Prez.floatleverage
description
Transcript of Prez.floatleverage
WHETHER FLOATING RATE OF INTEREST IS A FIXED CHARGE
SOURCE OF FUND OR NOT?DISCUSS
Presented byNeha Agarwal
(7BS2460)
Concept
Basic framework of this study conducted-----How the market fluctuations will affect the floating rate which is an interest rate---considered to be a fixed cost which will further affect the financial leverage of the company
Causing a deeper effect on the EPS of the share holder
Causing a variation in the debt-equity mix
What is floating rate and spread of an interest rate?
Floating interest rate a variable or adjusting rate Refers to any type of loan or mortgage or
credit ----not having fixed life Uses an index or base rate LIBOR –most common rate used as a
BASIS for applying interest rate (London Interrelated Bank Rate..Banks prefer to lend each other at this rate)
Spread of interest rate
Margin over the base rate. Floating interest rate ={ base rate +spread ; if interest rate rises base rate -spread ; if interest rate falls } Consider eg. A 5 yr. loan is priced at 6month LIBOR + 2.5%. at the end of each 6month period, the rate for the following period= LIBOR at that point + (/- )
spread
Importance of floating rate
Banks prefer to lend money at floating interest rate
(They raise funds through deposits ,bond issues , other banks ,money markets)
Floating interest rate loan will cost less to the borrower than the fixed interest rate loan.
A borrower takes the interest rate risk by paying for a lower interest rate , the interest rates may go up in future.
Factors affecting the floating rate of interest
government policies production units market conditions-- Demand is more, production is
less, price increases. Hence,
high inflation. RBI measures- taming Inflation- CRR hike to control
liquidity in the market .Hence,
interest rate is risen.
Slow economic growth- High interest rate means demand
and investment are adversely
affected.means decreases.Hence,
Slow Economic Growth.
What is financial leverage?
Is the leverage that occurs due to the presence of fixed financial charges in a firm.
Due to interest rates to bonds ,debentures and preference dividends.
Here,Fixed charges do not vary with EBIT. Quantitatively, DFL= % change in
EPS/%changeinEBIT
Relationship between financial leverage and interest rate
Rise in interest rate implies rise in fixed cost and hence rise in financial leverage.
DFL rises ,EPS falls
Have you ever thought what will happen to financial
leverage if interest rate is floating ?
Remember before coming to ICFAI hyderabad, we had to take a loan …
Hardly, 9 months …. Interest rates in banks was floating with full vigor……..what could be the leverage then………
Effects on companies and investors of rising interest rates
Companies suffer -on account of higher interest costs -able to take loans till their cost of funds is not locked in.
investors leverage- hope of getting higher returns on higher interest rates ,they leverage .
leverage position is unwound- cascading effect on decline in stock prices
investors invest more in Bonds than in shares Debt-equity proportion changes
…contd
financial leverage exists to cover fixed costs such as interest rate.
bond value increases with rising interest rate
interest rate = bond value* rising interest rate
Effect of foating interest rate on Bond value
scenario1
Monthly base rate(%)
spread (%) Floating rate (%)
jan 5 0.75 5.75
feb 5 1 6
march 5 1.8 6.8
april 5 3.4 8.4
…contd.
A company worth Rs. 10,00,000 shares Rs. 8,00,000 bonds Rs. 2,00,000 bonds interest rate ---- floating EBIT (expected value) 50,000 tax @35% on PBT No preference shares issued no. of outstanding shares 5000
jan feb
march april
EBIT 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000less@floating interst rate
5.75% 6% 6.8% 8.4%
interest rate 11,500 12,000 13,600 16,800
PBT 38,500 38,000 36,400 33,200
tax @35%
13,475 13,300 12,740
11,620
PAT 25,025
24,700 23,660 21,580
less pref.div.
0 0 0 0
Ee (Equity earinings)
25,025
24,700 23,660 21,580
/ no.of O/S shares
5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000
EPS 5.005 4.94 4.732 4.316
Inference from scenario 1 Interest rate changes monthly from 5.75% to
8.4%. Interest rises from 11,500 to 16,800 EBIT level kept same Investors will be more interested to invest
in debts than in shares debt- equity proportion rises As the company now pays more money as
returns to the financial institutions or bond/debenture holders, hence less money is left with the company to pay to the shareholders.
Hence , EPS declines from 5.005 to 4.316 Rate of fall of EPS is 13.76%
scenario2
company issues more bonds than share bonds Rs. 6,00,000 shares Rs. 4,00,000 EBIT(expected value) RS.1,50,000 (rising in the same proportion as bond
value)
May june july
EBIT 1,50,000 1,50,000 1,50,000Less@ interest rate
8.56% 9% 10
interest 51,360 54,000 63,000
PBT 98,640 96,000 87,000
Less tax@35%
34,524 33,600 30,450
PAT 64,116 62,400 56,550Less pref div 0 0 0
Ee(equity earnings)
64,116
62,400 56,550
/no. of O/Sshares
5000 5000 5000
EPS 12.8232 12.48 11.31
Inference of scenario2
Interest rate rises from 8.56% to 10.5% Interest rises from 51,360 to 63,000 EPS falls from 12.8232 to 11.31 Rate of fall of EPS is 11.8%
Inference of Scenarios 1 &2
Debt-equity proprtion changes from 1:4 to 3:2 Firm’s expected earnings increase in same
proportion. Highly floating rate- rises from 5.75% to 10.5% Interest- fixed cost rises from 11,500 to 87,000 EPS falls with a rate of 13.76% in scn.1 while
falls with a rate of 11.8% in scn.2 Hence, as interest rate rises, EPS falls
with a falls with a falling rate.
Case 2 base case1
EBIT 30,000 50,000 70,000Less @floating rate
4.8% 5% 5.2%
interest 1440 2500 3640
PBT 28,560 47,500 66,360
Less tax@35%
9,996 16,625 23,226
PAT 18,564 30,875 43,134
less pref.div.
0 0 0
Ee 18,564 30,875 43,134
/O/S shares 5000 5000 5000
EPS 3.7128 6.175 8.6268
…contd.
Case 1 % change in EBIT =+ 40% % change in EPS = +39.7052%
DFL = % change in EPS/%change in EBIT
= 39.7/40 = 0.9925
case 2 % change in EBIT= -40% % change in EPS = -39.87% DFL = % change in EPS/ % change in
EBIT 39.87/40 = 0.9965
…contd.
EBIT in case 1 & 2 is changed by 40% to the +ve and -ve side
Interest rate is also increased or decreased by 40% to both sides.
% change in EPS from base is not the same.
However ,if fixed interest rate is taken it remains same
DFL increases with increasing interest rate DFL decreases with decreasing interest
rate DFL is not same for both cases.
…contd.
Inference
DFL exists with floating interest rate DFL affected by a larger amount by change
in rate. % change in DFL =(0.9965-0.9925)/0.9925
= 0.403% Whether you increase or decrease the EBIT
by the same proportion ,if a floating rate exists then DFL in both cases doesnot remains same.
0.403% is highly significant.