Prospect Research 101 Presented by David Lamb Prospect Research Consultant Blackbaud Analytics.
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Transcript of Prospect Research 101 Presented by David Lamb Prospect Research Consultant Blackbaud Analytics.
David Lamb | Page #2© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Goals of this session Develop a rationale for prospect research Researching in the real world Research subjects
– Public company executives
– Private company executives
– Foundation officers or directors
– Professionals
Filling in the details Turing facts into information Profiling the prospects
David Lamb | Page #3© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
I Spy NOT! Limitations of prospect research
– Public information sources– Respect for the prospect
Partner in building a relationship– Time management– Setting the ask at the right level
Doing your homework Maximizing the prospect’s giving potential Anyone who systematically collects, records, and organizes donor data
David Lamb | Page #4© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
What You Need To Know
A good prospect has all of these characteristics Capacity
– Preference for appreciated assets
– Cash
Inclination to give– Evidence of philanthropic activity
– Interest in your mission
Linkage– Alumni
– Involvement
– Service
David Lamb | Page #5© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
How Much Do You Need To Know?
Depends on the progress toward solicitation Identification: just enough information to justify a contact Cultivation: “spot research” as needed 0-6 months from solicitation: as much research as you can get
David Lamb | Page #6© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Unequal Potential The 90-10 rule: 90 percent of your income will come from 10
percent of your prospects Most of the people on your database are not wealthy Some of the people on your database don’t care that much
about your mission Start your efforts with the most capable and the most likely
people
David Lamb | Page #8© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
What You Can Usually Find Indications of wealth
– Stockholdings of public company insiders
– Salaries of top public company employers
– Real estate values
– Salary surveys
Affiliations– Doctors
– Lawyers
David Lamb | Page #9© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
What You Can Sometimes Find
Inheritances Affiliations
– Nonprofit
– Corporate
– Family
Donations
Biographical– Business history
– Who’s Who
Assets other than stock or real estate
David Lamb | Page #10© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
What You Can Never Find
Cash & bank balances Non-insider stock holdings Whatever the prospect wants to keep hidden
David Lamb | Page #12© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Public Company Insiders Director Policy making officer – top 4-10 Major shareholders
– 5% holders report on Form SC13– 10% holders report on Forms 3, 4, 5, & 144
Indirectly held stock reported for– Spouse– Children– Trusts– Retirement plans– Foundations– Investment companies or partners– Any person or entity with a close relationship to the prospect
David Lamb | Page #13© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Sources for Researching Insiders Free tools
– SEC.gov– Hoovers– MarketWatch– Company web site
Fee based– LexisNexis for Development Professionals– 10K Wizard– EdgarOnline
David Lamb | Page #14© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Forms Filed by Public Companies
DEF 14A – proxy statement – invitation to the annual shareholders meeting
10K – annual report Form 3 – initial statement of holdings Form 144 – intention to trade stock, filed by the insider Form 4 – record of a trade Form 5 – annual statement of holdings S1 – filed prior to an initial public offering
David Lamb | Page #15© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
The things to find
Stock holdings of insiders Compensation of directors Compensation of top officers Stock options Other details (severance & retirement plans & more) Current value of stock
David Lamb | Page #16© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Interpreting Insider Data Directly held stock
– Appreciated asset– Great way to make a gift
Indirectly held stock – – Appreciated asset– Belongs to someone else – may not be gift-able by your prospect– To find out who owns it, read footnotes in proxy or most recent Form 4
Compensation– Salary & bonus for top officers– Stipend for directors– Stock options (a potential asset)
• Exercised• Exercisable • Unexercisable
– Stock grants and restricted stock grants
David Lamb | Page #18© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Finding Private Company Affiliations
The Challenge:– Private companies are not required to disclose financial details
– Everything that you can learn comes from three sources• Voluntary disclosure• Government registrations• News
– Your prospect’s ownership may not be disclosed in these sources
David Lamb | Page #19© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Finding Private Company Affiliations
Voluntary disclosure sources– The company’s web site
– Corporate directories• Dun & Bradstreet• Hoovers• American Business Information
Government registrations– State corporations sites
– KnowX
News– Google
– Factiva
– LexisNexis for Development Professionals
David Lamb | Page #20© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
When a company incorporates, it issues shares, known as “outstanding stock”
The value of the company is divided evenly among the shares “Publicly held” stock vs. “closely held” Finding the value of public company stock is easy Finding the value of private company stock is difficult and
expensive
Estimating Private Company Value
David Lamb | Page #21© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Valuation in the real world
To find out what a company is worth, sell it Value is partly (sometimes mostly) subjective Sometimes D&B provides a net worth figure Read everything you can about your target company – it’s not just
numbers
David Lamb | Page #22© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Comparable companies Find a similar public company
– Downside: a public company is almost always valued higher than an otherwise equivalent private company would be
Find a similar private company that sold recently– Downside: the only commonly available metric is sales, and
value is not always clearly tied to sales or even profit
David Lamb | Page #23© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Comparison to public companies
Yahoo Stock Screener (http://screen.yahoo.com/stocks.html) – Parameters that can be used
• Industry (SIC or NAICS)• Sales
– Enter relevant info for the target company SEC.gov company search allows SIC search
– If you don’t know the SIC, check http://www.osha.gov/pls/imis/sicsearch.html
– If your search turns up no companies, try replacing the right-hand numbers with zero’s: 5261 becomes 5200
– Once you know the company name, look it up on your favorite public company site (e.g. finance.yahoo.com)
David Lamb | Page #24© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Comparison considerations Market Capitalization is one good measure of public company
value Your target company value is probably considerably less, even if
otherwise equivalent Public companies tend to be much larger than their private
counterparts Ratio of annual sales to market cap provides a multiple for the
relevant industry The more examples the better Read the profile to see if the comparison company is similar in
purpose to the target If the public company has flat or negative earnings, it may still
have value
David Lamb | Page #25© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Comparison to other private companies
Business Valuation Resources (www.bvmarketdata.com)
– Pratt’s Stats• Database of over 9,500 private company sales from 1990 to present• Deal price ranges from $1 million to $14.4 billion• Updated monthly with about 100 transactions added / month• $595
– Bizcomps• Database of over 9,500 private company sales from 1993 to present• 61% of the companies have gross revenues less than $500K• 18% of the companies have gross revenues over $1 million• $395
INC. Magazine’s Ultimate Valuation Guide
David Lamb | Page #26© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
BizStats Rules of Thumbhttp://www.bizstats.com/reports/valuation-rule-thumb.asp
David Lamb | Page #27© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Business Classifieds Bizbuysell.com GlobalBX.com
David Lamb | Page #29© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Researching Real Estate The value of every property is public information Source is individual counties or townships Information to look for:
– Sale price
– Sale date
– Mortgage amount
– Market value
– Assessed value
Reources:– Lexis Nexis
– NETRonline
– The Tax Assessor Page
– Zillow
David Lamb | Page #30© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Interpreting Real Estate Data The researcher’s job is not to appraise real estate Real estate can be an indicator of other assets – or not Real estate can be the gift itself – especially if the prospect owns
multiple properties $1 million buys more real estate in some area than others Someone who owns valuable property may not be wealthy
– Property may have appreciated in value over a long period of ownership– Property may be heavily mortgaged
Recently purchased property is a good indicator of capacity– Can work backwards to an estimated minimum salary figure
• Use mortgage calculator to figure monthly payments• Lenders will generally require that a person’s income be at least 3x the
mortgage
– A person who purchased a valuable property recently convinced the lender than he or she has the wherewithal to pay the mortgage
David Lamb | Page #32© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Foundation Research
Types of foundations– Public charities file 990s
– Private foundations file 990 PFs
What to look for– Year covered
– Contact information
– Asset value
– Officers, directors or trustees
– Salaries paid
– Any large gifts made to the foundation
– Guidelines
– Grants paid
– Future grants committed
David Lamb | Page #33© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Interpreting Foundation Information
If your prospect is a director of a private foundation, this might be another source of a donation
Pay special attention to the guidelines – go to the foundation’s website if possible
The grant history will help determine the kind of projects the foundation actually funds
Getting a grant from a foundation requires the same personal cultivation as that needed for securing a gift from a person
Family foundations can be a way to hide assets but… The foundation must give away 5% of its assets every year
David Lamb | Page #35© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Researching Professionals
Ziggs Search for Professionals Zoom Info ZabaSearch Doctors
– AMA Physician Select
– AIM Docfinder
– Medical Salaries
Lawyers– Martindale & Hubbell
– FindLaw
David Lamb | Page #37© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
What If You Don’t Know…
Where the prospect works– FEC
– Hoovers
– Zoom
Where the prospect lives– FEC
– Phone directory
David Lamb | Page #38© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Filling In The Details
Donations– NOZA
– FEC
– State Political Donors
One Step Birthdays Biographies Online Landings (Airplane Owners) Salary Surveys Google or Altavista
Foundation Affiliations– Guidestar– Grantsmart– Foundation Center
• Foundation Directory
• FC Search
– Taft Foundation Reporter
Public Records
David Lamb | Page #39© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Making Sense of the Data
Gift capacity is a portion of net worth and income Net worth=assets-liabilities
David Lamb | Page #40© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Page #40© 2004 Blackbaud
Households whose net worth is between 1M - 10M (Source:2001 IRS data, published in 2006)
Distribution of Assets for Wealthy Families
David Lamb | Page #41© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
The Art of Prospect Rating Philanthropic history Income based
– Slightly more than 2% of income goes to charity– 5 year pledge=10% of income
Asset based– Make best guess of net worth >> philanthropic capacity is 2-5% of net worth– Philanthropic capacity is 5% of total identified assets
Average annual gift x 10 Consider places where the prospect may be influential
David Lamb | Page #42© 2008 Blackbaud
Prospect Research 101
Prospect Research Resources
www.lambresearch.com Prospect Research: A Primer for Growing Nonprofits APRA (www.aprahome.org)
– International Conference– Great Plains Chapter
Prspct-L (www.yahoogroups.com/prspct-l)