Real-Time Travel Information in

Turn-by-Turn Navigation: Past Present & Future

Alain L. KornhauserProfessor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering

Director, Program in Transportation

Founder, ALK Technologies, Inc.and

Founding and Board Member Committee for Smart New Jersey

Presented at New Jersey’s TransAction Conference

Atlantic City, New JerseyApril 11, 2012

40 Years Ago

The Cure for the

Common Driver …

… CoPilot

1998: CoPilot

1998 ITE Presentation1998 TruckPC Presentation

Week 9

“Early” versions of Portable Sat/Nav solutions

Week 9

Finally… Convergence of

GPS

Real-Time Information

(and Advertising)

Decisions that ImproveQuality of Life

&

& Wireless

& Robust OS& Memory

& Processing

Navigation Based Commerce

nCommerce

Opportunities to Improve Quality of Life

• “17” year olds• Soccer Moms• Those that have never wanted to go

anywhere• Dads who never ask for directions

• Anxiety Relief• Feel Good• Safety, Security, Comfort

Market Segments(Consumers)

Quality of Life

Consumer Real-time Data Apps: nCommerce

(Navigation-based Commence)

• CoPilot Live knows your…– Current Location– Destination– Route

• Along the way– Points of Interest– Businesses– Traffic– WeatherLocal Search

Current Versions of CoPilot Live

CoPilotLive Features

Opportunities to Improve Quality of Life

• “17” year olds• Soccer Moms• Those that have never wanted to go

anywhere• Dads who never ask for directions

• Better Feed the Family• Solid Quantifiable ROI

• Anxiety Relief• Feel Good• Safety, Security, Comfort

• Mobile Professionals

Market Segments Quality of Life

For the Mobile Professional …

• Recent implementations have resulted in:– 17% reduction in fleet mileage – 20% improvement in mobile workforce efficiency – 7% reduction in fleet size– Ability to deliver in one hour customer time windows

The Future for Real-time data will be…

• The Advances in Autonomous Vehicle Control– Much of it fueled by the DARPA Grand Challenges ’04, ‘05, ’07– Continued on by researchers, entrepreneurs and manufacturers

• Lane departure warning and lane keeping• Frontal collision warning and avoidance• Many individual autonomous vehicle initiatives

– Princeton: Prospect 12 … objective to pass NJ DMV driver’s test– Italians– Germans– VT, CMU, Stanford, …– Google

• All with the objective of placing sufficient intelligence in a vehicle so that it can operate safely and efficiently on existing street mixed in with human operated vehicle

It is Clear…• We aren’t very good drivers• We prefer to – text, talk, drink, sleep, daydream, rather than drive

• Driving is boring, an insult to our intelligence!• Once upon a time…– I shifted gears, controlled my cruise speed with my foot

and closely planned my every turn• Hopefully…– I’ll no longer have to steer, brake, or pay attention.

• Chances are: People will gladly pay for such service

If I don’t have to drive…• Why should I own???• If I pay enough…– One will show up at my front door and properly

deploy itself at my destination.• If demand is too high…– I can walk to a nearby autonomous taxi stand and

contribute to ridesharing.

To serve New Jersey’s• ~30 million daily trips, I need…– NJ Transit rail and express bus operation to continue

operation– ~10,000 off-street Autonomous Taxi locations– <1,000,000 autonomous vehicles• (3.71 registered automobiles in NJ (2009)

– All operating on existing streets • that could continue to be used for goods movement,

emergency management, bicyclists, walkers.

• Thank You

Thank You