Professor!Sir!Brian!Harrison,!FBA!...
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Founder’s Lecture 2016 Professor Sir Brian Harrison, FBA ‘The history of the future’
Transcript of Professor!Sir!Brian!Harrison,!FBA!...
Founder’s Lecture 2016
Professor Sir Brian Harrison, FBA
‘The history of the future’
THE HISTORY OF THE FUTURE
PHASE 1: THE AFTERLIFE AS INSPIRATION (c.1600-‐c.1800)
religion & poli6cs inseparable mercan6lism enthroned
PHASE 2: SELF-‐HELP FACILITATES A ‘HEAVEN BELOW’ (c.1800-‐c.1900)
industrializa6on loosens up change in all areas from mercan6lism to free trade Liberal Party ‘opens windows’ respectability pursued ‘making of the English middle class’
PHASE 3: FROM INDIVIDUALIST UTOPIA TO STATIST DYSTOPIA? (c.1900-‐c.2000) urbaniza6on & industrializa6on demand an expanding central state growth of government exper6se & personnel utopian inspira6on for early labour movement: Owen, Morris, Bellamy help from projec6ng exis6ng trends forward BUT difficul6es abound: hence crises of 1960s & 1970s dystopias advance (Forster, Huxley, Orwell) as utopias re6re but dystopias have much in common with utopias and poli6cians deserve to be defended against both
PHASE 4: AN ALL-‐ABSORBING PRESENT
accelera6ng media-‐driven preoccupa6on with the present ongoing seculariza6on of an earth-‐bound future apologies for the past yoked to mortgaging of the future science fic6on and ‘futures studies’ no guide to the future despite H.G.Wells’s enthusiasm, they remain defensive in mood like historians, they depend inevitably on documents from the past
‘London street corner on Sunday morning’ 1856 Illustrated London News
THE HISTORY OF THE FUTURE
PHASE 1: THE AFTERLIFE AS INSPIRATION (c.1600-‐c.1800)
religion & poli6cs inseparable mercan6lism enthroned
PHASE 2: SELF-‐HELP FACILITATES A ‘HEAVEN BELOW’ (c.1800-‐c.1900)
industrializa6on loosens up change in all areas from mercan6lism to free trade Liberal Party ‘opens windows’ respectability pursued ‘making of the English middle class’
PHASE 3: FROM INDIVIDUALIST UTOPIA TO STATIST DYSTOPIA? (c.1900-‐c.2000) urbaniza6on & industrializa6on demand an expanding central state growth of government exper6se & personnel utopian inspira6on for early labour movement: Owen, Morris, Bellamy help from projec6ng exis6ng trends forward BUT difficul6es abound: hence crises of 1960s & 1970s dystopias advance (Forster, Huxley, Orwell) as utopias re6re but dystopias have much in common with utopias and poli6cians deserve to be defended against both
PHASE 4: AN ALL-‐ABSORBING PRESENT
accelera6ng media-‐driven preoccupa6on with the present ongoing seculariza6on of an earth-‐bound future apologies for the past yoked to mortgaging of the future science fic6on and ‘futures studies’ no guide to the future despite H.G.Wells’s enthusiasm, they remain defensive in mood like historians, they depend inevitably on documents from the past
The Savings Bank and the Losing Bank J. W. Kirton ‘Four Pillars of Temperance’ (1865)
THE HISTORY OF THE FUTURE
PHASE 1: THE AFTERLIFE AS INSPIRATION (c.1600-‐c.1800)
religion & poli6cs inseparable mercan6lism enthroned
PHASE 2: SELF-‐HELP FACILITATES A ‘HEAVEN BELOW’ (c.1800-‐c.1900)
industrializa6on loosens up change in all areas from mercan6lism to free trade Liberal Party ‘opens windows’ respectability pursued ‘making of the English middle class’
PHASE 3: FROM INDIVIDUALIST UTOPIA TO STATIST DYSTOPIA? (c.1900-‐c.2000) urbaniza6on & industrializa6on demand an expanding central state growth of government exper6se & personnel utopian inspira6on for early labour movement: Owen, Morris, Bellamy help from projec6ng exis6ng trends forward BUT difficul6es abound: hence crises of 1960s & 1970s dystopias advance (Forster, Huxley, Orwell) as utopias re6re but dystopias have much in common with utopias and poli6cians deserve to be defended against both
PHASE 4: AN ALL-‐ABSORBING PRESENT
accelera6ng media-‐driven preoccupa6on with the present ongoing seculariza6on of an earth-‐bound future apologies for the past yoked to mortgaging of the future science fic6on and ‘futures studies’ no guide to the future despite H.G.Wells’s enthusiasm, they remain defensive in mood like historians, they depend inevitably on documents from the past
THE HISTORY OF THE FUTURE
PHASE 1: THE AFTERLIFE AS INSPIRATION (c.1600-‐c.1800)
religion & poli6cs inseparable mercan6lism enthroned
PHASE 2: SELF-‐HELP FACILITATES A ‘HEAVEN BELOW’ (c.1800-‐c.1900)
industrializa6on loosens up change in all areas from mercan6lism to free trade Liberal Party ‘opens windows’ respectability pursued ‘making of the English middle class’
PHASE 3: FROM INDIVIDUALIST UTOPIA TO STATIST DYSTOPIA? (c.1900-‐c.2000) urbaniza6on & industrializa6on demand an expanding central state growth of government exper6se & personnel utopian inspira6on for early labour movement: Owen, Morris, Bellamy help from projec6ng exis6ng trends forward BUT difficul6es abound: hence crises of 1960s & 1970s dystopias advance (Forster, Huxley, Orwell) as utopias re6re but dystopias have much in common with utopias and poli6cians deserve to be defended against both
PHASE 4: AN ALL-‐ABSORBING PRESENT
accelera6ng media-‐driven preoccupa6on with the present ongoing seculariza6on of an earth-‐bound future apologies for the past yoked to mortgaging of the future science fic6on and ‘futures studies’ no guide to the future despite H.G.Wells’s enthusiasm, they remain defensive in mood like historians, they depend inevitably on documents from the past
Daily Express November 1940
THE HISTORY OF THE FUTURE
PHASE 1: THE AFTERLIFE AS INSPIRATION (c.1600-‐c.1800)
religion & poli6cs inseparable mercan6lism enthroned
PHASE 2: SELF-‐HELP FACILITATES A ‘HEAVEN BELOW’ (c.1800-‐c.1900)
industrializa6on loosens up change in all areas from mercan6lism to free trade Liberal Party ‘opens windows’ respectability pursued ‘making of the English middle class’
PHASE 3: FROM INDIVIDUALIST UTOPIA TO STATIST DYSTOPIA? (c.1900-‐c.2000) urbaniza6on & industrializa6on demand an expanding central state growth of government exper6se & personnel utopian inspira6on for early labour movement: Owen, Morris, Bellamy help from projec6ng exis6ng trends forward BUT difficul6es abound: hence crises of 1960s & 1970s dystopias advance (Forster, Huxley, Orwell) as utopias re6re but dystopias have much in common with utopias and poli6cians deserve to be defended against both
PHASE 4: AN ALL-‐ABSORBING PRESENT
accelera6ng media-‐driven preoccupa6on with the present ongoing seculariza6on of an earth-‐bound future apologies for the past yoked to mortgaging of the future science fic6on and ‘futures studies’ no guide to the future despite H.G.Wells’s enthusiasm, they remain defensive in mood like historians, they depend inevitably on documents from the past
16 April 1936
THE HISTORY OF THE FUTURE
PHASE 1: THE AFTERLIFE AS INSPIRATION (c.1600-‐c.1800)
religion & poli6cs inseparable mercan6lism enthroned
PHASE 2: SELF-‐HELP FACILITATES A ‘HEAVEN BELOW’ (c.1800-‐c.1900)
industrializa6on loosens up change in all areas from mercan6lism to free trade Liberal Party ‘opens windows’ respectability pursued ‘making of the English middle class’
PHASE 3: FROM INDIVIDUALIST UTOPIA TO STATIST DYSTOPIA? (c.1900-‐c.2000) urbaniza6on & industrializa6on demand an expanding central state growth of government exper6se & personnel utopian inspira6on for early labour movement: Owen, Morris, Bellamy help from projec6ng exis6ng trends forward BUT difficul6es abound: hence crises of 1960s & 1970s dystopias advance (Forster, Huxley, Orwell) as utopias re6re but dystopias have much in common with utopias and poli6cians deserve to be defended against both
PHASE 4: AN ALL-‐ABSORBING PRESENT
accelera6ng media-‐driven preoccupa6on with the present ongoing seculariza6on of an earth-‐bound future apologies for the past yoked to mortgaging of the future science fic6on and ‘futures studies’ no guide to the future despite H.G.Wells’s enthusiasm, they remain defensive in mood like historians, they depend inevitably on documents from the past
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