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  • Indian Print mediaIndianPrintmediaand

    Newsprint

    MohitJainExecutivePresident

    TheTimesofIndiaGroupJune,2016

    1

  • India:Brightspotintheglobaleconomy

    GDP2016:$2.2trillion(atcurrentprices)

    i i li ( )

    57% Duetodomesticconsumption33% DuetoInvestment

    h

    80

    73

    846.9 7.3

    2 6

    6.37.5

    Risingliteracyrate(%)GDPgrowthrates

    6559

    7368

    3 8 3.7

    0.61.5 2.2

    2.5

    3.5

    1

    1 1.72.2 2.6

    Overall Rural Urban

    2001 2011

    3.8

    Brazil Russia Japan EU UK US China India

    2015 2016P

    Source:KPMGIndianmediaoutlook2016 Source:GovernmentofIndia,Census2011

    2

    IndiahasthehighestGDPgrowthrateprojectionfor2016 Increasedliteracylevels Combinedwithincreasedincomepresentsahighlylucrativemarket

  • IndianMediaIndustry:Size&Growth

    All fi i $ billiAllfiguresin$billion

    Printmediashare

    30% 27% 26% 26% 25% 23%29%

    1416 15 16

    1718

    20

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016P

    3

    Source:KPMG

    Mediaindustryexpectedtogrowto$20billionin2016 Shareofprintreducing

  • 2016 vs 2015

    IndianMediaIndustry:Size&Growth

    20

    2016vs 2015

    Overall9%

    Allfiguresin$billion

    452

    2 2 22

    2215

    3%

    10%

    8 9

    44 4 4

    44

    5

    10

    9%

    6 7 7 78 8

    9

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016P

    4

    Source:KPMGTV Print Films Radio Music OOH AnimationandVFX Gaming DigitalAdvertising

    Printmediarecordstheslowestgrowthamongmajorsectors

  • IndianMediaIndustry:Size&Growth

    30

    35

    CAGR20152020

    Overall13%

    Allfiguresin$billion

    63

    3

    3

    20

    25

    7%

    9%

    16

    45

    55

    6

    22

    3

    10

    15

    7%

    8 911

    1214

    16

    5

    2015 2016P 2017P 2018P 2019P 2020P

    14%

    5

    Source:KPMG

    TV Print Films Radio Music OOH AnimationandVFX Gaming DigitalAdvertising

    Printmediarecordstheslowestgrowthamongmajorsectors

  • IndianMediaIndustry:Adrevenuegrowth

    2016 2015

    0 9

    1.2

    2016vs 2015

    Overall10%

    Allfiguresin$billion

    29%

    3 03.0

    0.20.2

    0.2 0.20.3

    0.30.3

    0.4

    0.40.3 0.3

    0.40.4

    0.4

    0.2

    0.30.4 0.5

    0.7

    0.9

    3%

    13%

    11%

    2.83.0

    2.8 2.82.9

    3.0

    11%

    2.3 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.52.8 3.1

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016P

    11%

    6

    Source:KPMG

    TV Print Radio OOH DigitalAdvertising

    Printisthesecondhighestmediumbyshare;Expectedtogrowonlyby3%

  • IndianMediaIndustry:Adrevenuegrowth

    CAGR 20152020All fi i $ billi

    3.812 0

    14.0

    CAGR2015 2020

    Overall15%

    Allfiguresin$billion

    32%

    4 30.5

    0.6

    0.6

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    1.7

    2.3

    3.0

    8.0

    10.0

    12.0

    8%

    16%

    12%

    3.03.0

    3.33.6

    3.9

    4.3

    0.30.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.40.4

    0.50.9

    1.2

    4.0

    6.0

    2.8 3.13.6 4.1

    4.85.4

    2.0

    2015 2016P 2017P 2018P 2019P 2020P

    14%

    7

    Source:KPMG

    2015 2016P 2017P 2018P 2019P 2020P

    TV Print Radio OOH DigitalAdvertising

    Printisthesecondhighestmediumbyshare;Expectedtogrowonlyby3%

  • 8

  • Print media market in 2015 : $4 5 billion

    PrintMedia:India

    Printmediamarketin2015:$4.5billion

    511

    28

    86CirculationofregisteredNewspaperpublications(million)

    PrintMediaRevenueMix2015(in%)Source:KPMG

    264

    450

    1

    11273

    296 1

    128( )

    189,67%

    94,33%Advertising

    Circulation

    Dailies Tri/biweeklies

    Weeklies Others Total Categories 2013 2014 2015FMCG 12% 14% 15%

    TopspendersonPrintmedia

    weeklies

    Source:RegistrarofNewspapersinIndia

    FY14 FY15Auto 12% 12% 13%Education 10% 9% 10%Realestate/Home 9% 8% 7%Clothing 6% 6% 6%Ecommerce 1% 2% 4%Others 51% 49% 46%

    9

    Others 51% 49% 46%

    Source:PitchMadisonAdvertisingreport2016

    Numberofnewspapersincreasedvs PY;FMCGcontinuestobethetopspenderonPrintmediaads

  • PrintMedia:Readerhabits

    Averageconsumptionofnewspaperperhour

    90%UK

    Internetpenetration

    90%

    87%

    86%

    UK

    US

    Japan

    60%

    53%

    46%

    Russia

    Brazil

    China

    Source:KPMG

    27%India

    Source:IndiaontheGo KPMGMobileInternetVision2017

    10 VeryhighreadershipcomparedtoUS/China Digitalpenetrationstillinthenascentstagesascomparedwithothermajoreconomies

  • PrintMedia:Lookingbeyondthemetrocities

    70%ofIndiaspopulation

    Governmentemphasisonimprovingruralincomes

    Proruralunionbudget201617

    NextwaveofdomesticconsumptiontocomefromRuralIndia

    MajorindustrysectorslookingatgrowthfromRuralIndia

    11

  • Vernacularmarketgrowth

    LanguageNew

    publicationsinFY14

    Newpublicationsin

    FY15Change

    Hindi 2,295 2,349

    Marathi 584 666Increasing Ad revenue growth in Hindi and vernacular ($ billion)

    English 509 533

    Gujarati 352 435

    Kannada 325 302

    Telugu 327 2891.3

    1.3 1.3 1.41.4 1.5

    IncreasingAdrevenuegrowthinHindiandvernacular($billion)

    Urdu 301 270

    Tamil 171 211

    Others 778 762

    Total 5,642 5,817 1.8 1.6 1.6 1 5 1.6 1.6

    1.31.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5

    Source:RegistrarofNewspapersinIndia

    1.5 1.6 1.6

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016P

    English Hindi VernacularSource:KPMG

    12 StrongHindiandVernacularmarkets IncreaseinadspendonHindiandotherlanguages

  • Macrotrends

    Traditionalprintadcategoriescontinuetospendonthemedium Printindustrysustainsgrowthamidgrowingpopularityofdigitalmedia

    Digitalinfrastructurestillunderdevelopedandhaslowreach

    IntheUS60%internetpenetrationwasatippingpointforprint;Indiaisat27%

    Di it l Still l ll t id f th i t i d t Digital:Stillonlyasmallmeteoroidfortheprintindustry Yettoimpacthouseholdreadership

    Classifiedadsmaynotimpactthetopline Regionalmarketsexpectedtoremainbuoyant Hyper localisation on the radar : Tweaks needed in business models Hyperlocalisationontheradar:Tweaksneededinbusinessmodels Managingcoststhroughconsolidationofadsales Advertisements:Goingbeyondthevisualappeal

    13

    Keydriversforfuture:Improvingreaderexperience,effectiveadplacements&userengagement

  • Innovation

    TALKINGNEWSPAPERWINDOWS

    Plowfolds&GateFolds

    TRANSCLUCENTNEWSPAPER

    SUPERPANORAMA

    14

    FLAPSWATERMARKS

  • Technologicaldisruptions

    Engagementsspanningmultiplescreens Leveragingvirtualreality Augmentedreality QRcodes

    S h Smartwatches Foldablenewspaper Blurringthelinebetweenphysicalanddigitalmedia Socialmediafornewsdelivery Mobileappsfornewsonthegopp g

    15

  • 16

  • India:Newsprintdemand

    2.7

    2.9

    2 6

    Consumptiontrends(milliontonnes)

    1 41.6

    1.81.9

    2.12.0

    2.1 2.1

    2.7 2.6

    47% 43% 43% 46% % 51% 49% 50% 48% 51%

    53% 57% 57% 54% 53% 49% 51% 50% 52% 49% 47%

    1.4

    47% 43% 43% 46% 47% 51% 49% 50% 48% 51% 53%

    FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15

    Imported Domestic Total

    S I di N i t M f t A i ti

    17

    ConsistentgrowthinNewsprintconsumption IncreaseinImports%duetofavourableprices

    Source:IndianNewsprintManufacturersAssociationJanuary2016

  • Newsprintcost:Indiavs RestoftheworldSource:Financialstatements

    41%33%

    37%31%

    33%

    31%32%

    28%

    India Germany USA

    ShareofrawmaterialsinTotal

    cost

    Shareofrawmaterialsinrevenue

    201415 201516

    ShareofrawmaterialsinTotalcost

    Shareofrawmaterialsinrevenue

    2014 2015

    6% 6%6% 5%

    ShareofrawmaterialsinTotalcost

    Shareofrawmaterialsinrevenue

    2014 20152014 15 2015 16 2014 2015 2014 2015

    23%

    16%21%

    15%

    ShareofrawmaterialsinTotalcost

    Shareofrawmaterialsinrevenue

    2014 2015

    Singapore

    18 Declineinrawmaterialcostsin201516partiallyduetocommoditycycle NewsprintisthelargestsinglecostdriverinIndia;Staff,SGA&distributioncostsarehigherinothermarkets

    2014 2015

  • India:Newsprintprices

    SNPW45gsm CFRIndia($perton)

    625 620

    600

    575

    540

    525 525520

    530

    515 520

    Jan14

    Feb14

    Mar14

    Apr14

    May14

    Jun14

    Jul1

    4

    Aug14

    Sep14

    Oct14

    Nov

    14

    Dec14

    Jan15

    Feb15

    Mar15

    Apr15

    May15

    Jun15

    Jul1

    5

    Aug15

    Sep15

    Oct15

    Nov

    15

    Dec15

    Jan16

    Feb16

    Mar16

    Apr16

    Source:RISI,Asianpulpandpapermonitor

    19

    Newsprintpricesonareboundcurve Pricetrendsfollowglobalpattern

  • Currencymovements

    53.4558.45 60.89

    64.03

    67.02

    30.98 31.8138.49

    61.15

    70.17

    USDINR

    12.23 10.89 10.00 11.30 11.79

    6.30 6.19 6.14 6.22 6.53

    USD INR

    USDRUB

    USD100KRW

    USDCNY

    1.33 1.37 USDAUD

    USDEUR

    0.97

    1.041.11

    0.78 0.75 0.750.90 0.89

    1.00

    1.031.10

    1.28 1.33

    USDEUR

    USDCAD

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016YTD

    USDexpectedtoappreciatemildlytoaround70INRintheshortterm

    Source:http://www.oanda.com Historicalexchangerates

    20

    USDollarappreciatingagainstallcurrencies 2015wasabadyearfortheRuble butagoodyearforIndianNPprices

    a ou d 0 t e s o t te

  • Newspr