Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

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Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity George N. Kiladis Klaus Weickmann Brant Liebmann NOAA, Physical Sciences Division Earth System Research Laboratory CIRES, University of Colorado

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Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity. George N. Kiladis Klaus Weickmann Brant Liebmann NOAA, Physical Sciences Division Earth System Research Laboratory CIRES, University of Colorado. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Page 1: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

George N. KiladisKlaus WeickmannBrant Liebmann

NOAA, Physical Sciences DivisionEarth System Research Laboratory

CIRES, University of Colorado

George N. KiladisKlaus WeickmannBrant Liebmann

NOAA, Physical Sciences DivisionEarth System Research Laboratory

CIRES, University of Colorado

Page 2: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Or:Some (as yet only partially explained)

observations of Kelvin Waves and Associated Extratropical Disturbances

Or:Some (as yet only partially explained)

observations of Kelvin Waves and Associated Extratropical Disturbances

Page 3: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Data SourcesCloud Archive User Services (CLAUS) Brightness Temperature

8 times daily, .5 resolution July 1983-September 2005

NCEP-NCAR Reanalysis products 4 times daily, 17 pressure levels, 2.5 resolution

Page 4: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity
Page 5: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Key Papers:Lindzen, R. D., 1967: Planetary waves on beta-planes. Mon. Wea. Rev.

Hoskins, B. J. and T. Ambrizzi 1993: Rossby wave propagation on a realistic longitudinally varying flow. J. Atmos. Sci.

Zhang, C. and P. J. Webster, 1989: Effects of zonal flows on equatorially-trapped waves. J. Atmos. Sci.

Zhang, C. and P. J. Webster, 1992: Laterally forced equatorial perturbations in a linear model. J. Atmos. Sci.

Yang, G. –Y. and B. J. Hoskins 1996: Propagation of Rossby waves of non-zero frequency. J. Atmos. Sci.

Hoskins, B. J., and G. –Y. Yang, G. –Y. 2000: The equatorial response to higher latitude forcing. J. Atmos. Sci.

Roundy, P. E., 2008: Analysis of convectively coupled Kelvin waves in the Indian Ocean MJO. J. Atmos. Sci.

Dias, J. and O. Pauluis, 2009: Convectively coupled Kelvin waves propagating along an ITCZ. J. Atmos. Sci.

Ferguson, J., B. Khouider, M. Namazi, 2009: Two-way interactions between equatorially-trapped waves and the barotropic flow. Chinese Ann. Math.

Page 6: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Theoretical Considerations:Effects of Meridional Shear in the Zonal Wind

Differential advection leads to straining and deformation: Affects shape and group velocity

Wave-guiding: Trapping of Rossby wave energy along jets, extratropical waves are guided towards low latitudes in certain regions

Non-Doppler Effect: Meridional shear modifies the -effect, leading to differences in equivalent depths and equatorial trapping

Critical Line: Where the zonal phase speed of a Rossby Wave equals that of the background zonal wind (waves are absorbed or perhaps reflected here).

Page 7: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

200 hPa Climatological Zonal Wind, Dec.-Feb. 1979-2004

Contour interval 5 m s-1

Page 8: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

200 hPa Climatological Zonal Wind, June-Aug. 1979-2004

Contour interval 5 m s-1

Page 9: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against <30 day filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 150W for Dec.-Feb. 1979-2004

Day 0

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 10 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blueKiladis, 1998

Page 10: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against <30 day filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 150W for Dec.-Feb. 1979-2004

Day-5

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 10 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 11: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against <30 day filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 150W for Dec.-Feb. 1979-2004

Day-4

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 10 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 12: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against <30 day filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 150W for Dec.-Feb. 1979-2004

Day-3

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 10 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 13: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against <30 day filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 150W for Dec.-Feb. 1979-2004

Day-2

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 10 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 14: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against <30 day filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 150W for Dec.-Feb. 1979-2004

Day-1

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 10 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 15: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against <30 day filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 150W for Dec.-Feb. 1979-2004

Day 0

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 10 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 16: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against <30 day filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 150W for Dec.-Feb. 1979-2004

Day+1

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 10 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 17: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against <30 day filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 150W for Dec.-Feb. 1979-2004

Day+2

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 10 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 18: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against <30 day filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 30W for Dec.-Feb. 1979-2004

Day-2

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 10 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blueKiladis and Weickmann, 1997

Page 19: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against <30 day filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 30W for Dec.-Feb. 1979-2004

Day-1

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 10 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 20: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against <30 day filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 30W for Dec.-Feb. 1979-2004

Day 0

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 10 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 21: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against <30 day filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 30W for Dec.-Feb. 1979-2004

Day+1

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 10 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 22: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against <30 day filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 30W for Dec.-Feb. 1979-2004

Day+2

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 10 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 23: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OBSERVATIONS OF KELVIN AND INERTIO-GRAVITY WAVESCLAUS Brightness Temperature (2.5S–7.5N), April-May 1987

Page 24: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OBSERVATIONS OF KELVIN AND INERTIO-GRAVITY WAVESCLAUS Brightness Temperature (2.5S–7.5N), April-May 1987

28 m s-1

Page 25: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 850 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day+1

Geopotential Height (contours .5 m)Wind (vectors, largest around 5 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blueStraub and Kiladis, 1997

Page 26: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Kelvin Wave Theoretical Structure

Wind, Pressure (contours), Divergence, blue negative

Page 27: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 850 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day+1

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 28: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day+1

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 29: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day-6

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 30: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day-5

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 31: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day-4

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 32: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day-3

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 33: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day-2

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 34: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day-1

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 35: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day 0

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 36: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day+1

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 37: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day+2

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 38: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day+3

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 39: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day+4

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 40: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day-10

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 41: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day-9

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 42: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day-8

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 43: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day-7

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 44: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 172.5W for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day-6

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 45: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at Eq., 90E for June-Aug. 1983-2005

Day 0

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 46: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at Eq., 90E for March-May 1983-2005

Day 0

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 47: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at Eq., 90E for Dec.-Jan. 1983-2005

Day 0

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 48: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against <30 day filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 7.5N, 30W for Dec.-Feb. 1979-2004

Day 0

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 10 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 49: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 2.5N, 0.0 for March-May 1983-2005

Day-1

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 50: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 2.5N, 0.0 for March-May 1983-2005

Day+1

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 51: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Mechanisms?

Local Dynamic and Thermodynamic fields associated with initial Kelvin wave development are very weak

One possibility: “Direct projection” of extratropical forcing onto equatorially-trapped waves, exciting a resonant response

Page 52: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Hoskins and Yang, 2000

Page 53: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

1987 CLAUS Brightness Temperature 5ºS-5º N

Page 54: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

1998 CLAUS Brightness Temperature 5ºS-5º N

Page 55: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

1993 CLAUS Brightness Temperature 5ºS-5º N

Page 56: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

1989 CLAUS Brightness Temperature 5ºS-5º N

Page 57: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

1999 CLAUS Brightness Temperature 5ºS-5º N

Page 58: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

1984 CLAUS Brightness Temperature 5ºS-5º N

Page 59: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at eq, 60W for January-June 1979-2004

Day 0

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 5 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 60: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at eq, 60W for January-June 1979-2004

Day-4

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 5 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 61: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at eq, 60W for January-June 1979-2004

Day-3

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 5 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 62: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at eq, 60W for January-June 1979-2004

Day-2

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 5 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 63: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at eq, 60W for January-June 1979-2004

Day-1

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 5 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 64: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at eq, 60W for January-June 1979-2004

Day 0

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 5 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 65: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at eq, 60W for January-June 1979-2004

Day+1

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 5 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 66: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at eq, 60W for January-June 1979-2004

Day+2

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 5 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 67: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at eq, 60W for January-June 1979-2004

Day+3

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 5 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 68: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at eq, 60W for January-June 1979-2004

Day+4

Streamfunction (contours 5 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 5 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 69: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Geopotential Height (contours 1 m)Wind (vectors, largest around 3 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

OLR and 1000 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at eq, 60W for January-June 1979-2004

Day-4

Page 70: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Geopotential Height (contours 1 m)Wind (vectors, largest around 3 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

OLR and 1000 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at eq, 60W for January-June 1979-2004

Day-3

Page 71: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Geopotential Height (contours 1 m)Wind (vectors, largest around 3 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

OLR and 1000 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at eq, 60W for January-June 1979-2004

Day-2

Page 72: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Geopotential Height (contours 1 m)Wind (vectors, largest around 3 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

OLR and 1000 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at eq, 60W for January-June 1979-2004

Day-1

Page 73: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Geopotential Height (contours 1 m)Wind (vectors, largest around 3 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

OLR and 1000 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at eq, 60W for January-June 1979-2004

Day 0

Page 74: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

The dates are then separated by additional criteria before compositing:

“Pacific” cases: 3 days before key date Kelvin-filteredOLR more than 16 Wm-2 below mean at 95W, 2.5N

“South America” cases: 3 days before key date, 30-day high-pass filtered OLR more than 50 Wm-2 below mean at 60W, 20S.

53 Pacific cases48 South America cases

4 common cases

Dates are found with a 1.5 standard deviationsnegative OLR anomalies at 60W, Eq.

Page 75: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Base point: Kelvin-filteredOLR, 1.5 STD anomaly

(plus constraint at 95W, 2.5N)Fields: 30-day high-pass OLR 200 mb wind and streamfunction

Wm-2

Pacific events

Page 76: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Base point: Kelvin-filteredOLR, 1.5 STD anomaly

(plus constraint at 95W, 2.5N)Fields: 30-day high-pass OLR 200 mb wind and streamfunction

Wm-2

Pacific events

Page 77: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Contrast with “South America” example(note different latitude range)

30-day High-pass OLR, 200 mb wind and stream function

Page 78: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Fields lead base point by 5 days

200 850 1000Blue contours indicate positive height anomalies

200 mbHeights and OLR

850 mb Heights and Rain

1000 mb Heights and Unfiltered rain

Page 79: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Fields lead base point by 4 days

200 850 1000

Page 80: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Fields lead base point by 3 days

200 850 1000

Page 81: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Fields lead base point by 2 days

200 850 1000

Page 82: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Fields lead base point by 1 day

200 850 1000

Page 83: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Fields simultaneous with base point

200 850 1000

Page 84: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Fields lag base point by 1 day

200 850 1000

Page 85: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Conclusions

• There are at least two mechanisms that force Kelvin waves over South America

a) at upper levels from the Pacific b) at lower levels from southern South America

(e.g., Garreaud and Wallace 1998; Garreaud 2000)

• Not all South American (cold) events force Kelvin waves

• Some Kelvin waves may be initiated in-situ

Page 86: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Conclusions

Convectively coupled Kelvin waves have many “non-Kelvin” features, including off-equatorial gyres presumably forced in part by heating

There are strong associations between Kelvin wave activity and extratropical Rossby wave activity

In some cases it is clear that Kelvin waves are forced by the extratropics

Kelvin convection is associated with subtropical anticyclonic vorticity, unlike other cases of tropical-extratropical interaction

Subtropical “pressure surges” are also seen to be involved in forcing of some Kelvin activity over South America

These results do not rule out “spontaneous” generation of Kelvin waves by equatorial convection or local dynamical forcing

Page 87: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

E = (v'2 −u'2,−u'v',f

Θz

v'θ ')

v'2 −u'2

−u'v'

E Vectors (assumption of quasi-geostrophy)

where: is a measure of anisotropy

is minus the northward flux of westerly momentumand

Approximate direction of group velocity:

from Hoskins, James and White (1983)

Page 88: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

200 hPa Climatological < 30 Day E Vectors and OLR December-February 1979-2004

E Vectors, largest around 200 m-2 s-2

OLR shading starts at 250 W s-2 at 10 W s-2 intervals

Page 89: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

K s =β*

u

⎝ ⎜

⎠ ⎟

1/2

* = β −∂ 2u

∂y2

Stationary Wavenumber Ks

where:is the meridional gradient

of absolute vorticity

Ks is the total wavenumber (k2+l2)1/2 at which a barotropic Rossby Wave is stationary in a given background Zonal Flow

According to WKB theory, Rossby Wave Energy should be refracted toward higher values of Ks

see Hoskins and Ambrizzi (1993)

Page 90: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

200 hPa Climatological < 30 Day E Vectors and OLR December-February 1979-2004

E Vectors, largest around 200 m-2 s-2

OLR shading starts at 250 W s-2 at 10 W s-2 intervals

Page 91: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

200 hPa Climatological < 30 Day E Vectors, Ks and OLR December-February 1979-2004

E Vectors, largest around 200 m-2 s-2

Ks (contours) by total wavenumberOLR shading starts at 250 W s-2 at 10 W s-2 intervals

Page 92: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Lead and Lag Regressions

Base point: Kelvin-filtered OLR at 60W, Eq.

Fields: 30-day high-pass filtered OLR, 200 mb winds and stream function

Page 93: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity
Page 94: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Conclusions

• There are at least two mechanisms that force Kelvin waves over South America a) at upper levels from the Pacific b) at lower levels from southern South America

(e.g., Garreaud and Wallace 1998; Garreaud 2000)

• Not all South American (cold) events force Kelvin waves

Page 95: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Fields lead base point by 3 days

Kelvin-filtered base point 30-day high pass base point

OLR, 200 mb winds and heights

Page 96: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Fields simultaneous with base point

Kelvin-filtered base point 30-day high pass base point

OLR, 200 mb winds and heights

Page 97: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Fields lag base point by 1 day

Kelvin-filtered base point 30-day high pass base point

OLR, 200 mb winds and heights

Page 98: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

Fields lag base point by 2 days

Kelvin-filtered base point 30-day high pass base point

OLR, 200 mb winds and heights

Page 99: Relationships between Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Extratropical Wave Activity

OLR and 200 hPa Flow Regressed against Kelvin-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at Eq., 90E for Dec.-Jan. 1983-2005

Day-2

Streamfunction (contours 2 X 105 m2 s-1)Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)

OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue