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DOI 10.1378/chest.09-2920; Prepublished online March 18, 2010;Chest
GroupWerner Zimmerli, Beat Mueller, Philipp Schuetz and for the ProHOSP StudyFabian Mller, Mirjam Christ-Crain, Thomas Bregenzer, Martin Krause,
A prospective cohort trial.Patients with community-acquired Pneumonia:Procalcitonin levels Predict Bacteremia in
http://chestjournal.chestpubs.org/content/early/2010/03/18/chest.09-2920can be found online on the World Wide Web at:The online version of this article, along with updated information and services
) ISSN:0012-3692http://chestjournal.chestpubs.org/site/misc/reprints.xhtml(distributed without the prior written permission of the cop yright holder.All rights reserved. No part of this article or PDF may be reproduced orCollege of Chest Physicians, 3300 Dundee Road, Northbrook, IL 60062.has been published monthly since 1935. Copyright2010by the American
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Word count: abstract: 246 Main text: 2860
Procalcitonin levels Predict Bacteremia in Patients with community-acquired
Pneumonia: A prospective cohort trial.
1Fabian Mller, MD, 1Mirjam Christ-Crain, MD, 2Thomas Bregenzer, MD, 3Martin
Krause, MD, 4 Werner Zimmerli, MD, 2*Beat Mueller, MD and 1Philipp Schuetz, MD
for the ProHOSP Study Group *
1Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Clinical
Nutrition, University Hospital Basel, 2 Department of Internal Medicine, Kantonsspital
Aarau, 3 Department of Internal Medicine, Kantonsspital Mnsterlingen 4 Department
of Internal Medicine, Kantonsspital Liestal, Switzerland
*Corresponding author:Beat Mueller, MDDepartment of Internal Medicine,Kantonsspital, Tellstrasse, CH-5001 Aarau, [email protected] +41 62 838 68 40Fax +41 62 838 69 45
Funding sources:This trial is supported in part by a grant from the Swiss National Science Foundation
(SNF 3200BO-116177/1), contributions from santsuisse and the Gottfried and JuliaBangerter-Rhyner-Foundation, the University Hospital Basel, the Medical UniversityClinic Liestal, the Medical Clinic Buergerspital Solothurn, the Cantonal HospitalsMuensterlingen, Aarau and Lucerne, respectively, the Swiss Society for InternalMedicine (SGIM), and from the Department of Endocrinology, Diabetology andClinical Nutrition, University Hospital Basel. BRAHMS, the manufacturer of the PCTassay, provided all assay related material.
ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT00350987
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Competing InterestNo commercial sponsor had any involvement in design and conduct of this study,namely collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; andpreparation, decision to submit, review, or approval of the manuscript.PS, MCC and BM received support from BRAHMS to attend meetings and fulfilled
speaking engagements. BM has served as a consultant and received research
support.
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Background: Guidelines recommend blood culture sampling from hospitalized
patients with suspected community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). However, the yield
of true positive results is low. We investigated the benefit of procalcitonin (PCT) on
admission to predict blood culture positivity in CAP.
Methods: This is a prospective cohort study with a derivation and validation set
including a total of 925 CAP patients with blood culture sampling upon hospital
admission.
Results: A total of 73 patients (7.9%) had true bacteremia (43/463 in the derivation
cohort, 30/462 in the validation cohort). The area under the receiver-operating-
characteristics curve of PCT in the derivation and validation cohort were similar
(0.83 (95%CI 0.78-0.89), 0.79 (95%CI 0.72-0.88). Overall, PCT was a significantly
better predictor for blood culture positivity as compared to white blood cell count, C-
reactive protein and other clinical parameters. In multivariate regression analysis,
only antibiotic pretreatment (adjusted OR 0.25, p
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Introduction
Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a common and potentially life-threatening
disease which puts an enormous strain on health-care resources 1. In the diagnostic
work up of CAP patients, identification of the causative organism to target a more
favourable antibiotic therapy and to study local resistance patterns is of great value
1,2 . Current guidelines recommend drawing two sets of pre-treatment blood cultures
routinely in all hospitalized patients with CAP{Mandell, 2007 #6340} 3. Nevertheless
the benefit and cost-effectiveness of routine drawing of blood cultures is
controversial, mainly because of the low yield of positive blood cultures, which is in
the range of 3-10% in non-selected hospital admitted patients with CAP 4-10 . In order
to limit blood culture sampling to high-risk patients for growth of bacteria, previous
studies have evaluated clinical and laboratory predictors for blood culture positivity
6,11-13 . However, single parameters lack sensitivity and/or specificity which prevents
its use in daily routine 6,11 . Some authors have developed clinical decision rules with
increased prognostic accuracy 6,12,13 . However, complexity of decision rules often
restricts a widespread adoption. Hence, there is an unmet need to identify simple
and accurate predictors for blood culture positivity in patients with CAP.
Procalcitonin (PCT) has emerged as a biomarker for bacterial infections because it
correlates with the extent and severity of microbial invasion in different infections 14-
22 . Previous trials have demonstrated that patients with bacteremic CAP have
markedly increased initial PCT concentrations 9,14,17,22 , which makes PCT a
promising candidate biomarker for prediction of blood culture positivity. Herein, we
evaluated the prognostic accuracy of PCT as compared to other commonly used
clinical and laboratory parameters in a large and well defined derivation and
validation cohort of CAP patients .
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Material and Methods
Setting and population studied
The present study is a predefined sub-study of the previously published ProHOSP
trial and evaluated data from 925 patients confirmed with radiological CAP who were
admitted to the Emergency Department (ED) of the University Hospital Basel,
Switzerland, between 12/06 and 03/08. A detailed description of the ProHOSP study
has been published elsewhere 14,23 . In brief, consecutive patients with lower
respiratory tract infection (LRTI) were included in six secondary and tertiary care
hospitals in northern and central Switzerland. The aim of this randomized non-
inferiority trial was to compare two different treatment strategies using either a PCT
algorithm or an algorithm based on current guidelines for conducting antibiotic
therapy. The primary endpoint was the combined medical failure rate of patients. A
study website provided information on the evidence-based management of all
patients based on the most recent guidelines 24-28 and explicitly specified the need
for X-ray confirmation of CAP and for sampling two sets of pre-treatment blood
cultures. A predefined secondary endpoint of this study was the evaluation of
prognostic parameters for outcomes and blood culture positivity.
Full ethical approval for this trial has been obtained from all local ethical committees
and all patients gave written informed consent.
Participants and Definitions
Inclusion criteria for patients were written informed consent, age 18 years and
admittance from the community or a nursing home with the main diagnosis of LRTI.
Exclusion criteria were the inability to give written informed consent, insufficient
German language skills, active illegal intravenous drug use, previous hospitalisation
age 5 of 29
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for LRTI within 14 days, severe immunosuppression other than corticosteroids,
accompanying chronic infection or endocarditis and most severe medical co-
morbidity where death was imminent.
LRTI was defined by the presence of at least one respiratory symptom (cough, with
and without sputum production, dyspnea, tachypnea, pleuritic pain) plus one
auscultatory finding or one sign of infection (core body temperature > 38.0C,
shivers, white blood count > 10 G/L or < 4 G/L cells) independent of antibiotic pre-
treatment. Diagnosis of CAP was made if additionally to the LRTI criteria an
underlying infiltrate on chest radiograph was present 24 .
In all patients with a provisional diagnosis of CAP, two pairs of blood cultures for
both aerobic and anaerobic conditions were collected before starting antibiotic
therapy. Blood cultures were processed using an automated colorimetric detection
system (BacT/ALERT, bioMerieux, Durham, NC, USA) in three hospitals and an
equivalent blood culture system (BACTEC Becton-Dickinson, Cockeysville, Md.) in
the other three hospitals 29 . If blood culture bottles indicated bacterial growth,
samples were gram stained and subcultured. The correct identification of the
pathogen was achieved according to routine laboratory procedures.
In accordance with a recently published study 6, a bacteremic episode was defined
as growth of a typical organism for CAP in at least one of four collected blood
cultures within the first 36 hours of presentation to the ED. Episodes with growth of
coagulase-negative staphylococci were assumed to be contaminants. Growth of
Streptococcus spp. other than pneumococci (n=4) and Enterobacteriaeceae (n=3)
including Serratia marcescens in the blood cultures of one patient were included in
this analysis, even though a causal relationship with CAP is not clear.
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Clinical examination and Laboratory data
In all patients on admission, a thorough clinical examination was performed and two
prognostic scores (Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI) and the CURB-65) werecalculated 30,31 . For all patients laboratory results were collected from the routine
blood analysis including markers of infection (PCT, CRP and WBC), plasma sodium
concentration and blood urea nitrogen. CRP concentrations were determined by an
enzyme immunoassay having a detection limit of < 5 mg/dl (EMIT, Merck
Diagnostica, Zurich, Switzerland). PCT was measured using a time-resolved
amplified cryptate emission (TRACE) technology assay (Kryptor PCT, Brahms AG,
Hennigsdorf, Germany) with a functional assay sensitivity of 0.06 g/L.
Derivation and Validation Sets
We used the first 50% of CAP patients (n=463) as the derivation set and the second
50% (n=462) as the validation set based on the timely inclusion of patients. The
validation set was not used until the analysis with the derivation set was complete
and served as an independent test of the derived rule.
Statistical Analysis
This report adheres to the STROBE guidelines for reporting observational studies 32 .
Discrete variables are expressed as counts (percentage) and continuous variables
as medians and interquartile ranges (IQR). Frequency comparison was done by chi-
square test. Two-group comparison Mann-Whitney-U test was used. To assess the
prognostic performance of different parameters to predict blood culture positivity,
univariate and multivariate regression analysis adjusted for all significant parameters
age 7 of 29
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were used. Thereby, logarithmic transformation was performed to obtain normal
distribution for skewed variables (i.e. PCT concentrations) and outcomes were either
positive blood cultures or negative blood cultures. Receiver-operating-characteristics
(ROC) were calculated using STATA 9.2 (Stata Corp, College Station, Tex). All
testing was two-tailed and P values less than 0.05 were considered to indicate
statistical significance.
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Results
Baseline parameters
The median age of the overall cohort of 925 CAP patients was 73 years (IQR 59-82)
and 59% were males. The median PSI score was 91 (IQR 66-115) and 51% of
patients were in high risk PSI classes IV and V. True positive blood cultures were
detected overall in 73 patients (43/463 in the derivation cohort and 30/462 in the
validation cohort); thus the overall rate of true positive blood cultures was 7.9%
(Figure 1 ). The following pathogens were detected: Streptococcus pneumoniae
n=59, Escherichia coli n=3, Haemophilus influenzae n=2, Enterobacter cloacae n=2,
Enterobacter aerogenes n=1, Streptococcus pyogenes n=1, Streptococcus
acidominimus n=1, Streptococcus mitis n=1, Pseudomonas aeruginosa n=1,
Staphylococcus aureus n=1, Serratia marcescens n=1. Three patients had
contamined blood cultures with coagulase-negative staphylococci in a single blood
culture bottle each. Table 1 shows baseline characteristics on admission of all
patients (left column) and separated according to blood culture results. Patients with
positive blood cultures were less frequently admitted from nursing facilities, had less
frequent antibiotic pretreatment and congestive heart failure, while renal dysfunction
was more frequent. Laboratory analysis showed that CRP, blood urea nitrogen and
WBC were significantly higher in patients with positive blood cultures. In addition,
patients with positive blood cultures had almost 15 fold higher PCT levels compared
to patients with negative cultures (5.8 vs 0.4 g/L). There was no significant
difference in PCT levels in patients with Streptococcus pneumoniae as compared to
patients with other pathogens (median PCT 5.8 g/L (IQR 2.1-21.1) vs 6.3 g/L
(IQR 3.3-11.4), p=0.98). While, the majority of patients with positive blood cultures
had increased PCT levels, one patients with a PCT level < 0.1 g/L, and 2 patients
age 9 of 29
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with a PCT level < 0.25 g/L had growth of Streptococcus pneumoniae in blood
cultures. These three patients had an increase of PCT levels of higher than 0.25
g/L in the follow up PCT measurement. Patients with positive blood cultures were
more frequently transferred to the ICU, but mortality was similar.
PCT compared to other parameters to predict positive blood cultures
In univariate analysis ( Table 2 ), antibiotic pretreatment, congestive heart failure, and
systolic blood pressure were negative predictive factors for positivity of blood
cultures. In contrast, renal dysfunction, heart rate, body temperature, blood urea
nitrogen, white blood count, CRP serum levels, as well as PCT serum levels were
positive predictors for positive blood cultures. Multivariate logistic regression
analysis using all significant parameters from univariate analysis showed that only
antibiotic pretreatment (adjusted OR 0.25 (95%CI 0.08-0.76), p
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Positive and negative blood cultures within different risk categories
Blood culture positivity within different risk categories of PCT, CRP and the two
clinical risk scores (PSI and CURB-65) was assessed. Figure 3 shows percentage
of patients with positive (dark grey) and negative (light grey) blood cultures within
risk categories. In patients with a PCT value < 0.1 g/L and between 0.1-0.25 g/L,
only 0.9% (1/117) and 0.9% (2/224) of patients had positive blood cultures, while
16.8% (61/364) had positive results with PCT levels > 1.0 g/L. Patients with CRP 0.5 g/L and especially > 1 g/L may help to identify high-
risk patients who benefit from early and aggressive diagnostic work up and antibiotic
therapy.
Routine sampling of blood cultures in CAP patients have been a cornerstone for
epidemiological reasons, for monitoring antibiotic resistance patterns and for a
better streamlining of antibiotic therapy in individual patients 1,24,27 . Nevertheless, the
routine implementation of blood culture sampling in CAP has been questioned,
because of the low yield of true positive results 4-9 . Consensus guidelines
encourages a more rational approach to blood culture collection without, however,
giving specific criteria 24 . Thus, there is an unmet need for accurate predictors of
blood culture positivity that would increase the pre-test probability of patients and
thus the yield of blood cultures in CAP. In this context, enormous attempts have
been undertaken to correlate the levels of different biomarkers and mediators with
the presence of bacteremia 19,33 . Herein, PCT is a promising biomarker, because it
correlates with the extent and severity of microbial infection, because of high
specificity for bacterial etiology of LRTI and the superior clinical usefulness as
compared to other commonly used laboratory tests, namely CRP and WBC 15-22,33 .
This study validates a series of previous findings. In accordance with previous
studies we found that antibiotic pre-treatment is an important factor to decrease the
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likelihood of positive blood culture findings 6,34 . In a large retrospective cohort study 6
different predictors for bacteremia in hospitalized CAP patients have been identified.
Antibiotic pre-treatment and 40C < body temperature < 35C were negative
predictors, while liver disease, systolic blood pressure < 90 mm Hg, heart rate
125/min., blood urea nitrogen 11 mmol/L, sodium < 130 mmol/L, WBC 20,000/mm 3 were positive predictors. Using this decision support
tool in their data would result in 38% fewer blood cultures when compared with the
standard practice and still allow identification of 88% to 89% of patients with
bacteremia 6. In our study, we validate these predictors. However, after including
PCT in multivariate analysis, only antibiotic pre-treatment and PCT remained
independent predictors. Using a PCT cut off of 0.25 g/L in our study would allow
reducing the amount of blood culture collection by a similar amount (37%), but still
result in a higher sensitivity of 96%.
Waterer and colleagues 7 reported that the yield of positive blood cultures in CAP
patients increases with increasing PSI. Thus, they concluded that blood cultures
should be limited to high risk patients in the PSI classes IV and V 7. In the present
study we found no significant correlation between PSI classes and the yield of
positive blood cultures, and only a weak association between the CURB-65 score
and likelihood of positive blood cultures. The PSI is a mortality prediction tool and is
mainly influenced by the age of patients 30 . Thus, young patients with bacteremic
CAP usually have a lower PSI but still a high risk of blood culture positivity.
Based on the results of two 2 retrospective studies reporting a reduced mortality in
CAP patients who received antibiotic treatment within 4-8 hours, the time to first
antibiotic dose has recently received significant attention from a quality-of-care
perspective24
. Within the ProHOSP trial, PCT was measured using a rapid sensitive
age 13 of 29
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assay and an assay time of around 20 minutes 14 . The test was performed on-site at
the central lab of each participating hospital and results were routinely available
around the clock within 1 hour and by the time results from routine chemistry were
available. Thus, if PCT is measured on admission in patients with suspicion of CAP,
PCT can be used for the evaluation of the patients without putting him at risk
because of time delays.
Some limitations merit consideration. First, patients with severe immunosuppression
were excluded limiting generalization. In blood cultures of seven patients we found
some pathogens that are not typically found in CAP, and might thus not be the true
cause for the diagnosed CAP. Although we excluded patients with other sites of
infection than the respiratory tract it is not entirely possible to rule out the influence
of concomitant infections. Exclusion of these patients, however, would not have
altered our results (data not shown).
In conclusion, this study suggests PCT to be an accurate parameter for predicting
bacteremia in patients with CAP. Based on the results of this study, we recommend
to draw blood cultures in CAP patients only when PCT levels are 0.25 g/L or higher
because the likelihood for bacteremic CAP in patients with lower PCT levels is very
low. In addition, blood cultures should be considered at lower PCT level, if
antibiotics are prescribed based on validated overruling criteria especially in areas
with increased prevalence of resistant organisms. Obviously, the clinical picture of
bacteraemic infection is far too heterogeneous and complex to be reduced to a
single cut-off of any surrogate marker. Different microbes might induce distinct
responses resulting in a variable upregulation of circulating PCT levels. Still, as
demonstrated in this and other studies, the likelihood for bacterial CAP increases
gradually with increasing serum levels of PCT, making PCT a putative indicator for
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blood culture positivity. Thus, used in the proper context of CAP it may result in a
substantial reduction in the numbers of cultures obtained and to an optimized
allocation of our limited health care resources and in patient costs.
age 15 of 29
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Competing Interest
No commercial sponsor had any involvement in design and conduct of this study,
namely collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; and
preparation, decision to submit, review, or approval of the manuscript.
PS, MCC and BM received support from BRAHMS to attend meetings and fulfilled
speaking engagements. BM has served as a consultant and received research
support. All other authors declare that the answer to the questions on the competing
interest form are all No and therefore have nothing to declare.
Contributors
MCC, BM, WZ and PS had the idea and initiated the study, FM, BM and PS
performed the analyses and drafted the manuscript. All authors amended and
commented on the manuscript and approved the final version.
Acknowledgement
We are grateful to all local physicians, the nursing staff and patients who
participated in this study. Especially, we thank the staff of the emergency room,
medical clinics and central laboratories of the University Hospital Basel, the
Kantonsspitaeler Liestal, Aarau, Luzern and Muensterlingen and the
Buergerspital Solothurn for their very helpful assistance, patience and technical
support. We thank other members of the Data Safety and Monitoring Board, namely
A.P.Perruchoud, S.Harbarth and A. Azzola and all members of the ProHOSP Study
Group , namely Robert Thomann, MD, Claudine Falconnier, MD, Marcel Wolbers,
PHD, Isabelle Widmer, MD, Stefanie Neidert, MD, Thomas Fricker, MD, Claudine
Blum, MD, Ursula Schild, RN, Katharina Regez, RN, Rita Bossart, RN, Ronald
Page 16 of 29
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Schoenenberger, MD, Christoph Henzen, MD, Claus Hoess, MD, Heiner C. Bucher,
MD, Ayesha Chaudri, Jeannine Haeuptle, Roya Zarbosky, Rico Fiumefreddo,
Melanie Wieland, RN, Charly Nusbaumer, MD, Andres Christ, MD, Roland
Bingisser, MD, Kristian Schneider, RN, Christine Vincenzi, RN, Michael Kleinknecht,
RN, Brigitte Walz, PhD, Verena Briner, MD, Dieter Conen, MD, Andreas Huber, MD,
Jody Staehelin, MD, Aarau, Chantal Bruehlhardt, RN, Ruth Luginbuehl, RN, Agnes
Muehlemann, PhD, Ineke lambinon and Max Zueger, MD. D.Conen, MD,
M.Wieland, RN, C.Nusbaumer, MD, C.Bruehlhardt, RN, R.Luginbuehl, RN, A.Huber,
MD, B.Walz, RN, and M.Zueger, MD.
age 17 of 29
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10 Niederman MS, McCombs JS, Unger AN, et al. The cost of treatingcommunity-acquired pneumonia. Clin Ther 1998; 20:820-837
11 Marrie TJ. Blood cultures in ambulatory patients who are discharged fromemergency with community-acquired pneumonia. Can J Infect Dis 2004;15:21-24
12 Shapiro NI, Wolfe RE, Wright SB, et al. Who needs a blood culture? Aprospectively derived and validated prediction rule. J Emerg Med 2008;35:255-264
13 Bates DW, Cook EF, Goldman L, et al. Predicting bacteremia in hospitalizedpatients. A prospectively validated model. Ann Intern Med 1990; 113:495-500
14 Schuetz P, Christ-Crain M, Wolbers M, et al. Effect of Procalcitonin-basedGuidelines Compared to Standard Guidelines on Antibiotic Use in LowerRespiratory Tract Infections: The Randomized-Controlled MulticenterProHOSP Trial. JAMA 2009; 302:1059-1066
15 Harbarth S, Holeckova K, Froidevaux C, et al. Diagnostic value ofprocalcitonin, interleukin-6, and interleukin-8 in critically ill patients admittedwith suspected sepsis. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2001; 164:396-402.
16 Schuetz P, Mueller B, Trampuz A. Serum Procalcitonin for Discrimination ofBlood Contamination from Bloodstream Infection due to Coagulase-NegativeStaphylococci. Infection 2007
17 Muller B, Harbarth S, Stolz D, et al. Diagnostic and prognostic accuracy of
clinical and laboratory parameters in community-acquired pneumonia. BMCInfect Dis 2007; 7:10
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18 Morgenthaler NG, Struck J, Fischer-Schulz C, et al. Detection of procalcitonin(PCT) in healthy controls and patients with local infection by a sensitive ILMA.Clin Lab 2002; 48:263-270
19 Christ-Crain M, Muller B. Biomarkers in respiratory tract infections: diagnosticguides to antibiotic prescription, prognostic markers and mediators. Eur
Respir J 2007; 30:556-57320 Muller B, Becker KL. Procalcitonin: how a hormone became a marker and
mediator of sepsis. Swiss Med Wkly 2001; 131:595-602.21 Muller B, Becker KL, Schachinger H, et al. Calcitonin precursors are reliable
markers of sepsis in a medical intensive care unit. Crit Care Med 2000;28:977-983
22 Carrol ED, Mankhambo LA, Jeffers G, et al. The diagnostic and prognosticaccuracy of five markers of serious bacterial infection in Malawian childrenwith signs of severe infection. PLoS One 2009; 4:e6621
23 Schuetz P, Christ-Crain M, Wolbers M, et al. Procalcitonin guided antibiotictherapy and hospitalization in patients with lower respiratory tract infections: aprospective, multicenter, randomized controlled trial. BMC Health Serv Res2007; 7:102
24 Mandell LA, Wunderink RG, Anzueto A, et al. Infectious Diseases Society ofAmerica/American Thoracic Society consensus guidelines on themanagement of community-acquired pneumonia in adults. Clin Infect Dis2007; 44 Suppl 2:S27-72
25 Calverley PM, Walker P. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Lancet2003; 362:1053-1061
26 Gonzales R, Sande MA. Uncomplicated acute bronchitis. Ann Intern Med2000; 133:981-991
27 Niederman MS, Mandell LA, Anzueto A, et al. Guidelines for the managementof adults with community-acquired pneumonia. Diagnosis, assessment ofseverity, antimicrobial therapy, and prevention. Am J Respir Crit Care Med2001; 163:1730-1754
28 Woodhead M, Blasi F, Ewig S, et al. Guidelines for the management of adultlower respiratory tract infections. Eur Respir J 2005; 26:1138-1180
29 Thorpe TC, Wilson ML, Turner JE, et al. BacT/Alert: an automatedcolorimetric microbial detection system. J Clin Microbiol 1990; 28:1608-1612
30 Fine MJ, Auble TE, Yealy DM, et al. A prediction rule to identify low-riskpatients with community-acquired pneumonia. N Engl J Med 1997; 336:243-250
31 Lim WS, van der Eerden MM, Laing R, et al. Defining community acquiredpneumonia severity on presentation to hospital: an international derivationand validation study. Thorax 2003; 58:377-382
32 von Elm E, Altman DG, Egger M, et al. The Strengthening the Reporting ofObservational Studies in Epidemiology [STROBE] statement: guidelines forreporting observational studies. Gac Sanit 2008; 22:144-150
33 Schuetz P, Christ-Crain M, Muller B. Procalcitonin and other biomarkers toimprove assessment and antibiotic stewardship in infections - hope for hype?Swiss Med Wkly 2009; 139:318-326
34 Glerant JC, Hellmuth D, Schmit JL, et al. Utility of blood cultures incommunity-acquired pneumonia requiring hospitalization: influence of
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Table 1 Baseline characteristics of the overall 925 patients with CAP separated bypositive blood cultures (n=73) and negative or contaminated blood cultures (n=852).
All
(n=925)
Positiveblood cultures
(n=73)
Negative orcontaminatedblood cultures
(n=852)
p-value
Demographic characteristics no. (%)
Age (years)* 73 (59-82) 72 (56-81) 73 (59-82) 0.34
Male 544 (59) 42 (57) 502 (59) 0.82 Admitted from nursing facility 53 (6) 0 (0) 53 (6) 0.03 Antibiotic pretreatment 236 (26) 5(7) 231 (27)
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Table 2 Predictors for positive blood cultures (n=73) in univariate logistic regression
analysis of CAP patients (n=925).
Predictor Odds ratio (95% CI) P-value
Clinical historyAntibiotic pretreatment 0.20 0.08 0.50 0.001Congestive heart failure 0.41 0.17 0.96
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Table 3
Derivation set (n=463)
Parameters AUC 95%CI Sensitivity Specificity LR+ LR-
Procalcitonin 0.83 0.78-0.89
> 0.1 g/L 98% 16% 1.16 0.15
> 0.25 g/L 98% 42% 1.66 0.06
> 0.5 g/L 95% 55% 2.14 0.08
> 1.0 g/L 88% 66% 2.62 0.17
Validation set (n=462)
Parameters AUC 95%CI Sensitivity Specificity LR+ LR-
Procalcitonin 0.79 0.72-0.88
> 0.1 g/L 100% 11% 1.12 0.01
> 0.25 g/L 93% 38% 1.5 0.18
> 0.5 g/L 80% 54% 1.74 0.37> 1.0 g/L 76% 63% 2.04 0.37
Overall cohort (n=925)
Parameters AUC 95%CI Sensitivity Specificity LR+ LR-
Procalcitonin 0.82 0.78-0.87
> 0.1 g/L 99% 13% 1.14 0.1
> 0.25 g/L 96% 40% 1.59 0.11
> 0.5 g/L 88% 55% 1.94 0.23
> 1.0 g/L 84% 64% 2.35 0.26
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Table 4 Estimation of costs according to different PCT cut off values
No PCT measurement,Blood culture in all patients
PCT cut off0.1 g/L
PCT cut off0.25 g/L
PCT0.5
Reduction in blood culture collection (%) - 12.6% 36.9% 51.5%
Total costs for blood culture collection in USD 134125 117225 84633 65051
Total costs for initial PCT measurement in USD - 27`750 27`750 27`750
Total costs per patient in USD 145 157 121 100
Missed pathogens in blood cultures, n (%) - 1 (1.4%) 3 (4.1%) 9 (12.3%)
Number needed to screen to detect 1 pathogen 12.7 11.2 8.3 7.0
NOTE.- CAP community-acquired pneumonia, PCT procalcitonin, USD US-Dollars; for cost calculatio
cultures and 30 USD per PCT measurement was assumed.
age 23 of 29
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Appendix I Area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating curve (ROC) characteristic plot analysis and Dia
Parameters AUC 95%CI p Sensitivity SpecifProcalcitonin 0.82 0.77-0.86
> 0.1 g/L 99% 13
> 0.25 g/L 96% 40> 0.5 g/L 88% 55> 1.0 g/L 84% 64
C-Reactive Protein 0.67 0.59-0.74 20 mg/L 96% 9% > 50 mg/L 89% 18%> 100 mg/L 81% 33%> 200 mg/L 61% 64%
Blood urea nitrogen 0.64 0.57-0.71 11 mmol/l 32% 78%
White blood count 0.58 0.50-0.65
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Figure Legends:
Figure 1: Patient flow in the derivation and the validation cohort
CAP community-acquired pneumonia, LRTI lower respiratory tract infection, COPD
chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
Figure 2: Receiver operating Curves analysis
A. Comparing Derivation and validation cohort
B. Comparing PCT and other laboratory and clinical parameters in the overall cohort
Figure 3: Percentage of patients with positive (dark grey) and negative (light grey)
blood cultures within different risk categories.
age 25 of 29
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Figure 1 Flow chart
Figure 2. Receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis
Figure 3. All CAP patients (n=925) with positive (dark grey) and negative (light grey)
blood cultures within different risk categories.
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Flow chart
ge 27 of 29
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ROC curves
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Figure 3. All CAP patients (n=925) with positive (dark grey) and negative (light grey) blood cultures
within different risk categories.
ge 29 of 29
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DOI 10.1378/chest.09-2920; Prepublished online March 18, 2010;Chest
Zimmerli, Beat Mueller, Philipp Schuetz and for the ProHOSP Study GroupFabian Mller, Mirjam Christ-Crain, Thomas Bregenzer, Martin Krause, Werner
community-acquired Pneumonia: A prospective cohort trial.Procalcitonin levels Predict Bacteremia in Patients with
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