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![Page 1: Recent Mexican data sources in the study of international migration Seminar: The 2013 High-level Dialogue on International Migration and Development: Implications.](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022070415/56649edc5503460f94beca6b/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Recent Mexican data sources in the study of international migration
Seminar:
The 2013 High-level Dialogue on International Migration and Development: Implications for data collection
27 February 2013, United Nations, New York
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Purpose
• “The Seminar also provides a platform for sharing country experiences in collecting migration statistics and in using migration data to inform policy makers”.
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BACKGROUND
• Undocumented flow of Mexican nationals both in and out of the country:– Emigrants, mostly to the USA and Canada,
reluctant to take part in surveys and censuses in receiving countries.
– Immigrants, mostly return migrants and their foreign-born children. Growing proportion of American and Canadian retirees.
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Layout
• ENOE, Mexico’s quarterly labour force survey
• 2010 Population and Housing Census
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ENOE, MEXICO'S QUARTERLY LABOUR FORCE SURVEY
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ENOE
One of the longest-running statistical projects in the country. • Main purpose, to produce national and state-
level quarterly unemployment rates. – Information collected continuously over three-month
periods.– Sample size fixed at 120,060 dwellings every
quarter.– New entries are randomly selected with unequal
probabilities from stratified sampling frame.
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Rotation pattern
• Each quarter, 20% of households leave sample after completing five-interview tour,
• replaced by new (semi-)panel with same size,• remains in sample for five consecutive rounds of
interviews, one quarter apart. • Hence, 80% quarter-to-quarter sample overlap.• Useful in determining quarterly change patterns in
– household composition, – occupational status of individuals,– etc.
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Common sample in two successive quarters due to ENOE's Rotation Pattern
Rotation pattern as means to gauge change
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Numerical Results
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Quarterly Migration Rates in Mexico, 2006-2012.(per 10,000 inhabitants)
http://www.inegi.org.mx/inegi/contenidos/espanol/prensa/Boletines/Boletin/Comunicados/Especiales/2012/Diciembre/comunica4.pdf
2006-II
2006-III
2006-IV2007-I
2007-II
2007-III
2007-IV2008-I
2008-II
2008-III
2008-IV2009-I
2009-II
2009-III
2009-IV2010-I
2010-II
2010-III
2010-IV2011-I
2011-II
2011-III
2011-IV2012-I
2012-II
2012-III0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
International Emigration
International immigration
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Quarterly Net Migration Rates in Mexico, 2006-2012, (per 10,000 inhabitants).
http://www.inegi.org.mx/inegi/contenidos/espanol/prensa/Boletines/Boletin/Comunicados/Especiales/2012/Diciembre/comunica4.pdf
-120
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
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Year-over-Year Job Growth in Metropolitan Areas, USA, 2001-2012
(Natural Resources, Mining, Construction)
Source: http://www.pittsburghtoday.org/view_economy_job_growth_years_change.html, Feb. 19, 2013.
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
-20.00%
-15.00%
-10.00%
-5.00%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
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Results.
• Declining trend in the number of out migrants from 2006– Burst of the housing bubble in the US?
• Also declining but less markedly for immigration, includes return migrants.
• Distinct seasonal pattern exhibited by both out- and in-migrants over the same period– Regaining momentum.
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2010 POPULATION CENSUS
International Migration in the Long Form
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Over the last five years, in other words, from June 2005 to date, has anyone living with you now or at that time (in this dwelling) gone to live in a different country?Yes (1) No (3) -> Go to section V
How many people?
|_|_|Write number
Please give me the name of each person who went to live abroad between June, 2005 and today.
(Write name in item (4)).
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Was (NAME) living with you when he/she left last time?
Mark only one codeYES … 1
NO … 3
Is (NAME) male or female?
Mark only one codeMALE … 1
FEMALE … 3
How old was (NAME) when he/she left last time?
IF UNDER ONE WRITE “000”
|_|_|_|WRITE AGE IN YEARS
For each person named, inquire:
State year and month when (NAME) left last time to live abroad?
|_|_|WRITE MONTH
|_|_|_|_|WRITE YEAR
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Emigrant65%
Return Migrant32%
Unspecified3%
International Migrant population by current place of residence.
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00-14 años5%
15-24 años41%
25-34 años27%
35-49 años18%
50-59 años3%
60 años y más2%
Unspecified3%
International migrant population by age group.
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United States of Amer-ica
89%
Other country7%
Unspecified4%
International migrant population by country of destination.
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Under 1 year34%
1 to 3 years41%
3 to 5 years15%
Unspecified10%
Return international migrant population by duration of migration.