PropInde2 S Magicbricks · 2021. 1. 4. · PropInde2 S Magicbricks T" ( J/&3TS * gege Residential...

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Transcript of PropInde2 S Magicbricks · 2021. 1. 4. · PropInde2 S Magicbricks T" ( J/&3TS * gege Residential...

  • PropIndex | Magicbricks ThaneJuly-Sep 2020

    Residential Market Insights

    Thane residential market driven by improving infrastructure and connectivity to Mumbai

    With augmented searches to the tune of 44% QoQ in Q3 2020, against a 33% dip in Q2, Thane continued to be one ofthe most favoured real estate destinations in the Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR).Thane witnessed marginalprice growth of 1% in Q3 2020, following a decline of 0.6% in Q2 2020.

    The state government has decided to slash the stamp duty to 3% (from 6% earlier), while the Maharashtra Chamberof Housing Industry (MCHI) Kalyan Unit has decided to waive off the remaining 3% stamp duty. Additionally, thevarious offers and discounts by the developer-members of NAREDCO, which may boost the buyers' sentiment andwould provide impetus for residential demand in the future.

    Market DynamicsParameters India Thane

    Demand+                  53.1% 43.8%Supply++                     -9.1%            -29.2%Price Index+++       0.3%             1.0%

    Notes:Above parameters represent QoQ change in Q3 2020 atIndia and city level + change in volume of property searches ++ change in volume of active listings +++ change in the weighted average price

    Source: Magicbricks Research

    Ready to Move Price Index

    2016

    2017

    2018

    2019

    2020

    2021

    6,000

    7,000

    8,000

    9,000

    Average Price INR per sqft

    "The Ready-to-movesegment witnessed aprice growth of 3%YoY due to shift inbuyers' preferencetowards readyproperties"

    5 Years YoY QoQ

    1.0%3.3%8.1%

    Notes:1. Ready to move price index represents the weighted average price of completed properties on Magicbricks website as on Sep 20202. The trend line represents the average prices of dominant asset class in each locality of the city. Source: Magicbricks Research

    Key Developers based on activelistings

    Lodha Group

    Kalpataru

    Runwal Developers

    Puranik Builders

    Hiranandani Group

    Rustomjee

    Dosti Realty

    Raunak Group

    Piramal Realty

    Mohan Group #

    #

    #

    #

    #

    #

    #

    #

    #

    #

    Note: The above table represents the top developers byshare of active listings on Magicbricks website in Q32020

    Source: Magicbricks Research

    Under Construction Price Index

    2016

    2017

    2018

    2019

    2020

    2021

    6,000

    7,000

    8,000

    9,000

    Averge Price INR per sqft

    "Prices forunder-constructionsegment remainedrelatively flat QoQ, onthe back of high

    availability of unsoldunits"

    5 Years YoY QoQ

    0.5%0.4%23.8%

    Note:1. Under-construction price index represents the weighted average price of under-construction properties on Magicbricks website as on Sep 20202. The trend line represents the average prices of dominant asset class in each locality of the city.

    Source: Magicbricks Research

    Key Projects

    Project Name Locality

    Lodha Amara Kolshet Road

    Lodha Splendora Ghodbunder Road

    Hiranandani MeadowsManpada

    Lakeshore Greens Palava

    Dosti Imperia Manpada

    Sheth Avalon Majiwada

    One Hiranandani ParkHiranandani Estate

    Rustomjee Urbania Majiwada

    Piramal Vaikunth Balkum village

    Acme Ozone Ghodbunder Road

    Regency Anantam Dombivli East

    Note:The above table represents the top projects by consumerpreference on Magicbricks website in Q3 2020

    Source: Magicbricks Research

    Average changes in prices for localities in various price segments

    < 5,000 5,000-9,000 9,000-13,000 > 13,000

    RM UC RM UC RM UC RM UC

    0.2%

    2.6%

    -0.3%

    1.3%

    -0.3%

    1.5%

    -1.8%

    0.6%

    "No significant trendvisible for price changesacross ready-to-moveand under-construction

    categories"

    Note:Above table represents the price changes for Ready to move (RM) and Under construction (UC) properties for dominant asset classes in each locality under various pricebuckets as on Sep 2020

    Source: Magicbricks Research

    In the News

    - According to secondary sources,Maharashtra Govt. may reduce theReady Reckoner rates by October 2020,along with about 10-15% reduction inFSI Premiums payable by builders. Thismay help in reducing the prices ofhomes.

    - The Lodha Upper Thane project inBhiwandi received final approval to befunded under The SWAMIH Fund set upby the government for stressed realestate projects. This would help intimely completion of the said project.

    © magicbricks.com Page 1

  • Demand Supply Analysis Thane | July-Sep 2020

    Above 3 BHK2%

    2 BHK43%

    1 BHK40%

    3 BHK 14%

    DEMAND

    Above 3 BHK2%

    2 BHK47%

    1 BHK37%

    3 BHK14%

    SUPPLY

    9,000-13,00032%

    5,000-9,00037%

    > 13,00016%

    < 5,00015%

    SUPPLY

    Ambernath West

    Khadipar Road

    Kalyan West

    Ulhas nagar

    Kalyan East

    Sonar Pada

    Thane East

    Shilphata

    Bhiwandi

    Mumbra

    Thakurli

    Titwala

    Shahad

    Kasheli

    KalwaDiva

    Dombivli East

    Majiwada

    Kolshet Road

    Ghodbunder Road

    © 2020 Mapbox © OpenStreetMap

    Propensity of demand and supply in terms of searches andlistings by localities

    Top Micromarkets by Consumer Searches

    Ghodbunder Road 6900-13100

    Majiwada 8100-13600

    Dombivali 4600-8800

    Kalyan 3500-8000

    Ambernath-Badlapur 3200-5200

    Kolshet 8900-14300

    Western Thane 8800-20000

    11

    42

    33

    54

    25

    66

    77

    Micro Market Price Range RankQ3-20

    RankQ2-20

    Ghodbunder Road 6900-13100

    Majiwada 8100-13600

    Dombivali 4600-8800

    Kolshet 8900-14300

    Kalyan 3500-8000

    Ambernath-Badlapur 3200-5200

    Hiranandani Estate 9600-15800

    11

    22

    33

    44

    55

    66

    87

    Micro Market Price Range RankQ3-20

    RankQ2-20

    Top Micromarkets by active listings

    Thane market thriving on developedinfrastructure and mature buyers

    Following a similar trend as in the MMR, searchesfor mid-sized homes such as 2BHK exceeded thosefor 1 BHK. The share of 1BHKs shrunk from 52% inQ2 2020 to 40% in Q3.

    With most of the service-sector populationworking from home (WFH) since March 2020,buyers in Thane were seen increasingly opting forapartments with more than one bedroom.

    "Buyer preferences shifting from 1 BHKto 2 BHK in Thane"

    In addition, stamp duty relief, discounts andfreebies, reduced home loan interest rates andflexible payment offers were influential inimproving buyer sentiment over the quarterending September 2020.

    - According to Magicbricks research, the share ofproperty searches for affordable localities such asBadlapur, Ambernath, Titwala and Ulhasnagardropped significantly to 22% in Q3 2020 against41% in Q2 2020, owing an overall employmentuncertainty with the low- and mid-incomepopulation.

    - As per our data, the demand for localities pricedin the INR 5,000-13,000 per sqft range, includingDombivli, Kalyan, Ghodbunder Road, PokhranRoad, Kasarvadavali and Kolshet, among others,increased by 15% QoQ. Most likely due to the factthat more buyers are choosing the convenience ofbetter social amenities and connectivity toemployment hubs over lower prices in fartherlocalities.

    Notes:1. Demand represents property searches on Magicbricks website during Q3 2020, segregated by Bedroom, Hall, Kitchen (BHK) configuration2. Supply represents active listings on Magicbricks website during Q3 2020, segregated by BHK configuration

    Source: Magicbricks Research

    Demand dominated by 2BHK and 1 BHK configurations

    Demand as well as supply concentrated in areas between INR 5,000-13,000 per sqft

    Notes:1. Demand represents property searches on Magicbricks website during Q3 2020, segregated by price buckets2. Supply represents active listings on Magicbricks website during Q3 2020, segregated by price buckets

    Source: Magicbricks Research

    Note:1. Above map depicts the key localities of the city, with the size of the bubble depicting demand (consumer preference) /supply (active listings) forproperties in the localities on Magicbricks website in Q3 20202. This is an interactive map available on Magicbricks.com under Propindex section.Please go to https://property.magicbricks.com/microsite/buy/propindex/ to access the full dashboard.

    Source: Magicbricks Research

    Note:1. Top micro-markets of the city, ranked by their active listings onMagicbricks in Q3 20202. Price ranges represent the range of avg locality prices in themicromarket in INR per sqft.

    Source: Magicbricks Research

    Note:1. Top micro-markets of the city, ranked by number of searches onMagicbricks in Q3 20202. Price ranges represent the range of avg locality prices in themicromarket in INR per sqft.

    Source: Magicbricks Research

    Demand/SupplySupply

    9,000-13,00030% 5,000-9,000

    32%

    > 13,00017%

    < 5,00022%

    DEMAND

    © magicbricks.com Page 2

  • Price Analysis Thane | July-Sep 2020

    Q3 2020 | Price Changes in Key Localities

    Locality Avg.Price

    PriceChange

    Neral

    Boisar

    Badlapur West

    Titwala

    Ambernath East

    Ambernath

    Badlapur East

    Badlapur

    Ambernath West

    Palghar

    Diva

    Mumbra

    Karjat -7.5%

    -7.5%

    -5.6%

    0.0%

    0.5%

    1.3%

    1.6%

    2.0%

    2.3%

    2.4%

    2.9%

    3.2%

    7.5%

    3,324

    3,339

    4,741

    3,398

    4,106

    3,921

    3,957

    4,287

    4,401

    4,396

    3,917

    3,195

    3,577

    Locality Avg. Price PriceChange

    Bhiwandi

    Dombivli West

    Thakurli

    Dombivli

    Kalyan

    Kalyan West

    Shilphata

    Dombivli East

    Kalyan East

    Palava

    Owale

    Kalwa -2.1%

    -2.0%

    -1.4%

    0.0%

    0.2%

    1.0%

    1.2%

    1.3%

    1.4%

    2.2%

    6.5%

    7.5%

    8,974

    8,829

    5,786

    5,627

    6,165

    6,133

    6,668

    6,374

    6,400

    7,331

    7,328

    5,212

    Locality Avg.Price

    PriceChange

    Hiranandani Estate

    Bhayanderpada

    Kasarvadavali

    Patlipada

    Dhokali

    Kavesar

    Anand Nagar

    Ghodbunder Road

    Vartak Nagar

    Kolshet Road

    Waghbil

    Vasant Vihar

    Manpada

    Thane West

    Kapurbawdi

    Majiwada

    -5.2%

    -5.1%

    -5.0%

    -3.7%

    -3.1%

    -0.7%

    0.5%

    0.7%

    0.9%

    2.5%

    2.8%

    4.3%

    4.9%

    5.4%

    6.2%

    6.9%

    7.5%

    7.5%

    12,864

    10,440

    11,047

    12,062

    11,560

    11,717

    12,961

    10,131

    11,569

    12,313

    10,482

    9,938

    10,583

    11,273

    12,972

    9,377

    10,195

    12,711

    Locality Avg. Price PriceChange

    Naupada

    Pokhran Road

    Teen Hath Naka -7.5%

    3.4%

    -1.5%

    14,933

    13,008

    15,973

    < INR 5,000 psf INR 5,000-9,000 psf INR 9,000-13,000 psf > INR 13,000 psf

    Note:1. Size of the bubble depicts demand, measured by volume of property searches in localities in Q3 20202. Color of the bubble represents price change in Q3 2020, with green color representing price increase and red color price decrease.3. This is an interactive map available on Magicbricks.com under Propindex section.Please go to https://property.magicbricks.com/microsite/buy/propindex/ to access the full dashboard.

    - The price growth was concentrated in central Thane areas including Kasarvadavali, Patlipada, Kavesar, Pokhran Road, Ghodbunder Road and Vartak Nagar,which witnessed price increments in the range of 3-7%.

    - Prices in affordable localities including Ambernath, Badlapur, Titwala, Palava, Kalyan East and Shilphata remained flat on account of sluggish demand

    Source: Magicbricks Research

    Note:1. Above is the list of major localities of the city, with information about their average prices and QoQ price changes in Q3 2020. This is an interactive table available on Magicbricks.com under Propindex section.2. The locality prices are calculated by averaging the prices of all properties in a locality in multi-storey and builder floor segment, after removing the outlier properties that might distort the overall prices.3. The four tables above categorize the localities in various price buckets.4. The color of the numbers represent the price change in Q3 2020, with green color representing price increase, red color price decrease, and grey as neutral. Source: Magicbricks Research

    Surabhi Arora | Head of Research Devendra Lohmor | Chief Manager Ankur Upadhyay | Data Manager Deepak Rajput | Sr. Research [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]

    Please go to https://property.magicbricks.com/microsite/buy/propindex/ to access the full dashboard.

    Disclaimer: The data represented above is compiled by MagicBricks from multiple sources. MagicBricks gives no warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability, and completeness of any information and does not acceptany liability on the information which may or may not be subject to change from time to time due to Governmental or non Governmental regulations/directions.

    For more information and research related queries, please contact:

    Ambernath West0.5%

    Badlapur East1.6%

    Dombivli East0.2%

    Kalyan West1.2%

    Kalyan East0.0%

    Shilphata1.0%

    Bhiwandi7.5%

    Mumbra-7.5%

    Titwala2.4%

    Khadipar Road

    Parsik Nagar

    Kalwa-2.1% Diva

    -5.6%Thane East

    Shahad

    Kasheli

    Majiwada-5.0%

    Ghodbunder Road2.8%

    © 2020 Mapbox © OpenStreetMap

    -7.5% 7.5%

    © magicbricks.com Page 3

    -5% -2.5% 0% 2.5% 5%