Questions on Kabuki Democracy

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    Questions on

    KabukiDemocracy:

    The

    JapaneseElectoral

    SystemPOS 272.2: Government and Politics of Japan

    2 August 2014

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    Taisho democracy

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    The National Diet

    Two Houses:

    House of Representatives (

    Shgiin)

    House of Councillors (Sangiin)

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    Which is Japans?

    House of Representatives (Shgiin)

    480 members, elected for a four-year term.

    300 members from single-memberconstituencies

    180 members (since 2000 elections, from the

    original 200 of the 1993 reforms) from 11

    multi-member constituencies via party-listsystem of proportional representation

    Minimun age requirement is 25 years old

    241 seats are required for majority.

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    Which is Japans?

    House of Councillors (Sangiin)

    242 members with 6-year terms

    Minimum age at least 30 years old

    Cannot be dissolved

    121 members per election cycle:

    73 from the 47 prefectural districts (SNTV);

    48 from open-list proportional representation

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    Which is Japans?

    New Japanese Electoral System(Christensen 1996) Hybrid of Plurality and PR systems

    Legal Barriers to Smaller Parties a party that won only 3 percent of the vote in [a]

    district would win one seat but party would not beeligible to win any PR seats unless it first received 3percent of the total nationwide PR vote

    Dual Candidacies and Identical Rankings Redistricting was fixed to avoid gerrymanders

    Campaign finance reforms forbidcontributions to individual candidates

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    Foreseen Issues (Christensen

    1996) Nature of Political Parties: electoral reforms

    increase the likelihood that coalitiongovernments will become common partyrealignment that has occurred will makecoalition governments much more common in

    Japan (52) Reforms have little effect on money politics

    and corruption

    Women representation may actually be

    stunted by dual-listing Ticket-splitting

    Primacy of party organizations: runningindependent more difficult

    Issue-based electoral competitions morelikely

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    Questions on Party Dynamics

    (Curtis 2004) Modern political party ideal does not reflect

    real electoral competition: catch all partiesbecomes the norm

    It is not the electoral system but rather basicchanges in Japanese society and inJapanese peoples attitudes and values thatare driving changes in voting behavior (7-8).

    the problem with a lot of the reforms that areregularly proposed to improve Japanese

    politics is that they deny politics itself. In theend, the model of political behavior thatseems to be so popular in Japan is the modelof an idealized bureaucratic state (11).

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    Hence, kabuki democracy.

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    Major Parties

    Party

    Diet Representation

    Party LeaderRepresentatives

    Councillors

    Liberal Democratic Party(LDP)Jiy Minshu-t

    ,

    or Jimin-t

    295 115ShinzAbe PM Reps.

    Democratic Party of Japan(DPJ)Minshu-t("Democratic Party")

    57 59BanriKaieda Reps.

    Japan Restoration Party(JRP)Nippon Ishin no Kai 53 9

    ShintarIshihara Reps.TruHashimoto (Mayor of Osaka)

    New Komeito(NKP)Kmeit

    ("Clean Government", "Fairness" or"Justice Party")

    31 20NatsuoYamaguchiCoun.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberal_Democratic_Party_(Japan)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japan_Restoration_Partyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Komeitohttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Komeitohttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japan_Restoration_Partyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberal_Democratic_Party_(Japan)
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    Other parties in the Diet

    Party

    Diet Representation

    Party Leader(s)

    Representativ

    es

    Councillor

    s

    Your Party(YP)

    Minna no T

    ("Everybody's Party")

    18 18Yoshimi Watanabe

    Reps.

    Japanese Communist Party(JCP)

    Nihon Kysan-t

    8

    11

    Kazuo Shii Reps.

    People's Life Party(PLP)Seikatsu no T

    7

    2

    IchirOzawa Reps.

    Social Democratic Party(SDP)

    Shakai Minshu-t

    2 3Tadatomo Yoshida

    Coun.

    Green Wind

    Midori no Kaze

    2

    0

    Kuniko Tanioka Coun.

    New Party DaichiTrue Democrats

    Shint Daichi Shinminshu

    1

    0

    Muneo Suzuki

    New Renaissance Party(NRP)

    Shint Kaikaku

    ("New Reform Party")

    0 1 Hiroyuki Arai Coun.

    Okinawa Socialist Masses Party(OSMP)

    Okinawa Shakai Taisht

    0 1 Keiko Itokazu Coun.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Your_Partyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanese_Communist_Partyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/People's_Life_Partyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_Democratic_Party_(Japan)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Green_Windhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Party_Daichi_%E2%80%93_True_Democratshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Party_Daichi_%E2%80%93_True_Democratshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Party_Daichi_%E2%80%93_True_Democratshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Renaissance_Partyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Okinawa_Social_Mass_Partyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Okinawa_Social_Mass_Partyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Renaissance_Partyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Party_Daichi_%E2%80%93_True_Democratshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Party_Daichi_%E2%80%93_True_Democratshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Party_Daichi_%E2%80%93_True_Democratshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Party_Daichi_%E2%80%93_True_Democratshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Green_Windhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_Democratic_Party_(Japan)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/People's_Life_Partyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanese_Communist_Partyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_members_of_the_Diet_of_Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Your_Party
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    Is the PM becoming

    presidential?

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    HoR composition (46th, 2012)

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    HoC composition (23rd, 2013)

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    Participation was already an

    issue.

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    The 2012 HoR elections

    Reed et. al., 2012: voter turnout declined from a record high (for

    the current electoral system) of 69%nationally in 2009 to a record low of 59.3% in

    2012 Factors for DPJ loss: incumbentDPJ became enormously unpopular;

    turnout declined precipitously, and hurt

    the DPJ disproportionatelyafter all, its 2009triumph had required the votes of a lot ofunattached voters;

    [s]ince no other party assumed [mantle of non-LDPvote]with the exception of the JRP in the areas

    around Osakathe non-LDP vote was scattered,and the LDP reaped the benefits,

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    Current Questions

    The subsequent majority victory of the LDP-Komeito coalition in the HoC last 2013suggests a Diet firmly in the hands of LDP,fueling claims of continuity & stability. Butdoes policy makeup suggest the same?

    Is religious affiliation really a growingmobilizer in party politics (and subsequently,elections)?

    What do we say of the rightward swing?

    What does it pose for Japanese domesticand international affairs?

    Coalition politics is supposedly becomingmore and more normal. How does it play toan increasingly anti-political electorate?

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    Activity

    Given 50 minutes of researching thecurrent policy proposals and strengths

    of all the existing parties in light of

    Japans political situation, make anattempt to predict likely electoral

    behavior by 2016.

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    For further reading

    Raymond V. Christensen, The NewJapanese Election System, in Pacific

    Affairs, Vol. 69, No. 1 (Spring, 1996),

    pp. 49-70.

    Gerald Curtis, Japanese Political

    Parties: Ideals and Reality, RIETIDiscussion Paper Series 04-E-005.

    2004. pp. 1-17.