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Transcript of Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,20081 Potentials for Renewable Energy in...
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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Potentials for Renewable Energy in Cetral and Eastern European Countries
Dr. Dagnija Blumberga, Dr. Marika Rosa, Jelena Pugule
Institute of Energy Systems and Environment
Riga Technical University
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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ContentRES potentialRES in PastRES in FutureHow to Reach Target
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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RES potential Biogas – electricity (E), heat (H),
transport (T) Biomass (solid) – E ???, H Biowaste – E, H Biofuel - T Geothermal – E, H Hydro - E Solar – E, H, T Wind - E
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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RES Historical Use
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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Electricity from Wind
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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Electricity from Biomass
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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Electricity from Biogas
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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RES in Future
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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Share of RES in demand infosource: PROGRESS project report
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
CZ EE HU LV LT PL SK SL
RES-primary2010 RES-primary2020 RES-E 2010
RES-E 2020
RES-H 2010
RES-H 2020
RES-T 2010
RES-T 2020
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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Share of RES in demand infosource: PROGRESS project report
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
CZ EE HU LV LT PL SK SL
RES-primary2010
RES-primary2020
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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Share of RES-electricity in demand infosource: PROGRESS project report
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
CZ EE HU LV LT PL SK SL
RES-E 2010
RES-E 2020
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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Share of RES -heat in demand infosource: PROGRESS project report
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
CZ EE HU LV LT PL SK SL
RES-H 2010
RES-H 2020
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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Share of RES- transport in demand infosource: PROGRESS project report
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
CZ EE HU LV LT PL SK SL
RES-T 2010
RES-T 2020
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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How to Reach Targets
Technological barriersEconomical barriersLegislative barriers
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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Technological barriersEnergy efficiency improvement Technological restrictions for
electricity/ heat ratio for small scale CHP
Technological restrictions for large scale CHP by heat demand of DH systems
etc
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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Mechanisms of Support of RES-E
DK FR DE
GR
AT
NL
LU
ES
IE
CZ
Fiscal initiatives
FI
UK
SK
SI CY PL
LV
EE
CZ
RO
HU
PT LT
BG SE
UK
FR SI
PL BE IT
MT
System of quotas
Competition
System of Certificates
Feed in Tarifs
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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Mechanisms of Support in Baltic RES
EE LV LT
Feed-in tarifs Subsidies, grants, state investments
Tax incentives Certificates for RES
Quotas for RES
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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Mechanisms of Support of RES
DK FR DE
GR
AT
NL
LU
ES
IE
CZ
Fiscal initiatives
FI
UK
SK
SI CY PL
LV
EE
CZ
RO
HU
PT LT
BG SE
UK
FR SI
PL BE IT
MT
System of quotas
Competition
System of Certificates
Feed in Tarifs
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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Scenarious for energy sector development in Latvia
A scenario
Basic (A1, A2)
B scenario State strategy 2006-2013
(B1,B2)
C scenario
EU RES target (C1,C2)
D scenario Green (D1,D2)
1 – energy demand increase according to state strategy 2006-2013
2 – energy end use decrease because of energy efficiency improvement
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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Basic scenario
Electricity
Heat energy
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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Energy Efficiency Alternative
Electricity
Heat energy
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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D2 scenario• Wood fuel for CHP in large cities.• Wood fuel for Riga TEC 1 and Riga TEC 2 • No new electricity capacities on fossil fuel• Wind generators – installed capapcity 1000 MWe
(offshore)• All boiler houses are replacing fuel from natural
gas to biofuel• Solar energy are used – installed capacity up to
0,1 MW
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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RES share – D2 scenario
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
2006 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
gads
GW
h
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
70,0%
80,0%
90,0%
100,0%
Kopējā primāroenergoresursu piegāde (beztransporta)
Enerģijas ražošana no RES
Enerģijas resursu galapatēriņš (bez transporta)
RES daļa kopējā primāroenergoresursu piegādē (beztransporta) (%)
Primary (excluding T)
Energy from RESEnergy end use (excl T)
RES share
GWh/year
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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Total costsKopējo izmaksu salīdzinājums
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
1600
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
milj
.Ls
A1
A2
B1
B2
C1
D1
C2
D2
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008
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More informationRTU Institute of Energy Systems and
EnvironmentKronvalda bulvaris 1LV-1010, Riga, LatviaTel.: +371 – 67089 - 908Fax: +371 – 67089 - 908E-Mail: [email protected]: www.videszinatne.lv