Project Estimations.pptx
description
Transcript of Project Estimations.pptx
Project Planning Techniques - based on PMBOK
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Project Planning TechniquesBM399
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Case Study Audit Report 42 on BH Car Park
Project Cost Management Estimate Costs
Determine Budget
Control Costs
Topics to be covered today:
Project Planning Techniques - based on PMBOK
Project Cost Management
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Project Cost Management – where does this fit?
Monitoring and Controlling Process Group
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Project Cost Management
Develop Project Management Plan – Data Flow Diagram
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Project Cost Management
Direct and Manage Project Execution – Data Flow Diagram
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Project Cost Management
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• Estimate Cost
• Determine Budget
• Control Costs
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Project Cost Management - Develop Project Management Plan - 1
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• The Project Management Plan integrates and consolidates all of the subsidiary management plans and baseline from the planning processes and includes but is not limited to:
• The life cycle selected for the project and the processes that will be applied to each phase
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• Results of the tailoring by the project management team as follows:– PM processes selected by the PM team– Level of implementation of each selected process– Descriptions of the tools and techniques to be
used for accomplishing these processes and– How work will be executed to accomplish the
project objectives
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• A change management plan that documents how changes will be monitored and controlled
• How integrity of the performance measurement baselines will be maintained
• Need and techniques for communication among stakeholders and
• Key management reviews for content, extent, and timing to facilitate addressing open issues and pending issues
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• The PM Plan can be either summary level or detailed, and
can be composed of one or more subsidiary plans. Each of
the subsidiary plans is detailed to the extent required by
the specific project. Once the project management plan is
baselined, it may only be changed when a change request
is generated and approved through the Perform Integrated
Change Control Process.
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• The cost management processes and their associated tools are usually selected during the project life cycle definition and are documented in the cost management plan.
Project Cost Management
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• The cost management plan can establish the following:
• Level of accuracy – including contingencies
• Units of measure – currency, days, hours, lump sum etc.
• Organisational procedure links – the WBS provides the framework for the CMP allowing for consistency with the estimates etc.
Project Cost Management
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• CMP (contd)
• Control of thresholds – agreed variation within limits
• Rules of performance management – ‘earned value management’ rules
• Reporting formats – format and frequency of reports
• Process descriptions – descriptions for each of the three cost management processes are defined
Project Cost Management
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Project Cost Management – Project Cost Overview
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• Note:
• Estimating costs and determining the budget can overlap, particularly on small projects where one person may undertake both.
• However, the tools and techniques are different.
• The ability to influence costs is greatest at early stages of a project, making scope definition critical
Project Cost Management
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Estimate Costs: Inputs Tools and Techniques
Project Cost Management – Estimate Costs
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Estimate Costs - Data Flow Diagram
Project Cost Management – Estimate Costs
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• Estimate Costs - Inputs:• 1. Scope baseline
• Scope statement• WBS• WBS dictionary
• 2. Project schedule• 3. Human resource plan• 4. Risk register• 5. Enterprise environmental factors• 6. Organisational process assets
Project Cost Management – Estimate Costs
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• Estimate Costs – Tools and Techniques• 1. Expert judgement• 2. Analogous estimating• 3. Parametric estimating• 4. Bottom-up estimating• 5. Three-point estimates
– (ref: PERT – program evaluation and review technique)• 6. Reserve analysis• 7. Cost of quality• 8. Project management estimating software• 9. Vendor bid analysis
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• Estimate Cost – Outputs
• 1. Activity cost estimates
• 2. Basis of estimates
• 3. Project document updates
Project Cost Management – Estimate Costs
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Project Cost Management – Determine Budget
Determine Budget: Inputs, Tool and Techniques, and Outputs
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Project Cost Management – Determine Budget
Determine Budget – Data Flow Diagram
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• Determine Budget – Inputs• 1. Activity cost estimate• 2. Basis of estimates• 3. Scope baseline
• Scope statement• WBS• WBS directory
• 4. Project schedule• 5. Resource calendars• 6. Contracts• 7. Organisational process assets
Project Cost Management – Determine Budget
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• Determine Budget – Tools and Techniques
• 1. Cost aggregation
• 2. Reserve analysis
• 3. Expert judgement
• 4. Historical relationships
• 5. Funding limit reconciliation
Project Cost Management – Determine Budget
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• Determine Budget – Outputs• 1. Cost performance baseline
Project Cost Management – Determine Budget
Cost baseline, expenditure and funding requirements
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• Determine Budget – Outputs (contd)
• 2. Project funding requirements
• 3. Project document updates
Project Cost Management – Determine Budget
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• Project cost control includes:
• Influencing the factors that create changes to the authorised cost baseline
• Ensuring that all the change requests are acted on in a timely manner
• Managing the actual changes when and as they occur
Project Cost Management – Control Costs
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• Project cost control also includes
• Monitoring cost performance to isolate and understand variances from the approved cost baseline
• Monitoring work performance against funds expended
• Preventing unapproved changes from being included in the reported cost or resource usage
Project Cost Management – Control Costs
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• Finally, project cost control includes:
• Informing appropriate stakeholders of all approved changes and associated costs
• Acting to bring expected cost overruns within acceptable limits
Project Cost Management – Control Costs
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Project Cost Management – Control Costs
Cost control inputs, Tools and Techniques, and Outputs
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Project Cost Management – Control Costs
Control Costs data Flow Diagram
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• Control Costs – Inputs• 1. Project management plan
• Cost performance baseline• Cost management plan
• 2. Project funding requirements• 3. Work performance information• 4. Organisational process assets
• Existing formal and informal cost control –related policies, procedures and guidelines
• Cost control tools and• Monitoring and reporting methods to be used
Project Cost Management – Control Costs
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• Cost Control – Tools and Techniques• 1. Earned value management
• Planned value• Earned value• Actual cost
– Variances will be monitored:• Schedule variance• Cost variance
– (These can be converted to efficiency indicators)
Project Cost Management – Control Costs
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Project Cost Management – Control Costs
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Project Cost Management – Control Costs
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• Cost Control – Tools and Techniques (contd)• 2. Forecasting (estimate at completion -
EAC)– Typically based on actual costs incurred tor work
completed, plus an estimate to complete (ETC) the remaining work
• 3. To-Complete Performance Index (TCPI)
Project Cost Management – Control Costs
To-Complete Performance Index (TCPI)
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• Cost Control – Tools and Techniques (contd)• 4. Performance Reviews
• Variance analysis• Trend analysis• Earned value performance
• 5. Variance analysis• 6. Project management software
Project Cost Management – Control Costs
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• Control Costs – Outputs• 1. Work performance measurements• 2. Budget forecasts• 3. Organisational process assets updates• 4. Change requests• 5. Project management plan updates
• Cost performance baseline• Cost management plan
• 6. Project document updates
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• We reviewed the processes involved in managing project costs under the following headings:
– Estimate Cost– Determine Budget– Control Costs– And looked at the ‘inputs’, ‘tools and techniques’
and ‘outputs’ that can be derived for each element of the cost management process
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QUESTIONS?