Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko...
Transcript of Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko...
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Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH)October 2009
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Introduction and methodology
Quantitative research using faceQuantitative research using face--toto--face methodface method
Sample size n=1500 respoSample size n=1500 responndents aged 18+dents aged 18+
TwoTwo--stage stratified random sample (stratification by region and stage stratified random sample (stratification by region and settlement type)settlement type)
Data collection timing: 8Data collection timing: 8 to to 2323 October 2009October 2009
Party ratings were obtained using Party ratings were obtained using ““secret ballotsecret ballotss””
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General issuesGeneral issues | right | right –– wrong directionwrong direction
Government Government performanceperformance
EU / NATO integrationEU / NATO integration
Voting preferences among likely votersVoting preferences among likely voters
Opinions on Opinions on BiHBiH’’ss territorial organizationterritorial organization
Policy issuesPolicy issues
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General issuesGeneral issuesMore than twoMore than two--thirds (83%) of all citizens think that thirds (83%) of all citizens think that BiHBiH is going in the wrong direction. is going in the wrong direction.
The percentage of those who think that The percentage of those who think that BiHBiH is going in right direction is higher in the is going in right direction is higher in the RepublikaRepublika SrpskaSrpska (22%) and in the (22%) and in the BrckoBrcko District (31%) than in the Federation of District (31%) than in the Federation of BiHBiH (7%). (7%).
More than half (51%) of citizens believe that their life is worsMore than half (51%) of citizens believe that their life is worse and onee and one--third says that their third says that their life is the same (35%). The percentage of those who think that tlife is the same (35%). The percentage of those who think that their life is better is heir life is better is somewhat higher among those with higher education and professionsomewhat higher among those with higher education and professional rank.al rank.
Two thirds (66%) of citizens see unemployment as main problem thTwo thirds (66%) of citizens see unemployment as main problem that at BiHBiH is facing today. is facing today. The other two main problems are crime (29%) and corruption (27%)The other two main problems are crime (29%) and corruption (27%)
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Bosnia-Herzegovina’s major political parties
Federation-based parties• Bosnian Party (BOSS)• Bosnian Patriotic Party (BPS) • Civic Democratic Party (GDS) • Croatian Democratic Union 1990
(HDZ 1990)• Croatian Democratic Union of
Bosnia Herzegovina (HDZ-BiH) • New Croatian Initiative - Croatian
Peasants’ Party (NHI-HSS) • Democratic National Union (DNZ) • Liberal Democratic Party (LDS)• Nasa Stranka (NS) • Party of Democratic Action (SDA)• Party for Bosnia-Herzegovina
(SBiH) • Social Democratic Party (SDP)
Republika Srpska-based parties• Democratic Party (DP) • Democratic People's Union (DNS) • Party of Democratic Progress
(PDP)• Party of Independent Social
Democrats (SNSD)• Socialist Party of Republika
Srpska (SPRS)• Serb Democratic Party (SDS) • Serb Radical Party (SRS) RS• Serb Radical Party (SRS) VS
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Right–wrong direction – by party preference
13%27%
8% 10% 20%2% 13% 4% 1%
50%
6%20%
4% 11% 10% 6%
83%67%
89% 85%73%
96% 87% 93% 97%
48%
94%80%
96% 89% 86% 88%
4% 7% 3% 5% 7% 2% 0% 3% 2% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 6%
Right direction
Wrong direction
DK NA
Who
le s
ampl
e
SNSD
SDP
SDA
-
SDS
HD
Z
STR
AN
KA
ZA
BIH
BPS
SBB
BiH
PDP
RS
NS
RA
DO
M Z
A B
OLJ
ITA
K
NA
ŠA S
TRA
NK
A
SRS
HD
Z 19
90
Oth
er
Do
not w
ant t
o sa
y
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Biggest problems facing BiH today
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General issuesGeneral issues | right | right –– wrong directionwrong direction
Government Government performanceperformance
EU / NATO integrationEU / NATO integration
Voting preferences among likely votersVoting preferences among likely voters
Opinions on Opinions on BiHBiH territorial organizationterritorial organization
Policy issuesPolicy issues
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Among the five top priorities for the government, respondents raAmong the five top priorities for the government, respondents ranked the reduction of nked the reduction of unemployment (73%) as most important, followed by improvements tunemployment (73%) as most important, followed by improvements to the standard of living o the standard of living (71%), reduction of crime and corruption (69%), improvements of (71%), reduction of crime and corruption (69%), improvements of the situation of war the situation of war victims (65%), and EU accession (64%). However, EU accession as victims (65%), and EU accession (64%). However, EU accession as a top single priority a top single priority ranked first for 34%, before the reduction of unemployment (32%)ranked first for 34%, before the reduction of unemployment (32%) and the improvement of and the improvement of the situation of war victims (30%). Only 13% of the respondents the situation of war victims (30%). Only 13% of the respondents gave constitutional reform gave constitutional reform the first rank, and merely 17% opted for the protection of theithe first rank, and merely 17% opted for the protection of their ethnic group as their first r ethnic group as their first priority. priority.
Government dissatisfaction mirrors citizensGovernment dissatisfaction mirrors citizens’’ top priorities: 89% of respondents are top priorities: 89% of respondents are unsatisfied or very unsatisfied with the reduction of unemploymeunsatisfied or very unsatisfied with the reduction of unemployment and 88% with both the nt and 88% with both the reduction crime and corruption and the improvement of the standreduction crime and corruption and the improvement of the standard of living. ard of living.
On the other hand, 29% are satisfied or very satisfied with the On the other hand, 29% are satisfied or very satisfied with the protection of their ethnic protection of their ethnic group and the return of the refugees and displaced persons, whilgroup and the return of the refugees and displaced persons, while 28% are satisfied or very e 28% are satisfied or very satisfied with tourism development. RS citizens and SNSD voters satisfied with tourism development. RS citizens and SNSD voters are slightly more satisfied are slightly more satisfied with RS government performance on reduction of crime and corruptwith RS government performance on reduction of crime and corruption than respondents in ion than respondents in the Federation.the Federation.
Concerning government performance on EU accession, citizens in Concerning government performance on EU accession, citizens in the the RepublikaRepublika SrpskaSrpska, , and among them potential voters of SNSD and PDP, are more satisfand among them potential voters of SNSD and PDP, are more satisfied than citizens of the ied than citizens of the Federation. Federation.
Government performance
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Most important tasks for governmentImagine yourself in a situation where you determine the government’s most important tasks that must be done.
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Level of satisfaction with issues related to government performance (slide 1 of 2)How satisfied are you with the current government’s way of solving the following issues:
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Level of satisfaction with issues related to government performance (slide 2 of 2)How satisfied are you with the current government’s way of solving the following issues:
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Government performance – European Union accession
38% 39%
68%
37% 40%54%
27%13%
48%22% 26%
15%
47% 38%25%
41% 39% 45%30% 23%
78%
43%
3%
66%42%
54%
42% 48%28%
48% 57%45% 36% 33%
45% 35%52%
32%45%
59%38%
55% 53%35%
63%39%
17%31%
47%34% 39% 34%
14% 7% 3% 10% 2% 0%
30% 36%
4%
32% 22%43%
5% 3%23%
3% 6% 12% 7%33%
0%
27% 22%0% 10% 9%
3% 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 6% 9% 1% 7% 0% 8% 2% 0% 7% 0% 2% 4% 0% 6% 0% 0%24%
0% 3% 0%
3% 4% 1% 2% 0% 1% 2% 9% 1% 5% 0% 3% 1% 1% 8% 1% 0% 4% 0% 0% 5% 0% 4% 0% 6% 3%
Very unsatisfied
Unsatisfied
Satisfied
Very satisfied
DK NA
Who
le s
ampl
e
Sara
jevo
regi
on
Tuzl
a re
gion
Bih
acre
gion
Sred
nja
Bos
nare
gion
Her
cego
vina
regi
on
Nor
th R
S &
Brc
ko
East
RS
FBIH
RS
Dis
tric
t Brc
ko
SNSD
SDP
SDA
SDS
HD
Z
STR
AN
KA
ZA
BIH
BPS
SBB
BIH
PDP
RS
NS
RZB
NA
ŠA S
TRA
NK
A
SRS
HD
Z 19
90
Ost
ale
Don
’t w
ant t
o sa
y
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Government performance - Raising the standard of living
54% 62%77%
51% 55% 65%39% 42%
63%40%
23% 31%57% 54% 46%
67% 58% 60%82%
42%
73%52% 52%
81%54% 63%
34% 34%21%
32% 41% 33% 37% 41% 32% 38%21%
39% 36% 41% 35% 30% 37% 34%18%
42%23% 26% 23% 19%
33% 30%
9% 2% 2%13% 3% 2%
19% 10% 3%16%
35% 28%4% 4% 9% 4% 2% 5% 0%
12%0%
14% 5% 0% 8% 5%
2% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 2% 2% 1% 2%20%
0% 2% 1% 5% 0% 3% 1% 0% 4% 0% 8% 14%0% 1% 1%
2% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 2% 5% 1% 3% 0% 3% 1% 0% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 5% 0% 4% 1%
Who
le s
ampl
e
Sara
jevo
regi
on
Tuzl
a re
gion
Bih
acre
gion
Sred
nja
Bos
nare
gion
Her
cego
vina
regi
on
Nor
th R
S &
Brc
ko
East
RS
FBIH
RS
Dis
tric
t Brc
ko
SNSD
SDP
SDA
SDS
HD
Z
STR
AN
KA
ZA
BIH
BPS
SBB
BIH
PDP
RS
NS
RZB
NA
ŠA S
TRA
NK
A
SRS
HD
Z 19
90
othe
r
Don
’t w
ant t
o sa
y
Very unsatisfied
Unsatisfied
Satisfied
Very satisfied
DK NA
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Government performance - Reduction of corruption and crime
58%72% 80%
57% 56% 64%43% 46%
66%44%
27% 35%61% 58%
48%62% 55%
78% 75%
26%
62%49% 50%
75%63% 71%
30% 24% 16% 23%39% 31% 31% 41%
28% 35% 35% 36% 30% 39% 34% 32% 35%19% 24%
66%
30% 21% 16% 25% 21% 22%
9% 1% 2% 11% 4% 4%19%
9% 4%15%
34%24%
4% 3% 12% 6% 4% 3% 1% 2% 4%
30% 20%0% 8% 5%
2% 1% 1% 6% 1% 0% 5% 1% 1% 4% 5% 3% 3% 0% 1% 0% 5% 0% 0% 6% 0% 0%14%
0% 4% 1%
1% 1% 2% 2% 0% 0% 2% 3% 1% 2% 0% 2% 1% 0% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 0% 0% 3% 1%
Who
le s
ampl
e
Sara
jevo
regi
on
Tuzl
a re
gion
Bih
acre
gion
Sred
nja
Bos
nare
gion
Her
cego
vina
regi
on
Nor
th R
S &
Brc
ko
East
WER
S
FBIH
RS
Dis
tric
t Brc
ko
SNSD
SDP
SDA
SDS
HD
Z
STR
AN
KA
ZA
BIH
BPS
SBB
BIH
PDP
RS
NS
RZB
NA
ŠA S
TRA
NK
A
SRS
HD
Z 19
90
othe
r
Don
’t w
ant t
o sa
y
Very unsatisfied
Unsatisfied
Satisfied
Very satisfied
DK NA
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Government performance – Reduction of unemployment
62% 73% 79%56% 65% 66%
50% 55%69%
51%30%
41%63% 68% 59% 64% 57%
80% 80%
41%
84%
61%43%
78% 70% 70%
27% 23% 17% 26% 31% 28% 26% 34% 25% 29% 27% 30% 31% 28% 28% 33% 34%20% 19%
49%
11% 13% 22% 15% 16% 25%
8% 2% 2%14% 3% 5%
18% 7% 4% 14%30% 24%
5% 4% 9% 3% 6% 0% 0% 3% 0%21% 17% 6% 8% 4%
2% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 5% 3% 0% 4% 13% 4% 1% 1% 2% 0% 3% 0% 1% 6% 0% 5%19%
0% 3% 1%
1% 1% 2% 2% 0% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 0% 0% 3% 1%
Who
le s
ampl
e
Sara
jevo
regi
on
Tuzl
a re
gion
Bih
acre
gion
Sred
nja
Bos
nare
gion
Her
cego
vina
regi
on
Nor
th R
S &
Brc
ko
East
RS
FBIH
RS
Dis
tric
t Brc
ko
SNSD
SDP
SDA
SDS
HD
Z
STR
AN
KA
ZA
BIH
BPS
SBB
BIH
PDP
RS
NS
RZB
NA
ŠA S
TRA
NK
A
SRS
HD
Z 19
90
othe
r
Don
’t w
ant t
o sa
y
Very unsatisfied
Unsatisfied
Satisfied
Very satisfied
DK NA
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General issuesGeneral issues | right | right –– wrong directionwrong direction
Government Government performanceperformance
EU / NATO integrationEU / NATO integration
Voting preferences among likely votersVoting preferences among likely voters
Opinions in Opinions in BiHBiH’’ss territorial arrangementsterritorial arrangements
Policy issuesPolicy issues
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Support accession to EU– whole sampleDo you personally support or oppose BiH accession to the EU?
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Support accession to EU– by entityDo you personally support or oppose BiH accession to the EU?
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Support accession to EU– by demographyDo you personally support or oppose BiH accession to the EU?
Completely support
Somewhat support
Somewhat do not support
Completely do not support
DK NA
61% 60% 61% 59% 53%67% 64% 63% 60% 61% 58% 56% 62% 70% 64% 59% 60% 56%
26% 24% 27% 25% 33%22% 22% 25% 26% 27% 29% 29% 23% 18% 24% 29% 26% 20%
6% 7% 6% 8% 7% 5% 6% 4% 7% 6% 8% 6% 8% 4% 5% 7% 7% 10%
6% 8% 4% 7% 7% 5% 6% 7% 6% 5% 5% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 5% 13%
1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 2% 2% 0% 1% 0%
Who
le s
ampl
e
Mal
e
Fem
ale
18-2
9
30-4
4
45-5
9
60 +
Prim
ary
scho
ol
Seco
ndar
y sc
hool
Hig
h sc
hool
-facu
lty
Empl
oyed
Une
mpl
oyed
Pupi
l-stu
dent
Ret
ired
Man
agem
ent a
nd e
xper
t
Cle
rk
Wor
ker
Oth
er
Gender Age Education OccupationWorking status
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61%77%
91%
57%75%
53%36% 47%
74%
40%28%
58% 63% 74%62%
41%62% 59% 61% 65%
53% 61% 62%
26%14% 7%
26% 21% 32% 43%29% 18%
38% 43%27% 25% 19% 24%
36%21% 26% 27% 22%
34% 28% 23%
6% 2% 0% 9% 2% 12% 10% 9% 4% 10%23%
8% 5% 3% 9% 11% 5% 6% 5% 5% 8% 8% 8%
6% 6% 2% 6% 1% 4% 9% 13% 3% 11% 5% 6% 6% 3% 5% 10% 12% 8% 5% 7% 5% 3% 5%
1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 2%
Who
le s
ampl
e
Sara
jevo
regi
on
Tuzl
a re
gion
Bih
acre
gion
Sred
nja
Bos
nare
gion
Her
cego
vina
regi
on
Nor
th R
S &
Brc
ko
East
RS
FBIH
RS
Dis
tric
t Brc
ko
Rur
al
Urb
an
Bos
niak
Cro
at
Serb
Oth
er
No
inco
me
Up
to 3
00 K
M
301-
500
KM
501-
800
KM
801
and
mor
e K
M
NA
/DK
Support accession to EU– by geographyDo you personally support or oppose BiH accession to the EU?
Region Entity Nationality Type of settlement Personal income
Completely support
Somewhat support
Somewhat do not support
Completely do not support
DK NA
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22
61%41%
80%69%
30%
51%
75% 80%
45% 48%
82%70%
38%53%
63% 65%
26%37%
16%25%
46%31%
11%20%
40% 38%
8%18% 13%
39%21% 22%
6% 12%3% 4% 10% 14% 9%
0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 5% 3% 9% 5%
6% 8% 1% 0%11% 4% 6% 0%
11% 12% 11% 12%
39%
6% 7% 6%
1% 2% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 4% 0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 1% 2%
Who
le s
ampl
e
SNSD
SDP
SDA
SDS
HD
Z
STR
AN
KA
ZA
BPS
SBB
BiH
PDP
RS
NS
RA
DO
M Z
NA
ŠA S
TRA
N
SRS
RS
HD
Z 19
90
Oth
er
Don
t wan
t to
say
Support accession to EU– by party preferenceDo you personally support or oppose BiH accession to the EU?
Completely support
Somewhat support
Somewhat do not support
Completely do not support
DK NA
![Page 23: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
23
Support for joining NATO – whole sampleDo you personally support or oppose BiH NATO membership?
![Page 24: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
24
Support for joining NATO – by entityDo you personally support or oppose BiH NATO membership?
![Page 25: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
25
Support for joining NATO – by ethnicityDo you personally support or oppose BiH NATO membership?
![Page 26: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
26
Support for joining NATO – by demographyDo you personally support or oppose BiH NATO membership?
44% 45% 44% 43% 40%49% 46% 48% 42% 49% 44% 40% 43% 50% 51% 50% 43% 38%
24% 23% 26% 26% 28%20% 24% 26% 23% 26% 26% 24% 24% 21% 25% 29% 24%
16%
8% 9% 7% 9% 10% 8% 5% 3% 10% 8% 11% 7% 6% 4% 7% 6% 9% 14%
19% 22% 17% 20% 20% 19% 18% 16% 21% 15% 17% 21% 24% 19% 14% 15% 20% 26%
4% 1% 7% 2% 3% 4% 8% 7% 4% 3% 1% 7% 2% 6% 3% 1% 3% 6%
Who
le s
ampl
e
Mal
e
Fem
ale
18-2
9
30-4
4
45-5
9
60 +
Prim
ary
scho
ol
Seco
ndar
y sc
hool
Hig
h sc
hool
-facu
lty
Empl
oyed
Une
mpl
oyed
Pupi
l-stu
dent
Ret
ired
Man
agem
ent a
nd e
xper
t
Cle
rk
Wor
ker
Oth
er
Gender Age Education OccupationWorking status
Completely support
Somewhat support
Somewhat do not support
Completely do not support
DK NA
![Page 27: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
27
Completely support
Somewhat support
Somewhat do not support
Completely do not support
DKNA
Sred
nja
Bos
nare
gion
44%32%
60% 52%
12% 12%
63%
12%
44% 42% 47%61% 64%
16%37% 40% 43% 41% 37%
56% 50%
24% 27% 34% 36% 27%10%
26% 21%31% 23% 25% 25% 28% 21% 30% 26% 24% 20%
33%24% 22%
8% 17%2% 10% 18%
7% 5%14% 6% 10% 7% 4% 6% 13% 12% 6% 7% 9% 10% 10% 8%
19% 21%1% 2%
40%61%
4%
47%
15% 21% 18%5% 3%
44%
17% 24% 18% 25% 16% 10% 18%
4% 2% 3% 1% 4% 10% 3% 6% 4% 5% 4% 4% 0% 6% 3% 5% 8% 5% 3% 1% 3%
Who
le s
ampl
e
Bih
acre
gion
Her
cego
vina
regi
on
Nor
th R
S &
Brc
ko
East
RS
FBIH
RS
Dis
tric
t Brc
ko
Rur
al
Urb
an
Bos
niak
Cro
at
Serb
Oth
er
No
inco
me
Up
to 3
00 K
M
301-
500
KM
501-
800
KM
801
and
mor
e K
M
NA
/DK
Support for joining NATO – by geographyDo you personally support or oppose BiH NATO membership?
Region Entity Nationality Type of
settlement Personal income
![Page 28: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
28
44%
14%
66%55%
8%
60% 64% 68%49%
13%
64% 62%
18%41% 40% 50%
24% 21% 26% 28% 20% 26% 18% 26%43%
8% 16% 22%8%
54%
26% 23%
8% 14% 4% 6% 12% 9% 9% 0% 5% 9% 4% 0%20%
6% 10% 7%
19%46%
2% 7%
49%
5% 2% 4% 2%
71%
10% 16%
49%
0%21% 14%
4% 5% 2% 4% 11%0% 7% 2% 0% 0% 5% 0% 5% 0% 2% 6%
Who
le s
ampl
e
SNSD
SDP
SDA
SDS
HD
Z
STR
AN
KA
ZA
BIH
BPS
SBB
BiH
PDP
RS
NS
RA
DO
M Z
A B
OLJ
ITA
K
NA
ŠA S
TRA
NK
A
SRS
RS
HD
Z 19
90
Oth
er
Don
’t w
ant t
o sa
y
Support joining of BiH to NATO – by party preferencesDo you personally support or oppose BiH NATO membership?
Completely support
Somewhat support
Somewhat do not support
Completely do not support
DK NA
![Page 29: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
29
General issuesGeneral issues | right | right –– wrong directionwrong direction
Government Government performanceperformance
EU / NATO integrationEU / NATO integration
Voting preferences among likely votersVoting preferences among likely voters
Opinions on Opinions on BiHBiH territorial organizationterritorial organization
Policy issuesPolicy issues
![Page 30: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
30
Likely voters in the October 2010 elections
If general elections were held next weekend, how likely is it that you would vote?
Previous elections (only those who could vote)
![Page 31: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
31
56%47%
17%
23%30%
52%
7% 11%22%
10% 9% 9%
4% 2% 0%
FBIH
RS
Dis
tric
t Brc
ko54%
64%
46% 50%
25% 23%30% 25%
7% 4%11% 11%
10% 5%11% 10%
4% 3% 3% 3%B
osni
ak
Cro
at
Serb
Oth
er
Likely voters – by entity and ethnicityIf general elections were held next weekend, how likely is it that you would vote?
certainly vote
probably vote
probably would not vote
certainly would not vote
DK NA
![Page 32: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
32
Closest political optionWhen taken all into account, what political parties represent the political option that is closest to you?
![Page 33: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
33
Reasons to vote for a political party What are the two main reasons why you would vote for a political party?
![Page 34: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
0% 10% 6% 7% 10% 2% 5% 0% 0% 29% 17% 14%
16% 12% 8% 0% 3% 2% 1% 0% 1% 33% 19% 4%
5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 29% 0% 25% 20% 18%
16% 0% 7% 19% 1% 10% 2% 0% 0% 17% 17% 10%
17% 9% 0% 11% 9% 11% 0% 0% 0% 10% 18% 15%
19% 0% 20% 7% 4% 0% 2% 0% 0% 11% 12% 25%
6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 28% 33% 6% 28%
7% 6% 7% 6% 2% 0% 0% 8% 6% 15% 3%40%
41%0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 16% 13% 28%
15% 3% 9% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 6% 25% 13% 19%
3% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0%
89%
1% 3%
SDP
SDA
HDZ
STRANKA ZA BIH
BPS
SBB BIH
HDZ 1990
NSRZB
NAŠA STRANKA
OTHER
DK NK
SDP
STR
AN
KA
ZA
BIH
BPS
SDA
NA
ŠA S
TRA
NK
A
SBB
BIH
NSR
ZB
HD
Z 19
90
HD
Z
DK
NK
NO
NE
OTH
ER
34
“second choice”
“Firs
t cho
ice”
Ratings– Second choice by party preferences (only FBiH)If you somehow decided to vote for another political party, for which party would you vote?
![Page 35: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
35
“Second choice”
“Firs
t cho
ice”
15%
0%
41%
0% 0% 0%
19% 19% 6%
0%
19%8%
1%21%
0%
12%21% 19%
10% 14%
0% 0% 4% 2%
20%28%
20%
34%
0%
27%
0% 0% 0%
10% 12% 10%
PDP RS
SDS
SNSD
SRS
SDS
PDP
RS
SNSD
NA
ŠA S
TRA
NK
A
SRS
SDP
Do
not w
ant t
o sa
y
Oth
er
Non
e
Ratings–second choice (only RS) – by party preferences (only RS)If you somehow decided to vote for another political party, for which party would you vote?
![Page 36: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
36
General issuesGeneral issues | right | right –– wrong directionwrong direction
Government Government performanceperformance
EU / NATO integrationEU / NATO integration
Voting preferences among likely votersVoting preferences among likely voters
Opinions on Opinions on BiHBiH’’ss territorial arrangementsterritorial arrangements
Policy issuesPolicy issues
![Page 37: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
37
Which of the following best describes your attitude about the territorial arrangement of Bosnia and Herzegovina? - whole sample
![Page 38: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
38
Which of the following best describes your attitude about the territorial arrangement of Bosnia and Herzegovina? - by entity
![Page 39: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
39
Which of the following best describes your attitude about the territorial arrangement of Bosnia and Herzegovina? - by ethnicity
![Page 40: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
40
Which of the following best describes your attitude about the territorial arrangement of Bosnia and Herzegovina? – by party preference
Entities should be abolished as the level of government
Arrangement of the state should remain unchanged
Bosnia and Herzegovina should be divided into three independent States
Bosnia and Herzegovina should be divided into up to 5 or 6 economic regions, which should have a great deal of autonomy
Third, Croatian entity should be formed
DK NA
64% 64% 76% 71%
40%60%
6% 11% 7% 6%27%
52%
10%
54% 55%
6% 8%
31% 44%
23%10%
45% 40% 42%
11% 18%
43%
5% 7% 11% 7%
51%
0%13%
30%
7%
29% 22%
14% 4%33%
18%35%
3% 3%
39%11% 4%
0% 1%
32%11% 9%
53%
13% 16% 7%
11% 13% 7%22%
7% 15% 12% 4% 9% 22%6%
17%2% 11%
18% 11% 11% 10% 14%
8% 9% 6% 5% 8% 5% 2% 3%
44%
0% 2% 3% 5%19%
5%0%
54%
11% 5%
4% 4% 3% 4% 1% 2% 1% 5% 4% 15% 6% 1%0%
5%0% 0%
6% 3% 8%
Who
le s
ampl
e
FBIH
RS
Dis
trict
Brc
ko
SN
SD
SD
P
SD
A
SD
S
HD
Z
STR
AN
KA
ZA
BIH
BP
S
SB
B B
IH
PD
P R
S
NS
RZB
NA
ŠA
STR
AN
KA
SR
S
HD
Z 19
90
othe
r
Don
’t w
ant t
o sa
y
![Page 41: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
41
General issuesGeneral issues | right | right –– wrong directionwrong direction
Government Government performanceperformance
EU / NATO integrationEU / NATO integration
Voting preferences among likely votersVoting preferences among likely voters
Opinions on Opinions on BiHBiH territorial organizationterritorial organization
Policy issuesPolicy issues
![Page 42: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/42.jpg)
42
When you think of the BiH economy, which party do you believe is best able to solve the issues?
![Page 43: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
43
When you think of social sector reforms, which party do you believe is best able to solve the issues?
![Page 44: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
44
When you think of corruption and organized crime, which party do you believe is best able to solve the issues?
![Page 45: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/45.jpg)
45
When you think of education system reforms, which party do you believe is best able to solve the issues?
![Page 46: Public opinion poll in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH ... · Republika Srpska (22%) and in the Brcko District (31%) than in the Federation of BiH (7%). More than half (51%) of citizens](https://reader031.fdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022041717/5e4c205a608e7d34f64e6c5d/html5/thumbnails/46.jpg)
46
In your opinion, what is the bigger priority for the RS at the moment? –only RS respondents