RENAULT 2008 STATUS Patrick PÉLATA · MARCH 4TH 2008 6 1,323 1,354 COP 2005 COP 2007 - 184 - 700 +...
Transcript of RENAULT 2008 STATUS Patrick PÉLATA · MARCH 4TH 2008 6 1,323 1,354 COP 2005 COP 2007 - 184 - 700 +...
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RENAULT 2008 STATUS
Patrick PÉLATAEVP, PLANNING & ASIA AFRICA
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2MARCH 4TH 2008
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3MARCH 4TH 2008
ACHIEVEMENTS SINCE 200501OUTLOOK FOR 2008 AND BEYOND02
AGENDA
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4MARCH 4TH 2008
01 ACHIEVEMENTS SINCE 2005
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5MARCH 4TH 2008
0%
1%
2%
6%
2005 2006 2007
RENAULT COMMITTED
3,2%
2,5%
3%
4%
5%
2008 2009
3%
! Purchasing performance
! Manufacturing
! Logistics
! G&A
! Distribution costs
! Investment costs
2009 ObjectivesCOST REDUCTION
- 14%*
- 12%
- 9%
< 4% revenues
- 8% per unit in Europe
- 50%
3,3%
ActualMilestonesCommitment
4,5%
6%
2,56%
* 2008 Objective
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6MARCH 4TH 2008
1,323 1,354
COP2005
COP2007
- 184
- 700
+ 199
+ 148+ 102 + 31G&A
Warranty
Manuf. & Log.
Purchasing
Others
+ 1,398
+ 134
R&D
COST REDUCTION & SALES CLEANING IN 2006 & 2007
- 1098
3.3%
Currency
3.2%
Context Revenues Costs
- 2.2% (884) - 2.7% (1,098) + 4.9% (1,981)
Volume / Mix / PriceEnrichment, Rebates
Raw Materials
(all figures in million euros)
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7MARCH 4TH 2008
! Purchasing performance
! Manufacturing
! Logistics
! G&A
! Distribution costs
! Investment costs
2009 Objectives
COST REDUCTION
- 9.1% - 14%*
- 5.4% - 12%
- 7.3% - 9%
- 5% < 4% revenues(ie 4.8% rev.)
+ 3.1% - 8% per unit in Europe
- 35% - 50%
2007 vs 2005
* 2008 Objective
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8MARCH 4TH 2008
TOTAL WARRANTY EXPENSES
H12001
6-month rolling average
H22001
H12002
H22002
H12003
H22003
H12004
H22004
H12005
H22005
H12006
H22006
H12007
H22007
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9MARCH 4TH 2008
2005-2007 SALES VARIATION BY SEGMENT
0 +100k 200k
D/E
C
A&B
B0
- 200k - 100k
+ 49k
- 60k
- 191k
LCV
- 53k
- 2k
0 +100k 200k
D/E
C
A&B
B0
- 200k - 100k
+ 172k+ 8k
LCV
- 3k
- 8k
+ 11k
FRANCE + EUROPE INTERNATIONAL
(number of units) (number of units)
Total volume variation - 77,000 units
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10MARCH 4TH 2008
2008 FIRST MONTHS ORDERS UP
70,000
90,000
110,000
130,000
150,000
170,000
190,000
210,000
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
200520062007 Monthly orders
2008
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11MARCH 4TH 2008
Short term rental
SALES CLEANING DONE
2004 2005
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
J F MA M J J A S O N D J F M A MJ J A S O N D J F MA MJ J A S O N D J F M A MJ J A S O N D J
2005 2006 2006 2007 2007 2008
Retail
Fleet
Self registrations
G5 Total
(Sliding average 12 months Car+ LCV)
Renault Group market share by Sales ChannelG5 countries (FRA, GER, ITA, SPA, U-K)
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12MARCH 4TH 2008
SALES INCENTIVE EVOLUTION
Jan05
4-month rolling average in Europe since Jan. 2005
Apr05
Jul05
Oct05
Jan06
Apr06
Jul06
Oct06
Jan07
Apr07
Jul07
Oct07
Jan08
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13MARCH 4TH 2008
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14MARCH 4TH 2008
LAGUNA’S WORLDWIDE SALES SINCE 2005
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
2005 2006 2006 2007 2007 2008
14,000
16,000Laguna II New Laguna
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15MARCH 4TH 2008
LAGUNA’S EUROPEAN NET SALES REVENUES PER UNIT
Laguna II
New Laguna> + 20%
JAN 2005 JAN 2006 JAN 2007 JAN 2008
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16MARCH 4TH 2008
LAGUNA TOP 3 QUALITY ON TRACK
LAUNCH +2w +4w +6w +8w +10w +12w +14w +16w +18w +20w +22w +24w +26w +28w
Warranty claims up to 28 weeks after sales launch
Laguna
Modus
Clio
TwingoLaguna Estate
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17MARCH 4TH 2008
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18MARCH 4TH 2008
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19MARCH 4TH 2008
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20MARCH 4TH 2008
RENAULT ‘A’ SEGMENT SALES IN EUROPE SINCE 2005
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
2005 2006 2006 2007 2007 2008
NOVO MESTO PLANT CAPACITY
Twingo I
Clio II HB
Twingo II
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21MARCH 4TH 2008
CAPACITY OF RENAULT PLANTS
2005 2007
WESTERN EUROPE
- 326k
Outsideof WE*
+ 200k
* Iran figures not incl.
PRODUCTION OUTSIDE OF WE FOR SALES IN WE
2005 = 19%2007 = 33%
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22MARCH 4TH 2008
0
5
10
15
20
25
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
R&D EXPENSES TO CONTINUE THE PRODUCT OFFENSIVE
Number of models in development
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0R&D (billion euros)
2,4622,400
2,2641,961
1,8501,963
1,676
2,034
Total R&DExpensed R&D
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23MARCH 4TH 2008
02 OUTLOOK FOR 2008 AND BEYOND
! Our strategy
! Growth in Europe
! Growth outside of Europe
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24MARCH 4TH 2008
FordFord
GM
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
~4% 06-07
Average MOPRenault
2007 consolidated operating profit
THE ROAD TO RENAULT COMMITMENT 2009
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Global market share evolutionCar + LCV since 1999 (%)
Nissan Honda
ToyotaBMW
Daimler
Fiat
PSA
9900
01
0502
03
04
06
07DCX06
09VAG
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25MARCH 4TH 2008
20072006
Logan MCV
Logan Van
Twingo
Laguna
QM5 (Corée)
Sandero (Amér.)
Sedan, successorto Clio Symbol
H1 2008
Clio Grand Tour
Logan Pick-up
Laguna Coupé
Kangoo PC+LCV
Grand Modus
Kangoo Compact
Mégane
H2 2008
Expansionmodels
Replacementmodels
THE PRODUCT OFFENSIVE 2006-2008
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26MARCH 4TH 2008
YOUNGER MODEL RANGE FOR GROWTH IN EUROPE
Monthly average estimated model age
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
2001
Age (years)
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
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27MARCH 4TH 2008
CONDITIONS UNITED FOR GROWTH IN EUROPEREJUVENATED SALES
Model age(% vol.)
6%
< 2 years
Forecast
> 2 years
1995 1996 1997 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20091998 1999 2000 2001 2002 20030
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
14%9%
34%38%30% 21%35%
53%
30%33%30%25%
Renault group sales in Western Europe(million units)
26%43%
61%
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28MARCH 4TH 2008
2008-2009 FORECAST FOR SEGMENT SALES VARIATION
0 +100k 200k
D/E
C
A&B
B0
- 200k - 100k
LCV
0 +100k 200k
C
A&B
B0
- 200k - 100k
FRANCE + EUROPE INTERNATIONAL
D/E
LCV
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29MARCH 4TH 2008
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30MARCH 4TH 2008
02 OUTLOOK FOR 2008 AND BEYOND
! Our strategy
! Growth in Europe
! Growth outside of Europe
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31MARCH 4TH 2008
WHERE THE GROWTH IS… IN NON-MATURE MARKETS
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Million vehicles
North AmericaWestern EuropeJapan
- 1% pa
Rest of the world+ 11% pa
Source: R&N Corporate Planning
+ 5% pa
+ 1% pa
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32MARCH 4TH 2008
India
W. E
urope
Brazil
S. Kore
aE. E
urope
Iran
Indon
esia
Pakist
anGCCTu
rkey
Ukraine
Mexico
Iraq
Maghre
bVen
ezue
laArge
ntina
Austra
lia
Taiw
an
Malays
ia
Roman
iaChil
e
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
Mill
ion
units
Colombia
South
Africa
Philipp
ines
Vietna
m
Egypt
Kazak
hstan
Russia
China+4.9M
Thail
and
WHERE THE GROWTH WILL BE…
2006-2015 TIV growthR&N Corporate Planning consensus
Mature markets
Semi-mature
New Fast Growing Markets (NFGM)
BRIC
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33MARCH 4TH 2008
COST COMPETITIVENESS: TODAY & TOMORROW
Iran
China
Russia & Thailand
Morocco
South KoreaRomania
Turkey
India
( ( ) ) ( ( ) )
( ( ) )
( ( ) )
( ( ) )( ( ) )
( ( ) )Com
petit
iven
ess
Colombia
Brazil
Argentina
Renault assembly plant
South Africa
Nissan assembly plant
Russia (Av tovaz)
Russia (Av toframos)
Partner assembly plant
( ( ) ) Sourcing for Renault group plants
South Korea
China
India (Chennai)
India (Mumbai)
Iran (PK & IK)
Romania
Turkey
Morocco
26%
2007status
33%
2009forecast
LCCfor HCC*
*LCC: low cost countriesHCC: high cost countries
+
-
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34MARCH 4TH 2008Above 1 million vehicle capacity710k vehicle output in 2007 + 170k CKD #1 Car OEM in Russia
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35MARCH 4TH 2008
! Rejuvenate the Lada brand in a booming Russian market
! Leverage economies of scale
! on B0 platform
! on Powertrains
! Optimize existing production capacity and Use it
! Create the most cost-competitive base in Russia
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36MARCH 4TH 2008
ALLIANCE EXTENSION ON INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS
PARTNER INDUSTRIALSUPPORT AVTOVAZ
INDUSTRIALCAPACITY
EXTENSION
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37MARCH 4TH 2008
CO2 UPDATE03
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38MARCH 4TH 2008
! CO2 is key driver of environmental policies
! The EU is most severe on CO2 regulation and taxes
! The US had to accelerate on CO2
! Outside EU, dieselization is on the move
CO2 REDUCTION: A GLOBAL ACCELERATION
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39MARCH 4TH 2008
2012 averagecustomer value:
52 €/g1g CO2/km
CUSTOMER VALUE OF CO2 REDUCTION
Fuel consumption
CO2 National Taxations
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40MARCH 4TH 2008
WHAT TECHNOLOGIES MAKE SENSE?
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20%10%
Technology’s customer value per g of CO2 saved
52 €
Vehicle managementPowertrain technologies
CO2 benefit
Reference: Scenic Diesel and Gasoline 2006 MY technologies
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41MARCH 4TH 2008
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
1,000,000
1/3 emitting less than 120 g/km CO2
1 million vehicles emitting less than 140 g/km CO2 in 2008
42 versions42 versions
16 versions16 versions
121-140101-120
European Union sales(thousand vehicles)
ENVIRONMENTA WIDE OFFER UNDER 140 g/km CO2
122 versions122 versions
35 versions35 versions
333,333
Emission level (g/km CO2)
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42MARCH 4TH 2008
eco²3 CRITERIA FOR ECOLOGICAL & ECONOMICAL VEHICLES
& &
Low fuel consumption, tax management, affordabilityto a wide majority of customers supported by the ecological efficiency.
Below 140 g/CO2or biofuel-compatible
Produced in anIso-14001-certified plant
PRODUCTION
95% reusable by weight &at least 5% of recycled plastics
END-OF-LIFECO2 EMISSIONS
Ecological & Economical
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43MARCH 4TH 2008
OIL REFINEMENT
OIL
100,000YEARS
SOLAR ENERGY
GAS STATION
CO2
CHANGE FROM OIL CYCLE
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44MARCH 4TH 2008
OIL REFINEMENT
OIL
100,000YEARS
SOLAR ENERGY
GAS STATION
CHANGE FROM OIL CYCLE TO SOLAR CYCLE
SOLAR ENERGY
15 m²
15,000 km a yearCO2
Zero emission
A ZERO EMISSION CAR IS TECHNICALLY FEASIBLE
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45MARCH 4TH 2008
CO2 EMISSION REDUCTION ISA CHALLENGE AND AN OPPORTUNITY FOR RENAULT
! Kaizen:! Compact cars
! Efficient diesel
! Downsized gasoline turbo
! Breakthroughs: ! Electric Vehicle
! Hybrid electric vehicle
! Fuel cells
! leverage
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46MARCH 4TH 2008
! QUALITYNext Laguna in the Top 3 models of its category in quality.
! PROFITABILITY6% operating margin in 2009.
! GROWTH+ 800,000 vehicles between 2005 and 2009strongest period of growth in the history of Renault.
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47MARCH 4TH 2008
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48MARCH 4TH 2008
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49MARCH 4TH 2008
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50MARCH 4TH 2008
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QUESTIONS & ANSWERS
Patrick PÉLATAEVP, PLANNING & ASIA AFRICA
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52MARCH 4TH 2008
Koleos
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53MARCH 4TH 2008
New Kangoo PC
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54MARCH 4TH 2008
New Kangoo LCV
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55MARCH 4TH 2008
Grand Modus
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56MARCH 4TH 2008
Clio Grand Tour
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57MARCH 4TH 2008
Logan Pick-up
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58MARCH 4TH 2008
Kangoo Express Compact
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59MARCH 4TH 2008
Laguna Coupé Concept