Regional disparities in Bulgaria – evaluation and policy implications
17
Regional disparities in Bulgaria – evaluation and policy implications Yana Kirilova, Ph.D. Institute of Economic Studies, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences
description
Regional disparities in Bulgaria – evaluation and policy implications. Yana Kirilova, Ph.D. Institute of Economic Studies, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences. General information. Bulgaria – member of the EU since 2007. EU structural and cohesion funds utilized through operational programs. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Regional disparities in Bulgaria – evaluation and policy implications
Regional disparities in Bulgaria – evaluation and policy implications
Yana Kirilova, Ph.D.
Institute of Economic Studies, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences
General information Bulgaria – member of the EU since 2007.
EU structural and cohesion funds utilized through operational programs.
Operational Program “Regional Development”
Next programming period 2014-2020 – need for new programming of regional development.
Preparation of OPRD 2014-2020 Project “Socio-economic analyses for
preparation of OPRD 2014-2020”
Institute of Economic Studies, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences
Sofia Consulting Group, Bulgaria
Four-year project (2011-2014)
Analyses focused on: Regional disparities in terms of:
Demographic situation; Labor market; Incomes; Economic development; Transport infrastructure; Tourism (services provided and infrastructure); Social services and infrastructure (education,
health, culture, social services).
Summary score of socio- economic development
Integral indicator;
To choose minimum indicators showing all major characteristics of the studied territorial units.
To develop a methodology that shows the combined influence of these indicators
Indicators
Coefficient of natural growth of the population
Coefficient of migration of the population
Employment coefficient
GDP per capita
Capital investments per capita
Number of nights spent by tourists per 1000 population
Indicators
Cultivated arable land per capita
Incomes per member of a household
Unemployment rate
Length of railways and roads per 1000 sq.km.
Share of university students in population
Medical doctors per 100 000 population
Steps for calculating the summary scores
Making the values of the individual indicators commensurate (BGN, %, dka,km, numbers);
For each indicator: The territorial unit with the highest value becomes
a benchmark = 100% All the rest – get a % compared to the benchmark
The summary score for a territorial unit = average of the sum of its % for the individual indicators
9
Summary scores of socio-economic development of
Bulgarian regions2007 2008 2009 2010
South West Region 66.1% 67.6% 65.9% 68.1%North East Region 59.5% 59.5% 60.1% 57.6%BULGARIA 56.5% 56.8% 57.4% 56.4%South East Region 55.9% 55.6% 56.6% 54.3%South Central Region 51.5% 51.4% 54.0% 49.9%North Central Region 49.1% 49.7% 50.1% 48.9%North West Region 45.1% 44.2% 45.8% 45.6%
10
Summary scores of socio-economic development of
Bulgarian regions
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
North West Region
North Central Region
South Central Region
South East Region
BULGARIA
North East Region
South West Region
11
12
Disparities among the districts within the regionsGroup 1 Group 2 Group 3 V %
North West Region 00
PlevenPleven, , VratsaVratsa, , LovechLovech
VidinVidin, , MontanaMontana 8.5
North Central Region RusseRusse
GabrovoGabrovo, , Veliko Veliko
TarnovoTarnovoSilistraSilistra, , RazgradRazgrad 16.7
North East Region VarnaVarna DobrichDobrich
TargovistTargovistee, ,
ShumenShumen 21.0
South East Region
BourgasBourgas, , Stara Stara
ZagoraZagora --SlivenSliven, , YambolYambol 19.5
South Central Region PlovdivPlovdiv KardjaliKardjali
HaskovoHaskovo, , PazardjikPazardjik
, , SmolyanSmolyan 12.9
South West Region Sofia-citySofia-city
Sofia-Sofia-district,district,
BlagoevgraBlagoevgradd, , PernikPernik
KyustendKyustendilil 25.5
13
Conclusions for the regional policy
Two models of regional development are monitored: Model 1: Center-periphery
At national level – SWR and the rest At regional level – SWR, SCR, NER and the rest At district level (central municipality and periphery)
Model 2: Bipolar model At national level – Sofia and Varna At regional level – SER (Burgas and Stara Zagora) At district level (2 strong municipalities and the rest)
Conclusions for the regional policy
The disparities among regions and districts – arguments for implementing two types of regional policy:
Reducing disparities – directing resources towards underdeveloped districts
Development of growth centers - directing resources towards highly developed districts
What did the policy makers actually choose? OPRD 2014-2020
To support 67 cities and towns (centers of regions and municipalities)
Concentrating population
Concentrating technical and social infrastructure
