Promote growth & secure peace

How can a conflict analysis help

The context of this exercise• progress on many levels, but fragile transition with potentially

destabilising factors• lack of inclusive growth might not be a core cause of conflict, but:

- weak & non pro-poor ec. policies/programmes- real or perceived lack of progress in accessing ec. opportunities (women, rural youth)- perception of corruption & mismanagement of resources, among others

can contribute to violence in the short term, & undermine long term reforms & recovery

This exerciseCCA/growth: - Identifies key problems related to growth & economic

dev.- analyses their immediate & structural causes- suggests the action needed to address them- assesses the capacities & comparative advantages of

the UN in this area

informs short/medium & long-term action to be included in the UNDAF

Integrating a conflict lens

Look at the identified problems thinking:• how has the issue (e.g. lack of growth, etc.)

contributed to creating the conditions for conflict or to undermining peace consolidation?

also look at: • how has conflict impacted on the issue? (e.g.

impact of insecurity)

Causal analysis with a conflict lensExample: employment

Ask the question

What action will contribute to stimulategrowth, improve ec. policies, address discriminatory practices, thus: • creating jobs for the marginalised• contributing to stabilise the situation• & to longer term peace consolidation &

development?

Analysis of responses

• Are the current responses addressing the immediate & structural causes of the problem?

• Are they informed by an understanding of how the problem might have contributed to conflict & are they addressing those linkages (e.g. conflict sensitivity)?

• Are there major gaps in the responses?

Final picture

• You have identified key issues• You have identified, analysed, ranked their

causes• You have identified actions, on-going responses

& gaps in the way the issues are being addressed

• You finish by identifying what are the UN comparative advantages to take action and what capacities are needed