PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015...

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FEWS NET [email protected] www.fews.net FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good in November with carryover stocks, early supplies from above-average 2015/16 regional harvests and international rice and wheat imports. Markets remained disrupted throughout the Lake Chad Basin (Page 3). In East Africa, maize prices increased seasonally in surplus-producing areas of Uganda and Tanzania. Below average harvests are anticipated in Ethiopia and Sudan, putting pressure on markets. Markets remain disrupted by insecurity in South Sudan, Somalia, and Yemen (Page 4). In Southern Africa, regional maize production for the 2015/16 marketing year is estimated to be below-average. Significant maize deficits are seen in and Zimbabwe, Malawi, and Mozambique. Maize prices increased as stocks tightened with the progression of the lean season, especially in Malawi, and are well above-average price levels across the region (Page 5). In Central America, maize prices continued to seasonally decline across the region with supplies from the recent Primera season (main maize harvest). Red bean prices decreased early in El Salvador, Honduras, and Nicaragua with the early start of the bean harvest (Postrera). Locally-produced bean and maize availability remained below-average in Haiti, while imported commodity prices remained stable (Page 6). In Central Asia, wheat availability remained good region-wide. Prices are below their respective 2014 levels in surplus-producing areas (Page 7). International staple food markets remain well supplied. Maize, wheat, rice, and soybean prices were stable in November and below their respective 2014 levels (Figures 2 and 3). Crude oil prices decreased and remained below- average (Page 2). Figure 1. FEWS NET regional price indices and FAO Food Price Index, January 2010 – November 2015 Sources: FAO and FEWS NET. The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries at risk of food insecurity. The Price Watch provides an update on market and price trends in selected reference markets. Specific trends for key reference markets and commodities are available in the Price Watch Annexes 1 and 2. FEWS NET gratefully acknowledges partner organizations, ministries of agriculture, national market information systems, the Regional Agricultural Intelligence Network, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the World Food Programme (WFP), and others for their assistance in providing price data.

Transcript of PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015...

Page 1: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

FEWS NET

[email protected] www.fews.net

FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect

the view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government

PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015

KEY MESSAGES

In West Africa, market availability was good in November with carryover stocks, early supplies from above-average 2015/16 regional harvests and international rice and wheat imports. Markets remained disrupted throughout the Lake Chad Basin (Page 3).

In East Africa, maize prices increased seasonally in surplus-producing areas of Uganda and Tanzania. Below average harvests are anticipated in Ethiopia and Sudan, putting pressure on markets. Markets remain disrupted by insecurity in South Sudan, Somalia, and Yemen (Page 4).

In Southern Africa, regional maize production for the 2015/16 marketing year is estimated to be below-average. Significant maize deficits are seen in and Zimbabwe, Malawi, and Mozambique. Maize prices increased as stocks tightened with the progression of the lean season, especially in Malawi, and are well above-average price levels across the region (Page 5).

In Central America, maize prices continued to seasonally decline across the region with supplies from the recent Primera season (main maize harvest). Red bean prices decreased early in El Salvador, Honduras, and Nicaragua with the early start of the bean harvest (Postrera). Locally-produced bean and maize availability remained below-average in Haiti, while imported commodity prices remained stable (Page 6).

In Central Asia, wheat availability remained good region-wide. Prices are below their respective 2014 levels in surplus-producing areas (Page 7).

International staple food markets remain well supplied. Maize, wheat, rice, and soybean prices were stable in November and below their respective 2014 levels (Figures 2 and 3). Crude oil prices decreased and remained below-average (Page 2).

Figure 1. FEWS NET regional price indices and FAO Food Price Index,

January 2010 – November 2015

Sources: FAO and FEWS NET.

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries at risk of food

insecurity. The Price Watch provides an update on market and price trends in selected reference markets. Specific trends for

key reference markets and commodities are available in the Price Watch Annexes 1 and 2. FEWS NET gratefully acknowledges

partner organizations, ministries of agriculture, national market information systems, the Regional Agricultural Intelligence

Network, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the World Food Programme (WFP), and others

for their assistance in providing price data.

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PRICE WATCH December 2015

Famine Early Warning Systems Network 2

INTERNATIONAL MARKETS

Current situation

International rice prices were stable in November and below 2014 levels (AMIS). Global stocks at the end of 2015 are generally stable with 2014 levels. The Thai government continued to offload large volumes of public stocks. Growing conditions are unfavorable in parts of Southeast Asia, including Thailand, due to El Niño (InterRice).

International maize prices were stable with stable export prices in the world’s largest producer and exporter countries, including the United States (U.S.), Argentina, Brazil, and Ukraine (Figure 2). Global prices were below 2014 levels reflecting record level global supplies (AMIS and FAO).

International wheat prices were stable as pressure from abundant global supplies and low export demand offset concerns over dry weather conditions in the Black Sea region and U.S. Global prices were still well below (by over 20 percent) their respective 2014 levels (AMIS and FAO).

International soybean prices remained stable and well below 2014 levels. Global supplies are at an all-time record high with favorable conditions as harvests end in the northern hemisphere (AMIS).

International crude oil prices decreased, remaining at the lowest level since 2009, and were, on average, significantly below 2014 levels (U.S. Energy Information Administration and World Bank).

Outlook

Global rice production projections for 2015/16 are slightly below 2014/15 record levels due to the El Niño climate phenomenon and reduced production forecast in the U.S., India, and Thailand (IGC). World demand is projected to outgrow production and global stocks may decline for the first time since 2005 (IGC and InterRice).

Global maize production is projected to be slightly below to last year’s record crop (USDA FAS and IGC). Although global maize demand for 2015/16 is projected to be near 2014 levels, large inventories in Argentina, Brazil, India, and the U.S. indicate that world ending stocks will remain high (AMIS).

Global wheat production projections for 2015/16 are expected to surpass the 2014/15 record level based on larger crops in Canada and the E.U., leading to a 13-year high stock level ending in 2016 (USDA FAS and AMIS). Ukraine’s exports are expected to be the second highest ever. Prices are expected to remain below-average (USDA FAS).

Global soybean 2015/16 production forecasts are slightly above the 2014/15 record levels. Global demand may grow over 2015/16 based on signs of expanding demand in Asia and South America (AMIS).

International crude oil prices are expected to stabilize and remain lower than their respective 2014 levels over the remainder of 2015 (U.S. Energy Information Administration and World Bank). However, fuel prices may increase in some importing countries due to the depreciation of the local currency vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar and local fuel price policies.

Figure 2. Food commodity prices in selected international

markets, January 2010 – October 2015

Figure 3. Global Market Indicators, 2015/16 compared to

2010-2014 average

Sources: FAO and World Bank.

Staple food price trends across the countries monitored by FEWS NET will vary considerably in the coming months in response to

local and regional market conditions; international market trends will play a more limited role in most countries (Figure 1). Fuel price

trends in FEWS NET countries will depend on both international market conditions, the evolution of local exchange rates in relation

to the U.S. Dollar, and the design and implementation of local fuel import and price policies.

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PRICE WATCH December 2015

Famine Early Warning Systems Network 3

WEST AFRICA

Current Situation

Supplies on markets continued to improve in November as harvests were ongoing or recently completed across the region. Demand remains relatively low in production zones and average in urban centers. Aggregate regional cereal production is expected to be above average in 2015/16 (Figure 4); regional maize and rice production reached record high levels. Imported rice also contributes to regional staple food availability. Cross-border trade remains dynamic in all the commercial basins in the region.

The exception to this general trend is in the greater Lake Chad area, where the effects of Boko Haram have resulted in below-average production in 2015/16 and significant market disruptions. There have likewise recently been a resurgence of attacks in Northern and Central Mali, although the market impacts have been limited. In Ghana, the joint effects of below-average production (maize) and the depreciation of the local currency in Ghana have led to reduced regional exports.

Prices generally followed their seasonal trends in November, decreasing for millet, sorghum, tubers, and cash crops and stable to decreasing for imported rice. The prices for maize (Figure 5), on the other hand, did not decline seasonally in central Niger (Gaya and Niamey) due to late harvests and below-average imports from supplying countries (Benin and Ghana).

Insecurity affected some regional trade routes, causing some atypical monthly prices increases for sorghum in N’Djamena, Chad, which normally imports from neighboring Nigeria. Moreover, in Niger, millet prices went up in various localities compared to the previous month due to increased demand by cattle herders for stocks’ replenishment in light of the transhumance.

Harvests in Ebola-affected Liberia, Sierra Leone, and Guinea are estimated to be average, with production surpluses recorded in several areas. Market activities continue to progressively improve thanks to some partial lifting of population movement restriction, market closure, and trade restriction measures.

Outlook

Market supplies will continue to improve as harvests progress throughout the region in December. Institutional demand is expected to be average. Prices are expected to follow their regular seasonal trends across much of the region in the upcoming months, even as some producers focus on selling off cash crops rather than cereals.

Imports of rice and wheat from international markets are expected to proceed without any major disruptions.

Trade in the greater Lake Chad area will likely remain disrupted and prices and market supplies volatile in the coming months.

Figure 4. West Africa Regional cereal production (000s

MT)

Source: Authors’ calculations based on CILSS 2015 data.

Figure 5. Maize prices in Ghana, Niger, and Benin

(USD/kg)

Source: Authors’ calculations based on ONASA, SIMA Niger, SONAGESS, and WFP data.

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PRICE WATCH December 2015

Famine Early Warning Systems Network 4

EAST AFRICA Current Situation

Markets are generally well supplied in Uganda and Tanzania. Maize prices followed their respective seasonal trends in Uganda in November, by continuing to increase. Prices increased seasonally in the northern bimodal southern surplus-producing highland areas of Tanzania. Exportable surpluses of maize and dry beans continued supplying deficit areas of neighboring countries through both formal and informal exports.

In Kenya, staple food prices declined with the progression of the October-to-February long rains harvests in the main-producing North Rift. Stocks of regionally-imported commodities in main consumption centers reinforced market supplies and price trends.

The economy in South Sudan has been heavily affected by domestic civil strife and reduced state revenues attributed to the global decline in oil prices (a main source of national revenues). The recent sharp depreciation of the SSP has put upward pressure on the cost of imported commodities. In areas directly affected by conflict, staple food markets remain very thin and prices volatile. Staple food prices increased sharply in October and November in Greater Equatoria due to below-average local harvests coupled with outbursts of conflict and unrest that disrupted key marketing corridors (Figure 6).

The availability of carryover stocks from the well above-average 2014/15 rainfed season in Sudan helped to offset some of the effects of below average production during the current 2015/16 rainfed sorghum season. Sorghum prices were atypically stable during the post-harvest period in Al Qadarif, a surplus-producing area (Figure 7).

In Ethiopia, consecutive above-average Meher harvests have offset some of the effects of the recent below-average Belg season. Staple food prices declined in many areas following the June-to-August Belg, but not as quickly as they normally do. Prices of small ruminants in the northern agropastoral regions are atypically low due to poor animal body conditions.

Staple food availability and market activities remain disrupted in conflict-affected areas of southern Somalia. The crisis in Yemen continues to affect import flows and security along key national marketing corridors, resulting in highly variable staple food prices.

Outlook

Staple food prices are expected to continue following their respective seasonal trends in Uganda and increase earlier than usual in Tanzania, but remain with range of their respective five-year average levels.

Staple food prices in South Sudan are expected to remain volatile through the post-harvest period due to the effects of high levels of uncertainty and high transport costs on grain marketing. The official exchange rate was allowed to float as of mid December 2015, which narrowed the gap between the official and parallel market exchange rates.

Recent FEWS NET reporting has indicated that the strong ongoing El Niño is raising the risk of significant flooding in parts of the region and below-average rainfall in others. Either outcome may affect food availability and access in countries like Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia, and Somalia. In Sudan, staple food prices are expected to increase earlier than usual over the 2015/16 marketing year, but remain within range of 2014/15 levels due to the abundance of carryover stocks and international wheat imports.

FEWS NET will continue to closely monitor staple food availability and prices in Yemen over the coming months.

Figure 6. Grain prices in Juba, South Sudan (SSP/kg)

Source: WFP VAM, South Sudan.

Figure 7. Sorghum prices in surplus areas of East Africa

(USD/kg)

Source: FAMERS, Sudan; WFP, Ethiopia.

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PRICE WATCH December 2015

Famine Early Warning Systems Network 5

SOUTHERN AFRICA

Current Situation

In Southern Africa, maize availability continued to decline seasonally in November with the progression of the lean season. Supplies are tighter than usual throughout the region as a result of significantly below-average harvests that ended in June (Figure 9). The regional maize deficit was revised downwards based on updated harvest and carry-over stock level assessments, but is still estimated to be more than 500,000 MT.

Zimbabwe, Malawi, and Mozambique face the greatest national maize deficits in the region, leading to significant import requirements. Zambia remains the regions’ major exporter this year, with large formal maize exports to Zimbabwe and Malawi. South Africa increased white maize exports to the region in November, mostly to Namibia, Botswana, and Lesotho, while yellow maize regional exports remained stable. Malawi also informally imported maize from Zambia and Mozambique.

Maize grain prices remained stable or increased and are

significantly above respective 2014 and five-year

average levels across the region (Figure 8). Although

Zimbabwe’s national average maize price remained the

highest in the region (in USD terms), prices continue to

be atypically stable due to the strength of the USD and

the high volumes of maize imports from Zambia. In

contrast, prices started increasing earlier and sharper

than usual in Malawi last month, following the start of

ADMARC maize sales at subsidized prices in September,

as a result of the supply shortage, high import volumes,

and significant deprecation of the Malawian Kwacha. Maize grain and maize meal prices increased in Zambia for a

second consecutive month, with significant increases in surplus areas, reflecting rapidly declining supplies resulting

from high export levels. The Zambian Kwacha (ZMW) recovered in November, appreciating by about 16 percent against

the USD, but Zambia’s export parity prices remained the lowest in the region, encouraging continued demand.

Outlook

Regional maize supplies are expected to be below-average over the remainder of the 2015/16 marketing year, with notable deficits in Zimbabwe, Malawi, and Mozambique. Export levels from Zambia are expected to decline but continue to help alleviate deficits in Malawi and Zimbabwe. South Africa is expected to continue to export to Mozambique, along with other parts of the region, although at below-average levels.

Maize prices will continue to increase in December and remain above respective five-year average levels across the region. Price increases are expected to be especially high in Malawi given the large local deficits and ongoing currency depreciation.

As a result of the El Niño climate phenomenon, abnormal rainfall patterns in Southern Africa will likely delay the start and reduce production of the 2016 harvest. A delayed start of the season is likely to exacerbate maize shortages in Malawi ahead of the harvest, with ADMARC supplies estimated to be insufficient this year and may be exhausted in March. If 2016 harvests are below-average, many countries in the region may face shortages over the 2016/17 marketing year that are greater than the current shortages, given the low carry-over stocks expected at the end of the 2015/16 marketing year.

Figure 8. White maize prices in Southern Africa

Sources: Malawi Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation, and Water

Development (MITM), Zambia Central Statistics Office, and SAFEX.

Figure 9. Estimated total maize supply in Southern Africa

(‘000s MT) as of Nov 30, 2015

Sources: FEWS NET estimates and Government Ministries, SADC,

and FEWS NET.

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PRICE WATCH December 2015

Famine Early Warning Systems Network 6

CENTRAL AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN

Current Situation

In Central America, the Primera harvest (mainly maize) was below-average but increased supplies, while the Postrera harvest (mainly red beans) started early in November with favorable prospects. Availability and prices of imported rice and wheat flour remained stable in Haiti, while locally-produced black bean supplies were below-average and prices increased.

Red bean supplies from the Postrera harvest began to reach markets slightly earlier than usual in early November, causing prices to atypically decrease again in Nicaragua, El Salvador, and Honduras when they typically increase. Red bean prices are well below the atypically high 2014 prices, and have now also fallen below five-year average levels due to the projected average Postrera harvest. In Guatemala, freshly harvested beans from the Postrera harvest in the Eastern region reached markets, and imported black beans from Mexico continued to augment supplies as well. With adequate supply levels, black bean prices were seasonally stable, below 2014 levels, and similar to the five-year average.

White maize prices seasonally declined following the Primera harvest in Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, and Nicaragua. However, the seasonal price decline was late this year and prices remain above 2014 and average levels, except Guatemala, as a result of below-average Primera production. Maize prices in Guatemala (and Mexico) were below or similar to 2014 and average levels (Figure 10). Guatemala maintained above=average supplies with imports from Mexico, while El Salvador imported from the U.S. and Mexico to increase its supplies.

In Haiti, staple food availability was adequate. Prices of local maize flour continued to increase following the poor spring maize harvests, which was estimated at 60 percent of normal production. Black bean prices increased during the post-harvest period and remained well above respective 2014 and five-year average levels (by 49 to 125 percent; Figure 11). Internationally imported rice and wheat prices remain stable due to stable international markets and despite the recent depreciation of the Gourde. Maize flour prices followed imported rice and wheat trends.

Outlook

In Central America, based on favorable prospects for the Postrera harvest (the main bean harvest) in El Salvador, Honduras, and Guatemala, red and black bean prices are expected to continue to seasonally decrease. Although the impact of El Nino in Nicaragua remains uncertain, it could limit the Apante harvest causing atypical bean price increases in Nicaragua and a reduced source of supplies for El Salvador and Honduras. Red bean price trends will depend on those effects in the coming months, but prices are expected to stay above average but below atypically high 2014 levels. Prices of white maize are expected to seasonally increase and remain above 2014 and average levels in Honduras, Nicaragua, and El Salvador, but remain similar to 2014 and average levels in Guatemala.

In Haiti, harvests are expected to be up to 30 percent below-average. Prices of locally-produced black bean prices will likely remain stable during the harvest period and then increase steadily thereafter. Prices of imported rice and wheat flour will limit the extent to which local maize flour grain and prices increase. FEWS NET will monitor closely the extent to which the recent depreciation of the Haitian Gourde vis-à-vis the USD affects rice and wheat import volumes and prices.

Figure 10. White maize prices in Central America

Figure 11. Black bean prices in Haiti

Sources: Coordination nationale de la sécurité alimentaire (CNSA) and

FEWS NET, MAL, Dirección General de Economía Agropecuaria

(DGECA), Sistema de Información de Mercados Productos Agrícolas de

Honduras (SIMPAH), Secretaria de Economia de Mexico, and Ministerio

de Agricultura, Ganaderia y Alimentacion de Guatemala (MAGA).

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PRICE WATCH December 2015

Famine Early Warning Systems Network 7

CENTRAL ASIA Current Situation

Regional availability and price trends varied considerably across Central Asia with the progression of the 2015/16 marketing year and in November (Figure 12 and Table 1). However, as detailed in the Central Asia Regional Wheat Supply and Market Outlook, regional deficits are expected to be filled through intra-regional trade.

Wheat grain export prices in Kazakhstan, the region’s largest exporter, stabilized in November after decreasing between August and October 2015. Price are over 20 percent below the five-year average. Stable prices are attributed to increased regional demand, driven by the depreciation of the Kazakh tenge (KZT) and resulting relatively lower prices.

Wheat flour prices have been stable at record high levels in Tajikistan since April 2015. Supplies from recent harvests have improved availability at local markets, but have not been sufficient to offset the effects of the sharp depreciation of the Somoni (TJS). Wheat flour prices remain above the average by more than 20 percent in this wheat grain and wheat flour importing country.

In Pakistan, another regional wheat flour exporter, wheat grain and flour prices remained stable between October and November in most major markets but slightly seasonally increased in some wheat-deficit provinces. Prices are nearly stable in major markets compared to 2014 and five-year average levels, reflecting average wheat production coupled with higher than average carry-over stocks.

In Afghanistan, wheat grain prices slightly increased in some markets following the arrival of winter season, but are similar to respective 2014 levels in all major markets. Imported wheat flour prices were stable or decreased in many areas because of steady imports from Pakistan and Kazakhstan. The Afghani (AFN) depreciated consistently since June 2015 against international currencies affecting prices of imported food. Its impact was more noticeable in Kabul compared to other markets where price fluctuations are more common.

Outlook

Regional availability and price trends are expected to continue varying across Central Asia over the 2015/16 marketing year.

The wheat harvest is almost complete in Kazakhstan and is expected to be eight percent higher than last year’s production. With average wheat production this year the stock levels also increased slightly supporting normal wheat grain and flour exports to the Central Asian countries (USDA/FAS).

Price trends in Tajikistan will depend largely on the extent to which lower regional export prices are offset by the depreciating value of the TJS.

Average wheat production in 2015 (25.5 MMT) and above average stocks from previous years will support wheat grain and flour prices to be stable for coming months in Pakistan. The Federal Committee on Agriculture (FCA) has fixed the wheat production target for 2015/16 at 26 MMT, similar to last year. If the country achieves the target, stock levels, which are already at 25 percent more than last year (7 MMT), will increase further. The government of Pakistan may need to intervene further in markets to sustain its price stability with its consistently increasing stocks.

In Afghanistan, prices may increase further in December when households start stocking ahead of the winter months. Prices may seasonally increase during upcoming lean season (February to April) but no anomaly is expected because of the average domestic and regional wheat availabilities.

Figure 12. Wheat prices in Selected markets of Central Asia

(USD/kg)

Source: WFP, VAM; APK Inform Agency, Kazakhstan.

Table 1. Regional wheat availability and price trends

Country Status Local availability 2015 Prices

Kazakhstan Exporter Below-average Below-average

Pakistan Exporter Average Near-average

Tajikistan Importer Average Record high

Afghanistan Importer Average Above-average

Source: FEWS NET estimates.

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Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Bobo Dioulasso Maize (White) Pouytenga Maize (White)

XOF 139.00 XOF 150.00

$0.23 $0.25

Millet (Pearl) Millet (Pearl)

XOF 194.00 XOF 189.00

$0.32 $0.31

Sorghum (White) Sorghum (White)

XOF 157.00 XOF 128.00

$0.26 $0.21

Djibo Maize (White) Solenzo Maize (White)

XOF 181.00 XOF 89.00

$0.30 $0.15

Millet (Pearl) Millet (Pearl)

XOF 174.00 XOF 140.00

$0.29 $0.23

Sorghum (White) Sorghum (White)

XOF 157.00 XOF 94.00

$0.26 $0.15

Koudougou Maize (White) Abeche Millet (Pearl)

XOF 158.00 XAF 210.00

$0.26 $0.34

Millet (Pearl) Sorghum (Red)

XOF 200.00 XAF 180.00

$0.33 $0.30

Sorghum (White) Bol Maize (White)

XOF 168.00 XAF 200.00

$0.28 $0.33

Ouagadougou Gasoline Mongo Millet (Pearl)

XOF 682.00 XAF 240.00

$1.12 $0.39

Maize (White) Moundou Millet (Pearl)

XOF 140.00 XAF 295.00

$0.23 $0.48

Millet (Pearl) Sorghum (Red)

XOF 207.00 XAF 205.00

$0.34 $0.34

Refined Vegetable Oil Moussoro Maize (White)

XOF 900.00 XAF 218.00

$1.48 $0.36

Sorghum (White) Millet (Pearl)

XOF 186.00 XAF 256.00

$0.31 $0.42

Whole milk powder Rice (5% Broken)

XOF 5450.00 XAF 525.00

$8.94 $0.86

FEWS NET

[email protected]

www.fews.net

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

West

Afr

ica

-11 24 6 ▼ ▲ ▲ -Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

-4 -1 -6 ▼ ► ▼

▲ 10 - ▼

-12 5 -4 ▼

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

-13 -4 -5 ▼

-14 14 -12 ▼ ▲ ▼

PRICE WATCH ANNEX 1 November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

► ▼

-5 3 6 ▼ ► ▲

▲ ▼Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

-3 3 0 ► ► ►

-6 0 -10 ▼ ► ▼-9 -8 1 ▼ ▼ ►

-8 -7 -12 ▼ ▼ ▼-6 -5 3 ▼ ▼ ►W

est

Afr

ica

-15

▼ ▲

Burkina Faso Chad

0 4 7 ► ► ▲

-5 -5 0 ▼ ▼ ►-2 12 6 ► ▲ ▲

-10 -10 20 ▼

▼ ▼

Chad

0 -7 -4 ► ▼ ▼Burkina Faso Chad

0 -9 22 ► ▼ ▲-9 0 4 ▼ ► ►

-13 -14 -6 ▼

▲ ▲

Chad

-1 -5 -11 ► ▼ ▼

3 27 39 ► ▲ ▲-10 -2 -9 ▼ ► ▼

3 10 31 ►

-15 -8 ▼ ▼ ▼

Chad

-5 -16 -13 ▼ ▼ ▼

-30 -17 -11 ▼ ▼ ▼0 0 -5 ► ► ▼

-32

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. The Price Watch Annex 1 provides

prices and price changes for key markets and staple foods monitored across FEWS NET countries and regions. The prices are final monthly average prices for November 2015.

-13 -13 -13 ▼ ▼ ▼0 -5 7 ► ▼ ▲

FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the view of the United

States Agency for International Development or the United States Government.

Commodities included in the Annex are the staples most often consumed by the poor in the indicated market. Additional commodities provided are important commodities consumed in the

same areas or fuel prices that affect food prices. Final monthly average prices are used. The symbols (▲►▼) depict the direction of price changes: the red upward-facing arrow denotes an

increase of five percent or greater. The blue horizontal arrow denotes no change or changes that are smaller than 5 percent, and the green downward-facing arrow denotes price decreases

that are five percent or greater. The three arrows respectively correspond to the percent change in prices this month compared to last month, last year, and the five-year average. The “-“

symbol indicates that data are not available. The commodities with a reference (W) are wholesale prices. Otherwise, all reported prices are retail.

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PRICE WATCH ANNEX

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

N'Djamena Local milled rice Sikasso Millet (Pearl)

XAF 455.00 XOF 195.00

$0.75 $0.32

Maize (White) Timbuktu Local milled rice

XAF 265.00 XOF 336.00

$0.43 $0.55

Millet (Pearl) Adel Bagrou Milled rice

XAF 300.00 MRO 257.50

$0.49 $0.81

Rice (5% Broken) Refined sugar

XAF 505.00 MRO 230.00

$0.83 $0.73

Sorghum (Red) Refined Vegetable Oil

XAF 233.00 MRO 475.00

$0.38 $1.50

Sarh Millet (Pearl) Rice (100% Broken)

XAF 240.00 MRO 360.00

$0.39 $1.14

Sorghum (Red) Sorghum (White)

XAF 213.00 MRO 112.50

$0.35 $0.36

Conakry Milled rice Wheat Grain

GNF 6500.00 MRO 177.50

$0.85 $0.56

Rice (5% Broken) Aoujeft Sorghum (White)

GNF 4000.00 MRO 400.00

$0.52 $1.26

Bamako Millet (Pearl) Wheat Grain

XOF 213.00 MRO 130.00

$0.35 $0.41

Rice (Gambiaca) Boghé Milled rice

XOF 375.00 MRO 192.50

$0.62 $0.61

Gao Millet (Pearl) Refined sugar

XOF 200.00 MRO 200.00

$0.33 $0.63

Kayes Millet (Pearl) Refined Vegetable Oil

XOF 238.00 MRO 350.00

$0.39 $1.11

Koulikoro Millet (Pearl) Rice (100% Broken)

XOF 190.00 MRO 222.50

$0.31 $0.70

Mopti Millet (Pearl) Sorghum (White)

XOF 204.00 MRO 231.25

$0.33 $0.73

Segou Millet (Pearl) Wheat Grain

XOF 180.00 MRO 125.00

$0.30 $0.40

Rice (Gambiaca) Magta-lahjar Milled rice

XOF 345.00 MRO 202.50

$0.57 $0.64

December 31, 2015

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

West

Afr

ica

West

Afr

ica

-12

-3 16 8

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

1 9

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

► ▲ ▲

0 5 14 ► ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲

▼ ▼

2 0 10 ► ► ▲

▲ -3 -5

-5 1 ▼ ▼ ►

-3

▼ ▼

-20

13 ► ▲

0 -9 -14 ►

17 23 ►

-6 -24 ▼ ▼ ▼

0 - - ► -

-8 43 41 ▼ ▲ ▲ -6

▲ 1 310 19

0 0

48 ►

-3 -3 ► ► ►

-5 -5 -7 ▼ ▼

▼ ▲

0 0 - ► ► - -3

- 0 -11 14 ►

▲-19

6 7 ► ▲ ▲

0 0 -5 ► ►

► ▼

-6 7 2 ▼ ▲ ► -2

▼ 0 0 -9 ►

-12 -12 ► ▼ ▼

-9 -5 -11 ▼ ▼

-7 1 ▲ ▼ ►

► ▼

-5 -5 -10 ▼ ▼ ▼ -2

▼ 0 -1 -17 ►

0 -9 -2 ►3 1 1 ► ►

▲ ▲

2 2 2 ► ► ► 21

▼ 1 11 11 ►

▼ ►

1 4 ► ► ►-7 10 3 ▼ ▲ ► -2

Chad Mali

Mali

Mauritania

Mali

Mauritania

Mali

Guinea

Mauritania

Chad ►

1 13 26 ► ▲ ▲

►4 ► ►

Mali

Mauritania

Mali

Mali

Mali

_____________________________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_______________________________________________

2

Page 10: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

PRICE WATCH ANNEX December 31, 2015

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Magta-lahjar Refined sugar Bakin Birji Millet (Pearl)

MRO 200.00 XOF 135.38

$0.63 $0.22

Refined Vegetable Oil Diffa Cowpeas (Mixed)

MRO 500.00 XOF 357.00

$1.58 $0.59

Rice (100% Broken) Millet (Pearl)

MRO 250.00 XOF 181.31

$0.79 $0.30

Sorghum (White) Sorghum (Mixed)

MRO 262.50 XOF 172.90

$0.83 $0.28

Wheat Grain Gaya Maize (Mixed)

MRO 150.00 XOF 181.00

$0.47 $0.30

Nouakchott Gas cooking oil Maradi Maize (Mixed)

MRO 384.60 XOF 186.67

$1.22 $0.31

Maize (White) Millet (Pearl)

MRO 275.00 XOF 145.83

$0.87 $0.24

Milled rice Refined Vegetable Oil

MRO 278.75 XOF 700.00

$0.88 $1.15

Refined Vegetable Oil Sorghum (Mixed)

MRO 411.25 XOF 161.69

$1.30 $0.27

Rice (100% Broken) Whole milk powder

MRO 275.00 XOF 3500.00

$0.87 $5.74

Sorghum (White) Niamey Diesel

MRO 352.50 XOF 538.00

$1.11 $0.88

Wheat Grain Gasoline

MRO 156.25 XOF 540.00

$0.49 $0.89

Agadez Millet (Pearl) Maize (Mixed)

XOF 250.00 XOF 197.01

$0.41 $0.32

Refined Vegetable Oil Millet (Pearl)

XOF 950.00 XOF 218.25

$1.56 $0.36

Rice (5% Broken) Refined Vegetable Oil

XOF 500.00 XOF 875.00

$0.82 $1.44

Whole milk powder Rice (5% Broken)

XOF 3500.00 XOF 400.00

$5.74 $0.66

Bakin Birji Cowpeas (Mixed) Sorghum (Mixed)

XOF 182.00 XOF 244.90

$0.30 $0.40

one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

0 0 -19 ► ►

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

West

Afr

ica

West

Afr

ica

► ▼

4 6 3 ► ▲ ► 3 -23

▼ ▼

0 0 1 ► ► ► -37 3

▼ 4 -9 -13 ►

-11 ▼

-17 ►

-23 26 8 ▼ ▲ ▲

-18 ▲ ▼ ▼

0 0

▼ ▼

-9 -5 11 ▼ ▼ ▲ 12 -16

-8 -12 -20 ▼ ▼ ▼16 6 37 ▲ ▲ ▲

-2 -2 -7 ► ► ▼

-3 -10 -7 ► ▼ ▼2 -9 -7 ► ▼ ▼

0 -10 -15 ► ▼ ▼4 21 41 ► ▲ ▲

0 0 -5 ► ► ▼17 1 16 ▲ ► ▲

0 9 14 ► ▲ ▲3 2 11 ► ► ▲

-9 1 0 ▼ ► ►0 -5 3 ► ▼ ►

0 0 -6 ► ► ▼14 -2 3 ▲ ► ►

0 9 -3 ► ▲ ►0 0 4 ► ► ►

0 -8 -7 ► ▼ ▼0 6 6 ► ▲ ▲

0 1 3 ► ► ►0 -53 -43 ► ▼ ▼

0 0 -8 ► ► ▼0 -7 6 ► ▼ ▲

Niger

Mauritania Niger

one year, and

Niger

Niger

Niger

Mauritania Niger0 0 10 ► ► ▲

4 ► ► ►

Niger

_____________________________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_______________________________________________

3

Page 11: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

PRICE WATCH ANNEX December 31, 2015

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Niamey Whole milk powder Ibadan Refined palm oil

XOF 3750.00 NGN 266.66

$6.15 $1.35

Ouallam Millet (Pearl) Sorghum (White)

XOF 243.00 NGN 74.07

$0.40 $0.38

Sabon Machi Cowpeas (Mixed) Ilela Millet (Pearl)

XOF 198.50 XOF 156.00

$0.33 $0.26

Tahoua Millet (Pearl) Sorghum (Mixed)

XOF 238.89 XOF 156.00

$0.39 $0.26

Sorghum (Mixed) Kano Diesel

XOF 202.40 NGN 200.00

$0.33 $1.01

Tillabéri Millet (Pearl) Gasoline

XOF 211.67 NGN 103.50

$0.35 $0.52

Sorghum (Mixed) Groundnuts (In Shell)

XOF 208.00 NGN 181.06

$0.34 $0.92

Tounfafi Cowpeas (Mixed) Maize (White) (W)

XOF 205.00 NGN 51.20

$0.34 $0.26

Dandume Local milled rice Millet (Pearl) (W)

NGN 101.70 NGN 42.00

$0.52 $0.21

Millet (Pearl) Sorghum (White) (W)

NGN 56.86 NGN 41.60

$0.29 $0.21

Sorghum (White) Kaura Namoda Maize (White)

NGN 52.97 NGN 60.58

$0.27 $0.31

Giwa Maize (White) Sorghum (White)

NGN 53.13 NGN 50.17

$0.27 $0.25

Sorghum (White) Lagos Yams

NGN 38.89 NGN 132.57

$0.20 $0.67

Ibadan Bread Maiadua Millet (Pearl)

NGN 250.00 XOF 128.00

$1.27 $0.21

Diesel Sorghum (Mixed)

NGN 160.00 XOF 130.00

$0.81 $0.21

Gasoline Saminaka Maize (White)

NGN 97.40 NGN 40.74

$0.49 $0.21

Maize (White) Sorghum (White)

NGN 62.89 NGN 51.00

$0.32 $0.26

one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

0 -4 2 ► ►

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

► ▲ ►

19

0 13 -2

West

Afr

ica

West

Afr

ica

-21 ► ▼ ▼

► ► ▲

0 -15

- -

▲ ►

▼ -

▲ -

0 6 - ► ▲

-6 ► ▼ ▼

0 0

► -

▲ -

▼ ▼

▼ ▼

▲ ▼

▲ ►

-6 - - ▼

20 -2 ▼-7

0 -14 - ►

25 - ►0

-5 -3 - ▼

11 - ►

-12 -25 -15 ▼ ▼

-6 -3 8 ▼ ► ▲ -1

-5 -31 -25 ▼

-30 -31 ►

-1 -4 -5 ► ►

-4 2 - ► -3

7

- -13 7 -17 ▼

18 2 ►

-2 17 - ► ▲

4 12 -8 ► ▲ ▼ -1

▼ ▼

7 3 3 ▲ ► ► 14

▲ -6 -18 -25 ▼

20 - ▲ ▲ -

0 0 58 ► ►

0 -13 -36 ► ▼ ▼

▲ ▼

0 27 10 ► ▲ ▲ -21

► -22 5 -11 ▼

-5 -14 ▲ ▼ ▼

15 0 2 ▲ ►

0 -15 ▼ ► ▼

Niger Nigeria

Niger

Nigeria

Niger Nigeria

Niger

one year, and

-

1 -6 - ► ▼ -

-2 -27

Nigeria

Nigeria

Nigeria Nigeria

Nigeria

Nigeria

Niger

Niger ▼

►-1 -1 1 ► ►

► -

Nigeria

_____________________________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_______________________________________________

4

Page 12: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

PRICE WATCH ANNEX December 31, 2015

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Dakar Millet Bujumbura Cassava Flour

XOF 250.00 BIF 736.00

$0.41 $0.48

Rice (100% Broken) Cooking bananas

XOF 274.00 BIF 411.00

$0.45 $0.27

Kaolak Millet Dry Beans (Mixed)

XOF 130.00 BIF 1105.00

$0.21 $0.72

Rice (100% Broken) Maize (White)

XOF 273.00 BIF 651.00

$0.45 $0.42

Saint-Louis Millet Milled rice

XOF 199.00 BIF 1571.00

$0.33 $1.02

Rice (100% Broken) Sorghum (Red)

XOF 292.00 BIF 1522.00

$0.48 $0.99

Tambacounda Millet Sweet potatoes

XOF 169.00 BIF 381.00

$0.28 $0.25

Ziguichor Maize (Yellow) Gitega Cassava Flour

XOF 235.00 BIF 479.00

$0.39 $0.31

Rice (100% Broken) Cooking bananas

XOF 290.00 BIF 260.00

$0.48 $0.17

Dry Beans (Mixed)

BIF 1008.00

$0.66

Maize (White)

BIF 913.00

$0.59

Milled rice

BIF 1400.00

$0.91

Sorghum (Red)

BIF 992.00

$0.64

Sweet potatoes

BIF 228.00

$0.15

Kirundo Cassava Flour

BIF 575.00

$0.37

Cooking bananas

BIF 565.00

$0.37

Dry Beans (Mixed)

BIF 1096.00

$0.71

one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

West

Afr

ica

-2 11 9 ► ▲

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

▼ ▼

-4 -25 -25 ► ▼ ▼ -1 -2

26 -37 -21 ▲ ▼ ▼

1 -4 ► ► ▼ -4 -32

▼ ▼

0 19 -2 ► ▲ ► 15 -21

▲ 27 -29 -31 ▲

-24 ▲

East

Afr

ica

-1

56 -28 -30 ▲ ▼ ▼-1 -21 -10 ► ▼ ▼

9 - - ▲ - -

-19 ▼ ▼ ▼

► ▲

54 82 ► ▲ ▲

7

15 13 14 ▲ ▲ ▲

8 -27 -28 ▲ ▼ ▼0 0 -5 ► ► ▼

-

22 22 45 ▲ ▲ ▲

8 - - ▲ -

15 -21 2 ▲ ▼ ►

25 36 40 ▲ ▲ ▲

Senegal Burundi

Senegal

one year, and

8 15 -2 ▲ ▲ ►

-18 ► ▼ ▼-1 -17

0

Senegal

Senegal Burundi-1 -6 -9 ► ▼ ▼

Senegal

Burundi

17 22 37 ▲ ▲ ▲

-2 8 11 ► ▲ ▲

61 69 72 ▲ ▲ ▲

_____________________________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_______________________________________________

5

Page 13: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

PRICE WATCH ANNEX December 31, 2015

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Kirundo Maize (White) Ruyigi Cassava Flour

BIF 600.00 BIF 504.00

$0.39 $0.33

Milled rice Cooking bananas

BIF 1375.00 BIF 339.00

$0.89 $0.22

Sorghum (Red) Dry Beans (Mixed)

BIF 683.00 BIF 892.00

$0.44 $0.58

Sweet potatoes Maize (White)

BIF 406.00 BIF 867.00

$0.26 $0.56

Muyinga Cassava Flour Milled rice

BIF 694.00 BIF 1358.00

$0.45 $0.88

Cooking bananas Sorghum (Red)

BIF 202.00 BIF 748.00

$0.13 $0.49

Dry Beans (Mixed) Sweet potatoes

BIF 967.00 BIF 308.00

$0.63 $0.20

Maize (White) Addis Ababa Maize (White) (W)

BIF 667.00 ETB 4.59

$0.43 $0.22

Milled rice Wheat Grain (W)

BIF 1272.00 ETB 9.70

$0.83 $0.47

Sorghum (Red) Addis Ababa Mixed Teff

BIF 1100.00 ETB 15.00

$0.72 $0.72

Sweet potatoes Sorghum (Yellow)

BIF 168.00 ETB 12.00

$0.11 $0.58

Ngozi Cassava Flour Bahir Dar Maize (White) (W)

BIF 650.00 ETB 4.50

$0.42 $0.22

Cooking bananas Mixed Teff

BIF 433.00 ETB 14.66

$0.28 $0.70

Dry Beans (Mixed) Bure Maize (White) (W)

BIF 1050.00 ETB 4.39

$0.68 $0.21

Milled rice Dire Dawa Maize (White)

BIF 1350.00 ETB 6.25

$0.88 $0.30

Sorghum (Red) Sorghum (Yellow)

BIF 775.00 ETB 8.00

$0.50 $0.38

Sweet potatoes Wheat Grain (W)

BIF 414.00 ETB 11.52

$0.27 $0.55

one month, one month,

East

Afr

ica

-10 -49 -47

11 0

37 15

16 0

-5 20

- - ▲ - -

0 -25 -5 ► ▼ ▼

► ▲

▼ ▼ ▼

14 -4 13 ▲ ▼ ▲

57 20 48 ▲ ▲ ▲ 43 ▲ ▲ ▲

11

-2 1 - ► ► -

11 ▲

-20 -6 -10 ▼ ▼ ▼

17 11 41 ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲

-4 -17 -8 ► ▼ ▼

-5 16 28 ▼

East

Afr

ica

17 -3 - ▲ ► -

11 -42

Burundi

9 -19 11 ▲ ▼ ▲

28 ▲

one year, and

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

one year, and

6 25 66 ▲ ▲ ▲

12 25

7 - - ▲ - -

16 -15 -4 ▲ ▼ ▼

Ethiopia

Ethiopia

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

6

Burundi

9 - - ▲ - -

- ▲ ► -6 ▲ ▼ ▲

-1 1 19 ►

23 106 88 ▲ ▲ ▲

Burundi 25 -28 -10 ▲ ▼ ▼

20 -8 15 ▲ ▼ ▲

16 7 5 ▲ ▲ ▲

% Change Over

Change over

- - ▲ - -

1 -6 5 ► ▼ ▲

22 ▲ ► ▲

Ethiopia 6 2 - ▲ ► -

-7 0 - ▼ ► -

23 ▼ ▲ ▲

-2 16 ▲ ► ▲

-41 ▲

28 20 ▲ ▲ Ethiopia

Burundi

Ethiopia

10

▼ ▼

30 -13

_____________________________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_______________________________________________

6

Page 14: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

PRICE WATCH ANNEX December 31, 2015

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Dire Dawa Mixed Teff Nairobi Dry Beans (Rosecoco)

(W)ETB 15.15 KES 66.44

$0.73 $0.66

Mekele Maize (White) (W) Maize (White) (W)

ETB 4.80 KES 31.40

$0.23 $0.31

Mixed Teff Potatoes, Irish (white) (W)

ETB 14.00 KES 29.30

$0.67 $0.29

Wheat Grain (W) Sorghum (Red) (W)

ETB 10.00 KES 38.64

$0.48 $0.38

Nekemte Maize (White) (W) Baidoa Diesel

ETB 4.35 SOS 20000.00

$0.21 $0.88

Yabelo Wheat Grain Gasoline

ETB 10.00 SOS 24000.00

$0.48 $1.06

Eldoret Dry Beans (Rosecoco)

(W)

Maize (White)

KES 77.50 SOS 5900.00

$0.77 $0.26

Maize (White) (W) Refined Vegetable Oil

KES 25.33 SOS 25750.00

$0.25 $1.14

Potatoes, Irish (white) (W) Rice (Parboiled)

KES 20.18 SOS 14000.00

$0.20 $0.62

Sorghum (Red) (W) Sorghum (Red)

KES 50.00 SOS 5800.00

$0.50 $0.26

Kisumu Dry Beans (Rosecoco)

(W)

Beled Hawa Sorghum (Red)

KES 75.56 SOS 13000.00

$0.75 $0.58

Maize (White) (W) Beled Weyn Sorghum (Red)

KES 34.44 SOS 7000.00

$0.34 $0.31

Potatoes, Irish (white) (W) Bossaso Rice (Parboiled)

KES 46.31 SOS 14000.00

$0.46 $0.62

Sorghum (Red) (W) Buale Cowpeas (Red)

KES 37.78 SOS 23000.00

$0.38 $1.02

Mombasa Dry Beans (Rosecoco)

(W)

Maize (White)

KES 64.44 SOS 7800.00

$0.64 $0.35

Maize (White) (W) Burao Diesel

KES 28.89 SLS 5200.00

$0.29 $0.67

Sorghum (Red) (W) Gasoline

KES 35.50 SLS 7500.00

$0.35 $0.96

one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

► ▼34 54 16 ▲ ▲ ▲

17 -24 - ▲ ▼ -4 -3 1 ► ► ►

6 -3 -20 ▲

East

Afr

ica

0 -15 6 ► ▼ ▲2 ► ► ▲

0 3 17 ► ► ▲-13

1 -24 -15 ► ▼ ▼-2 10 -1 ► ▲ ►

18 0 -2 ▲ ► ►-4 11 ▲ ▲Kenya

Somalia

East

Afr

ica

Somalia

Somalia

Somalia

-9 1 ▼

0 5

Ethiopia 7

-5 24 24 ▼ ▲ ▲

-9 10 - ▼ ▲

Ethiopia 6 8 26 ▲ ▲ ▲ 2 8 11 ► ▲ ▲

-4 - ▲ ► -

one year, and

Kenya

-

Ethiopia 7 2 - ▲ ► -

Ethiopia 0 0 27 ► ► ▲

Kenya 6 3 8 ▲ ► ▲

-12 -22 -8 ▼ ▼ ▼

21 -13 -19 ▲ ▼ ▼

-6 -23 -4 ▼ ▼ ▼

2 3 3 ► ► ►

8 12 -13 ▲ ▲ ▼

▼ ▼ ►

Somalia -5 -17 -31 ▼ ▼ ▼

-1 -6 -10 ► ▼ ▼

-5 -12 -2

3 -26 -22 ► ▼ ▼

1 -8 -31 ► ▼ ▼

0 -7 -23 ► ▼ ▼

-3 -16 -9 ► ▼ ▼

Somalia 0 0 3 ► ► ►Kenya 5 0 7 ▲ ► ▲

▼ ►

9 ►

_____________________________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_______________________________________________

7

Page 15: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

PRICE WATCH ANNEX December 31, 2015

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Burao Maize (White) Mogadishu Cowpeas (Red)

SLS 4000.00 SOS 24000.00

$0.51 $1.06

Refined Vegetable Oil Diesel

SLS 12000.00 SOS 18000.00

$1.54 $0.80

Rice (Parboiled) Gasoline

SLS 5000.00 SOS 23000.00

$0.64 $1.02

Sorghum (Red) Maize (White)

SLS 3000.00 SOS 8600.00

$0.38 $0.38

El Dhere Cowpeas (Red) Refined Vegetable Oil

SOS 14200.00 SOS 20500.00

$0.63 $0.91

Gadon Diesel Rice (Parboiled)

SOS 25000.00 SOS 12000.00

$1.11 $0.53

Gasoline Sorghum (Red)

SOS 28000.00 SOS 6000.00

$1.24 $0.27

Refined Vegetable Oil Qorioley Diesel

SOS 45000.00 SOS 22000.00

$1.99 $0.97

Sorghum (Red) Gasoline

SOS 14000.00 SOS 26000.00

$0.62 $1.15

Galkayo Cowpeas (Red) Maize (White)

SOS 26500.00 SOS 4150.00

$1.17 $0.18

Rice (Parboiled) Refined Vegetable Oil

SOS 16500.00 SOS 25000.00

$0.73 $1.11

Sorghum (Red) Rice (Parboiled)

SOS 10000.00 SOS 15000.00

$0.44 $0.66

Garowe Rice (Parboiled) Sorghum (Red)

SOS 14000.00 SOS 8000.00

$0.62 $0.35

Hargeisa Rice (Parboiled) Togwajale Sorghum (White)

SLS 5000.00 SLS 3400.00

$0.64 $0.44

Lugh Maize (White) Aweil Groundnuts (Shelled)

SOS 12000.00 SSP 25.00

$0.53 $8.06

Sorghum (Red) Maize (White)

SOS 10000.00 SSP 7.14

$0.44 $2.30

Merka Cowpeas (Red) Sorghum (White)

SOS 18000.00 SSP 8.86

$0.80 $2.86

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

▼ ▼0 -5 -28 ► ▼ ▼

0 0 -13 ► ► ▼0 0 -5 ► ► ▼

3 -19 -13 ►

East

Afr

ica

0 -3 16 ► ► ▲0 ►

33 151 229 ▲ ▲ ▲6

25 100 231 ▲ ▲ ▲8 11 0 ▲ ▲ ►

104 317 247 ▲ ▲ ▲4 0

Somalia

East

Afr

ica

-29 -3 ▲ ▼ ►

0 0 3

-9 -2 ► ▼

Somalia

Somalia Somalia

Somalia South Sudan

Somalia 0 -11 8 ► ▼ ▲ Somalia 20 -5 5 ▲ ▼ ▲

► ► ►

0 0 4 ► ► ►

0 0 -2 ► ► ►

Somalia -5 1 -36 ▼ ► ▼

Somalia 0 -17 -20 ► ▼ ▼

0 12 6 ► ▲ ▲

0 -25 -26 ► ▼ ▼

0 -7 -17 ► ▼ ▼

Somalia 8 10 -23 ▲ ▲ ▼

0 -10 -27 ► ▼ ▼

0 5 -10 ► ▲ ▼

▲ ► ▲

0 -15 -38 ► ▼ ▼

0 -14 -35 ► ▼ ▼

8 1 22

0 -40 -20 ► ▼ ▼

Somalia 5 0 -16 ▲ ► ▼

0 -7 -16 ► ▼ ▼

1 -40 -24 ► ▼ ▼

4 0 -24 ► ► ▼3 3 -21 ► ► ▼

10 ► ► ▲

_____________________________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_______________________________________________

8

Page 16: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

PRICE WATCH ANNEX December 31, 2015

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Juba Maize (White) El Fasher Wheat Grain

SSP 8.57 SDG 7.15

$2.76 $1.18

Sorghum (White) El Obeid Millet

SSP 9.79 SDG 5.80

$3.16 $0.96

Wheat Flour Sorghum (Feterita)

SSP 23.75 SDG 3.71

$7.66 $0.61

Wau Groundnuts (Shelled) Wheat Grain

SSP 17.75 SDG 5.80

$5.73 $0.96

Sorghum (White) Geneina Millet

SSP 14.29 SDG 3.10

$4.61 $0.51

Wheat Flour Sorghum (Feterita)

SSP 20.00 SDG 3.01

$6.45 $0.50

Ad-Damazin Millet Kadugli Millet

SDG 5.83 SDG 5.00

$0.96 $0.82

Sorghum (Feterita) Sorghum (Feterita)

SDG 3.23 SDG 3.00

$0.53 $0.49

Wheat Grain Wheat Grain

SDG 6.67 SDG 5.00

$1.10 $0.82

Al Qadarif Millet Nyala Millet

SDG 4.93 SDG 5.08

$0.81 $0.84

Sorghum (Feterita) Sorghum (Feterita)

SDG 2.98 SDG 3.33

$0.49 $0.55

Wheat Grain Wheat Grain

SDG 6.99 SDG 8.28

$1.15 $1.37

Dongola Millet Om Durman Millet

SDG 7.50 SDG 6.00

$1.24 $0.99

Sorghum (Feterita) Sorghum (Feterita)

SDG 4.50 SDG 4.00

$0.74 $0.66

Wheat Grain Wheat Grain

SDG 5.50 SDG 6.00

$0.91 $0.99

El Fasher Millet Port Sudan Millet

SDG 5.78 SDG 5.00

$0.95 $0.82

Sorghum (Feterita) Sorghum (Feterita)

SDG 4.30 SDG 3.33

$0.71 $0.55

East

Afr

ica

East

Afr

ica

one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

one year, and

▼ ▲8 15 33 ▲ ▲

▼ ▲0 14 119 ► ▲ ▲

8 55 217 ▲ ▲ ▲1 -8 - ► ▼ -

-14 -29 79 ▼

0 -14 136 ► ▼ ▲0 10 142 ► ▲ ▲

0 -24 59 ► ▼ ▲0 -8 77 ► ▼ ▲

-7 -35 84 ▼ ▼ ▲2 3 116 ► ► ▲Sudan Sudan

Sudan Sudan

3 -7 5

South Sudan 2 220 250 ► ▲ ▲

11 316 209 ▲ ▲ ▲

10 236 295 ▲ ▲ ▲

South Sudan -11 105 45 ▼ ▲ ▲

15 194 250 ▲ ▲ ▲

3 135 196 ► ▲ ▲

Sudan 0 -21 90 ► ▼ ▲

-3 -22 2 ► ▼ ►

0 -13 60 ► ▼ ▲

Sudan -2 -20 34 ► ▼ ▲

Sudan -3 4 135 ► ► ▲

Sudan 0 -21 - ► ▼ -

15 -16 44 ▲ ▼ ▲

► ▼ ▲

Sudan 9 -18 19 ▲ ▼ ▲

9 -19 35 ▲ ▼ ▲

0 -10 55

Sudan 0 -35 41 ► ▼ ▲

22 -10 6 ▲ ▼ ▲

11 -25 - ▲ ▼ -

Sudan -2 -14 46 ► ▼ ▲

18 12 - ▲ ▲ --3 -10 - ► ▼ -

_____________________________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_______________________________________________

9

Page 17: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

PRICE WATCH ANNEX December 31, 2015

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Arusha Dry Beans (Mixed) (W) Mtwara Maize (White) (W)

TZS 1706.25 TZS 652.00

$0.80 $0.31

Maize (White) (W) Mwanza Milled rice (W)

TZS 659.38 TZS 1803.33

$0.31 $0.85

Milled rice (W) Songea Dry Beans (Mixed) (W)

TZS 1812.50 TZS 1637.50

$0.85 $0.77

Dar es Salaam Dry Beans (Mixed) (W) Maize (White) (W)

TZS 1847.47 TZS 461.88

$0.87 $0.22

Maize (White) (W) Tanga Milled rice (W)

TZS 671.19 TZS 1756.25

$0.32 $0.83

Milled rice (W) Arua Cassava Chips

TZS 1820.77 UGX 1200.00

$0.86 $0.35

Dodoma Dry Beans (Mixed) (W) Gulu Dry Beans (K124/Nabe 4)

TZS 1889.38 UGX 2425.00

$0.89 $0.70

Maize (White) (W) Kampala Cooking bananas

TZS 667.50 UGX 1361.00

$0.31 $0.39

Milled rice (W) Dry Beans (Mixed) (W)

TZS 1903.13 USD 0.58

$0.89 $0.58

Iringa Maize (White) (W) Maize (White)

TZS 537.86 UGX 1456.25

$0.25 $0.42

Milled rice (W) Sorghum (Red) (W)

TZS 1650.00 USD 0.28

$0.78 $0.28

Kigoma Dry Beans (Mixed) (W) Lira Dry Beans (K124/Nabe 4)

TZS 1695.00 UGX 2450.00

$0.80 $0.71

Maize (White) (W) Masindi Dry Beans (Mixed) (W)

TZS 699.40 USD 0.57

$0.33 $0.57

Milled rice (W) Maize (White) (W)

TZS 1765.00 USD 0.24

$0.83 $0.24

Mbeya Dry Beans (Mixed) (W) Sorghum (Red) (W)

TZS 1418.75 USD 0.29

$0.67 $0.29

Maize (White) (W) Mbarara Cooking bananas

TZS 575.00 UGX 1096.50

$0.27 $0.32

Milled rice (W) Dry Beans (K124/Nabe 4)

TZS 1509.38 UGX 2450.00

$0.71 $0.71

▲ ▲

▲ ▲

8 129 54

39 75

5 49 51

5Tanzania, United

Republic of

Tanzania, United

Republic of

one month,

0

▲ ▲

▲ ▲

▲ ▲

▲ ▲

▲ ▲

▲ ▼

one year, and

5-year avg.

▲ ▲ ▲

► ▲ ▲

▲ ▲

▲ ▲

0 56 48 ►

30 5 ▼-5

14 33 58 ▲

33 33 ▲10

2 70 77 ►

47 58 ▼-10

-21

- 2 48 56 ►

10 -9 ▲

-1 20 - ► ▲

24

▲ -

5 15 14 ▲ ▲ ▲ 5

- 26 54 - ▲

1 - ▼ ► -

9 35 - ▲ ▲

3 77 - ► ▲ -

-4

▲ 46 40 70 ▲

-22 - ▲ ▼ -

11 67 38 ▲ ▲

51 38 ► ▲ ▲

East

Afr

ica

▲ ▲

67 17 11 ▲ ▲ ▲

one year, and

5-year avg.

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month,

49 35

Tanzania, United

Republic of

Uganda

Tanzania, United

Republic of

Uganda

Uganda

East

Afr

ica

Uganda

Uganda

Uganda

Tanzania, United

Republic of

Tanzania, United

Republic of

14 12 44 ▲ ▲ ▲ Tanzania, United

Republic of

10 88 57 ▲ ▲ ▲

5 29 33 ▲ ▲ ▲

Tanzania, United

Republic of

9 - - ▲ - -

0 - - ► - -

11 - - ▲ - -

Tanzania, United

Republic of

-1 34 31 ► ▲ ▲

2 22 - ► ▲ -

0 90 45 ► ▲ ▲

12 45 30 ▲ ▲ ▲

Tanzania, United

Republic of

9 104 - ▲ ▲ -

_____________________________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_______________________________________________

10

Page 18: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

PRICE WATCH ANNEX December 31, 2015

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Soroti Millet (Finger) Karonga Cassava

UGX 1200.00 MWK 76.72

$0.35 $0.13

Aden Wheat Flour Maize (White)

YER 208.00 MWK 166.43

$0.97 $0.29

Al Hudaydah Wheat Flour Milled rice

YER 240.50 MWK 538.70

$1.12 $0.94

Amran Wheat Flour Lilongwe Cassava

YER 188.00 MWK 360.00

$0.88 $0.63

Hajja Wheat Flour Maize (White)

YER 234.00 MWK 157.50

$1.09 $0.28

Sa'ada Wheat Flour Milled rice

YER 220.00 MWK 550.00

$1.03 $0.96

Sana'a Wheat Flour Lunzu Cassava

YER 198.00 MWK 298.28

$0.92 $0.52

Maize (White)

MWK 169.40

$0.30

Milled rice

MWK 497.35

$0.87

Mitundu Cassava

MWK 164.11

$0.29

Maize (White)

MWK 138.07

$0.24

Milled rice

MWK 490.37

$0.86

Mzuzu Cassava

MWK 206.25

$0.36

Maize (White)

MWK 139.25

$0.24

Milled rice

MWK 750.36

$1.31

Nsanje Maize (White)

MWK 155.40

$0.27

Salima Cassava

MWK 96.94

$0.17

one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

0 -23 -11 ► ▼

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

Uganda

East

Afr

ica

▼ ►

4 60 46 ► ▲ ▲ 10 140

▼ -12 -55 3 ▼

135 ▲

Malawi

- ▲ ▲ -

10 73

▲ ▲

-1 41 - ► ▲ - 20 239

▲ ▲

-5 60 64 ▼ ▲ ▲ -2 58 82 ►

5 66 104 ▲ ▲ ▲

9

5 125 122 ▲ ▲ ▲

41 312 - ▲ ▲ -6 - - ▲ - -

17 28 72 ▲ ▲ ▲

112 144 ▲ ▲ ▲

5 73 139 ▲ ▲ ▲

-1 63 - ► ▲ -

-37 -28 - ▼ ▼ -

0 27 73 ► ▲ ▲

25 83 - ▲ ▲ -

4 76 - ► ▲ -

-1 - - ► - -

2 122 117 ► ▲ ▲

Yemen

Yemen

one year, and

Yemen

Yemen 7 57 49 ▲ ▲ ▲

- ▲ ▲ -

Malawi

Malawi

Malawi

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

Malawi

Yemen Malawi

Yemen Malawi

_____________________________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_______________________________________________

11

Page 19: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

PRICE WATCH ANNEX December 31, 2015

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Salima Maize (White) Nampula Diesel

MWK 120.20 MZN 38.42

$0.21 $0.87

Milled rice Maize (White)

MWK 415.65 MZN 16.00

$0.73 $0.36

Chókwe Cowpeas (Mixed) Refined Vegetable Oil

MZN 40.00 MZN 44.00

$0.91 $1.00

Maize (White) Rice (5% Broken)

MZN 14.04 MZN 25.00

$0.32 $0.57

Rice (5% Broken) Tete Cowpeas (Mixed)

MZN 30.00 MZN 25.00

$0.68 $0.57

Gorongosa Cowpeas (Mixed) Maize (White)

MZN 29.60 MZN 14.29

$0.67 $0.32

Maize (White) Rice (5% Broken)

MZN 12.61 MZN 35.00

$0.29 $0.80

Maputo Cowpeas (Mixed) Chipata Maize (White)

MZN 35.24 ZMW 2.10

$0.80 $0.17

Diesel Roller Maize Meal

MZN 36.81 ZMW 2.52

$0.84 $0.21

Maize Meal Choma Maize (White)

MZN 30.00 ZMW 2.22

$0.68 $0.18

Maize (White) Roller Maize Meal

MZN 13.15 ZMW 2.32

$0.30 $0.19

Refined Vegetable Oil Kabwe Maize (White)

MZN 50.84 ZMW 1.78

$1.16 $0.15

Rice (5% Broken) Roller Maize Meal

MZN 25.00 ZMW 2.26

$0.57 $0.19

Maxixe Cowpeas (Mixed) Kasama Maize (White)

MZN 33.55 ZMW 2.15

$0.76 $0.18

Maize (White) Roller Maize Meal

MZN 14.29 ZMW 2.56

$0.32 $0.21

Rice (5% Broken) Kitwe Maize (White)

MZN 30.00 ZMW 1.99

$0.68 $0.16

Nampula Cowpeas (Mixed) Roller Maize Meal

MZN 50.00 ZMW 2.41

$1.14 $0.20

0 3

one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

-13 50 - ▼ ▲

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

► ▲ ▲

► ► ►

-3 -2 0

-

0

0

-8 -6 -2

87 59

0 -7

0 -2

100 109

20 49

► ► ►

► ► ▼

0

▲ ▲ ▲

29 43 44 ▲ ▲

► ▲ ▲

47 ▼ ▲ ▲ 0

▲ ▲ ▲

19 29 ► ▲ ▲ 0

▼ ► 25 103 70

► -6 0 3 ▼

2 -1 1 ► ►

► ▲

3 0 12 ► ► ▲ 33

0 0 -1 ► ►

0 0 3 ► ► ► 2 21 45

14 23 56

► 10 16 42 ▲ ▲

8 60 32 ▲ ▲ ▲

▲ ▲

6 63 72 ▲ ▲

17 12

19 66 61 ▲ ▲

0 150 135 ► ▲

▲ ▲ ▲

5 17

20 48 ► ▲ ▲

0 150 28 ► ▲ ▲

0 25 29 ► ▲ ▲ 13 27 56

▲Mozambique ▲ 8 41 58 ▲ ▲

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

0 0 -3 ► ► ► 4

1

2 2 -10 ►

Malawi Mozambique

one year, and

- ► ► -

Zambia

Mozambique Zambia

Zambia

Mozambique

Mozambique

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

Mozambique

20 ▲ ▲ ▲

0

► ▼

-6 54

Mozambique Zambia

Zambia

_____________________________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_______________________________________________

12

Page 20: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

PRICE WATCH ANNEX December 31, 2015

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Lusaka Diesel Masvingo Maize (White)

ZMW 8.59 USD 0.34

$0.71 $0.34

Maize (White) Roller Maize Meal

ZMW 2.08 USD 0.50

$0.17 $0.50

Roller Maize Meal

ZMW 2.49

$0.20

Mansa Maize (White)

ZMW 2.00

$0.16

Roller Maize Meal

ZMW 2.40

$0.20

Mongu Maize (White)

ZMW 2.11

$0.17

Roller Maize Meal

ZMW 2.64

$0.22

Solwezi Maize (White)

ZMW 1.73

$0.14

Roller Maize Meal

ZMW 2.58

$0.21

Bulawayo Maize (White)

USD 0.40

$0.40

Roller Maize Meal

USD 0.60

$0.60

Gwanda Maize (White)

USD 0.57

$0.57

Roller Maize Meal

USD 0.65

$0.65

Harare Diesel

USD 1.18

$1.18

Gasoline

USD 1.31

$1.31

Maize (White)

USD 0.29

$0.29

Roller Maize Meal

USD 0.47

$0.47

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

one year, and

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

29 28 64 ▲ ▲ ▲

▲ ▲

▲ -

1

0 -14 4 ► ▼

5 5 35 ▲ ▲ ▲

-15 17 - ▼

- ▼ -

5 19

63 ▲

24

-1 30 42 ► ▲ ▲

-17 -17

10 12 41 ▲ ▲ ▲

0 38 - ► ▲ -

5 23 55 ▲ ▲ ▲

0 97 - ► ▲ -

0 0 - ► ► -

-1 -17 -9 ► ▼ ▼

0 0 - ► ► -

0 0 -7 ► ► ▼

-2 -15 -8 ► ▼ ▼

0 -23 -11 ► ▼ ▼

Zambia

Zambia

Zambia Zimbabwe

one year, and

43 ▲ ▲ ▲

53 ► ▲ ▲

14 34

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe

Zambia

_____________________________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_______________________________________________

13

Page 21: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

PRICE WATCH ANNEX December 31, 2015

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

San Jose Dry Beans (Black) (W) San Vicente Dry Beans (Seda Red) (W)

USD 1.75 USD 1.25

$1.75 $1.25

Dry Beans (Red) (W) Maize (White) (W)

USD 2.77 USD 0.43

$2.77 $0.43

Maize (White) (W) Usulután Dry Beans (Seda Red) (W)

USD 0.74 USD 1.31

$0.74 $1.31

Refined sugar (W) Maize (White) (W)

USD 1.11 USD 0.44

$1.11 $0.44

Ahuachapán Dry Beans (Seda Red) (W) Guatemala City Diesel

USD 1.20 GTQ 4.57

$1.20 $0.61

Maize (White) (W) Dry Beans (Black)

USD 0.40 GTQ 11.02

$0.40 $1.47

La Unión Dry Beans (Seda Red) (W) Gasoline

USD 1.63 GTQ 5.23

$1.63 $0.70

Maize (White) (W) Maize (White)

USD 0.48 GTQ 3.31

$0.48 $0.44

San Miguel Dry Beans (Red) (W) Maize (Yellow)

USD 1.17 GTQ 3.77

$1.17 $0.50

Dry Beans (Seda Red) (W) Cap Haitien Dry Beans (Black)

USD 1.24 HTG 136.87

$1.24 $2.54

Maize (White) (W) Maize Meal

USD 0.43 HTG 36.74

$0.43 $0.68

San Salvador Dry Beans (Red) Refined sugar

USD 1.48 HTG 55.12

$1.48 $1.02

Dry Beans (Seda Red) Refined Vegetable Oil

USD 1.65 HTG 97.74

$1.65 $1.82

Maize (White) Rice (4% Broken)

USD 0.51 HTG 48.50

$0.51 $0.90

Rice (10% Broken) Hinche Dry Beans (Black)

USD 0.99 HTG 137.79

$0.99 $2.56

Santa Ana Dry Beans (Seda Red) (W) Maize Meal

USD 1.27 HTG 36.74

$1.27 $0.68

Maize (White) (W) Refined sugar

USD 0.42 HTG 73.49

$0.42 $1.37

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

▲ ▲

▼ ▼

-1 - - -2 9

- 0 -21 -16

25 ►

-14 ▼

one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

-1 - - ► -

▼ ▼ ►

0

-3 -31 -38 ►

-5 -27 -34 ▼

-19 -14 -10 ▼ ▼ ▼

▼-13 -24

►-1 -1 16 ► ► ▲

-5 -18

-2 4 - ►

0 11 -1 ►

0 - ►

23 ► ▲

► ▲ ▲-11 -26 -16 ▼ ▼ ▼

-5 15 26 ▼ ▲ ▲

0 - - ► - - -2 11

-

-

-

-1 -4 - ►

-13

-3 9 21 ► ▲ ▲

1 50 65

-10 -36 -15 ▼ ▼ ▼

0 7 -10

43 42 ►▼ ▼ ▼

12 122

-22 -16 ▼ ▼ ▼

▲ ▲-17 -7 -9

-1 ► ► ►-4 -4 8 ▼ ▼ ▲

0 0 -2 ► ► ►-3 ▲

0

▼ ▼

0 14 12 ►

0 0

107 ▲ ▲ ▲0 -10 -8 ► ▼ ▼

▲ ▲

▲ ▼►-9 -37 -16 ▼

Costa Rica El Salvador

one year, and

► - -

4 - - ► - -

Haiti

El Salvador

El Salvador

El Salvador

Haiti

Cen

tral A

meri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

El Salvador Guatemala

El Salvador

El Salvador

3

0 16 ► ►

Cen

tral A

meri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

_____________________________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_______________________________________________

14

Page 22: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

PRICE WATCH ANNEX December 31, 2015

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Hinche Refined Vegetable Oil Port-au-Prince Refined sugar

HTG 79.25 HTG 55.12

$1.47 $1.02

Rice (4% Broken) Refined Vegetable Oil

HTG 51.44 HTG 92.46

$0.96 $1.72

Wheat Flour Rice (4% Broken)

HTG 36.74 HTG 44.09

$0.68 $0.82

Jacmel Dry Beans (Black) Wheat Flour

HTG 145.14 HTG 36.74

$2.70 $0.68

Maize Meal Choluteca Dry Beans (Red) (W)

HTG 41.34 HNL 21.50

$0.77 $1.00

Refined sugar Maize (White) (W)

HTG 60.63 HNL 7.99

$1.13 $0.37

Refined Vegetable Oil Comayagua Dry Beans (Red) (W)

HTG 100.72 HNL 21.50

$1.87 $1.00

Rice (4% Broken) Maize (White) (W)

HTG 53.09 HNL 8.21

$0.99 $0.38

Wheat Flour Siguatepeque Dry Beans (Red) (W)

HTG 68.89 HNL 20.94

$1.28 $0.97

Jeremie Dry Beans (Black) Maize (White) (W)

HTG 119.42 HNL 6.50

$2.22 $0.30

Maize Meal Tegucigalpa Dry Beans (Red)

HTG 40.42 HNL 25.74

$0.75 $1.20

Refined sugar Maize (White)

HTG 66.14 HNL 8.52

$1.23 $0.40

Refined Vegetable Oil Rice (4% Broken)

HTG 105.67 HNL 19.90

$1.96 $0.93

Rice (4% Broken) Mexico City Dry Beans (Black) (W)

HTG 57.32 MXN 14.50

$1.07 $0.87

Wheat Flour Dry Beans (Red) (W)

HTG 44.09 MXN 18.00

$0.82 $1.08

Port-au-Prince Dry Beans (Black) Eggs (Fresh, White) (W)

HTG 117.58 MXN 18.50

$2.19 $1.11

Maize Meal Maize (White) (W)

HTG 36.74 MXN 5.20

$0.68 $0.31

0 0 -1 0 8

▼ 0 0 ►

one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

-4 -8 -6

▲ ▲

► ►

▼ ▲ ▲

-14

-13 -51 - ▼

-9 -51 - ▼

0 -57 - ►

8 - ▼

▼ -

15 ► ▲ ▲

▲ -

-2

17 ►

33 50 52 ▲ ▲ ▲

► ►

-1 126 93 ► ▲ ▲ 0 11

Honduras

0 -4 -4 ►

-17 3 -10 ▼ ► ▼

▼ --8 56 45 ▼ ▲ ▲

-6 16 - ▼ ▲ --10 -4 -4 ▼ ► ►

▼ --5 9

▼ ▼20 175 113 ▲ ▲ ▲

-24 3 - ▼ ► -0 91 76 ► ▲ ▲

-13 -42 -15 ▼

▼ ►0 8 17 ► ▲ ▲

-13 14 24 ▼ ▲ ▲0 6 -10 ► ▲ ▼

-2 -10 3 ►

-2 16 2 ► ▲ ►0 11 14 ► ▲ ▲

0 6 -1 ► ▲ ►0

-12 -29 -12 ▼ ▼ ▼0 79 73 ► ▲ ▲

0 18 19 ► ▲ ▲0 33 26 ► ▲ ▲

Haiti

Haiti Haiti

one year, and

► ► ►

0 25 15 ► ▲ ▲

► ▼

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

Cen

tral A

meri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

Mexico

Honduras

Haiti

Honduras

67 46 ► ▲ ▲

Cen

tral A

meri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

Honduras

Haiti

20

_____________________________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_______________________________________________

15

Page 23: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

PRICE WATCH ANNEX December 31, 2015

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Mexico City Refined sugar (W) Faizabad Rice (Low Grade)

MXN 11.02 AFN 46.00

$0.66 $0.69

Refined Vegetable Oil (W) Wheat Flour (Low Quality)

MXN 18.72 AFN 29.00

$1.13 $0.44

Rice (10% Broken) (W) Wheat Grain

MXN 13.00 AFN 25.00

$0.78 $0.38

Managua Dry Beans (Black) (W) Hirat Diesel

NIO 25.35 AFN 38.50

$0.95 $0.58

Dry Beans (Red) (W) Refined Vegetable Oil

NIO 30.82 AFN 67.00

$1.16 $1.01

Dry Beans (Tinto) (W) Rice (Low Grade)

NIO 29.81 AFN 25.00

$1.12 $0.38

Maize (White) (W) Wheat Flour (Low Quality)

NIO 10.51 AFN 27.71

$0.39 $0.42

Rice (20% Broken) (W) Wheat Grain

NIO 24.70 AFN 20.68

$0.93 $0.31

Rice (4% Broken) (W) Jalalabad Rice (Low Grade)

NIO 26.68 AFN 29.50

$1.00 $0.45

Sorghum (White) (W) Wheat Flour (Low Quality)

NIO 14.47 AFN 23.25

$0.54 $0.35

Wheat Grain

AFN 22.00

$0.33

Kabul Diesel

AFN 39.50

$0.60

Refined Vegetable Oil

AFN 77.00

$1.16

Rice (Low Grade)

AFN 58.00

$0.88

Wheat Flour (Low Quality)

AFN 24.50

$0.37

Wheat Grain

AFN 25.00

$0.38

Kandahar Rice (Low Grade)

AFN 25.55

$0.39

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

-3 28 15 ► ▲

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

► ▲

0 -4 -1 ► ► ► 4 0

► ▼

0 -4 -4 1

▲ -3 -2 -6 ►

8 ▼

19 ►

2

2 -6 -10 ►

0 3 13 ►

0 -2 -24 ►

0 0 14 ►

-7 -7 ►

▼ ▼

-30 ► ▼ ▼

-3 -45 -6 ► ▼ ▼

► ▲

-5 - - ▼ - - 0 -26

▼ ▼-3 -45 -5 ► ▼ ▼

► ▼0 0 18 ► ► ▲

7 -4 16 ▲ ► ▲0 3 20 ► ► ▲

► ▲-7 46

► ▲

2 -13 3 ► ▼ ►29 40 35 ▲ ▲ ▲

▼ ▼

-5 -31 -31 ▼ ▼ ▼

1 -6 -5 ►

5 16 47 ▲ ▲ ▲

-2 -12 -16 ► ▼ ▼

4 2 16 ► ► ▲

9 -1 4 ▲ ► ►

Afghanistan

Afghanistan

Nicaragua Afghanistan

Mexico Afghanistan

-6 ► ▼ ▼

51 ▼ ▲ ▲

Afghanistan

Cen

tral A

meri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

Cen

tral A

sia

_____________________________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_______________________________________________

16

Page 24: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

PRICE WATCH ANNEX December 31, 2015

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Kandahar Wheat Flour (Low Quality) Lahore Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6)

AFN 24.58 PKR 47.56

$0.37 $0.45

Wheat Grain Wheat Flour

AFN 26.88 PKR 39.00

$0.41 $0.37

Maimana Rice (Low Grade) Wheat Grain

AFN 37.00 PKR 35.25

$0.56 $0.34

Wheat Flour (Low Quality) Multan Rice (Long Grain, Basmati)

AFN 25.00 PKR 65.00

$0.38 $0.62

Wheat Grain Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6)

AFN 22.00 PKR 35.25

$0.33 $0.34

Mazar-e-Sharif Diesel Wheat Flour

AFN 42.75 PKR 39.00

$0.65 $0.37

Refined Vegetable Oil Wheat Grain

AFN 76.00 PKR 33.38

$1.15 $0.32

Rice (Low Grade) Peshawar Rice (Long Grain, Basmati)

AFN 38.00 PKR 67.50

$0.57 $0.65

Wheat Flour (Low Quality) Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6)

AFN 24.75 PKR 41.67

$0.37 $0.40

Wheat Grain Wheat Flour

AFN 21.75 PKR 38.83

$0.33 $0.37

Nili Rice (Low Grade) Wheat Grain

AFN 60.00 PKR 33.17

$0.91 $0.32

Wheat Flour (Low Quality) Quetta Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6)

AFN 35.00 PKR 50.00

$0.53 $0.48

Wheat Grain Wheat Flour

AFN 32.00 PKR 39.00

$0.48 $0.37

Karachi Rice (Long Grain, Basmati) National Average Potatoes

PKR 70.00 TJS 1.80

$0.67 $0.27

Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6) Wheat Flour (First Grade)

PKR 43.38 TJS 3.40

$0.41 $0.51

Wheat Flour

PKR 43.71

$0.42

Wheat Grain

PKR 37.00

$0.35

one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

-1 -1 4 ► ►

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

Afghanistan

► ▲

2 0

▼ ▼

1 1 17 0 -2

► -13 -27 -15 ▼

13 ►

13 ►

Pakistan

1

-3 -14 -11 ►

3 -1 11 ►

-2 -15 -12 ►

6 -15 2 ▲

1 14 ►

▼ ▼

-4 ▼ ▼ ▼

5 -3 8 ▲ ► ▲

► ▲

4 -11 3 ► ▼ ► -6 -16

► ▲2 -25 -23 ► ▼ ▼

▼ ▼3 3 14 ► ► ▲

-1 -13 -2 ► ▼ ►0 -5 5 ► ▼ ▲

► ▲6 -3

▼ ►0 -12 14 ► ▼ ▲

2 -3 9 ► ► ▲1 -1 17 ► ► ▲

▼ ▲4 3 14 ► ► ▲

0 0 18 ► ► ▲0 1 9 ► ► ▲

2 -5 9 ►

-4 -41 -13 ▼ ▼ ▼-4 -9 8 ▼ ▼ ▲

1

2 2 14 ► ► ▲

0 12 22 ► ▲ ▲-3 -23 -13 ► ▼ ▼

one year, and

Pakistan

Afghanistan

Afghanistan

Pakistan

► ► ▲

-8 -8 -6 ▼ ▼ ▼

-7 ▲ ► ▼

Pakistan Tajikistan

Afghanistan

Pakistan

8 17 ► ▲ ▲

Cen

tral A

sia

Cen

tral A

sia

_____________________________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_______________________________________________

17

Page 25: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Gulf of Mexico Maize Gulf of Mexico Wheat

United States (Yellow No. 2) United States No. 2, Soft Red

USD 0.17 USD 0.20

$0.17 $0.20

Randfontein Maize Randfontein Wheat Grain

South Africa (Yellow) South Africa ZAR 4.41

(SAFEX) ZAR 3.12 (SAFEX) $0.31

$0.22 Rouën Wheat

Maize France (Grade 1)

(White) EUR 0.18

ZAR 3.23 $0.19

$0.23 St. Lawrence Wheat

Up River Maize Canada (CWRS)

Argentina ARS 1.49 CAD 0.30 $0.16 $0.23

Up River Wheat

Argentina (Trigo Pan)

ARS 2.01

Bangkok Rice $0.21

Thailand (100% B)

THB 13.56

$0.38

Rice WTI Crude Oil*

(A1 Super) United States USD 42.70

THB 11.75 $42.70

$0.33 Brent Crude Oil*Hanoi

Rice Northern Sea USD 44.40Vietnam

(5% broken) $44.40

VND 7,072 Dubai Crude Oil*

$0.35 Persian Gulf USD 42.20

$42.20

*reported in $/bbl

Gulf of Mexico Sorghum

United States (Yellow No. 2)

USD 0.17

$0.17

Gulf of Mexico Soybeans

United States USD 0.21

$0.21

Caribbean Sugar

(Raw)

(Average) USD 0.32 $0.32

Aktau Port Milling Wheat

Kazakhstan KZT 58.38

$0.20

Black Sea Milling Wheat

(Average) USD 0.20

$0.20

Eastern States Wheat Sources: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), World Bank

Australia (ASW)

(standard) AUD 0.30

USD 0.21

Gulf of Mexico Wheat

United States No. 2, Hard

USD 0.21

$0.21

FEWS NET

[email protected]

www.fews.net

Inte

rnati

on

al

-55 ▼ ▼ ▼

-44 -51 ▼ ▼ ▼

-56 ▼ ▼

SUGAR

3 -10 -30

-9 -60

-25 ► ▼ ▼

-8 -59

Inte

rnati

on

al

PRICE WATCH ANNEX: November International Market Prices December 31, 2015

Food and Fuel Price Trends

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg.

▼ ▼

-5 -13 -35 ▼ ▼ ▼

▼ ▼

9 56 46 ▲ ▲

MAIZE

Figure 2: Commodity prices in selected export markets

WHEAT

-3

SOYBEANS

-1 -20 - ► ▼ -

WHEAT

12 16 43 ▲ ▲

5-year avg.

3 -16

2 -3 -27 ► ► ▼

RICE

1 -11 -29 ►

-3-7 -31

▼ ▼ ▼-29

-24 -

Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over% Change OverChange over Change over

one month, one month,

► ▼ ▼

► -15 -28 ► ▼ ▼

6 21 35 ▲ ▲

► ▼ -

-4 -25 -32 ► ▼ ▼

1 -21 -30 ► ▼ ▼

-1 -20 - ► ▼ -

SORGHUM

-5 -12 -27 ▼ ▼ ▼

-1

-6

3 64 51 ► ▲

CRUDE OIL

-8

► ▼ ▼

-2

-15 -33

-17

FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the view of the United

States Agency for International Development or the United States Government.

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Jan

-10

Ap

r-10

Jul-

10

Oct-

10

Jan

-11

Ap

r-11

Jul-

11

Oct-

11

Jan

-12

Ap

r-12

Jul-

12

Oct-

12

Jan

-13

Ap

r-13

Jul-

13

Oct-

13

Jan

-14

Ap

r-14

Jul-

14

Oct-

14

Jan

-15

Ap

r-15

Jul-

15

Oct-

15

USD/MT

No. 2 U.S. Yellow. Maize Grade 1 Wheat, Rouen, France

No. 2 U.S. Hard Red Wheat A1 Super Broken Rice, Bangkok, Thailand

5% broken rice, Hanoi, Vietnam

Page 26: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

FEWS NET

[email protected]

www.fews.net

PRICE WATCH ANNEX 2 November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015

Wes

t A

fric

a

Figure 1. Millet prices in West Africa (2010 - 2015) Figure 2. Sorghum prices in West Africa (2010 - 2015)

Figure 3. Maize prices in West Africa (2010 - 2015) Figure 4. Rice prices in West Africa (2010 - 2015)

East

Afr

ica

Figure 5. Dry bean prices in East Africa (2010 - 2015) Figure 6. Sorghum prices in East Africa (2010 - 2015)

Sources of prices in West Africa: Information System on agricultural markets (SIMA) Niger, Agricultural Market Observatory (OMA) Mali, Burkina Faso SONAGESS, Information System

market (SIM) in Senegal and FEWS NET.

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. The Price Watch Annex 2 provides prices

trends for key markets and staple foods monitored across FEWS NET countries and regions. The commodities with a reference (W) are wholesale prices. Otherwise, all reported

prices are retail.

FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the

view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government.

____________________* imported rice

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

Jan

10

Ap

r 1

0

Jul 1

0

Oct

10

Jan

11

Ap

r 1

1

Jul 1

1

Oct

11

Jan

12

Ap

r 1

2

Jul 1

2

Oct

12

Jan

13

Ap

r 1

3

Jul 1

3

Oct

13

Jan

14

Ap

r 1

4

Jul 1

4

Oct

14

Jan

15

Ap

r 1

5

Jul 1

5

Oct

15

Moundou, Chad Solenzo, Burkina FasoSegou, Segou centre, Mali Maradi, NigerKaolak, Senegal

USD/kg

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

Jan

10

Ap

r 1

0

Jul 1

0

Oct

10

Jan

11

Ap

r 1

1

Jul 1

1

Oct

11

Jan

12

Ap

r 1

2

Jul 1

2

Oct

12

Jan

13

Ap

r 1

3

Jul 1

3

Oct

13

Jan

14

Ap

r 1

4

Jul 1

4

Oct

14

Jan

15

Ap

r 1

5

Jul 1

5

Oct

15

Maradi, Niger Moundou, ChadSegou, Segou centre, Mali Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina FasoKano, Nigeria (W)

USD/kg

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

Jan

10

Ap

r 1

0

Jul 1

0

Oct

10

Jan

11

Ap

r 1

1

Jul 1

1

Oct

11

Jan

12

Ap

r 1

2

Jul 1

2

Oct

12

Jan

13

Ap

r 1

3

Jul 1

3

Oct

13

Jan

14

Ap

r 1

4

Jul 1

4

Oct

14

Jan

15

Ap

r 1

5

Jul 1

5

Oct

15

Bol, Chad Malanville, Benin

Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso Kano, Nigeria (W)

USD/kg

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

Jan

10

Ap

r 1

0

Jul 1

0

Oct

10

Jan

11

Ap

r 1

1

Jul 1

1

Oct

11

Jan

12

Ap

r 1

2

Jul 1

2

Oct

12

Jan

13

Ap

r 1

3

Jul 1

3

Oct

13

Jan

14

Ap

r 1

4

Jul 1

4

Oct

14

Jan

15

Ap

r 1

5

Jul 1

5

Oct

15

Bamako, Mali Dakar, Tilène, Senegal

Monrovia, Red Light, Liberia Nouakchott, Mauritania

USD/kg

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

1.00

1.25

1.50

Jan

10

Ap

r 1

0

Jul 1

0

Oct

10

Jan

11

Ap

r 1

1

Jul 1

1

Oct

11

Jan

12

Ap

r 1

2

Jul 1

2

Oct

12

Jan

13

Ap

r 1

3

Jul 1

3

Oct

13

Jan

14

Ap

r 1

4

Jul 1

4

Oct

14

Jan

15

Ap

r 1

5

Jul 1

5

Oct

15

Arusha, Tanzania (W) Kigali City, Rwanda

Eldoret, Kenya (W) Masindi, Uganda (W)

USD/kg

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

Jan

10

Ap

r 1

0

Jul 1

0

Oct

10

Jan

11

Ap

r 1

1

Jul 1

1

Oct

11

Jan

12

Ap

r 1

2

Jul 1

2

Oct

12

Jan

13

Ap

r 1

3

Jul 1

3

Oct

13

Jan

14

Ap

r 1

4

Jul 1

4

Oct

14

Jan

15

Ap

r 1

5

Jul 1

5

Oct

15

Al Qadarif, Sudan Baidoa, Somalia

Kampala, Uganda (W) Juba, South Sudan

Dire Dawa, Ethiopia (W)

USD/kg

*

*

*

Page 27: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

PRICE WATCH ANNEX

Cen

tral A

meri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

Figure 11. White maize prices in Central America (2010 - 2015) Figure 12. Dry bean prices in Central America (2010 - 2015)

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

Figure 9. White maize prices in Southern Africa (2010 - 2015) Figure 10. Bean and cowpea prices in Southern Africa (2010 - 2015)

East

Afr

ica

Figure 7. Maize prices in surplus areas of East Africa (2010 - 2015) Figure 8. Maize prices in deficit areas of East Africa (2010 - 2015)

December 2015

**

**

**

*

Sources of prices in East Africa: Food and Agriculture Market Information System (FAMIS) FSTS/FEWS NET in Somalia, Uganda Bureau of Statistics and Farmgain, Tanzania Ministry of

Industry, Trade and Marketing (MITM), Ethiopia Grain Trade Enterprise (EGTE), Ministry of Agriculture of Kenya, Arid Lands Resource Management Project (ALRMP), SIFSIA, WFP VAM

Sources of prices in Southern Africa: Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation, and Water Development of Malawi, Ministry of Industry, Trade and Marketing (MITM)) of Tanzania, Ministry of

Agriculture of Mozambique, Central Statistics Office of Zambia, SAFEX, WFP and FEWS NET.

____________________* black beans ** red beans

____________________* dry beans** cowpeas

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

Jan

10

Ap

r 1

0

Jul 1

0

Oct

10

Jan

11

Ap

r 1

1

Jul 1

1

Oct

11

Jan

12

Ap

r 1

2

Jul 1

2

Oct

12

Jan

13

Ap

r 1

3

Jul 1

3

Oct

13

Jan

14

Ap

r 1

4

Jul 1

4

Oct

14

Jan

15

Ap

r 1

5

Jul 1

5

Oct

15

Lilongwe, Malawi Lusaka, Zambia

Harare, Zimbabwe Maputo, Mozambique

Mbeya, Tanzania (W) Randfontein, South Africa

USD/kgUSD/kg

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

1.00

1.25

1.50

Jan

10

Ap

r 1

0

Jul 1

0

Oct

10

Jan

11

Ap

r 1

1

Jul 1

1

Oct

11

Jan

12

Ap

r 1

2

Jul 1

2

Oct

12

Jan

13

Ap

r 1

3

Jul 1

3

Oct

13

Jan

14

Ap

r 1

4

Jul 1

4

Oct

14

Jan

15

Ap

r 1

5

Jul 1

5

Oct

15

Arusha, Tanzania (W) Dodoma, Tanzania (W)

Maputo, Mozambique Nampula, Mozambique

USD/kg

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

Jan

10

Ap

r 1

0

Jul 1

0

Oct

10

Jan

11

Ap

r 1

1

Jul 1

1

Oct

11

Jan

12

Ap

r 1

2

Jul 1

2

Oct

12

Jan

13

Ap

r 1

3

Jul 1

3

Oct

13

Jan

14

Ap

r 1

4

Jul 1

4

Oct

14

Jan

15

Ap

r 1

5

Jul 1

5

Oct

15

Guatemala City, Guatemala (W) Managua, NicaraguaSan Salvador, El Salvador San Jose, Costa Rica (W)Tegucigalpa, Honduras

USD/kg

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

1.00

Jan

10

Ap

r 1

0

Jul 1

0

Oct

10

Jan

11

Ap

r 1

1

Jul 1

1

Oct

11

Jan

12

Ap

r 1

2

Jul 1

2

Oct

12

Jan

13

Ap

r 1

3

Jul 1

3

Oct

13

Jan

14

Ap

r 1

4

Jul 1

4

Oct

14

Jan

15

Ap

r 1

5

Jul 1

5

Oct

15

Guatemala City, Guatemala Managua, Nicaragua (W)San Salvador, El Salvador Mexico City, Mexico (W)Tegucigalpa, Honduras

USD/kgUSD/kg

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75Ja

n 1

0

Ap

r 1

0

Jul 1

0

Oct

10

Jan

11

Ap

r 1

1

Jul 1

1

Oct

11

Jan

12

Ap

r 1

2

Jul 1

2

Oct

12

Jan

13

Ap

r 1

3

Jul 1

3

Oct

13

Jan

14

Ap

r 1

4

Jul 1

4

Oct

14

Jan

15

Ap

r 1

5

Jul 1

5

Oct

15

Arusha, Tanzania (W) Bahir Dar, Ethiopia (W)Eldoret, Kenya (W) Kampala, Uganda (W)Qorioley, Somalia Songea, Tanzania (W)

USD/kg

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

Jan

10

Ap

r 1

0

Jul 1

0

Oct

10

Jan

11

Ap

r 1

1

Jul 1

1

Oct

11

Jan

12

Ap

r 1

2

Jul 1

2

Oct

12

Jan

13

Ap

r 1

3

Jul 1

3

Oct

13

Jan

14

Ap

r 1

4

Jul 1

4

Oct

14

Jan

15

Ap

r 1

5

Jul 1

5

Oct

15

Dire Dawa, Ethiopia (W) Jamame, Somalia

Jijiga, Ethiopia Juba, South Sudan

Nairobi, Kenya (W)

USD/kg

* *

** **

**

* ****

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The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

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20

Page 28: PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015  · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good

PRICE WATCH ANNEX December 2015

Cen

tral A

sia

Figure 15. Wheat grain prices in Central Asia (2010 - 2015) Figure 16. Wheat flour prices in Central Asia (2010 - 2015)

Cen

tral A

meri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

Figure 13. Imported Rice Prices in Haiti (2010-2015) Figure 14. Black bean prices in Haiti (2010 - 2015)

Sources of prices in Central America and Caribbean: Coordination nationale de la sécurité alimentaire (CNSA) and FEWS NET, MAL, Dirección General de Economía Agropecuaria (DGEA),

Sistema de Información de Mercados Productos Agrícolas de Honduras (SIMPAH), Secretaria de Economia de Mexico, and Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganaderia y Alimentacion de

Guatemala (MAGA).

Sources of prices in Central Asia: Afghanistan, WFP and FEWS NET.

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00Ja

n 1

0

Ap

r 1

0

Jul 1

0

Oct

10

Jan

11

Ap

r 1

1

Jul 1

1

Oct

11

Jan

12

Ap

r 1

2

Jul 1

2

Oct

12

Jan

13

Ap

r 1

3

Jul 1

3

Oct

13

Jan

14

Ap

r 1

4

Jul 1

4

Oct

14

Jan

15

Ap

r 1

5

Jul 1

5

Oct

15

Cap Haïtien, Haiti Hinche, HaitiJacmel, Haiti Jérémie, HaitiPort-au-Prince, Haiti

USD/kg

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

Jan

10

Ap

r 1

0

Jul 1

0

Oct

10

Jan

11

Ap

r 1

1

Jul 1

1

Oct

11

Jan

12

Ap

r 1

2

Jul 1

2

Oct

12

Jan

13

Ap

r 1

3

Jul 1

3

Oct

13

Jan

14

Ap

r 1

4

Jul 1

4

Oct

14

Jan

15

Ap

r 1

5

Jul 1

5

Oct

15

Cap Haïtien, Haiti Hinche, HaitiJacmel, Haiti Jérémie, HaitiPort-au-Prince, Haiti

USD/kg

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

Jan

10

Ap

r 1

0

Jul 1

0

Oct

10

Jan

11

Ap

r 1

1

Jul 1

1

Oct

11

Jan

12

Ap

r 1

2

Jul 1

2

Oct

12

Jan

13

Ap

r 1

3

Jul 1

3

Oct

13

Jan

14

Ap

r 1

4

Jul 1

4

Oct

14

Jan

15

Ap

r 1

5

Jul 1

5

Oct

15

Dushanbe, Tajikistan Kabul, AfghanistanLahore, Pakistan Mazar-e-Sharif, AfghanistanAktau Port, Kazakhstan

USD/kg

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

Jan

10

Ap

r 1

0

Jul 1

0

Oct

10

Jan

11

Ap

r 1

1

Jul 1

1

Oct

11

Jan

12

Ap

r 1

2

Jul 1

2

Oct

12

Jan

13

Ap

r 1

3

Jul 1

3

Oct

13

Jan

14

Ap

r 1

4

Jul 1

4

Oct

14

Jan

15

Ap

r 1

5

Jul 1

5

Oct

15

Mazar-e-Sharif, Afghanistan Kabul, Afghanistan

Faizabad, Afghanistan National Average, Tajikistan

USD/kg

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

21