs. pre-COVID?
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Best-in-class retailers have focused on five key areas over the course of the crisis
‒ Clear communication
of safety guidelines
(e.g., signage on
doors, email
instructions)
‒ Support customer
purchases (e.g.,
extend return policies)
Customer Health &
Safety
Employee
Wellbeing
Product
Management
Marketing and
E-CommerceManaging cash
‒ Enhance employee
training on safety
and cleaning
‒ Explore new ways of
working
‒ Relax absentee
policies
‒ Re-assure
customers of product
availability (e.g., video
to customers)
‒ Update in-store
offerings to meet
customer demand
‒ Increase online
volume with targeted
marketing and
promotions
‒ Embrace new digital
platforms to engage
consumers (e.g., live
stream events, virtual
backdrops)
Lin Qingxuan –
Chinese
cosmetics retailer
‒ Engage in rent
forgiveness
negotiations
‒ Review payment
terms
‒ Prioritize revenue
generating activities
‒ Develop multiple
scenarios for
financial plan
Source: BCG analysis
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Case study: CVS MinuteClinic focused on patient and employee safety
Key takeaways
‒ Clear communication of
safety protocols to reassure
patients
‒ Leverage remote patient
interactions where possible
‒ Reinforce employee
trainings on safety
Leveraging Digital and online
tools to engage with patients
Increased safety measures to
protect customers and staff
Source: CVS website https://www.cvs.com/minuteclinic
‒ Appointments required for all visits
‒ Patients wait in vehicles until
provider texts or calls them in
‒ In-person visits limited to essential
services (e.g., no travel health or
camp physicals)
‒ Offering telehealth visits to all
patients
‒ Requiring all appointments
scheduled online
‒ Website provides clear information
on services available
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Case study: Alcon supporting eye care practice customers in effort to engage patients digitally
Key takeaways
‒ Forces at play to dis-
intermediate patients and
their eye care professional
‒ Digital solution offers
convenience while not
compromising on eye
health
‒ In the age of COVID, these
platforms maintain practice
revenue for existing
prescriptions and
relationships
How MARLO helps practices
overcome COVID challengesWhat is MARLO
‒ Online portal for
patients to reorder
contact lenses
‒ Lenses delivered to
patient's home
‒ Helps doctors and
patients stay
connected between
visits
Source: MARLO website https://meetmarlo.com/
‒ Practitioners maintaining patient
relationships through Digital
platform
‒ Enables reorders from existing
prescriptions without requiring
office visit
‒ Prevents loss of patients to online
retailers
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Patient's looking to providers to proactively communicate before rescheduling procedures
Which factor is most critical for you to reschedule your procedure?
As soon as social distancing and stay-at-home orders
have been relaxed by authorities
As soon as the provider is willing to see me
As soon as the provider’s location has been certified to be
free of COVID-19
11%
When I feel confident that the COVID-19 peak has passed
When I feel comfortable with the provider’s COVID-19 procedures
When I am personally ready
As soon as I can afford it / feel more certain about my financial situation
As soon as I am able to secure safe transportation between home
and the provider’s location
As soon as my family feels comfortable with me rescheduling
26%
24%
12%
12%
9%
2%
2%
2%
Source: BCG patient sentiment survey. April 2020. N=964Note: Respondents include only insured patients undergoing surgical procedures or diagnostic tests from across the US
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Staff and patient health screenings, robust sanitization among top safety protocols to give patients confidence to reschedule
Which protocols would make you feel more comfortable rescheduling your in-person care event, if your
provider were to implement them?
3.0
3.2
3.2
3.6
3.8
4.9
5.2
Strict limitation and/or spatial isolation of the number of patients
allowed at any given time
Virtual or telehealth care options for my treatment needs
Regular COVID-19 screening for all doctors and staff
No penalties for cancellations/rescheduled visits
COVID-19 screening for all patients before treatment
Improved disinfection/sterilization practices
No wait times upon arrival to the facility
Average ranking (1-9, 1=high)
Priority action
steps for providers
Source: BCG patient sentiment survey. April 2020. N=964Note: Respondents include only insured patients undergoing surgical procedures or diagnostic tests from across the US
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Key areas every practice owner needs to address
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Actions to reopen that every retailer should start immediately…
Non-exhaustive
Launch patient
engagement efforts
(calls, emails) to
stimulate demand
Reassess budgets &
manage for cash
Proactively model and
prepare for multiple
financial scenarios
Pro
tec
t yo
ur
Pe
op
le
Re
vit
alize
de
man
d
Open with the right
hours at the right
locations
Ramp-up online,
telehealth offering &
capabilities
Aggressively manage
inventory, assess supply
chain stability
Store Ops & DigitalMarketing, Merchandising, & Logistics Finance
Support the needs of
the community
Leadership
Key action to consider
Assign COVID response
lead (if applicable)
Update health &
safety protocols
Explore new ways of
working
Regularly communicate
with stakeholders and
patients
Source: BCG analysis
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Areas to focus on
Leadership
Marketing Operations
Sales & Finance
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Two-tiered checklist for employers
Checklist of how any employer should help
create a "New Normal" to fight COVID-19
Proposed mitigation actions that should be
applied broadly as the impact of phasing in
operations is assessed
List of practices observed around the world
to mitigate risk
Considerations will vary in relevance by
sector and operation; those feasible &
relevant should be implemented
Baseline recommendations Additional considerations
Employers have strong incentive to meet (and exceed where/when appropriate) baseline
recommendations as adverse public health outcomes could result in more stringent restrictions
and/or a return to "Stay Home, Stay Healthy"
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Operations
COVID Team Lead
• Review regulations weekly
• Manage all in-clinic modifications
• Responsible for staff protocols
• Train staff to ensure universal compliance
• Maintain PPE supplies
Protocols
• Use of masks, disinfectants, hand sanitizing
• Minimize direct contact (handling of devices)
• Minimize time in procedure rooms, maximize ventilation
• Place furniture for social distancing
Scheduling
• Offer remote consults when appropriate
• Curbside care for HA servicing
• Schedule to minimize any waiting room time
• Schedule 30 mins spacing in booth utilization
• Perform intakes on the phone
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Sales & Finance
Maximize Cash
• Develop projections to plan for worst & best case scenarios
• Pursue govt assistance programs – PPP, EIDL, etc.
• Prioritize revenue collections – both managed care and private pay
Prioritize New Revenue Generation
• Adjust operations to minimize zero revenue chair time
• New technology to existing patients, tested not treated, trial completion
• Accessories, improved technology levels
Invest in High ROI Activities
• Provide training for all customer facing staff to maximize their effectiveness
• Improve front office calls to minimize no-show rate, improve adoption rates, shorten repurchase cycles
• Revisit best practice at each stage of the patient journey
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Marketing
Get ready
• Understand your patients/prospects
• Define the Service Delivery Models
• Online store, extend solution portfolio
Communicate
• Reach out and inform:
• Your availability, shop hours
• Your safety measures
• Your service delivery models
• YOU CARE
Learn and Scale
• Start learning with known customers before reaching out to new ones
• Be strict on delivering what you promise, build TRUST
• Generate additional traffic through lead generation activities
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Leadership
People
• Make sure your team knows you care about them and communicate constantly
• Set new goals, ensure clarity of ownership and hold daily huddles
• Engage them in the solutions, leverage the collective brain power
Process
• Leverage the flywheel, set up KPIs to monitor each area
• Communicate results frequently, treat shortfalls as learning opportunities
• Take time to work on the business rather than in it so you can observe and adapt as you go
Purpose
• Set the vision, (ADKAR), communicate the (new) priorities and reinforce the why
• Safety, hygiene & patient confidence
• Profitability and sustainability
• Set expectations – prepare the team for a series of changes over coming months
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Summary and next steps
Be inspired
• Focus on the healthcare aspect of the crisis, not the economy
• Take inspiration from the market leaders in other sectors
Lead the change
• Communicate 'the why' both to your team and your patients
• Recognize & celebrate progress as frequently as possible
Use the flywheel
• Develop your plan around the 4 key areas
• Start small, and leverage the team
Thank you