1 TeliaSonera presentation Per-Erik Brundin Director Performance management.
Q1 2015 Financial Results - Kcell · 2017-06-29 · Business Development in TeliaSonera Eurasia;...
Transcript of Q1 2015 Financial Results - Kcell · 2017-06-29 · Business Development in TeliaSonera Eurasia;...
2
Disclaimer
Statements made in this document relating to future status or circumstances, including future
performance and other trend projections are forward-looking statements. By their nature,
forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and
depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. There can be no assurance that actual
results will not differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking
statements due to many factors, many of which are outside the control of Kcell.
3
Kcell team (1/2) Jan Rudberg
The Chairman of Kcell BoD,
Independent Director
• Joined Kcell in Nov 2012
• From 1994 to 2003, held various managerial
positions within Telia AB. Peviously served as the
CEO of Tele2 AB, Executive Vice President of
Nordbanken AB, and CEO of Enator AB
• The Chairman of the BoD at Hogia AB, an
independent director and Chairman of the Audit
Committee at PJSC MegaFon. A member of the
BoD at Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. and the
Chairman of the Board of Directors at CJSC
Belarusian Telecommunications Network.
Irina Shol
Investor Relations
• Joined Kcell in July 2006
• 16 years of experience in finance
• Previously worked as a senior auditor in Deloitte
Kazakhstan and in finance department of KLM
Arti Ots
Chief Executive Officer
• Joined Kcell in Dec 2014
• 16 years of experience in telecommunications
• Previously worked as VP for Commercial and
Business Development in TeliaSonera Eurasia;
CEO in Elion and Marketing Director, Elion
Trond Moe
Chief Financial Officer
• Joined Kcell in Jan 2015
• 24 years experience in telecommunications in
Eastern Europe and Asia for Telenor. Has served
as CEO, COO, CFO as well as Chairman and
Member of Board of Directors
Sasa Lekovic
Director, Technology
• Joined Kcell in Sep 2015
• 23 years of experience in telecommunications
• Previously served as Member of Board of
Directors and worked as CTO in Telecom
Serbia, in different years worked for T-Mobile
and as a lecturer in Montenegro University
Irina Savina
Director, Consumer
• Joined Kcell in March 2016
• More than 16 years of experience in marketing
and sales
• Previously worked as CCO at Altel JSC, as Chief
Marketing Officer in ASBIS Group (Cyprus), in
different years worked for Velcom (Telecom
Austria Group), P&G, MTS Belarus and for many
years in AVIS Rent A Car as COO
Vadim Lyu
Director, Enterprise
• Joined Kcell in March 2017
• 14 years of experience in IT and
business consulting
• Previously worked as Senior Consultant in
Deloitte Belgium and Kazakhstan, Founder of
iBEC Systems company
Kcell Investor Day
4
Kcell team (2/2)
Kazbek Shaimov
Director, Customer Channels
• Joined Kcell in Nov 2008
• 11 years of experience in telecommunications
• Previously worked as Executive Director for JTI
Company (FMCG segment) in Pavlodar region
Damir Zhanbakiyev
Director, Legal Affairs and
Government Relations
• Joined Kcell in May 2014
• 11 years of experience in jurisprudence
• Previously worked as a Chief Expert of ATFBank,
and Head of legal support unit in Qazkom Bank,
Head of litigation in law firm
Alexander Prokopovich
Director,
Centralized Procurement
• Joined Kcell in Aug 2014
• 11 years of experience in procurement
• Previously worked as Head of Procurement in
Velcom, a member of Telecom Austria Group
(Belarus)
Assya Kalinkina
Director, HR
• Joined Kcell in Jan 2016
• 17 years of experience in human resources
• Previously worked as HR Director in Sandoz CIS,
Danone Kazakhstan and Central Asia,
Halyk Bank and Carlsberg Kazakhstan
Kcell Investor Day
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Source: EIU
17.117.4
17.617.9
18.8
2013 2014 2015 2016 2020
Macroeconomic environment (1/2)
…with attractive population
demographics…
…provides large addressable base
due to low unemployment
Growing population…
The second highest per capita income
relative to regional peers…
…with a track record of growth
Source: EIU
Source: EIU Source: EIU
Source: EIU
real GDP (KZT bn)
2016 unemployment rate (%) (m)
GDP / capita 2017E (US$)
age distribution (%)
Source: EIU
…providing real economic
wealth to citizens… PPP 2017E (US$)
0.9
5.0 5.5 6.37.0
9.5
11.8
18.1
BLR KAZ RUS MDA AZE UKR GEO ARM
Average: 8.0
12,356 12,887 13,016 13,18114,992
2013 2014 2015 2016 2020
59
41
Population aged <35 Population aged ≥35
Stabilized macro-economic indicators
5,6
90
7,1
62
6,5
20
8,6
90
9,0
00
9,8
50
16,9
50
18,4
30 2
5,4
50
26,4
80
MDA UZB UKR ARM GEO AZE BLR KAZ RUS
1,901 2,3643,482 3,527 4,100
6,185 6,520
8,235
10,446
MDA UKR GEO ARM AZE BLR UZB KAZ RUS
Average: 5,196
Adjusted PPP to Moldova's real population (2.8m)
Kcell Investor Day
7
30%
11%
7% 6% 6%
5%
4%
4%
27%
Netherlands
US
Switzerland
China
France
UK
Russia
BVI
Others
Macroeconomic environment (2/2)
FX correlates with Russian Rouble,
as Russia is an important trade
partner
…from a diversified range of
countries
Kazakhstan has attracted more
than US$280bn of FDI…
Growth to pick up driven by higher oil
prices and increased oil production
Exchange rate strengthened and is
now ~50% below 10-year average
Source: FactSet
Source: National Bank of Kazakhstan Source: National Bank of Kazakhstan
Source: EIU, FactSet
Confidence in decreasing inflation
demonstrated by cut in base rates
exchange rate (US$/KZT and US$/RUB)
Source: FactSet
US$/KZT vs. Brent price (2007-2017)
FDI by country (2016) gross inflows of FDI (US$m)
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Sep-15 Mar-16 Sep-16 Mar-17
Monetary stimulus to
boost domestic
growth
base rate (%)
Source: National Bank of Kazakhstan
GDP growth vs. Brent price (2007-2017)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
GDP growth (%) Brent oil (US$pb)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Jan-15 Aug-15 Mar-16 Oct-16 May-17
US$/KZT US$/RUB
Stabilisation
at a 1:5 ratio
Oil prices hit
record lows
Shift to free float on
20th August 2015
8
12
1921 21 22
2629
24 24
15
21
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
US$/KZT Brent oil (US$pb)
Kcell Investor Day
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National Security
Committee &
SORM
The new Technical Regulations for the Special Operational-Investigative Measures (SORM)
On 7 February 2017, the new TU SORM was published. From 8 February 2018, the new Technical Regulations for
SORM (TU SORM), which additionally provides new requirements for "blocking" and "traffic management" by SORM
will come into effect
Thus, it is supposed that SORM will switch from the passive use of SORM into an active intervention to the
management of telecommunications networks. The TU SORM will demand larger capacity from the operator. It can
also require the building of additional data centers, which in turn can lead to additional financial costs
Mobile Number
Portability
Introduced in 1st January 2016, MNP offers the opportunity to migrate to another operator with the same number. To
March 31st, on the Kcell network ~100,000 have departed and ~50,000 arrived
Kcell Investor Day
Regulatory environment
MTR and MVNOs
• In 2015, all mobile operators signed agreements to drop MTR from KZT 8 in 2015 to KZT 5 in 2016
• There are no ongoing discussions to change MTRs. MTRs are now in line with neighbouring countries
• There are currently no mobile virtual network operators (MVNOs) licensed in Kazakhstan
Liberalisation of
telecom market
• After Kazakhstan became a member of the WTO, the Government has to eliminate foreign ownership limits in the
domestic telecoms sector by April 2018
both international and fiber ownership will be liberalized, allowing to rent/lease the infrastructure from foreign
partners
9
1.6
2.4
3.6 3.9 4
.4
4.5 4.8 5.0
5.7
UKR GEO KAZ AZE BLR ARM MDA RUS UZB
Average: 4
42,1% 40,4% 40,0% 38,6% 38,9% 38,2% 38,6% 39,2%
37,2% 36,5% 36,2% 35,4% 36,2% 36,7% 36,6% 35,5%
6,2% 7,3% 7,6% 9.7%
14,5% 15,8% 16,2% 16,4%
24,9% 25,1% 24,9% 25,3%
Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16
Kcell Beeline Altel Tele2
31
41
51
75
2014 2015 2016 2019
24.3 24.3 25.4
2014 2015 2016
...and lower average fixed broadband penetration
than peers
Given significant 4G coverage and rising smartphone penetration,
most internet usage to be over mobile
After Tele2/Altel merge, Kcell is slowly
recovering market share
Strong market fundamentals
Source: WCIS Source: Official mobile operators report, BMI
Population penetration (%)
Mobile subscribers (m) Smartphone penetration (%)
Offering potential upside from lower average
ARPU than country peers… ARPU, 2016 (US$)
Sources: WCIS
MoU per month per subscriber
Dec-16 (%)
Subscriber market share (%)
Source: Official mobile operators reports
Source: GlobalComms (Dec-16)
9
33 35 4
1 48
56 57 6
3
88
UZB UKR KAZ GEO RUS MDA¹ AZE ARM BLR
Average: 48
Kcell Investor Day
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Main strategic business directions
MOBILE SOLUTIONS PARTNER
FOR ENTERPRISES MOBILE FMCG OPERATOR MOBILE URBAN OPERATOR
Strengthened product portfolio with fast and
efficient integration of new products and services
Solution oriented approach supported with clearly
defined delivery and maintenance processes
Focused on business solutions such as IoT, M2M
and Mobile Marketing
Bra
nd
Reliable partner for largest organizations by
utilizing mobile technologies to meet
customer needs
Tailored or boxed solutions for clients from
different business segments and industries
1 B2C B2B 2
Dedicated account managers
Partners
Ro
le
Building long-term and deep customer
relationships
Inviting newcomers, strengthening the
retention and identifying drivers of a relevant
customer’s migration to Kcell
Allows competing in the lower price customer
segments with continuous promotions
Sa
les
ch
an
ne
l
Exclusive retail and non-exclusive POS
Third party service providers,
independent dealers, distributors and retailers
Exclusive retail, franchised mono-brands
The internet is a key channel to promote and
sell Kcell’s products and services
CUSTOMER CENTRICITY
Prevalence of client needs —
“one-to-one client treatment”
Integrated system of sales and customer care
Focus on Customer retention
EFFICIENCY
Efficiency versus volume
Selective channel mix
Str
ate
gy
CUSTOMER-ACQUIRING
Promote consumption of the data, by selling the
appropriate range of demanded smartphones
(including at minimum prices for the ultimate
decrease of the entry threshold for subscribers)
Kcell Investor Day
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Two well defined B2C segments…
Belongers (40%)
Age: 35-60
Value: low
Conscious
achievers (7%)
Age: 30-55
Value : high
Emulators/
Wanna be (15%)
Age: 20-35
Value: low
Social
trendsetters (10%)
Age: 20-30
Value: high
Young
Explorers (19.7%)
Age: 16-25
Value: high
Life
Builders (24.5%)
Age: 25-40
Value: average
Leadership provider Connection enabler
1
MOBILE FMCG OPERATOR MOBILE URBAN OPERATOR
• Providing customers with easy, user friendly products
with an accessible way to manage their accounts
• An emotional communication stressed on
simplicity and values
Brand value • Delivering a superior and differentiated customer
experience with solutions that meet their changing
needs
Communication
strategy
• Focus on delivering the promise of “helping
customers stay/become a leader”
Advertising
channels
• Big or image formats of OOH, TV, Internet,
PR, sponsorship of a variety of national
events
• Dedicated OOH, Radio, Internet,
sponsorship of a variety of industrial local
events and promotions
Positioning
Target audience
Kcell Investor Day
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Wide product portfolio to satisfy customers needs…
MOBILE FMCG OPERATOR
1
MOBILE URBAN OPERATOR
Single-SIM bundle with voice,
text and data allowing customers
to benefit from the Kcell’ network
Voice, Messages
Data
Bundles
Contract phones
OTT Entertainment
Mobile Finance
Bundled Stand alone
Kcell Investor Day
Innovative products and
services offered to an
individual and community
13
1,4
2,5
4,7 5,2
20152016 20152016
…combined with the best contract phones, which are a great
differentiation tool and revenue generator…
Most
attractive
smartphone
portfolio
Direct contracts with the
best sellers to ensure
the best market offer
Iconic device pre-order
campaigns followed by
official launches
Life-circle promo-
campaigns in
cooperation with vendors
1
2
3
to drive smartphone penetration
1
Annual
upgrade
Trade-in
program
Bundles
enlarge
Operational
leasing
…and share in KZ smartphone market
in units
in revenue
DEC'15
DEC'16
41%
50%
2015 2016
… with focus
on
contract
offers
6, 12, 18 and 24 month
instalment based on
efficient scoring
system
Wide range of
integrated voice, text
and data offers
1
2
In 2016, the share of contract
phones among all the phones
sold at Kcell retail stores
amounted to 90%.
4G-smartphone share reached
85% of all the smartphones sold
4G 4G smartphone share among
all smartphones in Kcell’
network in 2016 increased
from 23.8% to 38.4%
compared to 2015
Kcell Investor Day
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…and drive data usage
Data revenues have large upside after the elimination of unlimited 4G offers in the cheapest bundles
Pricing pressure subsided in 2H2016
• The market is saturated by the high amount of data being incorporated in
subscription bundles
• In 2016, data was used as a competitive tool as more data capacity became
available, with the introduction of 4G
• Competitors started offering “unlimited free 4G” traffic in 2016, making it very
difficult to grow data revenues under such competitive pressure
• Offers started to readjust in 2017, and the “unlimited free 4G” offers have
been withdrawn from the market in the beginning of 2017
Average revenue per MB (KZT)
1
…enabling high growth in revenue
25.327.7
30.6
37.9
43.2
Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17
…driving data traffic… Growing bundle penetration…
Kcell' data traffic (millions of GB) Kcell' data revenue growth, YoY (%)
The 4G launch and
focus on contract
phones sales have led
to the increasing
number of bundle
users
Q1’16
~32%
Q1’17
~65%
Bundle subs’ share in revenue
Q1’16
~ 40%
Q1’17
~ 45%
Bundle subs as % of smartphone users
Q2’16 Q3’16 Q4’16 Q1’17 -1.0
3.8
6.9
11.1
15.9
Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17
Kcell Investor Day
0,4 0,4
0,3 0,3 0,3
Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17
15
…while promote strategic adjacencies…
OTT services have a great brand equity in the market…
1
…and appreciation among Kcell subscribers
Online
commerce
Connected
devices Mobile
marketing Big Data
2.3M musical
compositions
(LLP "Center")
850K e-books on
13 languages
(“Enaza Dev” Ltd.)
~120 TV-channels
(“Terraline”
“Silk Way Media”)
2016
2017
>70 most
popular
magazines
(Zero Gravity)
~100K movies
and TV-shows
(Megogo,
Amediateka)
~60 various
services (‘Prime
Source’,’Wooppay’)
Q3’16 Q1’16 Q4’16 Q2’16
OTT users, ‘000
29 35 50
122
Kcell Investor Day
16
Convenient and flexible omnichannel ecosystem
Physical &
remote
channels
Digital
channels
Exclu
siv
e
PO
S
30
Non-
exclu
siv
e
PO
S
~1
6,0
00
La
rge
reta
ilers
~2
00
Call
ce
nte
rs
3
Intensive sales channels mix Efficient sales channels mix
Cen
ters
of
exp
erie
nce
Se
lecte
d
reta
ilers
Fre
ela
nce
rs
Inte
gra
ted
ca
ll ce
nte
r
Str
ee
t sa
les
Kcell’ website activ’ website
Informational websites Sales oriented digital channels
E-commerce Mobile
commerce
Social
media
The traditional footprint The transforming footprint
1
Kcell develops an omnichannel strategy to improve customer reach and add flexibility in communication with a customer
1 All operators have seen reduction in their ability to capture new subscribers
2 Consumers evolved by becoming more sophisticated and demanding with products and price aware due to
Internet access
3 Kcell develops the sales channels to address different segments of the client base according to their demand,
preferences and habits
Kcell Investor Day
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9,4 10,2
11,9
2014 2015 2016
Delivering vision…
Customer-centric digital partner Long-term, reliable partnership with single point for all digital needs for Enterprise and SME segments
…via strong distribution and service strategy…
> 80 key account managers and delivery experts with
personal approach to all larger enterprises
> 25 SME accounts selling via telesales, key partners
and online channels
Kcell self-service and cross-sales systems
1
2
3
Exceptional and proactive service with comprehensive
CRM system in place and in-house call centre 4
…resulting in…
#1 in the market — the best positioned of the
three operators to develop business solutions for
enterprises (around 61% market share)
Best solutions partner for enterprises… 2
B2B revenues (KZT bn)
Focus on up-sale of mobile solutions such as IoT, M2M
and Mobile Marketing 5
Kcell Investor Day
18
…with large variety of products to satisfy the demanding client's needs…
Covering needs of customers at all organisational levels
Organizational sector Enterprise SME & SOHO
Mobile Core
Marketing
Operations
Service
Contract phones, Tariffs, Bundles Co
re
Bulk SMS, Big Data
InfoPort
Business telephony, IoT, Software sales, Mobile Scoring
Kcell Cloud (IaaS), Security systems Virtual PBX, Mobile Office
e-Commerce Platform
Short number (4 digits) Short number (5 digits)
Business Pulse CRM for sale
2
Bu
sin
ess s
olu
tio
ns
Kcell Investor Day
19
…and objective to retain the leading position in B2B
Key strategic moves cement the core and…
High quality of all business solutions
Contract phone sales with lock-in periods
Long subscription contracts
1
2
3
Unite billing system 4 51% of sales via Business Solutions
…upsell additional business solutions
Innovative telecom and IT services
Dedicated customer care
Account management
1
2
3
Shifting from product to customer centricity
• Commercial proposals
• Meetings
• Business behavior
Interested
• Speed of delivery
• Seamless delivery
Become a customer
• Self-service
• Everything works
• Buy more
Be a customer
• Exceptional service
• Proactive service
Don’t want to leave
…with clear customer journey
Cost Saving
M2M
Mobile Core
KcellCloud
Office365
Efficiency Improvement
Mobile
PBX
Mobile Employee
Revolver
Marketing and Sales
BulkSMS
Big Data
InfoPort
CRM
Business Sustainability
KcellCloud
DDosprotection
Software
Goal
Provide a solution to client’s pains and needs rather than just sell a product…
2
Kcell Investor Day
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B2B case study — key client example 2
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 TOTAL
2014 2015 2016
Local Bank Revenue growth —key client example
Marketing and
Sales
• Short number with single contract (including off-net calls)
• Dynamic pool and random change of CallCenter “Caller’s ID”
• New Geo-Targeted SMS
Improve
efficiency
• Customized PBX (new SIP codes developed)
• Single SMS contracts and Unique SMS Sending Platform (SMSGW 2.0)
Sustainable
business
• One time SMS passwords
• 24/7 SLA on SMS + High capacity connection
Customer needs Kcell solutions
Kcell Investor Day
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Commercial strategy focused on Customer Centricity and Customer Value
1 Maintaining leadership position in both consumer and enterprise segment
2 Three main business directions moving towards a more balanced customer base across urban, B2B and
mass market users
3 Focus on contract phones sales increases the smartphone penetration among the customer base and drives
mobile data consumption
4 OTT services have a great brand equity in the market and growing appreciation among the customer base
5 Kcell develops an omnichannel strategy to improve customer reach and add flexibility in communication with
a customer
Kcell Investor Day
6 Become customer-centric digital and IT partner for enterprises
23
1
2
3
Today Plans
TRANSMISSION
CORE & IT
RADIO ACCESS NETWORK
• Largest network with best coverage
• Different technologies used in radio
access network
• Single RAN network
• Shared network where possible with
unilateral options
• Scattered IT systems with dedicated
post and prepaid billing
• Modernized Packet Core and fully
redundant Voice Core
• One convergent billing system
• Consolidation of Data Center facilities
• Build Cloud infrastructure for own and
customers need
• Virtualization of core network
elements
• Leased inter-city and international
capacity
• Owned or long-term leased inter-city
and international transmission
network
Technology snapshot
Kcell Investor Day
24
6.6
The largest network with fast deployment of nationwide 4G network
4G 3G 2G
40.0
73.1 96.1
Beeline 70.0 ~95.0
Tele2/Altel 55.0 na 92.0
Population coverage
Spectrum position relative to peers Allocated frequencies (MHz)
1
3
Current population network coverage (%)
• Since 2014, 900 MHz frequency has technology neutrality.
However, Kcell has a limited and scattered spectrum not
allowing usage of 3G and LTE
• 2.6GHz frequencies are not allowed for cellular use. However,
they are expected to be allowed for use in the mid-term 10.0 10.0 20.0 10.0 40.0
20.0 10.0 5.0 15.0
20.0 10.0 15.0 25.0 6.6
800 900 1,800 2,100 2,600
Network map
Kcell Investor Day
Tele2/Altel
Beeline
25
Intercity transmission
Kazakhstan transmission networks
to Russia
(Samara)
to Russia
(Astrakhan)
to Kyrgyzstan
(Bishkek)
to China
Bautino to China
to Uzbekistan
(Tashkent)
to Russia
(Ozinki)
to Uzbekistan
(Kungrad)
Aktau
Astana
Karaganda
Pavlodar
Oskemen
Kyzylorda
Kokshetau
Zhezkazgan
Semey
Balkhash
Kalamkas
Kumkol
Almaty
Aktogay Atyrau
Uralsk
Kulsary
Kostanay
Shymkent
Zhanazhol
Petropavl.
Ekibastuz
Taldykurgan
Chu
Taraz
Zhem
Aktobe
Aksay
Tengiz
North West
South
East
Km provided for each company
1
2
3
Options on further transmission leasing…
Rent from other providers
Build own transmission network
Continue to rent capacity from Kazakhtelecom
Kazakhtelecom 15,000 km
TNS+ (KaR-TeL) 13,000 km
Transtelecom 9,000 km
KazTransCom 5,000 km
Combination of own build, share and lease from another
provider 4
Kcell Investor Day
26
IT snapshot
• Two Billing Systems
– ORGA for prepaid subscribers
– AMDOCS for postpaid subscribers
• Two different product catalogues
• Two CRM systems
• In-house developed integration layer
• Different in-house developed applications
• Complex integration
• Long time to market
• High OPEX cost
• Central workflow engine for handling of all
processes
• Convergent billing system
• Information centric view
– Information defined according to a TMF standard
– Standardization of data model
• Integration layer
– Flexible integration of different applications and systems
– Double data transformation
• Processes and rules
– Business processes are defined without coded rules (through configurations)
– Rules defined and executed in separate rule engines
TODAY TARGET
Implementation of convergent billing system is ongoing (Phase I is finished)
Kcell Investor Day
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Modernizing network/IT and planning for transmission independence
1 Fast deployment of nationwide 4G network
2 Implementing convergent billing system
3 Currently leasing intercity transmission mainly from Kazakhtelecom. Planning alternatives including self-built
and long-term lease from other providers
Kcell Investor Day
29
Improving revenue and interconnect trends
(15,7) (15,1)
(11,6)
(8,1)
(1,5)
9,9 9,7
9,9 10,0 10,0
Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17
y-o-y change Subscribers
(1,0)
3,8
6,9
11,1
15,9
Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17
(18,5) (19,7)
(18,0)
(14,6)
(9,6)
Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17
Service revenue growth Data revenue growth
Voice revenue growth Quarterly local interconnect balance
(45,0)
(101,0)
(133,0)
(92,0)
191.0
Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17
(YoY %) (YoY %)
(YoY %) (KZTm)
Kcell Investor Day
30
Q1 2017 trading update – cost trends
EBITDA
Net income CAPEX-to-sales ratio
(KZT bn)
14,8 14,4 14,2 14,5 13,1
42,1
39,4 38,6 37,9
37,0
Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17
EBITDA % margin
6,5
4,7 4,4
1,0
3,9
Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17
12,2 11,2 11,0
17,0 16,7
FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 Q1 2017
(KZT bn) (%)
Main cost drivers
(KZT bn)
• The acquisition of KazNetMedia in Q1-16
resulted in a small decrease of EBITDA.
• Q4 2016 net income was impacted negatively
by a tax provision of KZT3.9bn as a result of an
ongoing tax audit
• Capex-to-sales ratio has remained broadly
constant but is subject to FX movements, since
the Government's decision to allow a freely
floating exchange rate
Kcell Investor Day
5,6 6,4 6,8 6,9 5,9
3,7 3,9 3,9 3,6
4,2
2,3 2,4 2,6 2,7 2,6 1,0 1,1 1,1 1,1 1,2 2,7 2,8 2,9 2,8 2,7
-
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
12,0
14,0
16,0
18,0
20,0
Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17
Personnel cost
Frequency usage
Transmission rent
Network maintenance
Interconnect cost
31
7 clear, measurable and structured initiatives to increase efficiency
in the near future (1/2)
Distribution
network
development
• Expanding the exclusive shop concept by franchising
• Scoring system development for a higher acceptance
rate
• Switch current dealers' fixed bonus scheme to unified
based on revenue sharing
• Development of Kcell franchised shops
1 • Increase customer flow, convenience and willingness
for the purchase – shop efficiency boosting
• Increase device’s turnover – assortment
efficiency boosting
• Optimise non exclusive channel cost
• Optimise sales channel enlargement
Description Expected outcome
Kcell Investor Day
Convergent
billing
• Chose Amdocs to design, implement and deliver a
“Convergent Charging and Billing System”
• Will allow the use of one billing system for multiple
business, products, technologies and billing methods
• Transformation of Kcell’s existing billing systems, full
system integration to Kcell’s network components and
implementation using unified next generation Amdocs
billing system
• Replacing existing legacy systems
• Full compliance to anti-monopoly regulations
and requests
2
Digital
transformation
program
• Improving processes and organization
• Customer interaction
3 • Improve organizational effectiveness
• Digitize customer interactions to improve sales and
customer retention
32
7 clear, measurable and structured initiatives to increase efficiency
in the near future (2/2)
Network sharing
• 4G network sharing based on geographic split between
Kcell and KaR-TeL (Beeline Kazakhstan)
• May be extended to 2G/3G sharing
• 3-party rural network sharing
7 • Faster roll out of 4G services
• Capex savings
• Site maintenance cost savings
Description Expected outcome
Kcell Investor Day
Modernization
project
4 • New database structure by Oracle Super Cluster
• SWAP of radio access network supplier, ZTE, with
Ericsson in West Kazakhstan
• Modernization programs (DWDM, CUDB, IP, MPLS)
• Improvement of customer management and support for
future services
• OPEX decrease and data base consolidation
• Network quality improvement in west of Kazakhstan
• Improvement of network capacity and redundancy on
city level
FLM restructuring
• Replacing outsourced, non-optimal field line
maintenance (FLM) provider by more efficient and
modern insourced capabilities
• OPEX decrease
• Improvement of network quality
• Transparent cost control, process oriented structure,
service control, one culture team
5
Transmission
project
• Evaluate all possible alternatives for transmission,
including lease from other providers and self-build • Low cost transport of capacity and traffic
• Control over both future capacity and costs
• Reduce risk of lack of capacity and price increases
from current backbone providers
• Satisfy long-term data transmission needs
6
33
The main drivers influencing financial results
Driver Implications
Ongoing process of changing of regulatory rules for
tariff changes
Will make it easier to increase tariffs
Increasing contract phone sales Service margins on contract phones are significantly higher, but
will require more exclusive stores and increase of working capital.
Developing the urban mobile segment Leadership in premium segments by advanced adjacent/OTT
services to facilitate price premium
Expanding B2B solutions services Expanding service offerings to become a one stop digital provider
requires human resources and advanced delivery platforms
Inter-city transmission Securing long term capacity and cost of transmission is a high
priority, and may require up-front investments.
Network maintenance and site costs Controlling costs by in-sourcing and taking control of network
maintenance and expanding network sharing opportunities where
possible
Kcell Investor Day