Propagating atomic uncertainties into data analysis – Kang et al., 2004, XDAP fitting DEMs to...

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propagating atomic uncertainties into data analysis – Kang et al., 2004, XDAP fitting DEMs to high-resolution Chandra and EUVE grating spectra – wavelength errors, missing lines – correlated uncertainties (via MCMC) pre-compute tables of plausible ion balance Vinay Kashyap, SAO I/AIA Science Teams Meeting, Monterey, Feb 2006

Transcript of Propagating atomic uncertainties into data analysis – Kang et al., 2004, XDAP fitting DEMs to...

Page 1: Propagating atomic uncertainties into data analysis – Kang et al., 2004, XDAP fitting DEMs to high-resolution Chandra and EUVE grating spectra – wavelength.

propagating atomic uncertainties into data analysis

– Kang et al., 2004, XDAP

fitting DEMs to high-resolution Chandra

and EUVE grating spectra

– wavelength errors, missing lines

– correlated uncertainties (via MCMC)

pre-compute tables of plausible ion balance

Vinay Kashyap, SAOHMI/AIA Science Teams Meeting, Monterey, Feb 2006

Page 2: Propagating atomic uncertainties into data analysis – Kang et al., 2004, XDAP fitting DEMs to high-resolution Chandra and EUVE grating spectra – wavelength.

DEM reconstruction cannot be a black box

– fast, simple, robust: pick one

– smoothing: a necessary evil

– error bars.. bands.. bundles.. ropes

– astrophysical limitations:

changing densities and abundances

flows and non-equilibrium ionization

line opacities

atomic data errors

Vinay Kashyap, SAOHMI/AIA Science Teams Meeting, Monterey, Feb 2006

Page 3: Propagating atomic uncertainties into data analysis – Kang et al., 2004, XDAP fitting DEMs to high-resolution Chandra and EUVE grating spectra – wavelength.

DEM reconstruction cannot be a black box

– fast, simple, robust: pick one

– smoothing: a necessary evil

– error bars.. bands.. bundles.. ropes

– astrophysical limitations:

changing densities and abundances

flows and non-equilibrium ionization

line opacities

atomic data errors

Vinay Kashyap, SAOHMI/AIA Science Teams Meeting, Monterey, Feb 2006

Page 4: Propagating atomic uncertainties into data analysis – Kang et al., 2004, XDAP fitting DEMs to high-resolution Chandra and EUVE grating spectra – wavelength.

coronal building blocks

– moss DEM

Fletcher & de Pontieu 1999;

Lin et al. 2006

– Sun as a star; stars as the Sun

– the Capella spike at logT=6.8

Vinay Kashyap, SAOHMI/AIA Science Teams Meeting, Monterey, Feb 2006

Page 5: Propagating atomic uncertainties into data analysis – Kang et al., 2004, XDAP fitting DEMs to high-resolution Chandra and EUVE grating spectra – wavelength.

DEM challenge: lessons learned

MCMC_DEM in PINTofALE

– incorrect by ~3x

– always check for stability of the solution

– watch out for artefacts next to sharp edges

– data can be too good; proportionately more

difficult to get out of local minima

Vinay Kashyap, SAOHMI/AIA Science Teams Meeting, Monterey, Feb 2006

Page 6: Propagating atomic uncertainties into data analysis – Kang et al., 2004, XDAP fitting DEMs to high-resolution Chandra and EUVE grating spectra – wavelength.
Page 7: Propagating atomic uncertainties into data analysis – Kang et al., 2004, XDAP fitting DEMs to high-resolution Chandra and EUVE grating spectra – wavelength.
Page 8: Propagating atomic uncertainties into data analysis – Kang et al., 2004, XDAP fitting DEMs to high-resolution Chandra and EUVE grating spectra – wavelength.
Page 9: Propagating atomic uncertainties into data analysis – Kang et al., 2004, XDAP fitting DEMs to high-resolution Chandra and EUVE grating spectra – wavelength.
Page 10: Propagating atomic uncertainties into data analysis – Kang et al., 2004, XDAP fitting DEMs to high-resolution Chandra and EUVE grating spectra – wavelength.
Page 11: Propagating atomic uncertainties into data analysis – Kang et al., 2004, XDAP fitting DEMs to high-resolution Chandra and EUVE grating spectra – wavelength.
Page 12: Propagating atomic uncertainties into data analysis – Kang et al., 2004, XDAP fitting DEMs to high-resolution Chandra and EUVE grating spectra – wavelength.
Page 13: Propagating atomic uncertainties into data analysis – Kang et al., 2004, XDAP fitting DEMs to high-resolution Chandra and EUVE grating spectra – wavelength.
Page 14: Propagating atomic uncertainties into data analysis – Kang et al., 2004, XDAP fitting DEMs to high-resolution Chandra and EUVE grating spectra – wavelength.