Prosperity without Growth Tim Jackson 8 th October 2010 Berlin.
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Transcript of Prosperity without Growth Tim Jackson 8 th October 2010 Berlin.
Prosperity without GrowthTim Jackson8th October 2010Berlin
• Growth is unsustainable
The Dilemma of GrowthRockstrom et al, Nature 461, Sept 2009
• Growth is unsustainable • De-growth is unstable
The Dilemma of Growth
Life Expectancy at Birth
IcelandNorway
Ireland
Japan
United StatesUnited Kingdom
New ZealandMaltaChile
Bahrain
Costa RicaCuba
Russian Federation
China
Gabon
South Africa
Botswana
India
Swaziland
Mozambique
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000
GDP per capita (PPP $2005)
Lif
e ex
pec
tan
cy a
t b
irth
(ye
ars)
• Growth is unsustainable • De-growth is unstable
• the pursuit of labour productivity
The Dilemma of Growth
The Myth of Decoupling
The Myth of DecouplingSource: Prosperity without growth, Tim Jackson (London, Earthscan 2009)
x 130 improvement
CO2/$ < zero by 2100?
Households
Firms
IncomeInvestment Novelty
Price
Spending
Increasingproductivity
The Engine of Growth• shareholder value• creative destruction
• status consumption • a life without shame
Credit
A Better Nature?
Tradition
Novelty
Self
Other
Prosperity consists in our ability to flourish as human beings – within the ecological limits of a finite planet
• material conditions: food , clothing, shelter• social and psychological flourishing: identity, meaning• the role of social goods and public spaces
Another Prosperity
A Different Economy
Ecological Investment
Ecological Enterprise
Ecological Macroeconomics
Ecological Investment
• low carbon transition• ecological assets• social goods• decent livelihoods
Ecological Enterprise
• providing services• building capabilities• supporting communities • treading lightly
The Productivity Dilemma
Ecological Enterprise
Low-carbon, resource efficient economic activities that provide employment, support communities and contribute to human flourishing
Productivity growth in Europe 1985 - 2005
Each free web search saves about 2.4 yd² of rainforest. We have already protected 13,690,860 yd²
Every search saves rainforest!
Ecologicalenterprise
People
Ecosystems
Ecological investment Ecosystem
services
Participation Capabilities
ecologicalproductivity
improvedflourishing
Ecological Macroeconomics
Ecological Footsteps
Establish the limitsFix the economics
Change the social logic
Establish the Limits 1. Establishing clearly defined resource/emissions caps 2. Fiscal Reform for Sustainability 3. Promoting Technology Transfer and Ecosystem Protection
Fix the Economics4. Developing the macro-economics of sustainability 5. Investing in public assets and infrastructures 6. Increasing financial and fiscal prudence 7. Improving macro-economic accounting
Change the social logic8. Sharing the work and improving the work-life balance 9. Tackling systemic inequality 10 Measuring capabilities and flourishing 11 Strengthening human and social capital 12 Reversing the culture of consumerism
Ecological Footsteps
http://www.earthscan.co.uk/pwg
‘The crisis doesn’t only make us free to imagine other models, another future, another world. It obliges us to do so.’
President Sarkozy, September 2009