R&D Activities as Driver of Efficient Pipeline Integrity ... · R&D Activities as Driver of...

20
UNECE – International Conference on Risk Assessment and Management R&D Activities as Driver of Efficient Pipeline Integrity Assessment Dr. Bernd Groh 24 25 November 2009 Salle XII, Palais des Nations, Geneva

Transcript of R&D Activities as Driver of Efficient Pipeline Integrity ... · R&D Activities as Driver of...

UNECE –

International Conference on Risk Assessment and Management

R&D Activities as Driver of Efficient Pipeline Integrity Assessment

Dr. Bernd Groh

24 ‒

25 November 2009

Salle XII, Palais des Nations, Geneva

2B. Groh, UNECE - International Conference on Risk Assessment and Management, Geneva 2009

Content

1.

Today’s challenges

2.

Legal framework

3.

Quality control

4.

Safety approach

5.

Protection measures

6.

Pipeline integrity

7.

Statistics

8.

Innovation

3B. Groh, UNECE - International Conference on Risk Assessment and Management, Geneva 2009

The European gas industry faces tremendous geopolitical and economic challenges.

A reliable and safe gas supply is essential for modern societies.

The European Commission expects the EU's dependence on gas imports to

increase from about 57% today to 84% within the next 20 years.

In this context, efficient integrity management focusing on modern technical

developments is of key relevance to the industry.

High priority for the gas industry:

Bringing together technical safety and economic efficiency in the framework of

risk assessment and simultaneously promoting technical innovations.

4B. Groh, UNECE - International Conference on Risk Assessment and Management, Geneva 2009

Pipelines / LNG-Terminals:

Network length: 222.548 km

Compressor stations: 154

Underground storages: 107

Cross-border points: 107

W'haven

ArzewSkikda

Cordoba

Lyon

St. Petersburg

Rom

Helsinki

Ljubljana

Oslo

StavangerKårsto

Kollsnes

Algier

Madrid

London

Kopenhagen

Prag

Berlin

BratislavaWien

Stockholm

Athen

Paris

Essen

Emden

Lissabon

Huelva

Sines

Cartagena

Barcelona

Fos-sur-Mer

Bilbao

Krk

Istanbul

La Spezia

Montoir

Zeebrügge

Tyra

Ekofisk

TrollGullfaks

Statfjord

HeimdalFrigg

Sleipner

Budapest

Tunis

Brüssel

Sofia

Bern

Belgrad

Dublin

Belfast

Warschau

Minsk

Bukarest

Oseberg

ZagrebRovigo

El Ferrol

Sagunto

Brindisi

Isle ofGrain

MilfordHaven

In Progress (6)

In Place (14)

European Natural Gas Transmission network.

Source of numbers: MARCOGAZ, 2006

5B. Groh, UNECE - International Conference on Risk Assessment and Management, Geneva 2009

Company detailed codes of practicesand operating manuals

Company detailed codes of practicesand operating manuals

Functional norms and standards (ISO, CEN, DIN-EN), Germany: DVGW

Functional norms and standards (ISO, CEN, DIN-EN), Germany: DVGW

Safety is laid down in national laws and regulations

Safety is laid down in national laws and regulations

EnergyEnergy

Act

EU and national standards

Technical rules

Safety management is laid down in legislation

Legal topic

6B. Groh, UNECE - International Conference on Risk Assessment and Management, Geneva 2009

Planning Design Construction Operation Maintenance

S A F E T YS A F E T Y

Safety methodology is based on quality assurance

Certificates to be issued by

TÜV

7B. Groh, UNECE - International Conference on Risk Assessment and Management, Geneva 2009

Two approaches to assess technical safety …

# Deterministic safety conceptAnalysis of causes:

The deterministic approach encloses

the definition of safety measures

which are based on causal relations

which determine threats or incidents

to pipelines.

Based on existing guidelines

and experiences of many years

An integral concept builds the basis to an efficient safety management.

# Risk-based safety conceptIdentify a risk area

Individual risk levels are used to

decide on safety measures and on

safety distances (prevention)

effect dist.effect dist.

6*10-7 * 1 Victim0,04 *=2,4*10-8 6*10-7 * 1 Victim0,04 *=2,4*10-8

Risk ConsequenceProbability *=

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Characteristics …

# Risk-based concept …Possible consequences are limited to a defined technically worst case scenario

Individual risk is defined as the likelihood of an individual being exposed to a

specified level of harm for example receiving a dangerous dose of a toxic substance

or heat or being subjected to blast overpressure (UK).

Societal risk take into account of different demographic density and distributions.

The societal risk is used to decide on measures in case of an accident.

It is a common legal duty in European

countries to demonstrate that risks

are as low as reasonably practical (ALARP):

Like

lihoo

d

Damage / Consequence

acceptable

Notacceptable

Individual RiskLi

kelih

ood

Damage / Consequence

acceptable

Notacceptable

Individual Risk

9B. Groh, UNECE - International Conference on Risk Assessment and Management, Geneva 2009

What is an acceptable risk ?

Risk ConsequenceProbability *

2,8*10-8

=

6*10-7 1 Victim

Generic individual risk of gas pipelines:

2,8*10-8 = 0,000000028

Likelihood of death by lightning is 35 times higher (10-6).

Technical generic risk < natural risk

<

PIgnition PRupture= * Consequence*Risk

0,048= * *

10B. Groh, UNECE - International Conference on Risk Assessment and Management, Geneva 2009

Characteristics …

# Deterministic concept …In the frame of the deterministic safety concept decision are taken based on the

used technology, not on the calculated and associated risk.

The deterministic concept is based on the precautionary principle. The

deterministic and the probabilistic concept comprises so called primary safety

measures to reduce the probability of any damage which might occur.

Furthermore so called secondary safety measures are determined to minimise

any consequences

11B. Groh, UNECE - International Conference on Risk Assessment and Management, Geneva 2009

12B. Groh, UNECE - International Conference on Risk Assessment and Management, Geneva 2009

Pipeline Integrity is based on proved standards: PIMSObjective: Smooth handling of all work done during normal operation and in

exceptional operating conditions.

A major part related to this development

was covered by the CEN/TC 234

committee work started in 1990.

E.ON Ruhrgas, a German TSO, introduced

workflows reducing the risk of system

failures by laying down rules on which

organizational or technical measures

are to be taken to establish a continuous

asset assessment process.

Organisational Integrity

Information /Management Level

Technical Integrity

• Indentify areas of action• Derive strategies• Report status information• Reporting to Management

Data- and Informational Integrity

• Organisation• Data warehouses

Geographicalinformation system

Electronicaldocumentation

management system

Plant maintenancesystem

Operational survey, maintenance

Cathodic corrosionprotection

(intensive survey)

Material tests and strength analysis

Assessment of ILI

13B. Groh, UNECE - International Conference on Risk Assessment and Management, Geneva 2009

pig run scheduling

assessment of recorded data

transfer of recorded data

critical procedures

intensive measurements excavation

repair, handlingfinal test

non-dest. test evaluation

Start

End

completion of all measures

assess acc. toRN 210-001

follow-up assessment

assess acc. toRN 210-001

documentation

section measurements

Example Workflow Pig Run Assessment Overview – Pipeline Category III

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2004

1974

1981

1988

1995

2002

1972

1979

1986

1993

2000

2007

1970

1977

1984

1991

1998

2005

1975

1982

1989

1996

2003

1973

1980

1987

1994

2001

1971

1978

1985

1992

1999

2006

1976

1983

1990

1997

Year [-]

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

Fre

quen

cy p

er 1

000

km.y

r

Primary failure frequency: averagePrimary failure frequency: 5 year moving average

EGIG incident database: a proven safety record

EGIG database: Gather data on the unintentional releases of gas in pipeline

transmission systems.

EGIG involves 15 major gas transmission system operators in Western Europe.

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Innovation is a mainstay to reliability …

… rising energy costs and increasingly stringent environmentalrequirements call for the development and use of new technologies.Therefore industry has always shown interests to develop new methods.

Some of these new projects under development in the gas industry

are

related to:

Acoustic methods

Electric methods; uses the existing measuring points of cathodic protection

systems to detect a "short circuit" caused by an excavator, drilling equipment or a

trench cutter etc. coming into metallic contact with the pipeline.

Spectral methods;

with laser systems (CHARM®)

based on infrared spectroscopy (Gas Camera)

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Gas Camera –

small traces of methane at process plants to be detected quickly and reliably

The Gas Camera was mainly developed at Hamburg University of

Technology on behalf of industry with support by E.ON Ruhrgas,

Gasunie, Fluxys and Snam Rete Gas.

The Gas Camera is a remote detection system that

provides video images of gas clouds displayed of the

target (leak).

It analyses infrared radiation that propagates from

the background of the field of view through the gas

cloud to the optical receiver and the sensing element.

It is capable of safely detecting gas clouds with column

densities as low as 150 ppm·m.

17B. Groh, UNECE - International Conference on Risk Assessment and Management, Geneva 2009

Thank you for your attention.

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Backup

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Technical development for single

point (local) gas detection systems

CHARM®

CH4

Air Remote Monitoring, i.e. helicopter- borne infrared laser-based remote gas detection system

20B. Groh, UNECE - International Conference on Risk Assessment and Management, Geneva 2009

CHARM®

Main technical features:

Based on the differential absorption

measurement principle (LIDAR)

Gas clouds arte detected by tuning the laser

wavelength to the spectral signature and

absorption characteristics of the gas

Gas concentrations can be determined over a

width of at least 7 metres up to 12 metres

Even the slightest traces of natural gas can

be identified during routine air patrols at a

speed between 50 –

90 km/h

The operational detection limit is less

then 25 ppm·m at a high detection

resolution.

GPS Antenna

GSM Antenna(for ASCOS)

GPS/GLONASS Receiver

Inertialframe

GPS Antenna

GSM Modems(for ASCOS)