Regional security in the eastern mediterranean
-
Upload
nicolai-due-gundersen -
Category
News & Politics
-
view
26 -
download
0
Transcript of Regional security in the eastern mediterranean
![Page 1: Regional security in the eastern mediterranean](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062522/589ad5c91a28abc93a8b62ed/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Regional Security in the Eastern Mediterranean Nicolai Due-Gundersen
Oval Office for Studies and Research
![Page 2: Regional security in the eastern mediterranean](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062522/589ad5c91a28abc93a8b62ed/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Introduction Island Division and Maritime Disputes Gas Discoveries and Ambitions Hamas and Hezbollah Temporary Solutions/Conclusion
Agenda
![Page 3: Regional security in the eastern mediterranean](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062522/589ad5c91a28abc93a8b62ed/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Introduction
![Page 4: Regional security in the eastern mediterranean](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062522/589ad5c91a28abc93a8b62ed/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
1974 North-South split Greek Union Coup 1983: Turkish Republic
of Northern Cyprus 2004: UN
Reunification Rejection and EU assimilation
Grexit considerations and resource coop
Island Division
![Page 5: Regional security in the eastern mediterranean](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062522/589ad5c91a28abc93a8b62ed/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Cyprus Division: contracts unrecognised
Lebanon-Israel: No accepted delineated borders
UN dilemma for Israel
Maritime Disputes
![Page 6: Regional security in the eastern mediterranean](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062522/589ad5c91a28abc93a8b62ed/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
2009-10: US-Israel venture discovery in Haifa Seabed (Leviathan, Taimur). 26 TCF
2011: Noble Energy discovers Aphrodite Field, Cyp. Approx 7 TcF
Gas Discoveries
![Page 7: Regional security in the eastern mediterranean](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062522/589ad5c91a28abc93a8b62ed/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
(South) Cyprus: Regional LNG hub, refinery for Europe, Egypt
Israel loses Egypt, gains Jord
Israel, Greece, Cyp alliance
Vs Turkey’s ambitions alone; encouraging Leb-Noble field dispute
Ambitions
![Page 8: Regional security in the eastern mediterranean](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062522/589ad5c91a28abc93a8b62ed/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
2006 Hamas Election; 2009 Israeli Invasion
Gaza fields (2000) Israel restricts
Hamas and PA profit; British Gas and Egypt ended
Goods and Services only
Hamas and Hezbollah
![Page 9: Regional security in the eastern mediterranean](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062522/589ad5c91a28abc93a8b62ed/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Offshore Gaza installation targeted
Distance, isolation= vulnerability
Investor confidence?
2014 Rocket Attacks
![Page 10: Regional security in the eastern mediterranean](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062522/589ad5c91a28abc93a8b62ed/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Dictated own Lebanese border Israeli projects under threat Secretary General Sheikh Naim Qassem:
“Lebanon will stand guard in order to protect all its rights—no matter the cost.”
Again, Israeli investor stability?
Hezbollah
![Page 11: Regional security in the eastern mediterranean](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062522/589ad5c91a28abc93a8b62ed/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
US Role: Physical, economic security; integrate East Med with global markets; ensure safety of US citizens, workers
Low oil price; high production costs JV for Cyprus, but Israel (militant activity)? Cyprus with Turkey as obstacle US too stretched for supervision?
Low Oil Prices and Transitional Solutions/ Conclusion