Printer Final Cover Scottsdale Dec 2016 · 3) Brexit Impacts on Agricultural Production Patterns...
Transcript of Printer Final Cover Scottsdale Dec 2016 · 3) Brexit Impacts on Agricultural Production Patterns...
Annual Meeting
December 11‐13, 2016
Scottsdale, AZ
The International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium gratefully acknowledges the continuing support of Agriculture and Agri‐Food Canada, the USDA Economic Research Service, the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, and the USDA Office of the Chief Economist. Additional support for this meeting was provided by the Andersons Program in International Trade, Ohio State University.
Program Agenda Theme Day Topic:
Climate Change and International Agricultural Trade
in the Aftermath of COP21
International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium Annual Meeting, December 11 - 13, 2016
The IATRC extends heartfelt appreciation to Tom Hertel (Purdue University) and Alan Matthews
(Trinity College Dublin) for their time and effort as Theme Day Organizers. Thank you also to Jonathan Coleman, U.S. International Trade Commission, who served as Executive Committee
Liaison and Non-Theme Day Organizer, and to Missy Sullivan, IATRC Administrative Director from the University of Minnesota, for arranging and managing meeting details.
For information about future IATRC meetings or IATRC publications, visit the web site:
<www.iatrc.org>
Internet Access in the Meeting Rooms Router: Meeting room you are in
Password: phxsj5401
Business Center The Business Center provides printing, photocopying and other services.
The Business Center is located inside the lobby and is open 24 hours.
7:30‐8:30
8:00‐8:45
8:45‐9:00Rick Barichello (University of British Columbia)Andrew Muhammad (USDA Economic Research Service) Tom Hertel (Purdue University)
9:00‐10:15Solomon Hsiang (University of California ‐ Berkeley)
10:15‐10:45
10:45‐12:00
Frances Moore (University of California ‐ Davis)Discussant: Jerry Nelson (University of Illinois)
12:00 ‐ 1:15
1:15‐2:30Petr Havlik (IIASA)
2:30‐2:45
2:45‐4:00Thomas Rutherford (University of Wisconsin‐Madison)
4:00‐4:15
4:15‐4:30 Synthesis and Implications for Climate Policy in the Wake of COP21Alan Matthews (Trinity College Dublin)
4:30‐5:30
Solomon Hsiang (University of California‐Berkeley)Frances Moore (University of California‐Davis)Petr Havlik (IIASA)Thomas Rutherford (University of Wisconsin‐Madison)
7:00‐7:30 Cocktails (Palm Patio)7:30‐9:30 Dinner (Rattlers)
Discussant: Nelson Villoria (Kansas State University)
Break (Grand Ballroom Foyer)
Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture: Understanding Global Effects on Yield and Welfare
Lunch (Center Ballroom)
Climate Mitigation, Global Agriculture and Food Security
Discussant: Thomas Heckelei (University of Bonn)
Break
Understanding the Interplay Between Carbon‐Based Border Taxes and Global Mitigation
Discussant: Ian Sheldon (The Ohio State University)
Panel Discussion with the PresentersChair: Tom Hertel (Purdue University)
Break
Sunday, December 11, 2016 ‐ Theme Day
Climate Change and International Agricultural Trade in the Aftermath of COP21
Breakfast (Center Ballroom)
Pick Up Nametags and Programs (Grand Ballroom Foyer)
Welcome and Introduction (South Ballroom)
Global Trade and Risk Sharing in a Spatially Correlated Climate
1
7:00‐8:00
8:00‐10:00
Session 01
Rio Verde
Room 1) China and India Biofuel Policy, Food versus Fuel
Jayson Beckman (USDA, Economic Research Service)
2) Just Passing Through: RIN Prices and the Potential for Future E85 Expansion
Jarrett Whistance and Wyatt Thompson (University of Missouri)
3)The Renewable Fuel Standard: Market and Welfare Effects of Alternative Policy Scenarios
GianCarlo Moschini, Harvey Lapan, and Hyunseok Kim (Iowa State University)
Session 02
SonoraRoom 1) US WTO Complaint on China’s Domestic Support: Preliminary Observations
Lars Brink (Independent Advisor) and David Orden (Virginia Tech)2) The Local Impacts of Agricultural Subsidies: Evidence from the Canadian Prairies
Ray Bollman (University of Saskatchewan) and Shon Ferguson (Research Institute of
Industrial Economics, Stockholm)3) The Joint Effect of Trade Negotiations: What Policy Lessons to Take?
Dillen K., Ferrari E., Boulanger P., Dudu H., Himics M., M'Barek R., and D'Avino A.
(European Commission)4) Does Trade Reduce Income Inequality in SSA? A Note
Kolawole Ogundari (University of Delaware) and Titus Awokuse (Michigan State
University)
Session 03(8:00‐9:00)South
Ballroom
1) Potential Economic Effects of the Reduction in Agricultural and Nonagricultural Trade
Barriers in the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership Caesar Cororaton and David Orden (Virginia Tech)
2)Beef Market Integration and Price Transmission in the Trans‐Pacific Partnership CountriesJongyeol Yoon and Scott Brown (University of Missouri)
3) The Impact of TRQs on Korean Rice Market Byung Min Soon, Patrick Westhoff, and Wyatt Thompson (University of Missouri)
(9:00‐10:00)
1) Agricultural Policy and Trade in Central Asia and the South Caucasus in the Context of
WTO RulesLars Brink (Independent Advisor)
2) A Survey of Progress and Pitfalls with the Eurasian Economic UnionWilliam Meyers and Kateryna Schroeder (University of Missouri)
10:00‐10:30
Monday, December 12, 2016
Breakfast (Center Ballroom)
CONCURRENT SESSIONS 01, 02, and 03
Trade Effects of Biofuel Polcies
Moderator: Rick Barichello (University of British Columbia)
Trade Effects of Regional Trade AgreementModerator: Danny Pick (USDA, Economic Research Service)
Agricultural Trade and Policy Along the Silk Road: Roles of Multilateral and Regional
Agreements
Trade Modeling and PolicyModerator: Thomas Heckelei (University of Bonn)
Organizer: William Meyers (University of Missouri)Moderator: Troy Schmitz (Arizona State University)
Break (Grand Ballroom Foyer)
Discussants: Jonathan Brooks (OECD) and Joe Glauber (IFPRI)
10:30‐12:30
Session 04SouthBallroom 1) LAO – Long‐term Agricultural Outlook Model
Marcel Adenäuer, Jonathan Brooks (OECD), and John Saunders (Lincoln University, New
Zealand)
2) A System Dynamics Approach to Trade Analysis Modeling Global Dairy Trade
Brad Gehrke, John Fry, and Jonathan Coleman (U.S. International Trade Commission)3) U.S. Imports and the Rise of Chained Specialist Coffee Shops
Andrew Muhammad (USDA, Economic Research Service), Norbert Wilson (Auburn
University), and Amanda (Leister) Countryman (Colorado State University)4) A Gravity Model of Blue Virtual Water Trade
Rui Chen and Norbert Wilson (Auburn University)
Session 05
1) Canadian Perspective: Frédéric Seppey (Agriculture and Agri‐Food Canada)
2) EU Perspective: Koen Dillen (DG AGRI, European Commission)3) United States Perspective: Sharon Sydow (USDA, Office of the Chief Economist)
Session 06SonoraRoom 1) Necessary Problems: The Political Will and Public Will Approach and Climate‐Smart
Agriculture in Sub‐Saharan AfricaEric D. Raile, Linda Young (Montana State University), Samba Mbaye (Gaston Berger
University, Senegal), Jackline Bonabana‐Wabbi, Julian Kirinya (Makerere University,
Uganda), Lena Wooldridge, Amber Raile (Montana State University), and Lori Ann Post
(Yale University)
2) Climate Change and the U.S Livestock Market Elham Darbandi (University of Kentucky)
3) Global Potential for Greenhouse Gas Mitigation in Ruminant Livestock SectorsHenderson, B. (CSIRO, Australia), Golub, A. (Purdue University), Pambudi, D. (Wellington,
New Zealand), Hertel, T. (Purdue University), Godde, C. (CSIRO, Australia), Herrero, M.
(CSIRO, Australia), Cacho, O. (University of New England, Australia), Steinfeld, H. (FAO),
and Gerber, P. (World Bank)
12:30‐1:30 Lunch and Presentation
Center Current challenges in trade policy making ‐ is economic research relevant?
Ballroom Frédéric Seppey (Agriculture and Agri‐Food Canada)
1:30‐2:00 Post‐Lunch Break
2:00‐3:30
3:30‐4:00
4:00‐5:30 DISSERTATION REPORT and FREE‐FORM DISCUSSION ‐ SESSION 07
Session 07
CONCURRENT SESSIONS 04, 05 and 06
Empirical Modeling of Input and Product MarketsModerator: Karl Meilke (University of Guelph)
Role of Research in Agricultural Trade Negotiations ‐ CANCELLED
Organizers: Sharon Sydow (USDA, Office of the Chief Economist), Wyatt Thompson
(University of Missouri), Jonathan Coleman (U.S. International Trade Commission)
Moderator: Lars Brink (Independent Advisor)
Climate Change and TradeModerator: Titus Awokuse (Michigan State University)
IATRC Members' Business Meeting (South Ballroom)
Moderator: David Orden (Virginia Tech)
Break (Grand Ballroom Foyer)
South 1) Dissertation Report: The Trans‐Pacific Partnership and Japan's Agricultural Trade
Ballroom Manhong Zhu; Supervisor: Andrew Schmitz (University of Florida)
2)
Lars Brink (Independent Advisor), David Orden (Virginia Tech), Rick Barichello (University
of British Columbia), and Titus Awokuse (Michigan State University)
7:00‐8:00
8:00‐10:00
Session 08
Rio Verde
Room
1) Beef Market Analysis in the Wake of BSESharon Sydow (USDA, Office of the Chief Economist)
2) Econometric Import Demand Specification and Results Xin Ning and Jason Grant (Virginia Tech)
3) Dynamic GTAP Back‐Casting Experiment Setup and ResultsEverett Peterson and Jason Grant (Virginia Tech)
Session 09
South Organizer and Moderator: Renee Berry (U.S. International Trade Commission)Ballroom 1) Expected Macroeconomic Effects of a “Hard” Brexit
Ian Sheldon (Ohio State University)2) Trade Policy Implications of Brexit
Tim Josling (Stanford University)3) Brexit Impacts on Agricultural Production Patterns and Trade Flows
Thomas Heckelei (University of Bonn)4) Agricultural Policy Post‐Brexit: UK and EU Perspectives
Alan Matthews (Trinity College, Dublin)5) Prospects for U.K. Fisheries Post‐Common Fisheries Policy
Renee Berry (U.S. International Trade Commission)
10:00‐10:30
10:30‐12:30
Session 10
Rio VerdeRoom 1) Export Spillover and Location Choice
Chang Hong and Haoyu Wu (Clarke University)
2)
Exports and Establishment‐Level Performance in Canadian Food and Beverage
ManufacturingBruce Phillips (Agriculture and Agri‐Food Canada)
3) Chinese Firms in Agricultural Trade: Introducing a New DatasetChaoping Xie and Jason Grant (Virginia Tech)
Organizers: Jason Grant, Everett Peterson, David Orden (Virginia Tech), Sharon Sydow
(USDA, Office of the Chief Economist)Moderator and discussant: David Orden (Virginia Tech)
International Affairs, Agriculture, and Article 50: Brexit’s Effects on the UK, the EU, and the
World
Dimensions of Exports, Location, and DataModerator: Andrew Muhammad (USDA, Economic Research Service)
CONCURRENT SESSIONS 10, 11 and 12
Breakfast (Center Ballroom)
CONCURRENT SESSION 08 and 09
Break (Grand Ballroom Foyer)
Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) and Global Beef Trade: A 12‐Year Retrospective
Assessment
Free‐Form Discussion: How Best to Organize an IATRC Theme Day on Corruption and
Agricultural Trade Research?
Tuesday, December 13, 2016
4) Evolution of the Competitiveness in Korean Food Industry Using New Revealed
Comparative Advantage (New‐RCA) Index Ji‐Yoon Bae and Hanho Kim (Seoul National University, Korea)
Session 11SonoraRoom 1) ASEAN Bilateral Seafood Trade Duration Analysis
Ping Wang, Norbert Wilson (Auburn University), and Nhuong Tran (WorldFish Center
Penang, Malaysia)2) The Impact of Transportation Costs on International Trade of Agricultural Commodities:
The Alchian‐Allen Theorem in an n‐Good WorldDragan Miljkovic (North Dakota State University) and Miguel Gomez (Cornell University)
3) Non‐reciprocal Trade Agreements and their Impacts on Value Added Exports
Anupa Sharma (North Dakota State University)4) New Evidence for Demand Behavior Facing MRL Regulatory Heterogeneity in
International TradeHeloisa Lee Burnquist, Rafael Lopes Jacomini (University of Sao Paulo), and Cinthia
Cabral da Costa (Embrapa, Brazil)
Session 12SouthBallroom 1) Trade Liberalization and Endogenous Quality Choice in Food and Agricultural Trade
Jihyun Eum and Ian Sheldon (Ohio State University)
2) Quality and Export Performance: Evidence from the French Cheese IndustrySabine Duvaleix‐Treguer (Agrocampus, France), Charlotte Emlinger (CEPII, France), Carl
Gaigné (INRA, France), and Karine Latouche (INRA, France)
3)Productivity Shocks, International Trade and Import Prices: Evidence from AgricultureShon Ferguson (Research Institute of Industrial Economics, Stockholm) and Johan Gars
(Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences)
4) Exporting Ecolabels: Is Demand for Certified Sustainable Products Affecting International
Trade?Renee Berry and Marin Weaver (U.S. International Trade Commission)
12:30‐1:30
1:30 Adjourn
Aspects of Quality and Labeling in TradeModerator: Charlotte Emlinger (CEPII, France)
Moderator: Heloisa Lee Burnquist (University of São Paulo)Analytical Dimensions of Trade
Lunch (Center Ballroom)
Name Email Address Affiliation Country
1 Adenäuer, Marcel [email protected] OECD France
2 Awokuse, Titus [email protected] Michigan State University United States
3 Barichello, Richard [email protected] University of British Columbia Canada
4 Beckman, Jayson [email protected] USDA‐Economic Research Service United States
5 Beghin, John [email protected] Iowa State University United States
6 Berry, Renee [email protected] U.S. International Trade Commission United States
7 Boys, Kathryn [email protected] North Carolina State University United States
8 Brink, Lars [email protected] Independent Consultant Canada
9 Brooks, Jonathan [email protected] OECD France
10 Bullock, David [email protected] University of Illinois United States
11 Burnquist, Heloisa [email protected] University of Sao Paulo Brazil
12 Chen, Rui [email protected] Auburn University United States
13 Coleman, Jonathan [email protected] U.S. International Trade Commission United States
14 Countryman, Amanda (Leister) [email protected] Colorado State University United States
15 Darbandi, Elham [email protected] University of Kentucky United States
16 Emlinger, Charlotte [email protected] CEPII France
17 Eum, Jihyun [email protected] Ohio State University United States
18 Ferguson, Shon [email protected] Research Institute of Industrial Economics Sweden
19 Gehrke, Brad [email protected] U.S. International Trade Commission United States
20 Golub, Alla [email protected] Purdue University United States
21 Grant, Jason [email protected] Virginia Tech United States
22 Havlik, Petr [email protected] IIASA Austria
23 Heckelei, Thomas [email protected]‐bonn.de University of Bonn Germany
24 Hertel, Thomas [email protected] Purdue University United States
25 Hochsprung, Charli [email protected] Washington State University United States
26 Hong, Chang [email protected] USDA‐Economic Research Service United States
27 Hsiang, Solomon [email protected] University of California ‐ Berkeley United States
28 Josling, Tim [email protected] Stanford University United States
29 Kim, Hanho [email protected] Seoul National University Rep of Korea
30 Klein, Kurt [email protected] University of Lethbridge Canada
31 Matthews, Alan [email protected] Trinity College Dublin Ireland
32 Meilke, Karl [email protected] University of Guelph Canada
33 Meyers, William [email protected] University of Missouri United States
34 Miljkovic, Dragan [email protected] North Dakota State University United States
35 Mondelaers, Koen [email protected] European Commission Belgium
36 Moore, Frances [email protected] University of California‐Davis United States
37 Moschini, GianCarlo [email protected] Iowa State University United States
38 Muhammad, Andrew [email protected] USDA‐Economic Research Service United States
39 Neff, Steve [email protected] USDA Foreign Agricultural Service United States
40 Nelson, Gerald [email protected] University of Illinois United States
41 Orden, David [email protected] Virginia Tech United States
42 Peterson, Everett [email protected] Virginia Tech United States
43 Phillips, Bruce [email protected] Agriculture and Agri‐food Canada Canada
44 Pick, Daniel [email protected] USDA‐Economic Research Service United States
45 Rutherford, Thomas [email protected] University of Wisconsin‐Madison United States
46 Salvati, Ilara [email protected] Roma Tre University Italy
47 Saunders, John [email protected] Lincoln University New Zealand
48 Schmitz, Andrew [email protected] University of Florida United States
49 Schmitz, Troy [email protected] Arizona State University United States
50 Seppey, Frédéric [email protected] Agriculture and Agri‐Food Canada Canada
PARTICIPANT LIST, IATRC MEETING, DECEMBER 2016
51 Sharma, Anupa [email protected] North Dakota State University United States
52 Sheldon, Ian [email protected] Ohio State University United States
53 Soon, Byung Min [email protected] University of Missouri United States
54 Sullivan, Melissa [email protected] University of Minnesota United States
55 Sydow, Sharon [email protected] USDA/Office of Chief Economist United States
56 Thompson, Wyatt [email protected] University of Missouri United States
57 Vaughan, Odette [email protected] Agriculture and Agri‐Food Canada Canada
58 Villoria, Nelson nvilloria@k‐state.edu Kansas State University United States
59 Wang, Ping [email protected] Auburn University United States
60 Weaver, Marin [email protected] U.S. International Trade Commission United States
61 Wensley, Mitch [email protected] Agriculture and Agri‐Food Canada Canada
62 Whistance, Jarrett [email protected] University of Missouri United States
63 Xie, Chaoping [email protected] USDA Foreign Agricultural Service United States
64 Yoon, Jongyeol [email protected] University of Missouri United States
65 Young, Linda [email protected] Montana State University United States
66 Zhu, Manhong [email protected] University of Florida United States
PARTICIPANT LIST, IATRC MEETING, DECEMBER 2016 (Continued)
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IATRC 2017 Executive Committee
Rick Barichello, Non-U.S. Universities & Other Institutions Representative 2015-2017 Rob Johansson / Sharon Sydow, USDA Office of the Chief Economist Representative
Dragan Miljkovic, U.S. Universities Representative, 2017-2019 Andrew Muhammad, USDA Economic Research Service Representative
Steve Neff, USDA Foreign Agricultural Service Representative Wyatt Thompson, U.S. Universities Representative 2016-2018
Mitch Wensley / Odette Vaughan, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Representative
IATRC Administrative Director
Melissa Sullivan, University of Minnesota
Thank you to outgoing Executive Committee member, John Beghin, for serving on the IATRC Executive Committee and for his service to the IATRC Membership.
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In case of an on-site emergency, please dial extension 0 from any house phone. For lost-and-found, please dial 0 from any house phone to speak to an instant service representative. If there is an emergency with a group member, please notify Missy Sullivan at 612-716-1141 as soon as possible. The Resort cannot accept responsibility for lost or stolen items from any public rooms, including, personal electronic equipment and laptop computers.