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Public Forum Presentation Review of Electricity and Gas Regulated Retail Prices 4 December 2003

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  • Public Forum Presentation

    Review of Electricity and GasRegulated Retail Prices

    4 December 2003

  • IntroductionOur customers Craig MurrayOur retail business John AdamsOur proposals Terri BensonConcluding comments Craig Murray

    Presentation Outline

  • Craig MurrayManaging Director

    Introduction

  • Our business philosophy– To be ‘Australia’s leading utility business’– A strong commercial focus – To balance price and service– A commitment to providing sustainable

    regulated retail services in country and coastal communities

    Introduction

  • Successful integration of three energy retailersExtensive customer consultationMoving to deliver price consistency Country SupportGrowing customer satisfaction

    Our achievements

  • Development of a single customer

    information system, full retail competition

    systems and improved customer services

    Country Energy

    EnergyVersion 6.3

    750,000 +

    NIBS370,000

    CIS260,000

    EnergyVersion 4120,000

  • Customer Service Principles

    • Be Professional• Take Ownership• Display Empathy• Be Innovative• Escalate Issues

    Focus on meeting customer needs

    Increasing customer satisfaction

    ‘Country Support’ introduced

    Active community consultation

  • Fair and equitable prices for customersBalance between price and serviceHigher levels of customer satisfaction

    Our Priorities

  • John AdamsGroup General Manager Retail

    Our retail business

  • Snapshot of the businessImpacts of full retail competitionWhat our customers wantOur priorities

    Our retail business

  • Customer centres

    Our supply area Annual regulatedrevenue $730 M

    700,000 customers

    75% of NSW

    38 customer centres

    114 local government areas

    Only 20% of State consumption

    Low customer density

    300 regulated retail prices63% of tariffs below target levels

    represents 73% of total consumption

  • Regulated Retail Electricity

    640

    660

    680

    700

    720

    740

    760

    780

    2001/02 2002/03 2003/04Financial Year

    Rev

    enue

    ($M

    )

    Revenue($M)

    TargetRevenue($M)

  • Our Gas businessVoluntary Pricing Principles apply to low-usage customers in ;

    – Bombala– Cooma– Culcairn– Holbrook– Temora– Wagga Wagga

    Historically low pricesPartially addressed during the last review, still more work to be done

  • 2003 Base retail costs versus 2003 Revenue

    -

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    0 GJ

    10 GJ

    20 GJ

    30 GJ

    40 GJ

    50 GJ

    60 GJ

    70 GJ

    80 GJ

    90 GJ

    100 GJ

    110 GJ

    120 GJ

    130 GJ

    140 GJ

    150 GJ

    160 GJ

    170 GJ

    180 GJ

    190 GJ

    Consumption Band (Annual GJ)

    Cos

    ts ($

    )

    OPEX ($'000)

    FRC Cost ($'000)

    Commodity Cost ($'000)

    Netw ork Cost ($'000)

    Retail Revenue ($'000)

    Gas… $10M annually in revenue (735 GJ)

  • Understandably focus is on electricity but principles in most instances apply equally

    Gas vs ElectricityGas3%

    Electricity97%

    Gas1%

    Electricity99%

    Customer Numbers

    Annual Revenue

  • Full Retail Competition… what are the impacts

    To date relatively low activity levels and impacts

    Regulated activities actually increasing

    Need to mature our understanding of long term impacts

    Insert call centre activity stats

  • Target Retail tariff

    N(Network Component)

    R(Retail Component)

    Network Charges Variable R Fixed R

    Market Fees

    Energy Losses

    Energy Purchases

    Operating Costs

    Green Compliance

    FRC cost not recovered

    Profit Margin

    Profit Margin

    Transmission Charges

    Distribution Charges

    Transmission Charges

    Building Blocks… cost components

  • Target Retail tariff

    N(Network Component)

    R(Retail Component)

    Network Charges Variable R Fixed R

    Market Fees

    Energy Losses

    Energy Purchases

    Operating Costs

    Green Compliance

    FRC cost not recovered

    Profit Margin

    Profit Margin

    Transmission Charges

    Distribution Charges

    Transmission Charges

    Building Blocks… cost components

  • – Outcomes unknown– Ability to pass through

    Appropriate Costs… Network

    $-

    $100.00

    $200.00

    $300.00

    $400.00

    $500.00

    $600.00

    $700.00

    $800.00

    Regulated Market

    Profit Margin

    OPEX

    Green

    Losses

    Market Fees

    Purchases

    NUoS

    Regulated Market

    Base Year

    $-

    $100.00

    $200.00

    $300.00

    $400.00

    $500.00

    $600.00

    $700.00

    $800.00

    $900.00

    Regulated Market

    Profit Margin

    OPEX

    Green

    Losses

    Market Fees

    Purchases

    NUoS

    Regulated Market

    5 Year Forecast

  • Starting Point… below target prices

  • -

    10,000

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    50,000

    60,000

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

    Annual MWh

    Cus

    tom

    ers

    $-

    $10.00

    $20.00

    $30.00

    $40.00

    $50.00

    $60.00

    Ave

    rage

    und

    er re

    cove

    ry p

    er c

    usto

    mer

    Customers Average Under recovery

    Starting Point… below target prices

  • Our customers… customer research

    Customer views obtained from– Customer satisfaction surveys– Customer council and rural advisory group– Customer feedback– Consultation with special interest and customer advocacy

    groups and organisations– Customer research

    Customer service tailored to customer needsCustomers accept the need for equity and price

    consistency…and the opportunity to save money

  • Inequities… 2003/2004

    $600.00

    $620.00

    $640.00

    $660.00

    $680.00

    $700.00

    $720.00

    $740.00

    $760.00

    $780.00

    $800.00

    Target Retail Price Country Energy (Current) Location A (Obsolete) Location B (Obsolete) Location C (Obsolete)

    Area

    Ann

    ual S

    pend

    bas

    ed o

    n av

    erag

    e an

    nual

    bill

  • Demand Management and Price Signals…• Opportunity

    to reduce customer costs

    • Retail prices need to reflect network price signals

    • Correct economic signals come through cost reflective pricing

    $560.00

    $570.00

    $580.00

    $590.00

    $600.00

    $610.00

    $620.00

    $630.00

    40% Off Peak 50% Off Peak

    Ann

    ual B

    ill

    Standard tariffTime of Use

  • Terri BensonGroup General Manager Regulatory Affairs

    Outcomes for customers

  • The current frameworkThe principlesThe optionsThe outcomes

    Outcomes

  • Equitable and efficient price outcomesTariff structures that preserve pricing

    signals and create opportunities for customer savings

    Cost reflective prices

    The Principles that are needed

  • Current Framework… the multiple layers

    Average selling price can not increase by more than CPI

    Tariffs above target levels can not move

    CPI+2 or $25 for domesticCPI+5 or $50 for business

    Results in……..End

    price

    Customer constraints

    Tariff constraints

    Average price constraints

  • -

    10,000

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    50,000

    60,000

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

    Annual MWh

    Cus

    tom

    ers

    $-

    $10.00

    $20.00

    $30.00

    $40.00

    $50.00

    $60.00

    Ave

    rage

    und

    er re

    cove

    ry p

    er c

    usto

    mer

    Customers Average Under recovery

    Starting Point… below target prices

    Inequities… 2003/2004

    $600.00

    $620.00

    $640.00

    $660.00

    $680.00

    $700.00

    $720.00

    $740.00

    $760.00

    $780.00

    $800.00

    Target Retail Price Country Energy (Current) Location A (Obsolete) Location B (Obsolete) Location C (Obsolete)

    Area

    Ann

    ual S

    pend

    bas

    ed o

    n av

    erag

    e an

    nual

    bill

    Demand Management and Price Signals…• Opportunity

    to reduce customer costs

    • Retail prices need to reflect network price signals

    • Correct economic signals come through cost reflective pricing

    $560.00

    $570.00

    $580.00

    $590.00

    $600.00

    $610.00

    $620.00

    $630.00

    40% Off Peak 50% Off Peak

    Annu

    al Bi

    ll

    Standard tariffTime of Use

    Regulated Retail Electricity

    640

    660

    680

    700

    720

    740

    760

    780

    2001/02 2002/03 2003/04Financial Year

    Reve

    nue

    ($M

    )

    Revenue($M)

    TargetRevenue($M)

  • Country Energy’s Proposal

    Remove the overall CPI capRemove individual tariff constraintsLink network pricing outcomesProvide flexibility in side constraints

    Protect customers through agreed price constraints

    … to achieve a fair transition to equitable and cost reflective prices

  • Outcomes… how it would work

    Pricing constraint should link network and regulated retail prices

    (N 05 – N 04 ) Network RevenueN 04 Regulated Retail Revenue

    CPI + ({= x ( ) +)CPI- }Allowed increase 04/05 R 05

  • Outcomes… drivers of pricing outcomes

    A number of factors will determine price outcomes– Distribution network review outcomes (50% of final price)– Energy purchases (40% or more of the final price)– Application of retail side constraints

    Additional variables include– Market costs– Green compliance– Operating costs and net margin

    Establishing the principles is the first step

  • Outcomes… revenue requirements and

    scenarios

    2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Scenario

    ($M

    )

    Target RevenueCurrent ArrangementsCPI+2 Domestic, CPI+5 businessCPI+5Tariffs to target levelDirect pass through of NUoS

  • Without appropriate pricing inequities will continue

    2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Financial Year

    Rev

    enue

    ($M

    )

    TargetRevenue($M)

    Revenue($M)

  • Inequities… 2006/2007

    $600.00

    $650.00

    $700.00

    $750.00

    $800.00

    $850.00

    $900.00

    $950.00

    $1,000.00

    Target Retail Price Country Energy (Current) Location A (Obsolete) Location B (Obsolete) Location C (Obsolete)

    Area

    Ann

    ual S

    pend

    bas

    ed o

    n av

    erag

    e an

    nual

    bill

  • Craig MurrayManaging Director

    Concluding comments

  • Concluding comments

    Our submission proposes an approach that delivers– Equitable pricing outcomes– IPARTs objectives

    …within a simplified pricing framework…with outcomes acceptable to our customers

  • Questions